Iced's 2011 MLB Plays

[Iced]

Thursday, April 21, 2011 ----- RECAP
(2x) Chicago White Sox (ML) -102 ----- WIN (+2.04x
(2x) Minnesota Twins (ML) +127 ----- WIN (+2.54x)
(1x) Los Angeles Angels (ML) +155 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) New York Mets (-1 RL) +120 ----- WIN (+1.2x)

---

Friday, April 22, 2011
(2x) Chicago Cubs (ML) +100

Will be back with more players later. And I need to remember to do the recaps everyday.

2011 average MLB line: +117

2011 MLB Record: 40-39-6 (+14.955 units)

[Iced]

Friday, April 22, 2011 ----- ADDING PLAYS
(2x) St. Louis Cardinals (-1 RL) +117
(2x) Florida Marlins (ML) +104
(1x) Los Angeles Angels (ML) +111
(1x) Tampa Bay Rays (ML) -105
(1x) Phillies/Padres UNDER [6.5] -110

[Iced]

Friday, April 22, 2011 ----- RECAP
(2x) Chicago Cubs (ML) +100 ----- LOSS (-2x)
(2x) St. Louis Cardinals (-1 RL) +117 ----- WIN (+2.34x)
(2x) Florida Marlins (ML) +104 ----- WIN (+2.08x)
(1x) Los Angeles Angels (ML) +111 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) Tampa Bay Rays (ML) -105 ----- LOSS (-1.05x)
(1x) Phillies/Padres UNDER [6.5] -110 ----- WIN (+1x)

Solid night, gained another unit and change. Another tough loss with the Rays losing in extra innings but it's not a big deal.

2011 MLB Record: 43-42-6 (+16.325 units)

[Iced]

Saturday, April 23, 2011
(2x) Chicago White Sox (ML) -101
(1x) Cincinnati Reds (ML) +141

Only two plays today, good luck everyone.

2011 MLB Record: 43-42-6 (+16.325 units)

[Spartacuss]

Iced.. are u using the computer yet?

My record 65 - 64

[Iced]

Saturday, April 23, 2011 ----- RECAP
(2x) Chicago White Sox (ML) -101 ----- LOSS (-2.02x)
(1x) Cincinnati Reds (ML) +141 ----- WIN (+1.41x)

---

Sunday, April 24, 2011
(1x) San Francisco Giants (ML) -127
(1x) St. Louis Cardinals (ML) -110
(1x) Nationals/Pirates UNDER [8] +105

Happy Easter everyone and good luck on your plays.

2011 MLB Record: 44-43-6 (+15.715 units)

[Iced]

Iced.. are u using the computer yet? My record 65 - 64

Nope, not using the computer yet. I am going to start using the computer on May 3rd. My units will raise then and so will the profits. Congrats on your success thus far.

[Iced]

Sunday, April 24, 2011 ----- RECAP
(1x) San Francisco Giants (ML) -127 ----- LOSS (-1.27x)
(1x) St. Louis Cardinals (ML) -110 ----- WIN (+1x)
(1x) Nationals/Pirates UNDER [8] +105 ----- LOSS (-1x)

Yet another extra innings loss for me as Brian "The Beard" Wilson blows it in the 10th inning. Unreal amount of bad beats so far this year.

---

Monday, April 25, 2011
(2x) Chicago Cubs (ML) -122
(1.5x) Oakland Athletics (ML) +147
(1x) Florida Marlins (-1 RL) +111
(1x) Milwaukee Brewers (-1 RL) +126

I really like the Cubs in this spot and I think Matt Garza gets his first win today. Good luck everyone.

2011 MLB Record: 45-45-6 (+14.445 units)

[Iced]

Monday, April 25, 2011 ----- RECAP
(2x) Chicago Cubs (ML) -122 ----- LOSS (-2.44x)
(1.5x) Oakland Athletics (ML) +147 ----- LOSS (-1.5x)
(1x) Florida Marlins (-1 RL) +111 ----- PUSH
(1x) Milwaukee Brewers (-1 RL) +126 ----- LOSS (-1x)

Worst day of the season on Monday. Starlin Castro's three errors in the second inning led to three runs for the Rockies which ended up being the deciding factor in the Cubs game. Oh well, let's move on.

---

Tuesday, April 26, 2011
(2x) Baltimore Orioles (ML) +125
(2x) Milwaukee Brewers (ML) -108
(2x) Phillies/Diamondbacks OVER [8] +110
(1x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -112

Exactly a week to go until I use my computer system (May 3rd). (And yeah, it's mainly stats/data/filters/excel, not some super-computer that I keep running 24/7. It just sounds cooler when I say computer system.) My goal is usually to be up around 15 units or so once I start using the computer. I'm looking decently well to hit the goal as of right now. Hopefully this will be a strong bounce back night. Good luck everyone.

2011 MLB Record: 45-48-7 (+9.505 units)

[Iced]

Tuesday, April 26, 2011 ----- RECAP
(2x) Baltimore Orioles (ML) +125 ----- WIN (+2.5x)
(2x) Milwaukee Brewers (ML) -108 ----- WIN (+2x)
(2x) Phillies/Diamondbacks OVER [8] +110 ----- WIN (+2.2x)
(1x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -112 ----- LOSS (-1.12x)

Great bounce back night following my worst night of the season. I made back all the losses and added some profit as well.

---

Wednesday, April 27, 2011
(1x) St. Louis Cardinals (ML) -122
(1x) Los Angeles Angels (-1 RL) -110
(1x) New York Yankees (-1 RL) -106
(1x) Red Sox/Orioles OVER [8] -115

Going small tonight with all slight favorites. This is my first night with a majority of favorites, never mind all favorites. Hopefully it goes well.

2011 MLB Record: 48-49-7 (+15.085 units)

[Iced]

Wednesday, April 27, 2011 ----- RECAP: 3-1 (+1.9 units)
(1x) St. Louis Cardinals (ML) -122 ----- WIN (+1x)
(1x) Los Angeles Angels (-1 RL) -110 ----- LOSS (-1.1x)
(1x) New York Yankees (-1 RL) -106 ----- WIN (+1x)
(1x) Red Sox/Orioles OVER [8] -115 ----- WIN (+1x)

Well, it was a profitable day. But guess what my lone loss was? Another damn extra innings loss. I think I'm about 1-10 or something like that in games with lead changes in the 9th and extra innings. Absolutely unreal. I can't really complain though, it was a good day overall.

2011 MLB Record: 51-50-7 (+16.985 units)

[Iced]

Thursday, April 28, 2011
(1x) Minnesota Twins (ML) -104
(1x) New York Mets (ML) +101
(1x) St. Louis Cardinals (ML) -133
(1x) Cleveland Indians (-1 RL) -110

More favorites tonight. Good luck.

2011 MLB Record: 51-50-7 (+16.985 units)

[miyakuza]

Keep on keepin on Iced.

I like Cle, TB, Rockies, Ariz, Tor & Balt.

I want to wait on Cleveland to see if Hafner is gonna be out of the lineup again though.

The line movement is just telling me to take Arizona.

[Iced]

Thursday, April 28, 2011 ----- RECAP: 2-2 (-0.04 units)
(1x) Minnesota Twins (ML) -104 ----- LOSS (-1.04x)
(1x) New York Mets (ML) +101 ----- LOSS (-1x)
(1x) St. Louis Cardinals (ML) -133 ----- WIN (+1x)
(1x) Cleveland Indians (-1 RL) -110 ----- WIN (+1x)

I basically broke even on Thursday. Not making any plays on Friday. I don't like the card at all and I don't want to force a play.

Thanks for the kind words miyakuza. You're looking decently well so far today, good luck on the rest of your plays.

2011 MLB Record: 53-52-7 (+16.945 units)

[Iced]

Saturday, April 30, 2011
(2x) Arizona Diamondbacks (ML) -120
(1x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -122
(1x) Los Angeles Dodgers (-1 RL) +115
(1x) Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5 RL) +120

Back on it today after passing on the card yesterday. Good luck everyone.

2011 MLB Record: 53-52-7 (+16.945 units)

[miyakuza]

Thanks man. I was positive yesterday. Good luck today.

I like Ariz, LAA, STL, TOR, CLE, FLA. Might take CWS, but I'm not sure if they can pull out of this slump. Tillman sucks.

[Iced]

Sunday, May 1, 2011
(2x) Florida Marlins (ML) +114
(2x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -114
(2x) Chicago Cubs (ML) +157
(1x) Philadelphia Phillies (ML) -168

[Iced]

Sunday, May 1, 2011 ----- RECAP: 2-2 (+0.6 units)
(2x) Florida Marlins (ML) +114 ----- (+2x)
(2x) Oakland Athletics (ML) -114 ----- WIN (+2x)
(2x) Chicago Cubs (ML) +157 ----- LOSS (-2x)
(1x) Philadelphia Phillies (ML) -168 ----- LOSS (-1.68x)

---

Monday, May 2, 2011
(2x) Chicago White Sox (ML) -105
(1x) Boston Red Sox (ML) -101
(1x) Detroit Tigers (ML) -113

Last day before the computer plays start. As of now, I have reached my goal of being +15 units at this point in the season. I'm ready to really turn it on starting tomorrow.

2011 MLB Record: 56-57-7 (+16.325 units)

[Spartacuss]

great

[funnyman]

Looking forward to it.

[Iced]

Monday, May 2, 2011 ----- RECAP: 2-1 (+1.87 units)
(2x) Chicago White Sox (ML) -105 ----- WIN (+2x)
(1x) Boston Red Sox (ML) -101 ----- WIN (+1x)
(1x) Detroit Tigers (ML) -113 ----- LOSS (-1.13x)

---

Tuesday, May 3, 2011
(3x) San Diego Padres (-1 RL) -104
(2x) New York Yankees (-1 RL) -124
(2x) Chicago White Sox (ML) -129
(2x) Kansas City Royals (ML) -117
(2x) Seattle Mariners (ML) +116
(2x) White Sox/Twins UNDER [9] -115
(2x) Rockies/Diamondbacks UNDER [9.5] -115

First day with the computer today. Padres are the only play I decently like. The rest of the plays I like, but not that strongly. My max play is about 10 units with the computer and this is one of the lower average unit days with the computer. So basically, the computer doesn't really like the plays too much today, but these are the best. Good luck everyone.

2011 MLB Record: 58-58-7 (+18.195 units)

[Beefcakes]

wow iced, solid plays my man, i will tail you

[Beefcakes]

whats the difference between the computer plays and what you were doing before iced?

[Iced]

whats the difference between the computer plays and what you were doing before iced?

What I was doing from March 31 to May 2 was all personal handicapping with my own mind. I would check out basic stats and trends from websites like ESPN and StatFox and others, and my main focus was on the two starting pitchers of the game - and how they would perform in the match-up. I looked at a few other things as well, but I picked my plays mainly based on value and personal knowledge. The first month of the MLB season is somewhat hard for the lines makers to set good lines -- because there really hasn't been much baseball played. That makes it easier to find value in the early parts of the season -- which is why I am up so many units when I only played each game for one or two units a piece and I'm only hitting 50%.

After the first month of the season, the lines makers are able to adjust. The favorite and the underdog become more obvious as more games are played. The true winners are separated from the teams who went on lucky or unlucky streaks to start the season. Since there is more stats and data for the lines makers, there are more stats and data for everyone else. With this data, I create a projected line for each and every game. The biggest line difference between mine and the lines makers is always an auto-play for at least two units, unless there is an injury or pitching change or something like that. After that, I use a few different filters and my own capping to make some more plays (since the computer has value on essentially every play). My units are determined both by how the plays pass through each individual filter and my own personal feelings on the plays.

And like I said above, the plays today are pretty weak relative to the average unit size when I use the computer. Good luck though, hopefully that answers some of your questions.

[Iced]

And totals are determined by a completely different process, though it's still mainly with the computer.

[Beefcakes]

i see, i'll keep checking in to see how its going before i tail away

[Spartacuss]

Well done today Iced. ive been betting the dogs lately and im doing well, however, it took me sometime to realize the lines werent correct. im still going to bet the biggest dog of the day, for a little while longer at least. keep up the good work... im tailing u from now on.

[Iced]

Tuesday, May 3, 2011 ----- RECAP: 4-2-1 (+3.26 units)
(3x) San Diego Padres (-1 RL) -104 ----- PUSH
(2x) New York Yankees (-1 RL) -124 ----- LOSS (-2.48x)
(2x) Chicago White Sox (ML) -129 ----- LOSS (-2.58x)
(2x) Kansas City Royals (ML) -117 ----- WIN (+2x)
(2x) Seattle Mariners (ML) +116 ----- WIN (+2.32x)
(2x) White Sox/Twins UNDER [9] -115 ----- WIN (+2x)
(2x) Rockies/Diamondbacks UNDER [9.5] -115 ----- WIN (+2x)

Pretty good start with the first day of computer plays. If the Padres were able to win their game by two rather than push with a one run win, it would have been a great day. There are 16 games tomorrow and 5 of them are early games. I might not be able to post here if I have plays on the early games, but I will definitely post here for the late games.

---

2011 MLB Early Season Plays: 58-58-7 (+18.195 units)
2011 MLB Computer Plays: 4-2-1 (+3.26 units)

2011 MLB Record: 62-60-8 (+21.455 units)

[Iced]

great

Looking forward to it.

wow iced, solid plays my man, i will tail you

i see, i'll keep checking in to see how its going before i tail away

Well done today Iced. ive been betting the dogs lately and im doing well, however, it took me sometime to realize the lines werent correct. im still going to bet the biggest dog of the day, for a little while longer at least. keep up the good work... im tailing u from now on.

Thanks Spartacuss and everyone else. Betting dogs are definitely more profitable earlier in the season Spartacuss, though I've never tried consistently betting the biggest dog of the day. If it has been profitable, I doubt it will last much longer as the elite of the league will separate themselves from the perennial losers as the season swings into full gear.

[Beefcakes]

you got any plays for today?

[Iced]

Wednesday, May 5, 2011
(3x) Kansas City Royals (ML) -101
(3x) Colorado Rockies (ML) -125
(3x) Twins/White Sox UNDER [8.5] +105
(2.5x) Philadelphia Phillies (-1 RL) +104
(2.5x) Cubs/Dodgers UNDER [7.5] -110
(2.5x) Rockies/Diamondbacks UNDER [9.5] -112
(2x) San Diego Padres (ML) -125
(2x) Chicago White Sox (-1 RL) -110


Good luck today everyone.

[Iced]

Wednesday, May 5, 2011 ----- RECAP: 4-4 (+0.72 units)
(3x) Kansas City Royals (ML) -101 ----- LOSS (-3.03x)
(3x) Colorado Rockies (ML) -125 ----- WIN (+3x)
(3x) Twins/White Sox UNDER [8.5] +105 ----- WIN (+3.15x)
(2.5x) Philadelphia Phillies (-1 RL) +104 ----- WIN (+2.6x)
(2.5x) Cubs/Dodgers UNDER [7.5] -110 ----- WIN (+2.5x)
(2.5x) Rockies/Diamondbacks UNDER [9.5] -112 ----- LOSS (-2.8x)
(2x) San Diego Padres (ML) -125 ----- LOSS (-2.5x)
(2x) Chicago White Sox (-1 RL) -110 ----- LOSS (-2.2x)

The Diamondbacks score a meaningless two runs in the bottom of the ninth to blow my under play. What would have been a +6.02 unit day turned into only a slightly profitable day as crappy relief pitching screws me. Terrible way to end my Wednesday. My bad beats are continuing this MLB season, absolutely unreal. I'll be back at it again on Thursday.

---

2011 MLB Early Season Plays: 58-58-7 (+18.195 units)
2011 MLB Computer Plays: 8-6-1 (+3.98 units)

2011 MLB Record: 66-64-8 (+22.175 units)

[Spartacuss]

u cant complain about being (+22 units)... i wish i was + 22

[Spartacuss]

Iced what do u think of cleveland today? The line seems strange $2.51 great value. im on it for x1.5

[Iced]

Thursday, May 5, 2011
(4x) Kansas City Royals (ML) -106
(3x) Giants/Mets UNDER [7.5] -105
(3x) Rockies/Diamondbacks UNDER [9] -105
(2.5x) Arizona Diamondbacks (ML) -108
(2.5x) Cincinnati Reds (-1 RL) +101
(2x) Milwaukee Brewers (ML) +121
(1.5x) Cleveland Indians (ML) +171

Just missed a huge day yesterday but still profitable overall on the day. Good luck on your plays today everyone.