on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

[on3]

im considering playing BAL on the RL, with the 20 cents the line moved since it opened the RL looks a lot better at +100

[knugen]

High five!!!!

[on3]

treading water...now we need BAL to win and have a good set of series' this wknd with no C games.

[Wallco99]

im considering playing BAL on the RL, with the 20 cents the line moved since it opened the RL looks a lot better at +100

I've been playing ALL these games on the R/L lately. Hit mets today for +182 at -1 1/2. A series loss is only 7 units this way and the wins net more than 1 unit.

[J.M. Disciple]

I've been playing ALL these games on the R/L lately. Hit mets today for +182 at -1 1/2. A series loss is only 7 units this way and the wins net more than 1 unit.

Would not lead too many people astray with this method. This has already been tested and is not profitable long run. At least not in a chase A-B-C method. I forgot the name of person who tested it, but did a great job on testing ML, RL, and also -1 I believe where ML proved to best method with taking RL on the C wagers I believe.

The way things have been going lately though and the way on3 runs his labby taking a -1.5RL is ok seeing how no new numbers are added to the labby lines.

[Wallco99]

Would not lead too many people astray with this method. This has already been tested and is not profitable long run. At least not in a chase A-B-C method. I forgot the name of person who tested it, but did a great job on testing ML, RL, and also -1 I believe where ML proved to best method with taking RL on the C wagers I believe.

The way things have been going lately though and the way on3 runs his labby taking a -1.5RL is ok seeing how no new numbers are added to the labby lines.

Don't care, it's how I'm playing it. And if I wish to state that I am playing that way, I will, I didn't tell anyone else to do it. They are big boys, they don't need me to "lead them astray". The system itself can't even be thoroughly backtested, since lists of opening 5dimes lines doesn't exist, so I'm sure any spin-off back tests involving run lines will be just as inaccurate. And even if it doesn't work, what does it really matter, It's not like this system is doing any good the other way either. The same kind of comments were made during the NBA when stevex and I stated we were playing all the JM games @ -110, and we did fine, regardless of what tests said that we wouldn't.

[knugen]

Time for a B win tonight, feels like years ago we had a B bet win

[on3]

UPDATED for 08/10/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 129-13-0; Profit: -47.25 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-63; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 34-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/10/2012
x-x-50-175
192-197-225-225
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/10/2012
(B) BAL -115 to win 225
(A) SF -230/+100 to win 175 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

glad to see cisco on Bal as well. I think Col might get swept by SF, so hopefully that series works out for both systems.

[J.M. Disciple]

People have really abandoned this system it seems, or no one really post any more I guess. You still have followers On3, keep up the good work. Today is a small profit for the system thankfully SF was +100, so even with the "juice" still made a couple units. I really thought SF would sweep COL, so much for my capping skills lol. See if SF can pick up 12-15 units tomorrow for this system and get it back down below -40.

With 1# being cross off at a time and 1 # being added we really need a good run to cross these #s off. For future reference next season, we should really consider adding numbers to the line and always attempting to cross off two #s. Add a few filters as well.

1) only play teams that are above .500 going against sub .500 teams
2) Taking -1 on A bets to keep the juice around -110
3) ... HMMM I guess would have to ask "Darkmatter" for filters since he seems to have a lot of back test done for this system. Really appreciate all the hard work on those back test by the way. Sorry if i got your name wrong.

Good luck going further into the weekend.

[J.M. Disciple]

One last post before I get off. Post #92 has all the plays on a word document for those interested on page 3... No new series until the 13th.

[on3]

a previous Darkmatter post showed strong results when playing C bets on the RL. may have to do that next season as well.

[on3]

UPDATED for 08/11/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 129-13-0; Profit: -42.75 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-64; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 35-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/11/2012
x-x-135-175
142-147-145-270
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/11/2012
(B) SF -240/-110 to win 270 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

no plays for sunday.

UPDATED for 08/12/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 130-13-0; Profit: -29.25 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-64; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 36-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/12/2012
x-x-135-175
142-147-145-x
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/12/2012
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[knugen]

Are we obly playing this system til end of august or are we playing september also?

[on3]

Chicago Cubs are 1 game over .500 at home this year. They are 1-9 in their last 10 and they qualify for a play today. I am tracking it for the system because it falls within the parameters, but please take caution if you choose to play this series.

UPDATED for 08/13/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 130-13-0; Profit: -29.25 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-64; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 36-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/13/2012
120-120-135-135
102-117-115-x
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/13/2012
(A) ATL -185 to win 120
(A) CHC -180 to win 120
(A) LAA -190/+100 to win 135 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 08/14/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 131-13-0; Profit: -40.25 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 83-66; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 36-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/14/2012
140-140-145-145
122-127-125-137
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/14/2012
(A) CIN -180 to win 145
(B) ATL -170 to win 137
(B) LAA -190/+100 to win 125 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

Are we obly playing this system til end of august or are we playing september also?

i believe last year we went until the end of august. same for this year.

[knugen]

A sweep tonight! Pleeaase

[thelimit0310]

5/2 stops officially on 9/20

[on3]

here is the NFL thread http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-bettin...l#post15666512

[knugen]

Maybe there is a god anyway

[on3]

UPDATED for 08/15/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 134-13-0; Profit: -20 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 84-66; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 38-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/15/2012
140-140-145-x
122-127-x-x
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/15/2012
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

no plays today.

[J.M. Disciple]

hopefully system is even or black over next two weeks. 4-5 more wins.

[on3]

UPDATED for 08/17/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 134-13-0; Profit: -20 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 84-66; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 38-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/15/2012
100-100-105-100-100
82-87-x-x
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/17/2012
(A) WAS -160 to win 100
(A) CIN -200/+105 bet 105 -- play RL
(A) STL -151 to win 100
(A) DET -280/-130 to win 100 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[Mr. Green]

Angels? This is the second game of the series...still a play?

[J.M. Disciple]

a sweep would put the system +5u

edit..
LAA not a play you are correct lost 7-0 yesterday and definitely wasn't above -145. Would make the system dead even.

[on3]

sorry about LAA, my mistake.

[Wallco99]

St Louis opened under -145 and LAA is in game 2 of series, neither one are plays. Play at your own risk.

[on3]

UPDATED for 08/18/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 137-13-0; Profit: -12.25 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 87-67; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 38-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/18/2012
x-x-128-137
82-87-x-75
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/18/2012
(B) STL -160 to win 157

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[stevex]

Did Stl open under -145 yesterdat on3?

[on3]

I saw it at -145 almost immediately and scoresandodds had it at -147. Looking at line movement, 5dimes was at -143. But since I had it played as an A bet, I'm continuing the series. If you didn't play the A, then its a no series for you.

[on3]

UPDATED for 08/19/2012
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 138-13-0; Profit: -4.25 units
Filtered System: 44-3-0; Profit: -4.5 units
5/2 chase: 18-3-0; profit: -4 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 87-67; 27-19
Game 2 (B) win = 39-25; 11-11; 11-10
Game 3 (C) win = 13-13; 6-3; 7-3

LABBY LINES FOR 08/19/2012
x-x-128-137
82-x-x-x
223-103-x-x

New Line Filtered
100-104-96-86
134-130-127-186

REGULAR FOR 08/19/2012
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[stevex]

A great week for the system brings us close to being in the black. Lets stay hot this week and push this system back into the positive fellas!