New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

ShivaBowl · 05-04-11, 08:19 AM

SA Plays 05/02
2-2
+12.00
YTD: 05/01 +351.00

Yesterdays, SA System Plays 05/03
1-3
-258.00
YTD: 05/01 +93.00

rask7rask7 · 05-04-11, 08:39 AM

Bad day yesterday, but very good YTD record

ShivaBowl · 05-04-11, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by rask7rask7

Bad day yesterday, but very good YTD record

Bad day what System?

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
Overall
(32-22) +12.93Units

Yesterdays PR System 05/03
3-1
+290.00

YTD: 05/01 +558.50

Yesterdays TPR Plays 05/03
1-0
+100.00
NYY, dropped out >-150

YTD: 05/01 +191.00

Yesterdays, SA System Plays 05/03
1-3
-258.00
YTD: 05/01 +93.00

Plays Later

ShivaBowl · 05-04-11, 09:20 AM

TPR Plays 05/04
CLE, 1.9
KC, 1.9
NYM, 1.1

TEX, 2.2 n/p L/3
NYY, 1.5 n/p IP,<-20
STL, 1.2 n/p >-140

HoulihansTX · 05-04-11, 09:30 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Overall
(32-22) +12.93Units
_____________________
May 3
Bullpen Projection System

Kansas City 3.68 W (-120)
Mets 2.52 L (-130)
Florida 1.63 L (+115)

Overall
(33-24) +11.63Units
_____________________
May 4
Bullpen Projection System

Kansas City 4.96
Philly 3.96
Minny 2.84
Mets 2.75
Cubs 1.40

Cincy np L2
Toronto np L2
Colorado L2
Oakland np (Cleveland W2)

ShivaBowl · 05-04-11, 09:33 AM

HoulihansTX
Bullpen Projection System
Overall
(33-24) +11.63Units

Nice Work HoulihansTx
BOL, Shiva

ShivaBowl · 05-04-11, 09:40 AM

PR Plays 05/04
NYM
MIN
ARZ
CLE
FLA, ½ Unit

ShivaBowl · 05-04-11, 09:43 AM

Originally Posted by HoulihansTX
May 4
Bullpen Projection System

Kansas City 4.96
Philly 3.96
Minny 2.84
Mets 2.75
Cubs 1.40

Originally Posted by ShivaBowl
TPR Plays 05/04
CLE, 1.9
KC, 1.9
NYM, 1.1

PR Plays 05/04
NYM
MIN
ARZ
CLE
FLA, ½ Unit

BrewMaster, SA Plays
SF,-2.10
CLE, -1.62
CHC, -1.57
PIT, -1.10

Formulawiz
Todays ML plays LAD, SD, SF, CWS

BrewMaster · 05-04-11, 10:17 AM

03May11 Result: 1-3
May Record: 9-8

Scientific Approach 04May11:

Cubs, -1.57
Giants, -2.10
Indians, -1.62
Pirates, -1.10

System NO PLAY if >-140. Good Luck.

Yeesh. Cubs and Buccos...

ShivaBowl · 05-04-11, 11:07 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Formulawiz
Todays ML plays LAD, SD, SF, CWS

thienlong82 · 05-04-11, 11:48 AM

Thank you guys.

MrShrink · 05-04-11, 12:07 PM

just a thought... perhaps keep a record of any plays that qualify in 3 or more of your systems. call it the "concensus super-picks" or something. CLE and NYM would qualify today. thanks and gl.

peterpan19 · 05-04-11, 12:25 PM

gl tonight

losemyloot · 05-04-11, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by MrShrink

just a thought... perhaps keep a record of any plays that qualify in 3 or more of your systems. call it the "concensus super-picks" or something. CLE and NYM would qualify today. thanks and gl.

I like this idea!

joeytunes · 05-04-11, 05:16 PM

good call ive been doin it

BrewMaster · 05-05-11, 06:52 AM

04May11 Result: 3-1 (+2.30 u)
May Record: 12-9 (+ 3.20 u)

Scientific Approach 05May11:

Giants, -2.66
Rays, -1.25
Cardinals, -1.08
Royals, -2.01
Rockies, -1.55

Lines were a little off today at ST. May want to double check.
System NO PLAY if >-140. Good Luck.

rask7rask7 · 05-05-11, 07:15 AM

Congrats guys, keep up the good work

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 07:40 AM

Yesterdays TPR Plays 05/04
0-3
-$300
YTD: 05/01 -109
6-8

Yesterdays PR Plays 05/04
2-3
-64
YTD: 05/01 +494.50
14-10

Plays Later

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 07:52 AM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

04May11 Result: 3-1 May Record: 12-9 Plays later.

BrewMaster, Please keep a daily and ytd, record, $ or units.
To keep it simple, use the closing lines on SBR.
Thank You

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://www.sbrforum.com/mlb-baseball/odds-scores/20110504/

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

Yesterdays, SA System Plays 05/04
3-1
+231.00
YTD: 05/01 +324.00

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 08:15 AM

Today's TPR Plays 05/05
TEX, 2.3
KC, 1.7
STL, 1.1

CLE, 1.8 n/p IP
NYY, 1.2 n/p L/2
PHI, 1.0 n/p >-140
NYM, 1.0 n/p L/2

HoulihansTX · 05-05-11, 08:39 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Overall
(33-24) +11.63Units
_____________________
May 4
Bullpen Projection System

Kansas City 4.96 L (+100)
Philly 3.96 W (-150)
Minny 2.84 W (+155)
Mets 2.75 L (+125)
Cubs 1.40W (+105)

Overall
(36-26) +13.23Units

_____________________
May 5
Bullpen Projection System

Cincy 4.95
Kansas City 2.79
Colorado 1.68
Toronto 1.30

Yanks np L2
Mets np L2
Oakland np -175
Milwaukee np L2
Philly np >-175

BrewMaster · 05-05-11, 09:54 AM

I am going to try tracking a system that uses ratios of the systems based on winning percentages and units gained to calculate value. Shiva, can you post the PR system overall record?

Thanks

BrewMaster · 05-05-11, 09:59 AM

Is the PR system 12-8?

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

Is the PR system 12-8?

I have no idea I will go back and look
Thanks

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

Is the PR system 12-8?

TPR, Start date 05/01 6-8
PR, Start 05/01 14-10
SA, 05/01 15-10

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by MrShrink

just a thought... perhaps keep a record of any plays that qualify in 3 or more of your systems. call it the "concensus super-picks" or something. CLE and NYM would qualify today. thanks and gl.

Sounds good,... your more then welcome to post here, just keep a daily and year to date.
Thanks for your help.
Shiva

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 11:00 AM

Today’s PR Plays 05/05
Updated
TOR, 1/2 Unit
KC,
COL,
TEX,
STL,

NYM np L/2
CLE np IP <-20
WAS np L/2

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 11:02 AM

Scientific Approach
Giants, -2.66
Rays, -1.25
Cardinals, -1.08
Royals, -2.01
Rockies, -1.55
Mariners, -1.13 ??

Bullpen Projection System
Cincy 4.95
Kansas City 2.79
Colorado 1.68
Toronto 1.30

TPR Plays 05/05
TEX, 2.3
KC, 1.7
STL, 1.1

PR Plays 05/05
TOR, 1/2 Unit
KC,
COL,
TEX,
STL,

losemyloot · 05-05-11, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Today’s PR Plays 05/05
Updated
TOR,
KC,
COL,
TEX,
STL,

NYM np L/2
CLE np IP <-20
WAS np L/2

SB, would Tor be a 1/2 unit play since their T-Power is not < Tampa Bay's by the 100 pts?

ShivaBowl · 05-05-11, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by losemyloot

SB, would Tor be a 1/2 unit play since their T-Power is not < Tampa Bay's by the 100 pts?

Right,... thanks, I had a feeling, that I was missing one today.
Thanks
BOL

BrewMaster · 05-05-11, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Scientific Approach
Giants, -2.66
Rays, -1.25
Cardinals, -1.08
Royals, -2.01
Rockies, -1.55
Mariners, -1.13 ??

Bullpen Projection System
Cincy 4.95
Kansas City 2.79
Colorado 1.68
Toronto 1.30

TPR Plays 05/05
TEX, 2.3
KC, 1.7
STL, 1.1

PR Plays 05/05
TOR, 1/2 Unit
KC,
COL,
TEX,
STL,

Shiva, looks like Mariners are falling out with a +101 its only a .14 differential. I couldn't get the line early in the morning.

GGZOLA · 05-05-11, 12:06 PM

WHAT do you do/how do you play when you have opposing teams, such as tor in one system today,
and tb in another shiva?

BrewMaster · 05-05-11, 12:13 PM

Value based on winning % multiplier for BP, SA and PR plays

SF 0.57
TB -0.61
KC 1.75
STL 0.57
COL 1.75
TOR 0.61
TEX 0.60
CIN 0.58

Formulawiz · 05-05-11, 03:40 PM

Todays ML plays

NYM, ARI, DET, BOS

Tommygunn · 05-05-11, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by Formulawiz

Todays ML plays

NYM, ARI, DET, BOS

Wiz, are you posting these plays after the games have already started because this system doesn't kick in till May.15?