New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

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  • BrewMaster
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-03-10
    • 555

    #1261
    Record to be updated.

    Scientific Approach 04Jul11:

    WAS
    PIT
    TB
    CIN
    CLE
    ATL
    NYM, np >-103

    Filtered (TOR, PHI, DET)
    System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
    Comment
    • wikaj
      SBR Hustler
      • 10-23-10
      • 93

      #1262
      Sorry for the <-155 mix up. I typed it out wrong. And thanks for the ML plays Houli, much appreciated. GL
      Comment
      • barts185
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-13-09
        • 815

        #1263
        Originally posted by HoulihansTX
        Angels np <-125
        Florida np <+125 (so +126 and so on=NP)
        Pitt np <-130
        Boston np <-130

        STL np L2
        Dodgers np L2

        Any mistakes, please correct Bart.
        I'm hesitant to say anything about the ML plays since I come up with plays that are different than Formulawiz a lot of the time. So I don't know that it does any good for me to be posting plays which obviously don't use the same method which he is using.
        Comment
        • barts185
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-13-09
          • 815

          #1264
          Originally posted by barts185
          I'm hesitant to say anything about the ML plays since I come up with plays that are different than Formulawiz a lot of the time. So I don't know that it does any good for me to be posting plays which obviously don't use the same method which he is using.
          Having said that, other than your list, the other possible play I get is NYY at -115 or worse. CLE is projected ML of -110, so I use +110 for NYY and then 25 cents from that would be NYY -115 or worse. I don't know if that's right, but since NYY are the favorites, and sometimes it has been said to use the favorite to determine a play.
          Last edited by barts185; 07-04-11, 03:04 PM.
          Comment
          • Formulawiz
            Restricted User
            • 01-12-09
            • 1589

            #1265
            Originally posted by wikaj
            Can somebody post the M/L plays please. I cant figure it out
            Todays ML plays PIT, FLA, NYY, LAA. Fav must be < -140
            Last edited by Formulawiz; 07-04-11, 06:05 PM.
            Comment
            • wikaj
              SBR Hustler
              • 10-23-10
              • 93

              #1266
              Thanks wiz
              Comment
              • agos
                SBR Hustler
                • 01-30-11
                • 54

                #1267
                gl on your plays today
                Comment
                • Formulawiz
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-12-09
                  • 1589

                  #1268
                  ML plays went 2-2, -0.25 units
                  YTD 79-45, +23.95 units

                  plays later today
                  Comment
                  • Formulawiz
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-12-09
                    • 1589

                    #1269
                    Todays ML play. Fav must be < -140

                    MIN
                    Comment
                    • ShivaBowl
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-09-10
                      • 5133

                      #1270
                      07/04/11
                      H/A System Plays 2-0
                      Start Date 05/29
                      41-28 +9.05u

                      P/T System Plays 3-0
                      Start Date 06/12
                      23-17 +4.245u


                      07/05/11

                      H/A Plays
                      Filter No Play if >-150
                      STL
                      PHI
                      SEA

                      P/T Plays
                      Filter No Play if >-150
                      PHI
                      TAM
                      SEA
                      Comment
                      • BrewMaster
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-03-10
                        • 555

                        #1271
                        Record since 15May11: 98-87 (+10.62 units)

                        Scientific Approach 05Jul11:

                        STL
                        PHI
                        KC
                        NYM, np > -125

                        Filtered (TB, DET)
                        System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
                        Comment
                        • usernametaken
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-08-11
                          • 514

                          #1272
                          Nice work.
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #1273
                            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                            Official start (May 15 - Current)
                            Overall
                            (144-122)54% +20.20 Units
                            ___________________
                            Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                            July 3
                            Bullpen Projection System

                            Florida 4.33 W (+180)
                            Brew 3.33 L (-115)
                            Oak 2.87 W (-115)
                            Pitt 2.54 W (+140)
                            SF 1.93 L (+110)
                            Cleve 1.31 L (+160)
                            _________

                            TPR
                            (59-70) –14.88u

                            Brew 1.4 L (-115)
                            Zona 1.4 L (+105)
                            Yanks 1.0 L (-130)
                            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                            July 4
                            Bullpen Projection System

                            Pitt 6.70 W (-130)
                            Balty 5.02 5.02 L (+180)
                            Cleve 3.94 W (+110)
                            Angels 2.71 W (-125)
                            Colo 2.68 L (+120)
                            Cubs 2.32 L (+170)
                            Boston 2.11 L (-145)
                            Florida 2.03 L (-110)
                            Oak 1.84 L (-105)
                            KC 1.59 L (+130)

                            TPR
                            Yanks 1.2 L (-120)
                            Boston 1.0 L (-145)
                            March 26 to May 14
                            Overall
                            (68-52) +22.56 Units

                            Official start (May 15 - Current)
                            Overall
                            (150-132)53% +16.75Units
                            ___________________
                            Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                            July 5
                            Bullpen Projection System

                            Angels 6.74
                            Pitt 6.24
                            Florida 4.43
                            Cubs 4.39
                            Balty 2.59
                            KC 1.06

                            No Plays
                            Dodgers np L2 4.41
                            Tampa np(Minny W2) 3.81
                            Brew np>-150 3.25
                            Yanks np L2 2.04
                            Colo np L2 1.79
                            _____________

                            TPR
                            (59-75)20.98Units
                            No Plays
                            Yanks np L2 1.2
                            Tampa np(Minny W2) 1.0
                            Comment
                            • barts185
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-13-09
                              • 815

                              #1274
                              Bullpen Projection System

                              In case anyone is tracking, I also get SFO np L2 and possibly the line (definitely too high at the open)
                              Comment
                              • Tommygunn
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-26-09
                                • 669

                                #1275
                                Great night! Thanks for all the hard work guys.

                                BOL
                                Comment
                                • ShivaBowl
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 03-09-10
                                  • 5133

                                  #1276
                                  07/05/11
                                  H/A System Plays Went 3-0
                                  STL –128 W
                                  PHI –140 W
                                  SEA +104 W
                                  Start Date 05/29
                                  44-28 +12.09u

                                  P/T System Plays Went 2-1
                                  PHI –140 W
                                  TAM –110 L
                                  SEA +104 W
                                  Start Date 06/12
                                  25-18 +5.38u
                                  Comment
                                  • Formulawiz
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 01-12-09
                                    • 1589

                                    #1277
                                    ML system went 1-0, +1.0 unit
                                    YTD 80-45, +24.95 units

                                    ML plays later today

                                    By the way, so far this is one of the best baseball seasons I ever had in over 20 years between sportrends internet service, software and the free systems we are using.
                                    Comment
                                    • ShivaBowl
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 03-09-10
                                      • 5133

                                      #1278
                                      07/06/11
                                      H/A Plays
                                      Filter No Play if >-150
                                      MIN
                                      STL 1/2U

                                      P/T Plays
                                      Filter No Play if >-150
                                      TOR
                                      Comment
                                      • BrewMaster
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-03-10
                                        • 555

                                        #1279
                                        Shiva, where did you get PHI yesterday at -140? SBR is showing closing at -163.
                                        Comment
                                        • BrewMaster
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-03-10
                                          • 555

                                          #1280
                                          Record since 15May11: 101-87 (+14.05 units)

                                          Scientific Approach 06Jul11:

                                          KC
                                          ARZ
                                          CLE
                                          WAS
                                          PIT, np > -120
                                          TOR
                                          PHI
                                          NYM, np < +120
                                          SD, np <+117

                                          Filtered (TB, CIN)
                                          System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
                                          Comment
                                          • Small Timer
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 01-12-11
                                            • 389

                                            #1281
                                            BrewMaster, looks like that system is really turning around and putting up some solid results, keep it up.
                                            Comment
                                            • Formulawiz
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 01-12-09
                                              • 1589

                                              #1282
                                              Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

                                              MIN, CWS?, LAA?, BOS?
                                              Comment
                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 02-12-09
                                                • 30566

                                                #1283
                                                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                Overall
                                                (68-52) +22.56 Units

                                                Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                                Overall
                                                (150-132)53% +16.75Units
                                                ___________________
                                                Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                                July 5
                                                Bullpen Projection System

                                                Angels 6.74 W (+105)
                                                Pitt 6.24 W (-110)
                                                Florida 4.43 L (+130)
                                                Cubs 4.39L (+115)
                                                Balty 2.59 L (+180)
                                                KC 1.06 W (+130)
                                                _____________
                                                TPR
                                                (59-75)20.98Units
                                                No Plays
                                                March 26 to May 14
                                                Overall

                                                (68-52) +22.56 Units

                                                Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                                Overall
                                                (153-135)53% +17.10Units
                                                ___________________
                                                Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                                July 6
                                                Bullpen Projection System

                                                Angels 7.00
                                                Pitt 6.11
                                                Yanks 1.81
                                                CWS 1.09

                                                No Plays
                                                Brew np L2 4.81
                                                Balty np L2 3.59
                                                Cubs np L2 3.42
                                                Tampa np L2 3.24
                                                Dodgers np L2 2.47
                                                Colo np L2 1.92
                                                Florida np L2 1.32
                                                _________________
                                                TPR
                                                (59-75)20.98Units

                                                Yanks 1.3
                                                Comment
                                                • Formulawiz
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                  • 1589

                                                  #1284
                                                  ML plays went 0-1, -1.1 units

                                                  YTD 80-46, 23.85 units

                                                  plays later today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ShivaBowl
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 03-09-10
                                                    • 5133

                                                    #1285
                                                    MLB 2011 Premium Internet Service Plays 95 - 42 ( + 49.35 Units )
                                                    Complimentary Selection from Sportrends, for 7/7/2011
                                                    Take Detroit W/Scherzer over Kansas City W/Duffy NO PLAY if DET > -135
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ShivaBowl
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-09-10
                                                      • 5133

                                                      #1286
                                                      07/06/11
                                                      H/A System Plays Went 0-2
                                                      Start Date 05/29
                                                      44-30 +10.38

                                                      P/T System Plays Went 0-1
                                                      Start Date 06/12
                                                      25-19 +4.38u


                                                      07/07/11
                                                      H/A Plays
                                                      WAS 1/2U
                                                      DET 1/2U
                                                      LAA 1/2U
                                                      SDP 1U

                                                      P/T Plays
                                                      Filter No Play if >-150
                                                      SDP
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Formulawiz
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 01-12-09
                                                        • 1589

                                                        #1287
                                                        Todays ML plays

                                                        CIN?, STL?, SD?

                                                        Check line 15 minutes prior to start of game and make sure fav < -140
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mangina11
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 02-01-10
                                                          • 397

                                                          #1288
                                                          Good luck today with your plays
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BrewMaster
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-03-10
                                                            • 555

                                                            #1289
                                                            Record since 15May11: To be updated

                                                            Scientific Approach 07Jul11:

                                                            NYY
                                                            BOS
                                                            KC, np < +104
                                                            CIN
                                                            NYM, np < +105
                                                            SD, np < +100
                                                            FLA

                                                            Filtered (OAK, CWS, a few games will fall out due to -150 filter)
                                                            System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
                                                            Comment
                                                            • HoulihansTX
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-12-09
                                                              • 30566

                                                              #1290
                                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                              Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                                              Overall
                                                              (153-135)53% +17.10Units
                                                              ___________________
                                                              Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                                              July 6
                                                              Bullpen Projection System
                                                              Angels 7.00 L (-120)
                                                              Pitt 6.11L (-115)
                                                              Yanks 1.81 L (-105)
                                                              CWS 1.09 L (-140)

                                                              _________________
                                                              TPR
                                                              (59-75)20.98Units
                                                              Yanks 1.3 L (-105)
                                                              March 26 to May 14
                                                              Overall
                                                              (68-52) +22.56 Units


                                                              Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                                              Overall
                                                              (153-139)52% +12.70Units
                                                              ___________________
                                                              Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                                              July 7
                                                              Bullpen Projection System
                                                              KC 7.56
                                                              SD 4.91
                                                              Stl 4.71
                                                              Cincy 2.37
                                                              Florida 2.15
                                                              Sea 1.54

                                                              No Plays
                                                              CWS np L2 6.04
                                                              Yanks np>-150 5.67
                                                              Cubs np L2 3.88
                                                              Oak np(TX W2) 3.22
                                                              Toronto np L2 2.98
                                                              Dodgers np L2 1.12
                                                              ________________
                                                              TPR
                                                              (59-75)22.03Units

                                                              Texas 2.2


                                                              No Plays
                                                              Boston np >-150 1.4
                                                              Angels np>-150 1.1
                                                              Yanks np>-150 1.1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Formulawiz
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-12-09
                                                                • 1589

                                                                #1291
                                                                ML system went 0-2, -2.0 units
                                                                YTD 80-48, +21.85 units

                                                                I was asked why the system is hitting a high win/loss % but the units are much lower. When I first started off this season in mid May I was using a filter of -160 instead of -140. We had a few losing favorites which caused this situation. Right now the number of games have been cut down which is just fine with me. Secondly, when I started looking at the ML system in mid April it was on fire and I believe it hit well into the 70% range with a hefty unit production. Lets hope it keeps up for the rest of the season.

                                                                ML plays later today.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Formulawiz
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 01-12-09
                                                                  • 1589

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BrewMaster
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 12-03-10
                                                                    • 555

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    Record since 15May11: 106-96 (+10.33 units)

                                                                    Scientific Approach 08Jul11:

                                                                    CHC
                                                                    DET, np > -138

                                                                    Filtered (HOU, CIN, SEA)
                                                                    System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
                                                                    Last edited by BrewMaster; 07-08-11, 10:22 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • wikaj
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 10-23-10
                                                                      • 93

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      no ML plays today wiz?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • HoulihansTX
                                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                        • 02-12-09
                                                                        • 30566

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                        Official start (May 15 - Current)
                                                                        Overall (153-139)52% +12.70Units
                                                                        ___________________
                                                                        Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                                                        July 7
                                                                        Bullpen Projection System
                                                                        KC 7.56L (+105)
                                                                        SD 4.91 L (-105)
                                                                        Stl 4.71 L (-130)
                                                                        Cincy 2.37 L (+100)
                                                                        Florida 2.15 W (-140)
                                                                        Sea 1.54 L (+175)
                                                                        ________________
                                                                        TPR
                                                                        (59-75)22.03Units
                                                                        Texas 2.2
                                                                        W (-135)
                                                                        March 26 to May 14
                                                                        Overall
                                                                        (68-52) +22.56 Units

                                                                        Official start (May 15 - Current)

                                                                        Overall
                                                                        (154-144) +8.30Units
                                                                        ___________________
                                                                        Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

                                                                        July 8
                                                                        Bullpen Projection System
                                                                        Atl 3.96
                                                                        Cubs 1.02 (1/2Unit)

                                                                        No Plays
                                                                        KC np (Det W2) 9.07
                                                                        CWS np L2 4.08
                                                                        Mets np(SF W2) 3.65
                                                                        Oak np L2 3.37
                                                                        Colo np L2 2.99
                                                                        Sea np L2 2.47
                                                                        Yanks np L2 2.08
                                                                        Cincy np(Brew W2) 1.83
                                                                        SD np L2 1.59
                                                                        Balty np L2 1.05
                                                                        ________________
                                                                        TPR

                                                                        (60-75)21.03Units

                                                                        TX 2.3

                                                                        No Plays
                                                                        Boston np >-150 1.5
                                                                        Angels np>-150 1.2
                                                                        Yanks np L2 1.0







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