New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

**Tommygunn** · 07-16-11, 11:07 AM

Hi Everybody,

I will be taking over the P/T and will be using the same filters Shiva has all year:

No Play if > -150
Never bet against a team on a 2 game winning streak or more ?.
Never bet on teams that are on a 2 game or more losing streak.

If for the first little while you see a problem with one of my plays or miss one please let me know. Please be patient for the first couple weeks.

Plays coming within the hour.

Thanks,

TG

**Tommygunn** · 07-16-11, 11:08 AM

Complimentary Selection for 7/16/2011

Take Cleveland W/Carrasco over Baltimore W/Simon NO PLAY if > -120

**Tommygunn** · 07-16-11, 11:30 AM

P/T July-16-11

Philly
St.Louis
LAA 1st game - Weaver

NP > -150

Filtered

NYY L2 also just over 20 IP Diff
Atl >-150
SD L7

**ShivaBowl** · 07-16-11, 11:33 AM

07/16/11
H/A Plays
CHC
PHI
ATL ½ Unit
STL
LAA, Weaver

**Tommygunn** · 07-16-11, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by BrewMaster

Record since 15May11: 112-107 (+4.89 units)

Scientific Approach 16Jul11:

CWS
PHI, NP >-147
TB
CLE
PIT
KC
ANA
COL
SF, NP <+118

Filtered (NYY)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

Brew,

ANA game 1 or 2 ???

**HoulihansTX** · 07-16-11, 11:52 AM

July 16
BPR
Cubs 4.56
Cleve 4.53
KC 3.31
CWS 3.15
Boston 1.94
Pitt 1.47

No Plays
Mets np L2 3.37
Sea np L2 2.99
Brew np L2 2.32
Zona np L2 2.06

TPR
TX 2.6
Boston 1.6
Angels 1.1(GM1)

**HoulihansTX** · 07-16-11, 11:57 AM

Welcome to the team Tommy. Thanks for posting.

**ShivaBowl** · 07-16-11, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Welcome to the team Tommy. Thanks for posting.

Originally posted by BrewMaster

Welcome to the squad TG!

Good Work TG, All your P/T System Plays and no plays look good.

BOL

**ShivaBowl** · 07-16-11, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by Tommygunn

Brew, ANA game 1 or 2 ???

Using filter? Make sure a pitcher has pitched at least 20 innings.
LAA with Santana No Play if LAA > -150
LAA with Weaver, No Play if LAA > -150
If LAA lost game #1 No Play on LAA for game #2.

Brew would have made LAA with Weaver as the S/A Play for today, no play if LAA with Weaver > -150

**ShivaBowl** · 07-16-11, 01:12 PM

FYI: Mets OF Carlos Beltran not in lineup Saturday due to flu-like symptoms.

**Formulawiz** · 07-16-11, 04:19 PM

Originally posted by wikaj

ML play LAA 2nd game with Santana vs. Harden right wiz?

No the other game.

**wikaj** · 07-16-11, 07:12 PM

So you meant 1st game

**Formulawiz** · 07-17-11, 07:31 AM

ML system went 1-1, -0.1 units

YTD 89-49, +29.75 units

Todays plays

HOU, SD, OAK, TEX. Fav must be < -140

**HoulihansTX** · 07-17-11, 08:23 AM

July 17
BPR
Colo 3.74
Mets 3.72
Cleve 3.46
Boston 2.47
Cubs 1.84 (1/2U)
Hou 1.63
CWS 1.24

No Plays
Sea np L2 2.14
Zona np>-150 1.98
Atl np>-150 1.15

TPR
TX 2.6
Boston 1.6
Angels 1.0
KC 1.0

**HoulihansTX** · 07-17-11, 08:24 AM

Records will be updated tomorrow 10am pacific.

**ShivaBowl** · 07-17-11, 11:24 AM

07/16/11
H/A System Went 2-3
Start Date 06/01
60-44 +10.43u

07/17/11
H /A System Plays
TOR
KC

**BrewMaster** · 07-17-11, 12:04 PM

Record since 15May11: to be updated

Scientific Approach 17Jul11:

CWS
TOR
STL, NP >-116
PHI
CLE
KC
FLA, NP >-131
MLW
SF, NP >-128
ARZ
BOS

Filtered (SEA)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**Tommygunn** · 07-17-11, 12:14 PM

P/T July.17.1!

CWS
OAK
SF
ARZ

np >-150

**Tommygunn** · 07-17-11, 12:15 PM

Complimentary Selection for 7/17/2011

Take Boston W/Beckett over Tampa Bay W/Niemann NO PLAY if > -140

**Tommygunn** · 07-17-11, 04:34 PM

Yesterday P/T System Went 2-1
Start Date 06/12
34-25 +6.65u

**Aussiecapper101** · 07-17-11, 08:07 PM

2nd half of the season gotta feeling u guys r gonna fire up! All I need is a bankroll haha
Good luck fellas

**ShivaBowl** · 07-18-11, 06:31 AM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

2nd half of the season gotta feeling u guys r gonna fire up! All I need is a bankroll haha Good luck fellas

Thanks Aussie, save your money, AI is just around the corner.
BOL

**Formulawiz** · 07-18-11, 06:54 AM

ML system went 2-2, -0.4 units

YTD 91-51, +29.35 units

Plays later today

**ShivaBowl** · 07-18-11, 08:00 AM

07/17/11
H/A System Went 0-2
TOR +112 L
KC +116 L
Start Date 06/01
60-46 +8.43u

07/18/11
Today’s H/A System Plays
ATL with Lowe
56.8—239.1

Sam, I’m in Lavallette this month and it’s a big help that you’re getting the systems up early.
Thank you!

**BrewMaster** · 07-18-11, 09:10 AM

Record since 15May11: 119-119 (-1.01 units)

Looks like the SA system continues to spin its wheels in the mud. Look for the system to turn around, then ride the wave until it cools off again.

Scientific Approach 18Jul11:

CIN
FLA
WAS, np > -148
CWS
ATL, np <+115
SF, np > -148

Filtered (BOS, TB)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

**Tommygunn** · 07-18-11, 10:28 AM

Yesterday P/T System Went 2-1 - +1.07 Units (ARZ fell out @ -156)
Start Date 06/12
36-26 +7.72u

Today's plays will be posted shortly

**Tommygunn** · 07-18-11, 10:30 AM

Complimentary Selection for 7/18/2011

Take Chi W Sox W/Buehrle over Kansas City W/Davies NO PLAY if > -125

**Tommygunn** · 07-18-11, 10:44 AM

P/T July.18.11

ATL
np>-150

**Formulawiz** · 07-18-11, 10:55 AM

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

HOU

**Aussiecapper101** · 07-18-11, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

Thanks Aussie, save your money, AI is just around the corner.
BOL

sounds good buddy and don't worry I'll definitely be back for football season, I cant wait

LOL

**HoulihansTX** · 07-18-11, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Official start (May 15 - Current) Overall (159-154) +3.65Units ___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 15
Bullpen Projection System
CWS 5.17 W (+180)
Brew 3.79 L (+115)
Pitt 3.50 W (-105)
Cleve 3.27 W (-105)
Cincy 2.40 (Watch Line) W (-145)
Angels 2.00 L (-125)
Boston 1.19 L (+145)
________________
TPR
(65-76) –17.03Units[/I]
TX 2.6 W (-125)
Angels 1.1 L (-125)
Boston 1.6 L (+145)

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

July 16
BPR
Cubs 4.56 L (-110)
Cleve 4.53 L (-110)
KC 3.31 L (+110)
CWS 3.15 W (+130)
Boston 1.94 W (+130)
Pitt 1.47 L (+120)

TPR
TX 2.6 W (-110)
Boston 1.6 W (+130)
Angels 1.1(GM1) W (-120)

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

July 17
BPR
Colo 3.74 L (-105)
Mets 3.72 L (-105)
Cleve 3.46 L (-110)
Boston 2.47 W (-135)
Cubs 1.84 (1/2U) L (+100)
Hou 1.63 L (-130)
CWS 1.24 L (+105)

TPR
TX 2.6W (-130)
Boston 1.6 W (-135)
Angels 1.0 L (+130)
KC 1.0 L (+120)

March 26 to May 14
Overall
(68-52) +22.56 Units

Official start (May 15 - Current)
Overall
(165-167) -1.85Units
___________________
Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher.

July 18
Bullpen Projection System
SF 3.69
ATL 1.21
Hou 1.05

No Plays
Boston np(Balty W2) 5.54
Mets np(FL W2) 5.07
Tampa np L2 2.89
Cubs np L2 1.91
Zona np(Brew W2) 1.48
__________________
TPR
(69-78) –13.98Units

Yanks 1.1

No Plays
Boston np(Balty W2) 1.5

Unreal how the BPR bleed away 20+ units of profit in under a month. Its cold as hell, but I myself have not jumped ship. I'm going to rid it out until the end of the season. I have lowered my unit size, and plan on grinding back to plus Units.

BOL

**gryfyn1** · 07-18-11, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Unreal how the BPR bleed away 20+ units of profit in under a month. Its cold as hell, but I myself have not jumped ship. I'm going to rid it out until the end of the season. I have lowered my unit size, and plan on grinding back to plus Units.

BOL

a quick look, since the AS break ive been looking at how the BPR does in the 2nd half bets. since the break its (12-8-2)

I back tested in and since may 15th it was only about .500, but it may be worth eyeing.

**ShivaBowl** · 07-18-11, 10:33 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

March 26 to May 14 Overall (68-52) +22.56 Units Official start (May 15 - Current) Overall (165-167) -1.85Units ___________________ Added Filter: No Play -150 or higher. July 18 Bullpen Projection System SF 3.69 ATL 1.21 Hou 1.05 No Plays Boston np(Balty W2) 5.54 Mets np(FL W2) 5.07 Tampa np L2 2.89 Cubs np L2 1.91 Zona np(Brew W2) 1.48 __________________ TPR (69-78) –13.98Units Yanks 1.1 No Plays Boston np(Balty W2) 1.5 BOL

ARZ W/2
BOS W/2

TPR is making a nice comeback,
all time low on 07/07/11 -22.03
As of today and I had BOS as a play -11.98 +10.05

P/T is on a nice run +7.72
Today ATL, +8.99

I think have to place more credence on a play, when both teams W/2
BOS and ARZ were plays today?
Thanks BOL

**Formulawiz** · 07-19-11, 07:14 AM

ML play went 0-1, -1.0 units

YTD 91-52, 28.35 units

Todays Plays. FAV must be < -140

FLA, ARI?, TEX

**ShivaBowl** · 07-19-11, 07:26 AM

07/18/11
H/A System Went 1-0
ATL +118 W
Start Date 06/01
61-46 +9.61u

07/19/11
Today’s H/A System Plays
STL,
33.0—220.0
FLA,
87.7—553.2
NYY,
51.9—518.3
WAS,
81.7—685.4
CWS,
85.2—703.9
ATL,
172.6—1606.7
TEX,
66.2—317.6