New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

losemyloot · 05-10-11, 10:11 AM

Chino, I didn't get a play for the Cards (PPower only < by 8.3) but I did get a .5 unit for ARZ.

ShivaBowl · 05-10-11, 11:45 AM

Originally posted by losemyloot

Chino, I didn't get a play for the Cards (PPower only < by 8.3) but I did get a .5 unit for ARZ.

No play on STL or ARI, SF W/3

ShivaBowl · 05-10-11, 11:54 AM

Yesterdays PR Plays 05/09
PIT +112 W
FLA –105 L
OAK +105 W
CWS +132 W
3-1 +2.44u
Start Date 05/01
29-25 +6.73 Units

Today’s Power Plays 05/10
PIT ½ Unit
FLA
SD

Filtered Out
KC n/p >+175
BAL n/p L/4
TB n/p IP <-20
TOR n/p L/3
TEX n/p L/2
HOU n/p L/3
MIN n/p L/3
LAA n/p CWS W/3
ARI n/p SF W/3

LOSEMYLOOT, will be taking over the PR Plays, starting tomorrow.
GL

ShivaBowl · 05-10-11, 12:07 PM

Scientific Approach 05/10
NYY, -241 No Play, NYY >-140
PIT, -203
PHI, -235
OAK, -165
DET, -310

Todays ML plays 05/10
FLA, TB, BOS

TPR Plays 05/10
DET 1.7
STL 1.2

Power Plays 05/10
PIT ½ Unit
FLA
SD

Bullpen Projected Runs for 5/10
PIT
WAS
STL
SD
DET

TX: will update the BPR plays.

HoulihansTX · 05-10-11, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Overall
(49-39) +13.18 Units
_____________________
May 9
Bullpen Projection System

Pitt 3.52 W (+110)
Philly 3.15 W (+100)
Reds 1.98W (-135)
Oakland 1.31 W (+108)
Milwaukee 1.03 W (-140)

Overall
(54-39) +18.36 Units

_____________________
May 10
Bullpen Projection System

Pitt 5.29
Detroit 2.86
Washington 2.60
STL 2.51
Kansas City 2.27
San Diego 1.90

Cleveland np (Tampa W2)
Seattle np L2
Toronto np L3

HoulihansTX · 05-10-11, 01:07 PM

Tampa Bay pitcher <20 IP's, therefore cannot be a ML play.

Timetobet34 · 05-10-11, 02:17 PM

BOL today system trackers and thanks for the time you all have put in so far this season!

thienlong82 · 05-10-11, 03:34 PM

Thank you all for your hard work. BOL everyone

Tommygunn · 05-10-11, 03:40 PM

Yes thank you guys

. Your hard work is greatly appreciated.

joeytunes · 05-10-11, 05:33 PM

i agree like all of u very much

DaProfessor23 · 05-10-11, 06:07 PM

hey houlihan can you clarify for me the bullpen projection system. what teams to bet? the ones you listed, or take the over/under??

HoulihansTX · 05-10-11, 09:36 PM

Originally posted by DaProfessor23

hey houlihan can you clarify for me the bullpen projection system. what teams to bet? the ones you listed, or take the over/under??

Play the teams in bold

scratbandit · 05-10-11, 09:52 PM

been following thanks for all the work guys..

ShivaBowl · 05-11-11, 01:27 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
Overall
(49-39) +13.18 Units
_____________________
May 9
Bullpen Projection System

Pitt 3.52 W (+110)
Philly 3.15 W (+100)
Reds 1.98W (-135)
Oakland 1.31 W (+108)
Milwaukee 1.03 W (-140)

Overall
(54-39) +18.36 Units

rask7rask7 · 05-11-11, 06:40 AM

great play last night

Formulawiz · 05-11-11, 07:09 AM

Todays ML plays

CIN, COL?, STL, BOS, TB

Dollar Bin · 05-11-11, 07:18 AM

The Bullpen Projection System just keeps churning along

BrewMaster · 05-11-11, 07:44 AM

10May11 Result: 1-3
May Record: 24-25 (-0.94 units)

Scientific Approach 11May11:

CIN, -416
TOR, -269

System NO PLAY if >-140. Good Luck.

losemyloot · 05-11-11, 07:55 AM

Yesterdays PR Plays 05/10
PIT ½ Unit –116 L
FLA –106 W
SD +145 L
1-2 -.58u
Start Date 05/01
30-27 +6.15 Units

ShivaBowl · 05-11-11, 08:16 AM

Yesterdays TPR Plays 05/10
DET –107 W
STL –115 W
2-0 +2.u
Start Date 05/01 –2.39u
14-17

ShivaBowl · 05-11-11, 08:17 AM

TPR Plays 05/11
DET 1.9
TEX 1.8
STL 1.3
MLW 1.2

ARI 1.2 n/p L/2
ATL 1.0 >-140
LAA 1.0 n/p CWS IP -20

ShivaBowl · 05-11-11, 08:19 AM

Filtered Out TPR plays, went 4-1; sometimes these filters work
against you, we need to track them to see what’s working.

BrewMaster, if the No Play >-140 on SA is not working for you? drop it or move it up to >-150
BOL

losemyloot · 05-11-11, 09:01 AM

Power Plays 05/11
MIL
DET
TEX
CIN
BAL
CLE
BOS
WAS
FLA 1/2
STL

NP if > -130 (MIL, BOS are close)

Good Luck

losemyloot · 05-11-11, 09:01 AM

Large number of Power Plays today hopefully as the season goes on the numbers will get smaller.

HoulihansTX · 05-11-11, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Overall
(54-39) +18.36 Units
_____________________
May 10
Bullpen Projection System

Pitt 5.29 L (-120)
Detroit 2.86 W (-105)
Washington 2.60 W (+180)
STL 2.51 W (-115)
Kansas City 2.27 L (+185)
San Diego 1.90L (+145)

Overall
(57-42) +18.96 Units

_____________________
May 11
Bullpen Projection System

Mets 5.25
Toronto 3.76
Pitt 3.54
Angels 2.97
Washington 2.80
Oakland 2.44
Detroit 1.56

San Diego np L2
Seattle np L2

ShivaBowl · 05-11-11, 09:24 AM

HoulihansTX, SD has turned into the PIT and CHC, of last year? I'm thinking of making SD a
1/2 unit play from now on.
If they continue to come up as system plays?
BOL

ShivaBowl · 05-11-11, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by Dollar Bin

The Bullpen Projection System just keeps churning along

It’s just a gold mine and HoulihansTX does a great job with it!
Its one of many Sportrends Systems, that I use everyday.
GL

HoulihansTX · 05-11-11, 09:42 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

HoulihansTX, SD has turned into the PIT and CHC, of last year? I'm thinking of making SD a 1/2 unit play from now on. If they continue to come up as system plays? BOL

You are right. San Diego's bullpen keeps them in play for the system, but their bats keep them from winning.

From this point forth, we will make San Diego a half unit play.

BrewMaster · 05-11-11, 10:12 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Filtered Out TPR plays, went 4-1; sometimes these filters work
against you, we need to track them to see what’s working.

BrewMaster, if the No Play >-140 on SA is not working for you? drop it or move it up to >-150
BOL

There haven't been a terrible amount of plays eliminated due to this filter, although the Yanks were a win last night that did filter out.

Starting tomorrow, I'll bump it up to -150, then maybe -160 a week or two after that. The books are going to pick up speed on giving weaker value on favorites come end of May to June.

Timetobet34 · 05-11-11, 11:22 AM

Mets are off due to rain and snow in Denver http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slu...kies-postponed
Same pitchers expected.
For BPS.

barts185 · 05-11-11, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by Timetobet34

Mets are off due to rain and snow in Denver http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slu...kies-postponed
Same pitchers expected.
For BPS.

Yes, then cancelled that one early. Make up is tomorrow.

Wondering if BP ratings change with rest?

ShivaBowl · 05-11-11, 12:26 PM

May 11

Bullpen Projection System
Mets 5.25
Toronto 3.76
Pitt 3.54
Angels 2.97
Washington 2.80
Oakland 2.44
Detroit 1.56

San Diego np L2
Seattle np L2

PR Plays
MIL n/p if MIL >-130
DET
TEX
CIN
BAL
CLE
BOS, n/p if BOS >-130
WAS
FLA 1/2
STL

TPR Plays
DET 1.9
TEX 1.8
STL 1.3
MLW 1.2

ARI 1.2 n/p L/2
ATL 1.0 >-140
LAA 1.0 n/p CWS IP -20

Scientific Approach
CIN, -416
TOR, -269

SEA, n/p L/3
ATL, n/p >-140
CHC, n/p L/2

Todays ML plays
CIN, COL?, STL, BOS, TB

Small Timer · 05-11-11, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Overall
(57-42) +18.96 Units

_____________________
May 11
Bullpen Projection System

Mets 5.25
Toronto 3.76
Pitt 3.54
Angels 2.97
Washington 2.80
Oakland 2.44
Detroit 1.56

San Diego np L2
Seattle np L2

Looks like Washington got the best of the Bullpen battle in their game. I was thrilled to see the Oakland game get postponed today, certainly saved us some trouble

.

rask7rask7 · 05-12-11, 07:12 AM

Good luck for today plays.

Dollar Bin · 05-12-11, 07:39 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

It’s just a gold mine and HoulihansTX does a great job with it!
Its one of many Sportrends Systems, that I use everyday.
GL

Are you playing every one of the systems covered in your thread? If so, are you playing each system independently? Meaning are you playing the teams if they conflict between two systems or increasing bet size for teams that show up in more then one system?

I've just been using the the Bullpen Projection System but think expanding to using the others may be beneficial.

BTW - Yes, HoulihansTX is doing an awesome job! As are all of you guys!