Leans for 6/8/2012

[brahmabull117]

Some things I like


Brewers - 155. Padres are auto fade material
Twins - 135. They are hot and cubs are auto fade material
Angels - 150. The offense has been great, they lost 3 of 4 because of bad pitching but you don't figure that to be a problem with red hot CJ Wilson
Mets + 133. IMO this line should be EV. Santana is much better than Kuroda and the mets average 5 runs a game on the road. The only thing that scares me is the mets bullpen
Braves - 168/RL +125. Beachy has been impenetrable at home and Braves offense has been great. I like this play a lot

[Squirrel Kokomo]

Some things I like
Mets + 133. IMO this line should be EV. Santana is much better than Kuroda and the mets average 5 runs a game on the road. The only thing that scares me is the mets bullpen

what about Santana's less than stellar history (although small) at the new Yankee stadium? Or the 130+ pitches he threw in his last outing?

[brahmabull117]

what about Santana's less than stellar history (although small) at the new Yankee stadium? Or the 130+ pitches he threw in his last outing?

As time goes on, I'm starting to pay less and less attention to a guy's stats against a team from previous seasons. There's just too many variables for that to matter


Also he's been off for 7 days so he should be well recovered from 130 pitches. That's just a lean by the way, I'm still debating on what to play

[jlee]

Yankees-Mets interesting matchup. Santana's stats are from 2009, 2010 outings, his 2009 outing was horrible against a somewhat similar team he'll face tonight. Also this year's away/home splits aren't favourable. But Kuroda is horrible against lefts, and he is 1-5 against the Mets in his career (faced them as a dodger). Went with the Mets on this one, riding on santana's no hitter.. a safer bet maybe would be going over.

[kramerthekid]

What's the play Brahma?

[brahmabull117]

My 3 plays


Twins -134
Braves 1.5 RL + 125
Angels -150



GL

[in:extremis]

Nice picks. I think Atlanta is a strong play, followed by the Twins. I am off the Angels game, but going to go big on the Braves followed by a parlay with the Twins and another with Braves -1.5, Twins and San Fransisco. Giants great odds at home. GL

[in:extremis]

And the Astros / White Sox is going over.

[brahmabull117]

Nice picks. I think Atlanta is a strong play, followed by the Twins. I am off the Angels game, but going to go big on the Braves followed by a parlay with the Twins and another with Braves -1.5, Twins and San Fransisco. Giants great odds at home. GL

Angels are an excellent play. Hot offense in Coors field with a vastly superior pitching matchup

[in:extremis]

You may be right, but the Angels have pissed me off too much lately. I think Astros/White Sox over 8.5 is a better play.

[boeing power]

My 3 plays


Twins -134
Braves 1.5 RL + 125
Angels -150



GL

Chalk and runline

Why am I not surprised?

[brahmabull117]

Chalk and runline

Why am I not surprised?

Good luck brahma the shiny nosed cok sucker

[Squirrel Kokomo]

No disrespect, but since it seems like you post a lot, is there a reason you haven't decided to track your plays in one thread?

[brahmabull117]

No disrespect, but since it seems like you post a lot, is there a reason you haven't decided to track your plays in one thread?

I prefer doing a thread a day for my plays. It's easier than having 500 plays in 1 thread

[Squirrel Kokomo]

I prefer doing a thread a day for my plays. It's easier than having 500 plays in 1 thread

if you lose consistently, i agree wholeheartedly.

[brahmabull117]

if you lose consistently, i agree wholeheartedly.

my last 10 posted plays are like 6-4 on avg play of maybe - 130



I'm not doing all great, just give me some time to hit my rhythm again

[rumnblack]

G/L

[boeing power]

No disrespect, but since it seems like you post a lot, is there a reason you haven't decided to track your plays in one thread?

It's because he wins about 30% of his plays and most are about -200.

[brahmabull117]

It's because he wins about 30% of his plays and most are about -200.

you mean like yesterday when I went 3-1 on my plays and leans? Or when I won 3 straight on the cubs/giants series? Or when I won 75% of my plays over a 50 play sample last year and turned 300 dollar deposit into 8,000 with pictures and everything to back it up?


Oh I forgot, me losing 1 play in the san antonio series is more significant than me winning 75% of my plays over a 50 play sample. People here obsess more over 1 loss by me than 5 wins

[Squirrel Kokomo]

my last 10 posted plays are like 6-4 on avg play of maybe - 130



I'm not doing all great, just give me some time to hit my rhythm again

i wasn't making any claim about your win/loss +/- record, i was simply saying that it makes more sense to post a new thread every day if either a) you are a loser that wants attention and will not get any with a single, massively losing thread, at least not the kind of attention you crave, or b) you are a loser on a hot streak, or hoping for a hot streak, that wants to go tout and charge for picks.

a consistent winner motivated by helping others / improving his handicapping would most likely keep one thread.

[brahmabull117]

i wasn't making any claim about your win/loss +/- record, i was simply saying that it makes more sense to post a new thread every day if either a) you are a loser that wants attention and will not get any with a single, massively losing thread, at least not the kind of attention you crave, or b) you are a loser on a hot streak, or hoping for a hot streak, that wants to go tout and charge for picks.

a consistent winner motivated by helping others / improving his handicapping would most likely keep one thread.

I am just here to discuss picks. I don't really care about anything else

[High3rEl3m3nt]

You have got to fade Santana coming off a no hitter. There's a reason the line is where it's at...guarantee he gets lit up tonight. I like the over in that game as well.

[brahmabull117]

You have got to fade Santana coming off a no hitter. There's a reason the line is where it's at...guarantee he gets lit up tonight. I like the over in that game as well.

I'm staying away from that game. It was a very slight lean


I'm generally terrible at picking dogs though, so I might as well just stick with my bread and butter

[High3rEl3m3nt]

I could be wrong...it's just a great principle to fade a pitcher coming off a no hitter, especially when they're facing the Yanks...who are pretty patient at the plate. We'll see though. Like you said, kuroda is nothing to write home about and I do think that the Mets will score on him. Could be a high scoring game. GL today.

[ShogunRua]

No disrespect, but since it seems like you post a lot, is there a reason you haven't decided to track your plays in one thread?

The same exact reason he deleted all the losses off his spreadsheet. He wants people to forget he loses most of his plays laying average of -150 juice. He can have a bad day (0-3 -5.5 units) and just start a thread the next day like it never happened.

you mean like yesterday when I went 3-1 on my plays and leans? Or when I won 3 straight on the cubs/giants series? Or when I won 75% of my plays over a 50 play sample last year and turned 300 dollar deposit into 8,000 with pictures and everything to back it up?

I remember these same fraudulent claims last year. Someone actually spent a couple hours, went back and checked all of your plays over the course of the few months you claimed to win a bunch. The funny thing is that you actually hit a pretty decent % (58% or something) but you were still down a couple units. That was the best streak you have ever been on and you still lost.

If someone were to tally ALL the plays you've ever posted, you'd be the absolute worst. I mean that sincerely. Worse than Landers/Goat Milk and all the other long term losers who post here.

[brahmabull117]

I remember these same fraudulent claims last year. Someone actually spent a couple hours, went back and checked all of your plays over the course of the few months you claimed to win a bunch. The funny thing is that you actually hit a pretty decent % (58% or something) but you were still down a couple units.

The reason I was down a couple units was because of bad money management, not because I wasn't picking winners. It wasn't 58%, it was closer to 70%. I've always admitted I'm terrible at money management but I'm not bad at picking winners


Did you forget last NFL season when I was dominating with teasers? Do you want me to show you all the threads there?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1297895-3-nfl-teasers-week.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1376753-my-plays-today.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1390195-my-nfl-plays-today.html

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1402659-my-nfl-plays-11-20-11-a.html

Verify those plays, you'll see I'm winning easily at 66%

[DoubleRedDragon]

y'all my dogs, have i told you that?

There's a lot of fakes around here and I have some trust in Brahma. Thanks bud.

[Squirrel Kokomo]

I am just here to discuss picks. I don't really care about anything else

well, in that case, you realize you are a laughingstock, EH?

[DoubleRedDragon]

now that i see some reviews and you say you don't pick dogs you are actually extremely square lol

[brahmabull117]

well, in that case, you realize you are a laughingstock, EH?

It's all the player talk dickheads that come in here and ruin threads for no reason



It doesn't help that the mods here are f*cking useless and can't stop all the constant trolling. I have good discussions here with the actual baseball posters

now that i see some reviews and you say you don't pick dogs you are actually extremely square lol

you gotta do what you're good at...

[DoubleRedDragon]

true true. you picked me a winner yesterday and for that i am grateful...

isn't juice if you win!!!!

[ShogunRua]

You never went from 300 to 8000 betting. You said you could 'show pictures'. Please show the pictures showing ur account balance from 300 to 8000.

[brahmabull117]

You never went from 300 to 8000 betting. You said you could 'show pictures'. Please show the pictures showing ur account balance from 300 to 8000.

yep I did, 300 dollars to about 7600 before I lost it all during that one awful day where the brewers, yanks and phillies all lost while being in the midst of hot streaks


I was posting pics pretty much every week of my bankroll going up.



Regardless of the fact, this is irrelevant to the thread. Contribute something to the thread or get the f*ck out with your incessant off topic trolling. I'm reporting every one of your posts in this section towards me until you get suspended/infracted

[ShogunRua]

So you can't post the pictures of your bankroll going from 300 to 7600? you just said you could.

I'm reporting every one of your posts in this section towards me until you get suspended/infracted

[brahmabull117]

So you can't post the pictures of your bankroll going from 300 to 7600? you just said you could.

I posted them last year, bookmaker won't let me go back that far unfortunately