LTA's MLB Plays

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 04:30 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Looks like the late steam on the over in the Toronto/TB game was spot on. Check out this line history from Pinny. This type of late, all at once switch in the line around 5pm tells me there could have been some type of inside info on Niemann....perhaps he was out drinking before the game

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
09/23 20:10 7½ +100 / 7½ -110
09/24 07:56 7½ +109 / 7½ -120
09/24 08:04 7½ +111 / 7½ -123
09/24 08:42 7½ +116 / 7½ -128
09/24 12:18 7½ +113 / 7½ -125
09/24 17:04 7½ +114 / 7½ -126
09/24 17:41 7½ +111 / 7½ -123
09/24 17:42 7½ -102 / 7½ -108
09/24 17:43 7½ -103 / 7½ -107
09/24 17:44 7½ -102 / 7½ -108
09/24 17:45 7½ -103 / 7½ -107
09/24 17:46 7½ -105 / 7½ -105
09/24 17:53 7½ -103 / 7½ -107
09/24 17:54 7½ -102 / 7½ -108
09/24 18:17 7½ -106 / 7½ -104
09/24 18:31 7½ -114 / 7½ +103
09/24 18:34 7½ -110 / 7½ +100
09/24 18:36 7½ -107 / 7½ -103
09/24 18:37 7½ -116 / 7½ +105
09/24 18:38 7½ -114 / 7½ +103
09/24 18:42 7½ -112 / 7½ +102
09/24 18:43 7½ -113 / 7½ +102
09/24 18:58 7½ -115 / 7½ +104
09/24 18:59 7½ -114 / 7½ +103
09/24 19:02 7½ -110 / 7½ +100
09/24 19:03 7½ -113 / 7½ +102
09/24 19:07 7½ -110 / 7½ +100

LTA : How do you get that history? Ever since the SBR site has been upgraded, I cannot figure out how to get line history for a specific game at a specific sportsbook like you show above.

Thanks.

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 05:29 AM

Originally posted by Trivial

LTA : How do you get that history? Ever since the SBR site has been upgraded, I cannot figure out how to get line history for a specific game at a specific sportsbook like you show above.

Thanks.

If you don't pay for a lines service, you can use the old sbr odds or covers line histories. GL.

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 06:10 AM

Originally posted by KTeller

yeah i missed out on the 5-0 firday and have gone 0-5 since.. i had 2 full units on the Under in the Tampa game and of course, instead of just getting out of the inning and having 1/2 inning to go, Damon rocks it out of the park; ****!

How did you go 0-5? That wasnt with my picks....i went 3-3-1 in college and 1-3 in mlb....that's not good, but certainly not 0-5.....perhaps you were tailing someone else....

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 06:14 AM

MLB Recap 9/24/11

1 - 3 = -2.3x

MLB Season 2011

411 - 368 = +42.015x

Some bad breaks/errors in the tb/tor under cost us a break even night. No worries...we will haver a big rebound sunday...good luck.

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 06:17 AM

MLB 9/25/11

Play #1

Braves/Nats under (8.5) 1x (Locked)

Good luck!

**Redscot** · 09-25-11, 06:23 AM

Early bird gets the worm my man, let's get us some worms! GL on todays plays bud.

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 07:21 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

If you don't pay for a lines service, you can use the old sbr odds or covers line histories. GL.

Exactly my question. I used to be able to go to:

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-odds/mlb-baseball/totals

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

and then double click on lets say "TOR/TB" under Pinnacle and it will show me the history. It no longer does that when I double click on the odds.

How are you getting it to work?

Thanks.

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 07:32 AM

I agree. Early birds. I got your TOR/TB pick locked in.

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 07:36 AM

Got it LTA. If I got to http://odds.sbrforum.com - I can still use the line history. Thanks!

**815Sox** · 09-25-11, 07:41 AM

Originally posted by Trivial

I agree. Early birds. I got your TOR/TB pick locked in.

Huh? There hasn't been a pick for that game today.

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 07:44 AM

Originally posted by 815Sox

Huh? There hasn't been a pick for that game today.

DOH. I picked the ATL game, but my mind was still on yesterday's TB game. DOH. Did the right thing (I double checked), but typed in the wrong thing into the forum. THanks. Sorry about the confusion.

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 09:18 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 9/25/11

Play #1

Braves/Nats under (8.5) 1x (Locked)

Good luck!

Play #2

Florida/Milwaukee under (8.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

No time for writeups with all the action today. This one is moving, but I would still take it at 8 if you can't get 8.5. Good luck.

**guil0000** · 09-25-11, 09:37 AM

Hey LTA was it you that recommended a few books for different sports? I can't remember and can't find it. Could you write them up again if you have a few minutes. Thanks!

**815Sox** · 09-25-11, 09:40 AM

Pretty sure he recommends having access to at least one "square" book like BoDog/Legends, along with your regular book(s)

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

MLB 9/25/11

Play #1

Braves/Nats under (8.5) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

Florida/Milwaukee under (8.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Dodgers/Padres under (5.5) 1x (Locked)

Play #4

SF/AZ under (7.5)(-120) 1x (Locked)

Play #5

Toronto/TB over (8.5) 1x (Locked)

Good luck!

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 09:43 AM

Originally posted by guil0000

Hey LTA was it you that recommended a few books for different sports? I can't remember and can't find it. Could you write them up again if you have a few minutes. Thanks!

Yes...you should have as many books as possible so you can shop lines. I currently have two local books and am working on finding a third. One of my books has sharper/reduced vig lines similar to Pinny/5D and the other has more "square" lines that are good for dogs and for slow line moves on totals similar to Legends/Bodog.

Good luck on your plays!

**BillyGoat** · 09-25-11, 10:06 AM

Like the picks good luck

**Bgates311** · 09-25-11, 10:13 AM

Didnt you have some NFL plays for today that you saw value in?

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 10:18 AM

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nfl-handicapping/1252335-ltas-nfl-plays-p5.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

Five NFL plays so far...liking a few more as well. Good luck on everyone's MLB and NFL plays today!

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 10:24 AM

Can only find FL/MIL under 8. Still good LTA?

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 10:35 AM

Originally posted by Trivial

Can only find FL/MIL under 8. Still good LTA?

See above...I would still take it.

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

See above...I would still take it.

Thanks. So hard to read this on an iphone. Thanks.

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by Trivial

Thanks. So hard to read this on an iphone. Thanks.

Yeah...I know the feeling. I have to use my phone a LOT too. It's better than not having them though....a smartphone is a necessity in this day and age of sports investing.

**Trivial** · 09-25-11, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Yeah...I know the feeling. I have to use my phone a LOT too. It's better than not having them though....a smartphone is a necessity in this day and age of sports investing.

Absolutely. I know. With a kid at home, and being a sports better, you gotta be able to place bets on the road. I wish there would be sportsbooks with iPhone apps, unless someone knows of one.

Even a sportsbook with a properly designed web interface for smart phones would be nice.

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 12:29 PM

Anyone out there care about MLB today?

**Blackroc78** · 09-25-11, 01:50 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Anyone out there care about MLB today?

Hell Ya! Watching the yankees vs red sox game!

**Donnie Brasco** · 09-25-11, 05:39 PM

I do brother. I love mlb, way more than foots. Reading moneyball at ur recommendation as well!

**guil0000** · 09-25-11, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

Yes...you should have as many books as possible so you can shop lines. I currently have two local books and am working on finding a third. One of my books has sharper/reduced vig lines similar to Pinny/5D and the other has more "square" lines that are good for dogs and for slow line moves on totals similar to Legends/Bodog.

Good luck on your plays!

sorry I misinterpreted. I didn't mean books like Pinnacle and 5 Dimes but actual books for reading. I thought I saw you post a few earlier this year but maybe I'm thinking of someone else

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by guil0000

sorry I misinterpreted. I didn't mean books like Pinnacle and 5 Dimes but actual books for reading. I thought I saw you post a few earlier this year but maybe I'm thinking of someone else

You should read:

Conquering Risk
Sharp Sports Betting

And for advanced stats:

Moneyball for baseball
Basketball on Paper for basketball
Hidden Game of Football for football

Good luck

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 07:50 PM

MLB Recap 9/24/11

2 - 3 = -1.35x

MLB Season 2011

413 - 371 = +40.65x

Onto the next weekend, but at least I get to pick up after a couple of back to back big weeks

. We are almost done with the daily grind of baseball and I am hoping to finish it strong with a sustained winning month. September and October are historically may best and most aggressive baseball months. Good luck.

**Love The Action** · 09-25-11, 07:55 PM

MLB 9/25/11

Play #1

Royals ML (-107) 1x (Locked)

I actually want to play this for more, but I'm hesitant after getting burnt playing the Royals on the road. However, we have a pretty huge pitching mismatch for a great price. I have this one at -118 for the Royals and I see this price closing around -120. Paulino dwarfs Slowey in advanced stats pretty much across the board. When you add a better lineup and comparable bullpen, as well as the hotter team, I will take that every team when the price is right. The price is right here and I'm rolling with the Royals for 1x. Good luck.

**ManBearPig** · 09-25-11, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

You should read: Conquering Risk Sharp Sports Betting And for advanced stats: Moneyball for baseball Basketball on Paper for basketball Hidden Game of Football for football Good luck

I would add Weighing the Odds In Sports Betting by King Yao and Mathletics (for stat/model types)

**Donnie Brasco** · 09-25-11, 08:17 PM

Really liking skins tomorrow night! Got it at +4 and its down to +3. Love what the skins are doing on both sides of the ball and romo is %50 healthy at best! Bol!

**Donnie Brasco** · 09-25-11, 08:18 PM

Thanks for the reading suggestions. Would love to build a model, but seems so overwhelming

**guil0000** · 09-25-11, 08:34 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

You should read:

Conquering Risk
Sharp Sports Betting

And for advanced stats:

Moneyball for baseball
Basketball on Paper for basketball
Hidden Game of Football for football

Good luck

Thanks a ton!