-
Comment -
sos same old shields we will get em tomorrow ltaComment -
MLB Recap 7/27/11
1 - 2 = -0.365x
MLB Season 2011
296 - 274 = +20.075x
Good call on the Mariners and then we miss out on the Rangers over by one run and Shields gets shelled. Still up for the week well over one unit and our first ML parlay set up for Thursday. GL.Comment -
MLB 7/28/11
Play #1
ML Parlay: Boston ML (-285) and Brewers ML (-183) 1x at (+108) (Locked)
Gotta get some sleep...wiped out. However, we have two teams that are #1 and #3 teams in MLB when it comes to home wins and home record versus two of the lowest ranked road teams in the Royals (#29) and the Cubs (#25). When you combine the HUGE pitching disparity in favor of the Red Sox and Brewers with their offensive advantage of those teams, I just can't pass this one up. GL.Comment -
Weeks is going to be out for the Crew tomorrow, so possibly a little less offense.Comment -
they won today 2-0 there not winning because of offense lately. I think tomorrow though brewers will hit the ball alot better off of wells. marcum will pitch a gemComment -
following parlay. excellent work.
thanks. love the action! good call on mariners today.
best of luck. let's get 'em.Comment -
Man oh man! So when i see a card I like I throw a little Lotto parlay play for the hell of it. Well, yesterday's 9 teamer misses because of the Phils! My hated Phils!
27 Jul 2011 15:29 Internet (www.bancajuancitosport.com) Sesion # 76383 9Parlay
955 AT Pittsburgh Pirates
+1½ -145 [1,2]
7/27/2011 7:10:00 PM 961 AT Houston Astros
+1½ -125 [4,2]
7/27/2011 8:15:00 PM 977 AT Minnesota Twins
+1½ -120 [7,2]
7/27/2011 8:05:00 PM 954 AT Philadelphia Phillies
-172 [2,1]
7/27/2011 7:05:00 PM 957 AT New York Mets Over +9½ -115 [8,2]
7/27/2011 7:10:00 PM 979 AT Tampa Bay Rays Over +6½ EV [4,13]
7/27/2011 10:05:00 PM 960 AT Milwaukee Brewers
-1½ +135 [0,2]
7/27/2011 8:10:00 PM 962 AT St Louis Cardinals Under +7½ -115 [4,2]
7/27/2011 8:15:00 PM 976 AT Boston Red Sox
-1½ -105 [5,12]
7/27/2011 7:10:00 PM 100/28181 -100 # 48282Comment -
Let's keep this week rolling LTA, I think that Seattle call means you are tuning in bro. BOL today.
Comment -
Man oh man! So when i see a card I like I throw a little Lotto parlay play for the hell of it. Well, yesterday's 9 teamer misses because of the Phils! My hated Phils!
27 Jul 2011 15:29 Internet (www.bancajuancitosport.com) Sesion # 76383 9Parlay
955 AT Pittsburgh Pirates
+1½ -145 [1,2]
7/27/2011 7:10:00 PM 961 AT Houston Astros
+1½ -125 [4,2]
7/27/2011 8:15:00 PM 977 AT Minnesota Twins
+1½ -120 [7,2]
7/27/2011 8:05:00 PM 954 AT Philadelphia Phillies
-172 [2,1]
7/27/2011 7:05:00 PM 957 AT New York Mets Over +9½ -115 [8,2]
7/27/2011 7:10:00 PM 979 AT Tampa Bay Rays Over +6½ EV [4,13]
7/27/2011 10:05:00 PM 960 AT Milwaukee Brewers
-1½ +135 [0,2]
7/27/2011 8:10:00 PM 962 AT St Louis Cardinals Under +7½ -115 [4,2]
7/27/2011 8:15:00 PM 976 AT Boston Red Sox
-1½ -105 [5,12]
7/27/2011 7:10:00 PM 100/28181 -100 # 48282
Holy crap....nice calls Red! I should have played the over in that TB/Oak game, instead of TB ML, but I thought Shields was a better pitcher this and would not fade like years past. Guess I was wrong.
Keep up the great work Red...post those big parlays here so we can tail and cash'em. I've never had much luck with more than two or three game parlays, so I generally don't play them. However, it looks like you were dialed in on that one. Let's hit that lottery ticket
Comment -
I hope so. I don't regret the Rangers over play. I mean, when their opponent gets seven runs, you would think a Rangers over would cash. I was surprised to see Texas only score 2 against Minny yesterday, considering the individual matchups, however, losing by one run is all part of this crazy hustle. I do regret the TB play...that was just ugly. Anyway, I think once July ends, I think we will go on a streak. There is something evil about this July....Comment -
Yeah man, I really liked the Tex over with Lewis being an extreme fly ball pitcher in that wind tunnel. Turns out it was Texas' bats we needed to worry about
. Agreed with you about this July, up until this week it has been my worst month in a very long time. You're getting the ship righted bro, the analysis is strong, that is all we can control.
BTW, on that parlay with you today. Sometimes only way to get value out of those huge fav's.Comment -
I have a lean on the Mets/Reds under, but I don't think I'm willing to spend -120 on that one at 9. Maybe at 9.5, but not 9.
Bailey looks to have returned to his early season form and, although I worry about Capuano, he still has good advanced numbers and the Reds are not hitting lefties quite as well as earlier in the season.
Let's see where the line goes...I'm not taking 8.5 if it drops...we may have to settle on 9 (-120), but need to check the weather and a few other things.Comment -
Off to work.
We already have our RedSox/Brewers ML parlay locked in.
I am looking at the Mets/Reds under and the AZ/SD under for the day games. I believe that AZ/SD under will be a play for sure, but need to check out weather/wind and a few more things.
Anyone know what the weather is supposed to be at Petco today?Comment -
Lta, bol, weather will not be a factor at petco today,
mild winds, temps in the low 70's.Comment -
Lta, weather in cincy will be lower 90's at game time,
and wind is not much of a factor, blowing 9 mph towards the
3rd base line.Comment -
Thanks Paco! You are the man...lets make some money today!
Comment -
Random Mets game stuff. Over tending ump, but neither pitcher has seen him this year and he does call a high strike %.
Capuano better in day over last 4 years at least (didn't look further). Neither pitcher on a particular roll, if anything Capuano edges out Bailey in peripheral's.
Some line-up issues for Cap, especially Phillips.
Reds with Hirschbeck 5-1 for the Reds last 6 at home and a 14-3 super homer record.
Reds crushing lefties this year, babip suggests they have gotten a little luck.
Bailey strong at home this year, but trend doesn't play out over his career
Bailey 2 games with Hernandez catching, dreadful. 5 games throwing to Hernandez last year 8 + era.
Obviously a lot more to this game, can the Muts really sweep 4 games IN Cincy?
Just some early observationsLast edited by Redscot; 07-28-11, 10:46 AM.Comment -
I would not overlook small dogs turning into smal favorites.....case in point FLA/WASH..GAME YESTERDAY...18 CENT SWING
Comment -
-
I like that reds/mets under....good movement too...but 8.5 is not a good number for unders...Comment -
Any thoughts on Oak game LTA? I lean over again and the A's, but waiting for lineups.Comment -
One of my locals juicing the oakland over 8 (-120)... The market is at 7.5 or 8 with juice on the under. That is a huge over lean for this book and tells me I should probably rock the over here despite hardens solid history against this rays lineup...Comment -
Afternoon overs in Oaktown can be a profitable venture LTA.Comment -
TB/Oakland over (8) 1x (Locked)
Wade Davis has horrible advanced stats and oakland is hitting really well right now. Harden's arm can fall off anytime and TB knows they need to hit today to avoid the sweep. I also like oakland, but just can't quite pull the trigger on a ml play here. This is it for the aftrnoon games. Back later. Good luck!Comment -
following all three plays.
let's get the cake, sir! good luck.Comment -
Over the day games...Lets roll some night leans...STL and Over,Comment -
Boston! Wow, that's why they play the games. I thought Crawford won it in the 9th with a 2 run blast but ball held up.
Oakland game was a breeze thankfully, disappointed in Hudson more than Latos today, thought we'd get a push worst case.
What the night look like for you tonight LTA?
Lean's so far: Braves over (ouch, bad ump there for over), Cards -1?, S.F. is intriguing, Beltran boost - Kendrick is due to get lit up - Lincecum's health? upping the value perhaps, and last but not least I actually like the value the Twinkies offer tonight.
Just throwing those out there to get other posters thoughts, especially you LTA, I am more assured when I see you leaning the same direction.
Have a great night all and BOL with your plays
Last edited by Redscot; 07-28-11, 05:27 PM.Comment -
STL -1 RL
STL/HOU u7.5
TEX/MIN o9- Looking more and don't like this one so going to avoid all together
PIT/ATL o7.5
BAL/TOR u9
I don't want to play them all so I'm trying to narrow down to 2 maybe 3.Last edited by ManBearPig; 07-28-11, 05:39 PM.Comment
