LTA's MLB Plays

[No coincidences]

I swear God -- sometimes I think you log in here just for the sake of picking a fight.

[God1]

Oh G1! Hilarious?! As the ESPN football analysts say "come'on man!" Find me the 5 of the Managers in this league that would pick Shields over Verlander in game 7 .

Managers also think things like RBIs and how many wins a pitcher has are indicative of skill. Shields pitches against SIGNIFICANTLY better competition and sports a SIERA only .25 behind. Shields is also nearly impossible to steal against, I think they've got 1 off him all year. Shields regularly pitches against the 2 best offenses in baseball plus toronto and baltimore. Verlander's division opponents consisnt of cleveland, wsox, royals, twins.

Price has a better argument because he has been through the fire. Don't discredit yourself bro. Neither choice would be in the "hilarious" category, if anything your choice of Shields over Verlander would be hysterical.

Price actually has a worse argument because you can steal off him. The stolen base is literally removed from the game when shields pitches. That takes away a huge reason that many hitters are considered productive. Most leadoff hitters in baseball turn into average joes against shields

[God1]

I swear God -- sometimes I think you log in here just for the sake of picking a fight.

You just really don't understand baseball

[hawley]

God whats your record in baseball this season?

Must be hitting a crazy % and be up huge units?

[No coincidences]

Real slugfest going at Coors right now.

[God1]

God whats your record in baseball this season?

Must be hitting a crazy % and be up huge units?

don't know what you define as crazy % but yes up quite a bit

[Redscot]

Managers also think things like RBIs and how many wins a pitcher has are indicative of skill. Shields pitches against SIGNIFICANTLY better competition and sports a SIERA only .25 behind. Shields is also nearly impossible to steal against, I think they've got 1 off him all year. Shields regularly pitches against the 2 best offenses in baseball plus toronto and baltimore. Verlander's division opponents consisnt of cleveland, wsox, royals, twins.



Price actually has a worse argument because you can steal off him. The stolen base is literally removed from the game when shields pitches. That takes away a huge reason that many hitters are considered productive. Most leadoff hitters in baseball turn into average joes against shields

Games are played on the field my man. I turn to you for betting angles, but when it comes to winning games, let's choose sides....I like my chances.

[No coincidences]

You just really don't understand baseball

If saying Verlander and Kershaw are better than Strasberg means I "don't understand baseball," then I guess I don't.

I get the feeling you don't even watch games. Just study stats. Am I right? I asked if you'd seen these cats from SF and COL pitch and you basically laughed at me. How's that over coming?

[God1]

Verlander gets the chunk of his games against the bottom feeding offenses. Shields gets it against 2 of the best offenses in baseball in the past decade plus two other average-above avg offenses

[No coincidences]

Games are played on the field my man. I turn to you for betting angles, but when it comes to winning games, let's choose sides....I like my chances.

Well said.

[God1]

If saying Verlander and Kershaw are better than Strasberg means I "don't understand baseball," then I guess I don't.

I get the feeling you don't even watch games. Just study stats. Am I right? I asked if you'd seen these cats from SF and COL pitch and you basically laughed at me. How's that over coming?

Great, how's the under coming in the strasburg game? Give me a break you act like you're in 2nd grade

[No coincidences]

Verlander gets the chunk of his games against the bottom feeding offenses. Shields gets it against 2 of the best offenses in baseball in the past decade plus two other average-above avg offenses

The argument wasn't about Shields, who I agree is a Top-4 pitcher in baseball (Verlander, Kershaw, Shields, Jared Weaver). It's re: Strasberg.

[No coincidences]

Great, how's the under coming in the strasburg game? Give me a break you act like you're in 2nd grade

You acted like it was some red alert to take the over in SF/COL.

[God1]

75 innings, I know(yes i've seen research on this), is a significant sample size for a pitcher beginning his career. That's where the disagreement we have lies

[Love The Action]

MLB 9/17/11

Play #1

Mets/Braves under (7.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Play #2

TB/Boston under (8.5)(-115) 1x (Locked)

Play #3

Yanks/Blue Jays under (9)(+100) 1x (Locked)

Play #4

Angels/Orioles under (8.5)(-105) 1x (Locked)

I missed out on the 9 and could have saved a few cents under 8.5, but I'm going to take a shot here. My model has it at 8.1, so we don't have a ton of value here, but it's going to take a score of 9 to beat us so I still like it. Britton is easily the Orioles best starter with a WAR of 2.5 and he has never faced anyone on the Angels before. Santana is coming off a rought start against the Yanks, but should be fresh after only throwing 99 pitches. The wind is blowing directly in at 10 mph and the ump has a high strike rate around 63.5%. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #5

Pirates/Dodgers under (7)(-105) 1x (Locked)

Both team totals are juiced to the under and Pinny just went to -109 and plus money on the over despite over 70% on the over. McDonald has never faced this Dodgers lineup, can get some strikeouts and will be primed to pitch well against his old team. Lilly, on the other hand, has picked up over the last half of the season improving his FIP throughout that span. He has found success against these Pirates hitters in the past and I suspect he does well tonight. The wind is a non-factor and the ump Timmons is a slight under guy throughout his career. I'm rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[God1]

You acted like it was some red alert to take the over in SF/COL.

It sure was, i believe it was still a profitable bet regardless of the outcome. It would make no difference to me if it was 9-5 through 3 innings or 1-0. i'm done wasting my time here good night

[No coincidences]

It sure was, i believe it was still a profitable bet regardless of the outcome. It would make no difference to me if it was 9-5 through 3 innings or 1-0. i'm done wasting my time here good night

Like usual, God takes his ball and goes home because we're not worthy of his presence.

[Redscot]

I swear God -- sometimes I think you log in here just for the sake of picking a fight.

Definitely comes across as such. In fairness, has been forthright and helpful to me whenever I have asked him for his opinion. (Not trying to ruin your rep G1 ) But honestly he has helped me win some money with certain suggestions.

[No coincidences]

Definitely comes across as such. In fairness, has been forthright and helpful to me whenever I have asked him for his opinion. (Not trying to ruin your rep G1 ) But honestly he has helped me win some money with certain suggestions.

His opinion isn't the problem. He knows his stuff. He blurs "opinion" with "fact" too much for my taste, though.

[Redscot]

All I know is Mayweather KO, Ortiz KO I make big $ tonight. Mayweather decision I break even. Anything else, you may not see me for a while

[No coincidences]

All I know is Mayweather KO, Ortiz KO I make big $ tonight. Mayweather decision I break even. Anything else, you may not see me for a while

Good luck. You think Ortiz has a chance?

[Love The Action]

All I know is Mayweather KO, Ortiz KO I make big $ tonight. Mayweather decision I break even. Anything else, you may not see me for a while

No shit huh...I didn't bet but lean Ortiz. I'm rooting for a knockout either way. Didn't know you bet big money on boxing. Good luck

[Redscot]

His opinion isn't the problem. He knows his stuff. He blurs "opinion" with "fact" too much for my taste, though.

Oh, I agree, he has certain personality traits (for lack of a better word). I value his antiseptic view of the game as mine is quite jaded. LTA to his credit seems to have found a good balance

[No coincidences]

Oh, I agree, he has certain personality traits (for lack of a better word). I value his antiseptic view of the game as mine is quite jaded. LTA to his credit seems to have found a good balance

LTA's the man. One of the best and most level-headed cappers at SBR.

[Redscot]

No shit huh...I didn't bet but lean Ortiz. I'm rooting for a knockout either way. Didn't know you bet big money on boxing. Good luck

My first sport brother, covered it for a while. I'm on it BIG, but mostly because I can exploit my local.

[Redscot]

Good luck. You think Ortiz has a chance?

Punchers chance. Mayweather, albeit a dick is one of the games true masters. He was born in the ring, has all the angles, all the tricks. BUT, he is getting older and hasn't fought in over a year...Ortiz can't carry his jockstrap skill wise, but he is young/dumb and full of well...anyway...he has a chance of physically imposing himself. The way the ref handles Floyd's defense (he uses his shoulder and elbow to fend off) could be a factor. Most likely you will see Ortiz seemingly overwhelm Floyd for a few rounds mauling (although in replay you will see few flush shots really land) and then Floyd will start to pot shot him and break him down.

Most likely scenario, but the fight game is full of surprises


AS a side, Ortiz reportedly will have about a 15 lb weight advantage tonight.

[No coincidences]

Already 3-0 Dodgers in the first.

I'm absolutely killing college football today -- why in the hell am I wasting my time on this shit?

[No coincidences]

Nice hit on the SF over God. I'm sure not exactly like you expected it to happen, but it hit nonetheless.

[Love The Action]

Punchers chance. Mayweather, albeit a dick is one of the games true masters. He was born in the ring, has all the angles, all the tricks. BUT, he is getting older and hasn't fought in over a year...Ortiz can't carry his jockstrap skill wise, but he is young/dumb and full of well...anyway...he has a chance of physically imposing himself. The way the ref handles Floyd's defense (he uses his shoulder and elbow to fend off) could be a factor. Most likely you will see Ortiz seemingly overwhelm Floyd for a few rounds mauling (although in replay you will see few flush shots really land) and then Floyd will start to pot shot him and break him down.

Most likely scenario, but the fight game is full of surprises


AS a side, Ortiz reportedly will have about a 15 lb weight advantage tonight.

Please post all of your boxing plays as soon as you make them in one of my threads so I can tail. Thanks.

[Redscot]

Please post all of your boxing plays as soon as you make them in one of my threads so I can tail. Thanks.

Weird ending. But hey, Count'De'Mone'! Will do brother!

[God1]

Im in a charitable mood heres what booked so far....rays -132 braves -175 orioles +184(huge) reds under 9 -110(huge) twins under 8.5 +104 rangers +105

[No coincidences]

Im in a charitable mood heres what booked so far....rays -132 braves -175 orioles +184(huge) reds under 9 -110(huge) twins under 8.5 +104 rangers +105

Good luck. I'm done with baseball after tonight. Cashed the O's ML and got a miracle push on LTA's PIT/LAD under. I'll end on a positive note until the playoffs.

[Love The Action]

Miracle push on the Dodgers under. Maybe some of the gambling gods are starting to pay us back for the 30x lost to bad beats over the last couple months.

[hawley]

My local had under 8 for that Dodgers game so I got lucky but even then I would of been happy with a push considering the start to the game.

[Love The Action]

Weird ending. But hey, Count'De'Mone'! Will do brother!

Congrats on the big win