EP36's College Dogpile

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  • CharlestonCock
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-05-10
    • 485

    #211
    Not sure why there would be big line movement. What were the odds for Fla St at the time? Could have been more of an adjustment for the Noles than Stanford because its really a pretty even match up. Appel going for the Cardinal and Leinbrandt the Freshman Left going for the Noles. I got to back #8 draft pick Appel here even on the road. FSU has the best fielding percentage in College Baseball at .981 and have a great offense too. This is a tough one to pick but I have to side with the Cardinal to get it done tonight.
    Comment
    • Balco10
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-11-10
      • 5478

      #212
      -160 Yeap saw it last night at 5 Dimes. Any how, this tells me smart money is on the Seminoles. I don't remember the line for FSU, as I was only sifting through the lines quickly and saw Stanford at that line as their my favorite team.
      Comment
      • CharlestonCock
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-05-10
        • 485

        #213
        Zona with the comeback Win in extras. You're right EP, great start to the supers.
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #214
          I wouldnt read much into line movement. The juice rolls thick at 5dimes as soon as anyone starts playing a side or total. Stick with what you think you know and don't over think it ... Unlike me so far!
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #215
            June 8th: (LA Super Regional) UCLA-TCU Under 9.5 (-125)

            Plutko for the Bruins. Finnegan for the Frogs. Expecting this series to be tight. Finnegan was excellent against Ole Miss in an elimination setting last weekend. It is his charge to keep a good UCLA offense down. Plutko was solid against Creighton and has set the tone all year with a 2.56 ERA. I think runs are at a premium with four or five probably enough to win tonivght.
            Comment
            • Balco10
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-11-10
              • 5478

              #216
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
              I wouldnt read much into line movement. The juice rolls thick at 5dimes as soon as anyone starts playing a side or total. Stick with what you think you know and don't over think it ... Unlike me so far!
              You are absolutely correct EP. Pitching duo going on here.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #217
                Big inning for FSU. IMO again I think the line move was adjusting as stated earlier to more of what the fair odds for the game were to start. This whole series really is a pick 'em from game to game with good pitching and good hitting.
                Comment
                • clonecat
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-29-05
                  • 1225

                  #218
                  Will LSU Stony Brook carryover to tomorrow? or will bet be cancelled?
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #219
                    Last time I had a college baseball bet w/5D that was suspended due to weather and continued the next day - it was carried over.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #220
                      FML. One half inning screws this whole game up. Hoping for a miracle in the Stony Brook-LSU game to resume tomorrow and somehow get an over. Otherwise, looks like a piss poor 0-3 to start this round.
                      Comment
                      • Balco10
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-11-10
                        • 5478

                        #221
                        Damn it the over looking good in the UCLA game. 6-2 bottom 6th!
                        Comment
                        • Balco10
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-10
                          • 5478

                          #222
                          Looks like all games hit the over. We still got life at 6-2 top of 8th. Shit a base hit! I hope that decision to pull him was a good one. He has been filthy!
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #223
                            Great bullpen work by both teams. On the board with a W. Feels better going into Saturday. Still hoping for some magic in that Stony Brook-LSU game.
                            Comment
                            • Balco10
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-11-10
                              • 5478

                              #224
                              Nice hit on the under!
                              Stay thirsty my friend. Glad I stayed away from the Stanford game. Had feeling something was wrong with that huge line movement.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #225
                                Wow. You can tell LSU feels like they need this 1st game. Gausman comes out to start the 12th. Interested to see how long he goes if this game goes a few more innings. Was under the impression he was starting Game 2 and probably still would be, maybe they're just looking for an inning and thinking they can win it after that.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #226
                                  And LSU bags it in the 12th, 5-4. Tough loss for Stony Brook.
                                  Comment
                                  • Balco10
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-11-10
                                    • 5478

                                    #227
                                    LSU wins big in 2nd game at a steep price -450....
                                    Comment
                                    • CharlestonCock
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 09-05-10
                                      • 485

                                      #228
                                      Tough break for stony. Going to lay off action today. Going to the Carolina game tonight to see Michael Roth's last home game. GO COCKS!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #229
                                        I don't know about that Balco. Stony Brook can play with anyone, they really should have won yesterday - but could not hold leads twice in extra innings. SB obviously starts their ace. Wondering if LSU sticks with Gausman or saves him just in case. I think they keep him in line to close it out in 2, but never know a coaches' thinking.

                                        Doesn't look like they will post a handicap for this one, but I would have been tempted to take Stony Brook + the runs ... although with the price, I'd want 3.5 if they consider LSU that big a favorite. Will sit that one out.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #230
                                          Record: 23-17 [+12.63]
                                          Super Regionals: 1-2 [-1.30]

                                          June 9th [Gainesville Super Regional] Florida-N.C. State Over 9.5 [-120]
                                          Gators start their ace, Hudson Randall. Randall has been rock solid with a 2.83 ERA. He's been there, done that in the postseason. He limited a hot offense in Georgia Tech to just one run, but only made it through 5.2 IP. The Gators' pen slammed the door shut the rest of the way in a 6-2 win. Florida had not been an overly explosive offense until they laid 15 on the Jackets to eliminate them in the Regional Final. Florida ranked 5th in the SEC with a .281 average, but finished 3rd in runs and rank #1 in long balls with 71. Ethan Ogburn is on the hill for the Wolfpack with a 3.23 ERA for the season. He pitched in the blowout win over UNC-Wilmington in the Regional last weekend, nearly going the distance but he did give up five runs. He was prone to giving up the long ball as well, giving up seven. Wilmington hit two off him and Miami hit one in his start in the ACC Tournament where he shut down the Canes in a 3-2 win. The Wolfpack offense will be a good test for Randall. NC State boasts four regulars who hit over .330. They scored 56 runs in five regional games last week. Ryan Mathews is ties for 10th in D1 with 17 homers. Ogburn was hittable with a .248 BAA and he pitches to contact with just 18 walks all-season. That means Florida will get chances and homers could be big today. Randall is in the same mode. He had just ten walks all season, so NC State will also need to be on their toes to swing early in counts.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #231
                                            Baylor To Advance to CWS [-140]
                                            Baylor is at home for the Super Regional against Arkansas. The Razorbacks were fairly highly regarded to start the season, but struggled to win series against most of the top teams in the SEC. They were a combined 4-8 against Florida, LSU, Kentucky and South Carolina. Arkansas won what looked like one of the weakest Regionals with top seed Rice being booted by Sam Houston State, the team that the Razorbacks eliminated to advance. Arkansas is hitting .277 & averages right around five runs per game. Their pitching was the key to this team with a 2.86 ERA. Baxendale & Stanek are a solid 1-2 punch with Moore anchoring the bullpen along with closer Astin Barrett. Baylor is hitting a robust .312 and put up close to 6.5 runs per game. Their pitching staff was solid with a 3.14 ERA, but are top heavy with their starters leading the way. Blank & Turley went 19-2 with a combined ERA just over 2.00. If Baylor has a soft spot, it's their bullpen. They have plenty of good arms but closer Max Garner has had his issues. For me, the pitching is close to a wash. I think the Baylor starters rate better, while the Razorbacks pen is a shade more consistent. The difference is the offenses. Baylor has been much more prolific and consistent, while Arkansas has gone through bouts where they scuffle to score consistently. Last weekend's regionals show that. Baylor scored 33 runs in the final four games of the Regional after scoring just two in the opener. Arkansas scored eleven in three games, using stellar pitching to win. Arkansas though had also scuffled in the SEC Tournament, scoring one run in two games. Good pitching should be able to limit them. Baylor has that and if their offense remains consistent - I think the Bears head to Omaha.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #232
                                              June 9th [Tucson Super Regional] St.John's +2.5 [+120]
                                              St.John's will have to shake off the blow opportunity of Game 1, but should carry plenty of confidence into Game 2. The Red Storm banged out 18 hits against Arizona, 17 against one of the best in D1 in Kurt Heyer. They'll likely face Konner Wade. Wade has a 4.69 ERA. He was able to escape ten hits last weekend in another Arizona blowout win over Louisville in the Regional round. He can be hit, the key for St.John's will be getting the big hits with RISP. The Red Storm will put out their ace Sean Hagan to stave off elimination. Hagan has been solid all year, going 8-2 with a 2.72 ERA. He gave up four runs last weekend in his regional start against UNC, but kept the Red Storm in a game they ended up winning with a walk off HR in the 9th. Arizona will be a test for him, but if he can keep Arizona contained enough - St.John's should have a chance to put up runs against Wade. I would not be surprised if they get the win today, but will go the safer route with the spread.

                                              June 9th [Eugene Super Regional] Kent State +2.5 [-130]
                                              David Starn in a stellar pitching match-up with Oregon's Alex Keudell. Starn sports a 2.01 ERA. Keudell equally impressive at 2.38. Both guys are solid control pitchers who can nab Ks, but get their Ks more based on getting ahead in the count than having overpowering K stuff. Oregon has one of the weaker lineups left in the postseason, hitting just .268 as a team. They are very much a small ball team that uses sacrifices to set up runs. Kent State was much more productive with a .306 average and three regulars batting over .360. The Golden Flashes aren't a big home run team, but that have some great gap power. The Ducks may have won one of the weaker Regionals last weekend, but they will be tested this weekend. Starn gives Kent State a chance every time he steps on the mound. This one looks likely to be a close battle and is another where I think Kent State could win straight up.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #233
                                                Stony Brook wins 3-1. Game 3 for all the marbles tomorrow.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #234
                                                  Most heinous line of the tournament: St.John's/Arizona Over 12.5 [-245]

                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #235
                                                    Hagan is terrible today for STJ. Can't throw strikes and just getting beat around. He'll be out pretty soon at this rate if St.John's wants to have any hope of coming back in this game, but they're getting their asses handed to them early. 4-0 and more likely to come. Guess the -245 on the Over was like taking Arizona ML @ -245 since they might score 13 by themselves.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #236
                                                      St.John's loses by 3. Their bullpen blew a shot to cover the spread. Were down 4-2 after 6 and got outscored 3-2 in the last three frames. 9th looked promising too. 1st & 3rd no outs and they hit into a DP.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #237
                                                        June 9th [LA Regional] UCLA-TCU Over 9 [-125]
                                                        Gut feeling here that Preston Morrison is going to have a difficult time tonight. Morrison was given an extra day of rest because he pitched twice that weekend. Finnegan did an excellent job against the Bruins, but with the righty Morrison on the mound - I think UCLA's lefty hitters are going to find earlier success. Vander Tuig goes for the Bruins. He has a 4.53 ERA and a .281 BAA against. He was lights out against New Mexico in the Regionals last weekend, but he's prone to the gopher ball [12] and TCU has been red hot hitting the long ball. This has the smell of a bullpen game and while UCLA has a solid pen, TCU has been inconsisent at times.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #238
                                                          FLA-NCST Over going to crap out. Had several shots late to get it done or very close to 10, but the big hit never came. Need to rally with the two night picks. Good news is Baylor is rolling today - so the future on them advancing is in great standing.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #239
                                                            Looking terrible again. Lots of stranded runners in scoring position in this UCLA-TCU game. Be lucky if Kent State pulls it out tonight to cover and get one win today from the look of things.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #240
                                                              Well at least Kent State is looking good up 3 in the 6th. Will try to turn it around tomorrow. Have to see what is posted. Stony Brook-LSU you'll get both #3s. Should be Stecko-Haley for SB and Eades for LSU who has a .287 BAA. Probably won't get more than +1.5 for Stony Brook seeing as they are +200 ... not so sure Stony Brook in either case isn't the best play. LSU is lucky to still be in this series with their offense sputtering and Stony Brook seems tailor made to be the Cinderella story of Omaha. Gonna sleep on that one.

                                                              UCLA & Arizona already in the CWS. Pac-12 represent.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #241
                                                                Record: 24-20 [+10.18]
                                                                Super Regionals: 2-5 [-3.75]


                                                                Baylor future pending. Hoping they finish Arkansas off today. Looking over things for today. Ready to turn this b-yatch around.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #242
                                                                  June 10th Parlay: Florida + Baylor [+116]
                                                                  Florida puts no-hit wonder Crawford back on the mound against freshmen star Carlos Rodon for NC State. Crawford has given up a gradn total of two hits in his last two starts and will look to limit a Wolfpack lineup that struggled to find much against Hudson Randall in Game 1. Rodon can be absolutely dominating at-times, but he's had some major issues with walks down the stretch and that is not something you want to do with the pop in this Gators lineup ready to unload with runners on base. Rodon will need to be "on" early or this could get ugly. Baylor goes for the sweep as well. The Bears jumped to an early lead on Baxendale and never looked back. Stanek will go likely for Arkansas and Baylor throwing their strong #2 in Josh Turley. Turley kept his team in both starts in the Regionals, showing guts to come back on short rest to give them innings in the Championship that were needed. Stanek can be dominant when his stuff is working. The difference again today for me is the offense. Arkansas has been prone to droughts, while Baylor has been mostly explosive all-season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • CharlestonCock
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 09-05-10
                                                                    • 485

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Rolled with you on this one except I substituted Florida with South Carolina. Watching this Baylor game like a hawk!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Baylor has missed a lot of opportunities to put up runs in this one and they're paying for it right now with their pitcher not doing so great. Real early, but Baylor has looked like they are playing a little too loose.

                                                                      2nd time they let Arkansas put up runs after two outs when the inning looked like it was going to be clean and innocent.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Florida has blown a 4-1 lead and now trails 5-4. Have to hold NC State to nothing else in this inning to give themselves a comeback chance.
                                                                        Comment
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