AUG 4 • SEATTLE (+125) can't see the Yanks getting past 'K¡NG FELIX'

[Ratzz]

the Yankees might be playing wiffle-ball with King Felix Saturday...
Kuroda is great, and kept them to a single run two weeks ago..

but can't do it twice..

AUG 4 • SEATTLE (+125)*

[You mad bro]

Yanks hit good pitching all the time

[Ratzz]

Yanks hit good pitching all the time

i ain't mad, bro... "you-mad"

[LT Profits]

You need a better book, I got M's +139

[LT Profits]

I DO agree that M's are a GREAT play today though

[LT Profits]

Mariners +140 at Bookmaker

[marcojuiceman]

What good is Felix pitching with the Mariners are not hitting

[rm18]

Take the 1st 5 no reason to bet the game here, unless you are betting a sickenly large bet

[Br0nxer]

dumb fukkin angle

yanks get up for aces and seattle is whoreshit

yanks or nothing if i was making a play which I am not

[jjgold]

Seems like under is a solid bet

Kurdoda not bad either

[LT Profits]

dumb fukkin angle

yanks get up for aces and seattle is whoreshit

yanks or nothing if i was making a play which I am not

Absolutely ZERO value laying over -140 here, we are talking about one of the best pitchers in baseball. M's are the only playable side at the price win or lose.

[Br0nxer]

Absolutely ZERO value laying over -140 here, we are talking about one of the best pitchers in baseball. M's are the only playable side at the price win or lose.

not playing it so i could care less

not even going to look into it

GL with your play

[Monchito]

Keep Dreaming !!! NYY WON!!!

[40ozfreedom]

Hiroki Kuroda has a 0.00 ERA through 4 Day starts this season to go with a 2.63 Home ERA.

Im thinking under and Yankees cover by 1 maybe 2. GL tho.

[LT Profits]

Day/Night splits are meaningless. Kuroda having a good home ERA in a hitter's park is a valid point, BUT he has just a 3.82 FIP. Hernandez is sixth in the Major Leagues with a 2.94 FIP. I come up with the Yankees winning this game about 56% of the time, making Seattle +EV.

[Shipcity]

Day/Night splits are meaningless. Kuroda having a good home ERA in a hitter's park is a valid point, BUT he has just a 3.82 FIP. Hernandez is sixth in the Major Leagues with a 2.94 FIP. I come up with the Yankees winning this game about 56% of the time, making Seattle +EV.

nice response. I was going to post something about this because although im not excited about that play, I wanted to run the numbers to see how often Seattle has to win for this to be plus ev and I came up with about the same numbers. ill be taking the under tho

[Madison]

You might want consider under. Kuroda has 1.9 era in 14 inn vs Sea this year. FH 3.86 in 14 inn. vs NYY.

[zoo youk]

going against the grain here. playing 1st five innings over 4.5 +115

[frogsrangers]

Look at King Felix's career numbers at Yankee Stadium

[orangeman51]

Queen Felix pitches in the same place that Philip Humber was able to throw a perfect game. He's had 3 road games in his last 10 starts...San Diego, Oakland, and KC...now he's about to pitch in a place where a check swing could send a ball over the right field fence. He's in for a rude awakening.

Yanks win...10-3

[LT Profits]

Look at King Felix's career numbers at Yankee Stadium

Only four starts but they are great. 1.47 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, .204 OBA, 34 K vs. 12 BB in 30.2 IP with only 1 HR allowed

[Thurgood]

What good is Felix pitching with the Mariners are not hitting

Play the under 8

[LT Profits]

Queen Felix pitches in the same place that Philip Humber was able to throw a perfect game. He's had 3 road games in his last 10 starts...San Diego, Oakland, and KC...now he's about to pitch in a place where a check swing could send a ball over the right field fence. He's in for a rude awakening.

Yanks win...10-3

Hernandez has an xFIP of 3.28 so he's fine in any park, and as mentioned he's already proven he can pitch in the Bronx.

[Monte]

well +139 has no value either iam afraid, unless we don't believe in pinny lines which i kinda do for bases.
But whateva, i could always bang my head against a brick wall when i read stuff like +125..if you are a victim at least don't make it so obvious and don't post the shitty line you took. You know, pride and everything...

[LT Profits]

well +139 has no value either iam afraid, unless we don't believe in pinny lines which i kinda do for bases.
But whateva, i could always bang my head against a brick wall when i read stuff like +125..if you are a victim at least don't make it so obvious and don't post the shitty line you took. You know, pride and everything...

How does +139 have no value? At 56%, no-vig line is 127. Right now the +139 is basically tied with current Pinny no-vig line, let's see where Pinny closes.

[Monte]

Because the 56% obv. only exists in your mind.

[dolson]

Yanks -1.5 , +140 is the bet , the Yanks will hit Felix hard today because he hurt A-Rod.

[daimoshokage]

pass

[freakydave]

I DO agree that M's are a GREAT play today though

I don't believe this is a good play at all.By your own calculations you lose this bet 56% of the time.
I realize it's a value bet & in the long run profitable(if your calc's are accurate) but I am sure there are better situations on the card today.

[LT Profits]

I don't believe this is a good play at all.By your own calculations you lose this bet 56% of the time.
I realize it's a value bet & in the long run profitable(if your calc's are accurate) but I am sure there are better situations on the card today.

Value is EVERYTHING in betting, you basically HAVE to take +139 when a game should be +127. 56% is major -EV at Yankees' line.

[LT Profits]

Because the 56% obv. only exists in your mind.

But my mind is very sharp.

[CHR1S]

Play the no runs in the 1st just for kicks

[Vinnie Paz]

Because the 56% obv. only exists in your mind.

Lol
Some of you guys on herr I tell ya...

[luvtogamble]

seattle and the under; seattle is one of the hotter teams in bases right now.

[dolson]

Felix won't even qualify for a decision today, they are coming after him.