EP36's College Dogpile

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  • CharlestonCock
    SBR Sharp
    • 09-05-10
    • 485

    #176
    Rolling with you, care to pick a side? I really want to put something on the ML for App State but just cant quite pull the trigger
    Comment
    • CharlestonCock
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-05-10
      • 485

      #177
      Any word on who Stony Brook is starting tonight?
      Comment
      • CharlestonCock
        SBR Sharp
        • 09-05-10
        • 485

        #178
        Announced Starters for tonights Waco Regional Final:

        BU: Josh Turley (9-1, 1.73 ERA, 99.0 IP, 85 H, 21 BB, 72 SO

        DBU: Cy Sneed (8-4, 4.21 ERA, 83.1 IP, 89 H, 25 BB, 70 SO)
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #179
          No info on Stony Brook. Brian Adkins is reported start for UCF. 4.50 ERA, .308 BAA. So, I'm not going against my gut on that one. I am also playing Stony Brook +195, #1 as a hedge and #2 because I think it realistically could be a winner with as explosive as their offense is. TCU pick is all on momentum. Neither team is tipping their hand on their starter, but expecting everyone including the aces to appear. Horned Frogs since the Dayton game seem to have some sort of mojo working, I'm gonna ride my boys tonight for a half unit.

          June 4th [Coral Gables Regional] UCF-Stony Brook Over 10.5 [-140] *1.5 units*

          June 4th [College Station Regional] TCU -180 *0.5 unit*
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #180
            Oh yeah, our OU-Appy State over hit.
            Comment
            • PhillyUnionCC
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-01-11
              • 985

              #181
              With you on the stony brook over. Any word on the pitcher for UCF yet?
              Comment
              • CharlestonCock
                SBR Sharp
                • 09-05-10
                • 485

                #182
                Confirmed, Wahl will start tonight for Ole Miss. Man I don't know what to think about this game. Not a big SEC homer or anything but I like Ole Miss for some reason. TCU is so hot right now. May just lay off that one
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #183
                  Wahl is good, but he won't pitch long. He threw a lot of pitches on Friday, so I think if he makes it 4 - Ole Miss would be ecstatic. TCU probably do the same with Preston Morrison perhaps. This is going to be a bullpen game in the end. Probably whichever team jumps out early is going to really be hard to beat.
                  Comment
                  • CharlestonCock
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-05-10
                    • 485

                    #184
                    Alright, gonna go with TCU on this one to get it done! Lets go Horned Frogs! Took them on RL -1.5 +115
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #185
                      I decided to chalk up on the moneyline ... Might be real titght but a TCU blowout would be outstanding.
                      Comment
                      • PhillyUnionCC
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-01-11
                        • 985

                        #186
                        Anything on UCF pitcher?
                        Comment
                        • CharlestonCock
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-05-10
                          • 485

                          #187
                          Lets get it EP! What you thinking about this second game with Ap State and OK?
                          Comment
                          • Jrod124
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-31-09
                            • 5622

                            #188
                            thanks for the info the Baylor-DB game CC

                            Good Luck boys
                            Comment
                            • PhillyUnionCC
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-01-11
                              • 985

                              #189
                              Come on score some runs
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #190
                                Stony Brook, scary good club.
                                Comment
                                • CharlestonCock
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-05-10
                                  • 485

                                  #191
                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                  Stony Brook, scary good club.
                                  Seriously, glad they aren't coming to Columbia this weekend, sheesh
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #192
                                    Would be awesome if they took out LSU ... cash that over boys! Looks like I will make something off the UCF future and hedging Stony Brook ML today. Vandy looks in line to cash that future potentially if they can hold their lead ... would make for a lovely round.
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #193
                                      Super Regionals look phenomenal. May get an all-SEC with Florida-Vanderbilt. FSU-Stanford is just f-ing outstanding. Oregon-Kent State will be one no one talks about, but should be really good. LSU-Stony Brook = David v. Goliath.
                                      Comment
                                      • CharlestonCock
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 09-05-10
                                        • 485

                                        #194
                                        I know man, things are looking good. Just need Vandy to hold on!
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #195
                                          F-ing Vandy blew it, damn - was a good ride, but NC State pulled the rug out like they did the other night. TCU wins though!
                                          Comment
                                          • CharlestonCock
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 09-05-10
                                            • 485

                                            #196
                                            Im not going to count out Vandy yet but it doesnt look good at all
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #197
                                              Big to hold it to 9-7, but they'd have to have some super juju to pull this back out after blowing a 7-3 lead.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #198
                                                Record: 23-17 [+12.63]
                                                Regionals: 13-9 [+5.35]

                                                Regional Futures: 0-4 [-2.50]

                                                Well, lost two futures on the final day of Regionals that would have made for real nice bank, but outside of that - Regionals round was solid with a good late rally after that POS day on Saturday. Working on some Super Regionals previews. Won't be as detailed as what I did last year, but hoping to at least provide the info on starting pitchers/offense/defense stats plus my personal predictions. I see lines are up for Game 1s @ 5Dimes. Will get on those as soon as I finish up the previews later today.
                                                Comment
                                                • dowecheat'em&how
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-11-10
                                                  • 661

                                                  #199
                                                  waiting patiently, thanks eags cant wait for friday.........DWCH
                                                  Comment
                                                  • CharlestonCock
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-05-10
                                                    • 485

                                                    #200
                                                    Looking forward to it EP. Ready for the games to begin tomorrow!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pew Pew
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-21-10
                                                      • 2267

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by CharlestonCock
                                                      Looking forward to it EP. Ready for the games to begin tomorrow!
                                                      good luck this weekend. hope to see your cocks in omaha so we can avenge our 2010 loss
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CharlestonCock
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 09-05-10
                                                        • 485

                                                        #202
                                                        Good luck to the Bruins as well. I expect both of us to advance.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #203
                                                          Hopefully they put up some futures prices tomorrow. Probably going to be pretty chalky prices though for the home teams to win each Super Regional. Might be a shot or two though for an upset. Will post any if I get to see prices tomorrow. Getting this one up now. Likely to take the Arizona-St.John's Over 12.5, but trying to find starting pitchers listed ...

                                                          June 8th: [Baton Rouge] LSU-Stony Brook Over 10.5 [+110]
                                                          It's freshman Aaron Nola for LSU and Brandon McNitt for Stony Brook to open the Super Regional in Baton Rouge. Both teams are holding their aces back for Saturday's Game 2. Nola was outstanding in the opener of the Regional last weekend, but faced a far less dangerous team in UL-Monroe. He sports a 3.66 ERA for the season with a .245 BAA. McNitt, a sophomore, had a 2.69 ERA in the regular season but was bashed for eight runs/six earned in his Regional start against a potent UCF club. He faces a LSU team batting .291 on the season with four regulars batting over .300 including Interplanetary Superstud Raph Rhymes who is batting a ridonkulous .452 this season. LSU was solid with 17 runs in three games last weekend. They may not be as explosive as Stony Brook appears to be, but they are good at grinding out 4-6 runs per game and definitely have big run potential when the ball gets rolling. The Seawolves come in full of confidence with 50 runs scored in five games in last weekend's Regional round. They scored against good pitching and won't be fearful of this LSU staff despite their numbers and reputation. Getting the freshman Nola first up should give them confidence to score some runs in this opener. Eight players are batting over .300 for Stony Brook. LSU is giving this squad plenty of respect in the media and rightfull so. I think Stony Brook will be dangerous for the young pitcher and LSU will feel good about putting runs up against McNitt who didn't appear to handle facing a tough lineup very well. Getting plus odds on this one seems like a worthy shot to open given the scoring prowess that these teams possess + the pitching selections.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #204
                                                            Alright, seeing Kyle Hansen for St.John's (3.46 ERA) against Kurt Heyer (2.03 ERA) for Arizona today. Will have to chew on that one for a bit. Seeing the Series Prices for the 1st four series today. Big dogs as expected:

                                                            Stony Brook +775
                                                            St.John's +650
                                                            TCU +450

                                                            And then the series figuring to be most competitive shown that:

                                                            Stanford -140
                                                            Florida State +120

                                                            See it pretty difficult to say taking any of those big dogs is anything but a long shot as reflected by the odds. I do think Stony Brook and St.John's could stretch their series to three. So you could potentially use the series price as a hedge opportunity if they can get to the third game. I'm going to look at the Stanford-FSU series more to see if there is a good side to take for the series. Expecting the four series tomorrow to have much lower prices. Florida will probably be the largest favorite over NC State, but I think Baylor & S.Carolina may offer a nice price depending on who you like. I think the Oregon-Kent State one is the one to keep an eye on.

                                                            General rule of thumb for Super Regionals - the host team if all things are equal usually wind up advancing. I think if you're looking for an upset, look for a host that has a definitive weakness and that the opposition has enough arms/bats to actually compete.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #205
                                                              Stony Brook still raking. Be curious depending on outcomes to see if they offer adjusted series prices or shy away. Long way to go but this team is hard to hate.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #206
                                                                Well guess I should have gone with my gut for that first game. Had Stony Brook +2.5 marked as better than the over, but decided the over instead. I thought about both overs/Arizona for this next game - but going to go with this. Stony Brook close to pulling off another big time upset.

                                                                June 8th: [Tucson Super Regional] Arizona -2.5 [-130]
                                                                Heyer should give the Wildcats a boost in the pitching department over Hansen for St.John's. The Johnnies won't be taken lightly after KO-ing North Carolina last week. Heyer was one of the best in the country all-season and has shut down stuff. Arizona's offense scored 15 or better in all three Regional games last weekend, including twice against Louisville - a Big East team that St.John's lost to in two out of three games during the regular season. If the Arizona bats remain as hot as the Tucson air, look for the Wildcats to start big today.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Apparently I wanted to outsmart myself today. All week, think OVER for Arizona and instead I go with the apparent losing side. Hopefully getting the crap picks out of the way early. Sheesh.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Balco10
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-11-10
                                                                    • 5478

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Stanford went from -160 to -115. Anyone know why everyone is now getting on FSU????
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #209
                                                                      I never saw Stanford higher than -140. Really the only reason Stanford opened the favorite is because Appel is starting. Otherwise this series is pretty damn even.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #210
                                                                        These first two games have been great. Over hits in Arizona and I hate myself.
                                                                        Comment
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