on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

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  • thelimit0310
    SBR MVP
    • 01-24-11
    • 1233

    #2346
    On3, I would exclude KC as an official 5/2 play today, Covers puts their line last night at -143, and the requirement is -145. I myself will probably still play it for a lower amount but it shouldn't count towards the system as it just barely falls outside parameters. The only 5/2 play today is Boston.
    Comment
    • CrazyCarl
      SBR MVP
      • 10-09-11
      • 1437

      #2347
      Originally posted by on3

      well, first rule is the -145. if it doesnt meet the first requirement, i dont even look at the records. but even if this did qualify under rule 1, the .500 filter would have made it a no play anyway. KC is a 5/2 play though since those filters dont apply to 5/2 per thelimit.
      Originally posted by thelimit0310
      On3, I would exclude KC as an official 5/2 play today, Covers puts their line last night at -143, and the requirement is -145. I myself will probably still play it for a lower amount but it shouldn't count towards the system as it just barely falls outside parameters. The only 5/2 play today is Boston.
      Thanks
      Comment
      • Win89
        SBR High Roller
        • 11-06-11
        • 157

        #2348
        Originally posted by thelimit0310
        On3, I would exclude KC as an official 5/2 play today, Covers puts their line last night at -143, and the requirement is -145. I myself will probably still play it for a lower amount but it shouldn't count towards the system as it just barely falls outside parameters. The only 5/2 play today is Boston.
        So your grading 5/2 plays by the line next to the game in the scoreboard section, not 5Dimes correct?
        Comment
        • analyzer
          SBR MVP
          • 02-03-11
          • 2049

          #2349
          On3 do you have the amount for the C bet on Washington?
          Comment
          • on3
            SBR MVP
            • 08-23-10
            • 2197

            #2350
            (C) WAS to win 98
            Comment
            • lapi7
              SBR High Roller
              • 06-08-10
              • 230

              #2351
              Originally posted by analyzer
              On3 do you have the amount for the C bet on Washington?
              Yes, agree w this question.

              Are we playing a game C on Wash tonight and if so On3 do you have the amount for the C bet on Washington?

              MANY, MANY, MANY Happy Returns and a (Laurel) and hearty "Thank You" in advance !!!!!!!
              Comment
              • lapi7
                SBR High Roller
                • 06-08-10
                • 230

                #2352
                Originally posted by on3
                (C) WAS to win 98

                Many Thanks !!!
                Comment
                • thelimit0310
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-24-11
                  • 1233

                  #2353
                  Originally posted by Win89
                  So your grading 5/2 plays by the line next to the game in the scoreboard section, not 5Dimes correct?
                  I determine plays based on Covers, not 5dimes like On3. You can check if plays qualify from either the mlb scoreboard section or by looking at the covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/teams/pastresults/2012/team2966.html tab on the specific team's page.
                  Comment
                  • Wallco99
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 01-01-11
                    • 7261

                    #2354
                    Thank you moderators!
                    Comment
                    • jcygts6
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-05-09
                      • 3316

                      #2355
                      Dang... 2 c bets ttomorrow
                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                      Comment
                      • CrazyCarl
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-09-11
                        • 1437

                        #2356
                        Originally posted by Wallco99
                        Thank you moderators!
                        Did they get rid of that spammer finally?
                        Comment
                        • on3
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-23-10
                          • 2197

                          #2357
                          I will update in the AM, but both (C) bets should.be around 115 to win tomorrow.
                          Comment
                          • Wallco99
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-01-11
                            • 7261

                            #2358
                            Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                            Did they get rid of that spammer finally?
                            Yes sir. He was in 44 threads.
                            Comment
                            • thelimit0310
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-24-11
                              • 1233

                              #2359
                              lol
                              Comment
                              • on3
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-23-10
                                • 2197

                                #2360
                                Regular
                                (C) NYM to win 115
                                (C) BOS to win 114

                                Filtered
                                BOS to win 128

                                5/2
                                BOS to win 168
                                Comment
                                • bulichm
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 02-10-10
                                  • 181

                                  #2361
                                  Can somebody explain the reason for the money line at -175 other than the possibility of no sweep? Lester home team record 3-8 6.29 era 1.63 whip L7 2-5 5.06 era......... Alvarez away team record 3-5 3.73 era 1.40 whip L7 2-5 5.23 era.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wallco99
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-01-11
                                    • 7261

                                    #2362
                                    I guess we'll have to put out the trash again! Take your first $300 and get some grammar lessons.
                                    Last edited by Wallco99; 07-22-12, 11:46 AM.
                                    Comment
                                    • jcygts6
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-05-09
                                      • 3316

                                      #2363
                                      Its over im sorry that its over.. Bluejays win
                                      DO WORK + KROW OD
                                      do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                      Comment
                                      • txrangers
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 07-21-12
                                        • 207

                                        #2364
                                        this thing has been off the last few days.
                                        Comment
                                        • jcygts6
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-05-09
                                          • 3316

                                          #2365
                                          Lester such a tool! Im sorry but its over
                                          DO WORK + KROW OD
                                          do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                          od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                          Comment
                                          • on3
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-23-10
                                            • 2197

                                            #2366
                                            Welp
                                            Comment
                                            • knugen
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-09-09
                                              • 2612

                                              #2367
                                              we cant have 2 c bet losses, common mets
                                              Comment
                                              • lapi7
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 06-08-10
                                                • 230

                                                #2368
                                                Unreal !!!!!!!!!!

                                                Am I the only person who by sheer dumb luck can pick losing games 85% of the time? And STRONG favorites no less !!!

                                                This will ONLY stop happening if I quit playing !!!

                                                Sorry...just gotta rant !!!

                                                Anybody want to offer me a bribe to quit ???
                                                Last edited by lapi7; 07-22-12, 02:20 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • txrangers
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 07-21-12
                                                  • 207

                                                  #2369
                                                  ******* mets can't hit with RISP.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bulichm
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 02-10-10
                                                    • 181

                                                    #2370
                                                    Originally posted by bulichm
                                                    Can somebody explain the reason for the money line at -175 other than the possibility of no sweep? Lester home team record 3-8 6.29 era 1.63 whip L7 2-5 5.06 era......... Alvarez away team record 3-5 3.73 era 1.40 whip L7 2-5 5.23 era.
                                                    this game is'nt over yet, but it is the situation that I was talking about. GO BOSTON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • lennytia
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                      • 31

                                                      #2371
                                                      IS this lester in disguise?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jcygts6
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-05-09
                                                        • 3316

                                                        #2372
                                                        Sorry but it is over... U piece of shiit lester.
                                                        DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                        do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                        od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xgame
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-21-10
                                                          • 675

                                                          #2373
                                                          piece of shit Mets.... Cmon just score....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • J.M. Disciple
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 11-16-10
                                                            • 5154

                                                            #2374
                                                            30 unit drop today if following all 3 systems. At least 20 depending on the odds you took. Not the end of the world though we can get a string of A bets to clear some of this up. Should still be around even with the regular system overall so dont trip
                                                            Comment
                                                            • lapi7
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 06-08-10
                                                              • 230

                                                              #2375



                                                              Oh well..

                                                              I'd love to feel like ...

                                                              But in reality I feel like this...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wallco99
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-01-11
                                                                • 7261

                                                                #2376
                                                                The results of a Non-Backtestable system are starting to show their effects in year three. This year could wipe out all profits from last two seasons, and still no one knows how this system even did before that any way. For all we know, this could be the trend for the system, and the last two seasons were the fluke years. I sure hope not, but there are way too many losses at this point for a system that supposedly had only six last season. When you are playing games at high -money lines, the series usually should be in your favor, and losses need to be minimal for system to survive. I don't know what is going on, however, this is anything but...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • J.M. Disciple
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 11-16-10
                                                                  • 5154

                                                                  #2377
                                                                  Because it is at testing year still and odds makers are geniuses robbing the public blind what I do is play multiple systems with my labby lines and do not really get in trouble. Basically though there are 3 systems running here instead of betting 20 units on boston i only had 3 units on them trying to cross off 2 #s on my labby line. People get carried away trying to maximize their profits with over lapping systems on the same team. Either have a separate 100 unit bankroll for each system or if the systems over lap on the same team only make them have 1 bet. Very simple and keeps bankroll in check.

                                                                  I am not saying that just cause of the two C bets losses today as many of you will say now your saying this after the fact.

                                                                  Also I do not think anyone should worry if you are following all 3 systems you are still in the black. However, it becomes a big roller coaster ride on days like today. Either you enjoy the roller coaster ride for what its worth or choose a more conservative approach. Gotta know what you are doing when you join the system so you dont have to worry about banging your head on the wall later.

                                                                  Onto tomorrow.

                                                                  ON3
                                                                  Great Job these past couple weeks getting the plays out early. I really appreciate it. Allows me to labby the early and middle games after balancing my lines. Keep up the great work.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jcygts6
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-05-09
                                                                    • 3316

                                                                    #2378
                                                                    Its funny how all the systems are as streaky as handicappers themselves. They either go on a big winning streak or a big losing streak
                                                                    DO WORK + KROW OD
                                                                    do work! do work! do work! do work!
                                                                    od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • CrazyCarl
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-09-11
                                                                      • 1437

                                                                      #2379
                                                                      Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                      The results of a Non-Backtestable system are starting to show their effects in year three. This year could wipe out all profits from last two seasons, and still no one knows how this system even did before that any way. For all we know, this could be the trend for the system, and the last two seasons were the fluke years. I sure hope not, but there are way too many losses at this point for a system that supposedly had only six last season. When you are playing games at high -money lines, the series usually should be in your favor, and losses need to be minimal for system to survive. I don't know what is going on, however, this is anything but...
                                                                      Speaking of backtestable systems, (and I'm not trying to rush you or anything, and I know that if/when you post it it will be you doing us a favor), how is that baseball system you've been working on going?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Wallco99
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                                        • 7261

                                                                        #2380
                                                                        Originally posted by CrazyCarl
                                                                        Speaking of backtestable systems, (and I'm not trying to rush you or anything, and I know that if/when you post it it will be you doing us a favor), how is that baseball system you've been working on going?
                                                                        Trying my hardest to put together a +money baseball system. I have run 13 different extensive backtests since May, and keep getting to that one year that it crumbles, then have to make adjustments and start over again. I am trying to find a system that performed as well as MLB Plu$$ did without that 2006 season, but the problem with run line betting is the backtesting is extremely tedious to get dead accurate results. I found several that kicked ass in 2011 and 2010, but after testing further, found they were busts, and I was glad I continued on and didn't jump the gun. I think I broke my own personal record for time spent on a single backtest, and now I'm determined to stay on it til I get it.
                                                                        Last edited by Wallco99; 07-23-12, 08:27 AM.
                                                                        Comment
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