LTA's MLB Plays

[Les_Nuts]

Big day LTA . Shame Stras and Chen blew their load early on to spoil a sweep

[TC Woods]

Leans on SA/LAC???

anyone?

[Kingsbury78]

been following for awhile and know you win over the whole season. great day. good job LTA!

[Dmoneytx]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

[LeoMessi]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

LOL, it looks like your fading LTA system dind't work today. Keep crying and finding posts "by randome chance from a few months ago"

[Rone247]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

If this is not about making money... Who cares

[TC Woods]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

What a fukkin moron....

Get a life hosebag, yer wasting your current one.

[ThePickSix]

Thougts on LAD +110? They are so hot right now, it seems interesting they would be a home dog vs The Cards. Especially given the fact that Lohse gave up 5 runs to a very below average hitting Cubs team on his last outting.

[Love The Action]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

I didn't even both reading this guy's nonsense. I don't even know why he comes into my thread. What a weirdo.

[dlunc3]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

What is a looser? something that is really loose?

[Redscot]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vah7kzdQ7ew

Geraldo Rivera we all know the post, sometimes people sharing in a common goal will vent. Much better than people who only show up to make snide remarks, or dance on another mans grave when he is down. Don't really understand the bee in you bonnet, but whatever, seems like a lot of energy spent on something that has 0 consequence in your awesome life. I'm gonna leave this theme alone from here on out regardless of your reply, my track record on this site as a non offender is solid, but sometimes (C word) (female pregnant dogs) such as your self get really tiring. Find a better "cause" Jack.

[G-manFan]

Damn, had this douchebag on the ignore list but still had to see his crap cause of the quotes. Almost forgot about his pathetic tennis playing life and thought he had moved on to bothering someone else. Just ignore this bum and let's enjoy the start of a winning streak.......

[brucethebear]

Hey LTA
Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
.

Let me save you the hassle by saying don't bother.
You know why? No-one in this thread cares!

[Catchn_Picks]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

*******************

los·er/ˈlo͞ozər/

Noun:

A person or thing that loses or has lost something, esp. a game or contest. A person who accepts defeat with good or bad grace, as specified: "they should concede that and be good losers". loose (ls)adj. loos·er, loos·est1. Not fastened, restrained, or contained: loose bricks. 2. Not taut, fixed, or rigid: a loose anchor line; a loose chair leg. 3. Free from confinement or imprisonment; unfettered: criminals loose in the neighborhood; dogs that are loose on the streets. 4. Not tight-fitting or tightly fitted: loose shoes. 5. Not bound, bundled, stapled, or gathered together: loose papers. 6. Not compact or dense in arrangement or structure: loose gravel. 7. Lacking a sense of restraint or responsibility; idle: loose talk. 8. Not formal; relaxed: a loose atmosphere at the club. 9. Lacking conventional moral restraint in sexual behavior. 10. Not literal or exact: a loose translation. 11. Characterized by a free movement of fluids in the body: a loose cough; loose

Advice #1...watch your words...people judge you by the words that you use.

Advice #2...pick a day when LTA doesn't win the strong majority of his games to post this comment.

[Redscot]

Damn, had this douchebag on the ignore list but still had to see his crap cause of the quotes. Almost forgot about his pathetic tennis playing life and thought he had moved on to bothering someone else. Just ignore this bum and let's enjoy the start of a winning streak.......

That's the truth G-man.

[bleedtoledo]

LOL! I read the first couple sentences & stopped. Some real creepy people on the internet.


Back to baseball

[brucethebear]

LTA,
Missed today's action (time zone difference) - but let me just congratulate you on a great day.
Hopefully the negative variance ship has sailed and the run starts.

[Love The Action]

Hey LTA

Call me what u want, but I finally found the post that will prove that you, LTA, is a freaking liar! Remember the controversey we had LTA when u said you NEVER said that capping at SBR was limiting time with your family??? Remember you said that you ONLY do this ONE hour a day, from work??? Remember you said that you NEVER brought your family into this thread or into your comments and that "I" was the one that was out of line???!! Well, I found the post by random chance from a few months ago that will prove EVERYTHING I said to you 5 or 6 weeks ago was the DEAD truth & it came directly from YOUR post and YOUR mouth. When I saw it, I KNEW I wasn't imagining things because you told everyone on here that I was freaking crazy and insane to bring your family up (as well as the other things I mentioned / which all came from YOUR post dawg, LOL!!!) WELL, YOU brought your family up first & YOU were the one bitching about how this was becoming a full time job!!! When I called you on ALL of this, you straight out called me a LIAR and a LOOSER to my face. Well, when I get home later, I will repost the EXACT post (from YOU) I was talking about & I would like to see you call me a liar now.......
I ONLY responded to a POST that YOU put up on a PUBLIC forum on a PUBLIC website. Where you bitched and complained about this. AND about your family. AND that you were making bad desicions bec you were not seeing your family as much as you SHOULD HAVE!!!
I didn't bring any of this up on my own. YOU did bro! And I will outline the FOUR things you said I was LYING about & go ahead and explain that to your cronnies on here. I am actually smiling to see how you are gonna get out of this brotha.........

AND PS. Don't publically write about your family moron if you don't want people to comment on them. That was YOUR mistake, not mine. You wined and complained & I am gonna let everyone see how you are an azzhole to call me the liar you did! I didn't lie about one thing, and I will repost it later so everyone can see how stand up you are to call someone a liar and a looser, when you knew all along that you KNEW what I was saying was true. But then again, I know u wanted to look good in front of all your followers. I just want to expose you for the liar YOU are.

You mean this post here you deranged lunatic. Yep, just the truth. I will be winding down my threads at some point this year. Why do you care and what business is it of yours? I don't talk about your family, so don't talk about mine. However, if you continue, I will not hold back any further. And those beloved tennis threads of yours will suddenly become more fun.

Guys, I think I am going to take some time off from SBR or at least from posting plays with writeups. Now that baseball is here and my son is getting older, I just don't see any value in continuing to spend time on SBR. I have too much going on in my life to keep posting. Today, I was driving home with my wife just having a normal conversation and I asked her if she thought SBR was a waste of time. She basically said if I enjoy it and it makes me better, it's up to me but as my son gets older I will need more time. I've been posting my plays daily for over year. I feel like I have shared a ton of my knowledge and helped a lot of people out. Might be time to wind down my threads......

[absolutkaos]

One more play coming up....

you're obviously thinking about the STL/LAD game....what are you thinking on this one LTA?

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/20/2012

Play #1

Mets ML (+160) 1x (Locked)

I'm getting a great number here considering that Pinny is at +157. Regardless, there is value at both numbers as I have this game set at +141. Gee's advanced numbers dwarf that of Alvarez across the board by a significant margin. I think most people view Alvarez as the better young pitcher and that may prove to be true down the road, but right now Gee has the better WAR, SIERA, K%, GB/FB, FIP, xFIP, SwStr%, etc. In addition, and as we discussed the other day, the Mets are a much better hitting team against righties than lefties. With the Mets looking to avoid the sweep and coming off a shutout -- both "spots" that I like to back -- I think they get it done today against a guy like Alvarez who pitches to too much contact. I have this game set at +141 giving us a ton of value at any number in the +150's or more and I am rolling with the Mets for 1x. Good luck.

Play #2

Braves/Devil Rays under (7)(+105) 1.25x (Locked)

I love this pitching matchup and so does my model. I am still skeptical of the Braves when they face lefties and they will be missing Jones. Hudson is rounding into shape and is a big time ground ball guy which is perfect for this matchup with the Rays lineup. Both pitchers are guys who will pitch deep into the game which should provide for less bullpen activity and hopefully avoid some of the tough beats on unders that have been happening of late. Culbreth is the ump and that's not a bad ump assignment. I have this game set at 5.9 and it's going to take a final score of 8 to beat us. I don't think it gets there and I am rolling with the under for 1.25x. Good luck.

Play #3

Orioles/Nationals under (6.5) 1.5x (Locked)

I love this play and may add to it on the 1st five line once either of my locals release those numbers. I may just add to the game total considering both teams have solid bullpens to date. We have Drake behind the plate and the wind blowing in, both of which help this play. Both pitchers are facing the weaknesses of the opposing lineups with the Nationals struggling against lefties in the bottom 10 of the league in most categories and Balty not hitting righties as well as lefties. Strasburg's numbers are off the chart so need to even get into that and he is coming off one of his worst outting which is a nice bounce back spot with what should be added concentration. Chen has pitched well with a WAR of 0.9 already, with FIP of 3.4, tERA right at 4, SIERA at 4.3 which are respectable considering he faces the toughest offenses in baseball in his division. In addition, whenever Japanese pitchers come over, they generally have success the first time they face opponents. In this game, both pitchers have unfamiliarity working for them. I have this game set at 5.1 and it's going to take a final score of 7 to beat us. I think this one screams 2-1 game and I am rolling with the under for 1.5x. Good luck.

Play #4

Diamondbacks ML (-120) 1x (Locked)

Here is another play that I absolutely love and may add to the stake through the ML or as a -1RL play at plus odds. I expect an easy victory by AZ today. Miley is proving to be a formidable lefty and KC is brutal against lefties coming in the bottom 10 of the league in BABPI, OPS, wRC, wRC+, wOBA, etc. Miley is proving to be a consistent all around pitcher that can strike you out with a 16% K% or get the much-needed ground balls with a 1.5 GB/FB. His advanced numbers are solid with tERA, FIP, xFIP and SIERA all at or under 4. Arizona lost yesterday in a high scoring affair which may indicate their bats are coming to life a little bit, but in any event they hit righties much better than the Royals hit lefties and Adcock does not fear me today. I really don't think that much of Adcock and I expect AZ to knock him around today. I have the Diamondbacks set at -130 and I am rolling with the AZ for 1x now and maybe more in a bit. Good luck.

Play #5

Marlins ML (+104) 1x (Locked)

Too much value to pass up here on the superior starting pitcher and lineup that has more potential than Cleveland. This is really the battle of advanced statistics versus conventional numbers when you compare Johnson to Lowe. Lowe has all the wins and fancy ERA, but Johnson is the better pitcher when you dig deeper and the margin is not even that close. Lowe is great at ground balls, but otherwise has a mediocre tERA, FIP, xFIP and SIERA all in the 4.3 range. Johnson is around 3.5 for all and has .4 advantage in WAR. What's really interesting, however, is that the Indians have loaded their lineup with 7 left handed hitters, but Johnson's splits (at least for this year) show that he has been much more dominate against lefties than righties with a FIP of 2.9 and xFIP of 3 against lefties. In years past, Johnson dominated righties but has struggled with that a bit this season coming off the shoulder surgery. The reason I think is because he has adjusted his pitch selection and is throwing more changeups similarly to his approach in 2010 at the height of his success. His changeup moves down and away from lefties which is why he has excelled against them. When you add in the fact that Miami is very familiar with Lowe from his days in the NL but Johnson has not faced the majority of Indian's hitters and has unfamiliarity working for him, this play becomes pretty easy to make. I have Miami set at -110 faves and we're getting +104. Too much value to pass up and I am rolling with the Miami for 1x. Good luck.

Play #6

ML Parlay

Brewers ML (-225)/Arizona ML (-135) (+150) 1x (Locked)

This will be our second ML parlay of the season after losing on the first one. I've been figuring out a way to get a Brewers play in today with Greinke having such a huge advantage over Marquis, plus the Brewers needing to avoid the sweep. I can't pay -225 so I will back the Brewers by playing them with the Arizona ML considering I tragically regret not making that a 2x play when I locked in 1x at -120. This is almost a must win for the Brewers and they have their ace, so I am parlaying them with AZ for a nice +150 price at 1x. Good luck.

Play #7

Cardinals/Dodgers under (7)(+115) 1x (Locked)

I could have had under 7.5 (-120) but will go with the huge plus odds for a total. I think this one either ends around 5-6 or goes way over. Both offenses are two of the best in the league but both are not at full strength and dealing with some injuries. Both pitchers come in having decent years, but looking to improve. Nevertheless, you have to respect both pitchers numbers and I think they get it done tonight. The ump is decent and I have this game set at 6.02. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

[bleedtoledo]

How bout Max Sherzer today?! 15 K's. On the verge of a breakout year?

[Dmoneytx]

That was NOT the post LTA. It's in basketball & I am only going to post it bec u called me a LIAR! I will easily prove that YOU were the one who was lying! Not me brotha. I only repeated what u said on a post & u ripped me for it. So I WILL post it when I get home so everyone can see how you lied thru your arss!!!

And I haven't faded anyone's plays in any sport lately. Twizz is cleaning up for everyone

[absolutkaos]

Do you think the Dodgers sweep the series, or is Lohse too much of a challenge for the depleted LAD lineup?

[Love The Action]

That was NOT the post LTA. It's in basketball & I am only going to post it bec u called me a LIAR! I will easily prove that YOU were the one who was lying! Not me brotha. I only repeated what u said on a post & u ripped me for it. So I WILL post it when I get home so everyone can see how you lied thru your arss!!!

And I haven't faded anyone's plays in any sport lately. Twizz is cleaning up for everyone

Dude....I don't understand your infatuation with me or what your point is, but no one cares so do what you want. Everyone is laughing at you already and will only continue laughing. Including my wife who I just showed your post to

[Redscot]

Play #7

Cardinals/Dodgers under (7)(+115) 1x (Locked)

I could have had under 7.5 (-120) but will go with the huge plus odds for a total. I think this one either ends around 5-6 or goes way over. Both offenses are two of the best in the league but both are not at full strength and dealing with some injuries. Both pitchers come in having decent years, but looking to improve. Nevertheless, you have to respect both pitchers numbers and I think they get it done tonight. The ump is decent and I have this game set at 6.02. I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

I am gonna start sounding like a tout for 5dimes but I must say getting the Braves under at +110 today and now this one at +120 is starting to win me over. Have dealt with terrible local lines for so long. I have been playing the same games lately with 5dimes and local, and with same results the difference in my bank roll is noticeable. Was on the fence in this game LTA, mostly because of Schizo Billingsley. BOL

[blackeyeshamus]

God bless you, bros!
LTA and Redscot: best of luck.
I've been coolin' off lately, but tonight I'm climbin' back in the mix w plays on the Redbirds and the UNDER 7.
Good luck!
Let's stack 'em and cash 'em!

[Love The Action]

I am gonna start sounding like a tout for 5dimes but I must say getting the Braves under at +110 today and now this one at +120 is starting to win me over. Have dealt with terrible local lines for so long. I have been playing the same games lately with 5dimes and local, and with same results the difference in my bank roll is noticeable. Was on the fence in this game LTA, mostly because of Schizo Billingsley. BOL

Marquez is really squeezing Billingsley. He's throw at least 3 pitches that were strikes that were called balls.

[Redscot]

Marquez is really squeezing Billingsley. He's throw at least 3 pitches that were strikes that were called balls.

Strike'em out throw'em out may be just what the Dr. ordered to get him out of trouble and into his groove.

[Redscot]

God bless you, bros!
LTA and Redscot: best of luck.
I've been coolin' off lately, but tonight I'm climbin' back in the mix w plays on the Redbirds and the UNDER 7.
Good luck!
Let's stack 'em and cash 'em!

Another one of the class acts on SBR! Always root for you B.E. Shamus. You were on fire to start the season, and certainly not alone in the recent struggles. Dug your little cameo video too dude . BOL on the plays tonight and going forward.

[Love The Action]

Looks like I was wrong about Marquez being the ump. He is working third base and Blaser is behind the plate. That's what I get for trusting Covers without double checking yesterday's assignments like usual.

[Redscot]

Looks like I was wrong about Marquez being the ump. He is working third base and Blaser is behind the plate. That's what I get for trusting Covers without double checking yesterday's assignments like usual.

Well, as far as omens go we can't complain. We have danced with the devil in each inning, this thing could easily be 3- 4 runs combined by now. Lets hope these two get into a groove and we burn through 3 innings in a half an hour.

[Love The Action]

MLB 2012 Regular Season 5/21/2012

Play #1

Nationals ML (-115) 1.5x (Locked)

Here's one we may add to the stake down the road. Perhaps this is the books "trapping" us, but I just think they are forced to overprice Philly because of their public nature. I expect this one to close in the -120's and have it set at -128. Even though the Phillies just faced Gio, I still think he pitches well tomorrow. Gio is a top ten pitcher right now based on his off the chart numbers and the Phillies are middling to bottom when it comes to hitting left handers. Washington is familiar with Kendrick and they should have a field day. I have this at -128 and I am rolling with the Nationals for 1.5x. Good luck.

Play #2

Cubs/Astros under (7) 1x (Locked)

My model loves this starting pitching matchup, so for those guys who like playing first five inning plays, this could be a good one. I generally stick with full games and think both pitchers give us at least 7 innings to minimize bullpen impact. Both guys are having great seasons with all around approaches that allow for strikeouts and ground ball outs. These offenses are hit and miss and I expect them to miss in this game. I have this game set at 5.9 and I am rolling with the under for 1x. Good luck.

Play #3

Giants ML (-102) 1x (Locked)

This play is all about the starting pitching matchups. Even though the Giants have a weakened lineup, they are facing Wolf who has not pitched well this season with numbers that are declining. MBaum is one of the best in the league and I will take a shot considering I have this set at -111. I am rolling with the Giants for 1x. Good luck.

[meader99]

Dude....I don't understand your infatuation with me or what your point is, but no one cares so do what you want. Everyone is laughing at you already and will only continue laughing. Including my wife who I just showed your post to

Perhaps someone should introduce this Dmoney fraud to the band Styx. He obviously has "too much time on his hands."

[jayson311]

That was NOT the post LTA. It's in basketball & I am only going to post it bec u called me a LIAR! I will easily prove that YOU were the one who was lying! Not me brotha. I only repeated what u said on a post & u ripped me for it. So I WILL post it when I get home so everyone can see how you lied thru your arss!!!

And I haven't faded anyone's plays in any sport lately. Twizz is cleaning up for everyone

Same dude was blowing up mybologne thread last night.

[Love The Action]

Tough to overcome errors and still cash an under. Horrible error by Billinsley.