The Big Card

[JerseyShop101]

Great day yesterday!

Keep it going!

[therber2]

Great day yesterday!

Keep it going!

Thanks Jersey
Looks like I break through the 100 mark again.

FLA looks like a good play to me , but I'll take the wins, and make myself some dinner.

[Foghorn]

LAA +112 (1 unit)
NYY -1 (3 units)
TEX -110 (1 unit)
BOS -117 (2 units)
DET -1 (6 units)

LAA +112 (1 unit) NYY -1 (3 units) TEX -110 (1 unit) BOS -117 (2 units) DET -1 (6 units)

Good Luck on your plays tonight. I have 3 of your 5.............

[therber2]

Hey Fog; looks like it went well. About to add it up and see if I broke through 100.

Lots of cappers here including myself have had some extreme ups and downs so some of my research right now is dedicated to, not a money management system, but a way to anticipate the cyclic action of MLB or any sport.

To the folks who don't know Foghorn...his record says nothing about his real ability to read a baseball game. Good to see you Fog.

[therber2]

LAA +112 (1 unit)
NYY -1 (3 units)
TEX -110 (1 unit)
BOS -117 (2 units)
DET -1 (6 units)

3-2 +6.68 units

[therber2]

and the FLA lean wins. Hope some of you took the hint. Just wasn't up for another nail biter on my day off already cash positive. here's to another good one tomorrow. All late games I'll have them probably around noon or so.

[therber2]

6/4 Plays

STL -1 (5 units)
STL/MIL over8 (2 units)
OAK -105 (2 units)
CWS -1 (5 units)
PHI -1 (2 units)
WAS +108 (3 units)
CUB -120 (1 unit)
BOS -170 (3 units)
SFO -125 (3 units)
TOR +123 (1 unit)

[therber2]

STL -1 (5 units)
STL/MIL over8 (2 units) PUSH
OAK -105 (2 units)CWS -1 (5 units)
PHI -1 (2 units)
WAS +108 (3 units)
CUB -120 (1 unit)
BOS -170 (3 units)
SFO -125 (3 units)
TOR +123 (1 unit)

5-2-2 +4.67 units

[therber2]

Taking a trip to michigan for a about half a week. I'll try to get some plays for tomorrow.

[therber2]

Tough break on the Phillies -1 PUSH (better than a loss); however, to note; they just took down a tough opponent today. Looks like we might see the Phillies going back to what worked and a nice win streak. $$$ Something was wrong with the bats, and only a matter of time before they correct that.

[therber2]

6/5 All nighter

Off to the track for the Belmont and then Michigan tomorrow. Trying out a version 3.46B. Here are the plays bright and early:

BOS -184 (4 units)
COL -112 (2 units)
TAM -121 (1 unit)
CWS -1 (4 units)
ATL +107 (3 units)
MIN -120 (4 units)
PHI -136 (3 unit)
DET -137 (3 units)

Good luck peops

[therber2]

Off to the track for the Belmont and then Michigan tomorrow. Trying out a version 3.46B. Here are the plays bright and early:

BOS -184 (4 units)
COL -112 (2 units)
TAM -121 (1 unit)
CWS -1 (4 units)
ATL +107 (3 units)
MIN -120 (4 units)
PHI -136 (3 unit)
DET -137 (3 units)

Good luck peops

Well the #8 flubbed it. :/ Baaad horsie.
5-3 +8.26 units

[therber2]

6/6

LOS -120 (6 units)
STL +1.5 +105 (3 units)
STL ML (1 unit)
CIN -113 (2 units)
BOS -1.5 (2 units)
CLE +155 (1 unit)

Good luck today.

[mebaran]

herbie?!? where you been, brotha? Miss your thread because it forces me to put my thinking cap on!
Hope all is well

[therber2]

herbie?!? where you been, brotha? Miss your thread because it forces me to put my thinking cap on!
Hope all is well

Hey Mebaran, was just thinking about how the thread has strayed a bit from the idea production. Currently on a trip with my lady in Michigan, but this thread is still open to new thoughts for now check out a few new features at cleanuphitter that I got up there with Steve's help. Use those wisely; actually what is going to be tracked is how to best use the double charting page. There might be a real good edge from comparing left to right. In my opinion the chart on the right is what I want to look at more; however, there is plenty of merit in looking at the 1st chart based on the normal Bill James pythagorean.

There are a lot of angles there. Thanks for dropping in and reminding me of the roots. Might do this same sort of thing with NFL.

[therber2]

LOS -120 (6 units)
STL +1.5 +105 (3 units)
STL ML (1 unit)
CIN -113 (2 units)
BOS -1.5 (2 units)
CLE +155 (1 unit)

Good luck today.

2-4 +0.5 units

[dvb02]

Looking forward to some plays today Therber.

[therber2]

dvb02, Sorry no plays today as I am on vacation. Should have made a note or something. Make a bet on the Cardinals nothing real big though they check in with the primary systems, and look real good against the Dodgers. Don't want to post any official plays though away from computer. I'll be back in action later on.

[mebaran]

Just a bump. Something that served me well before:

* Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season, against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), (36-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.7%, +27.4 units. Rating=4*)."

For June 9th:

No Plays, Oakland is almost one.

[therber2]

6.9

back

PHI -160 (1 unit)
COL -170 (1 units)
WAS -1 (1 units)
CUB EV (1 unit)
OAK -118 (3 units)
BOS -1 (2 units)
MIN -185 (2 units)
TEX -1 (3 units)
CWS -110 (1 unit)
NYY -240 (1 unit)

[therber2]

Some of these seem like real nice plays; however, I am concerned about the number of favorites winning yesterday, and I don't want big risk with all these high juice plays so keep these bets small if you are following em. You could probably flat bet a bunch of those large favs for -1 or -1.5... The above is final now, and I'll be out for the day.

BOL guys.

[therber2]

For June 9th:

No Plays, Oakland is almost one.

Thanks Mebaran for that tip. Normal capping methods produced Oakland. My "normal capping methods" are very similar to the statfox trend which is why I've posted it up multiple times. I put a lot of concern into what is going on in the bullpen of each team as a very high ranked factor.

Today for Oakland I see statfox gave out this trend which complements the other well I think: Play Against All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (LA ANGELS) poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL), after a loss by 8 runs or more

102-37 over the last 5 seasons.
73.4% (44.4 units)

As for the other trend I see no harm in expanding some of those ranges and doing both leagues to produce more options in that particular area. You'll have more to work with.

[therber2]

Do da da do da da do da da doo doo do do do da da doo....

[therber2]

back

PHI -160 (1 unit) PPD
COL -170 (1 units)
WAS -1 (1 units)
CUB EV (1 unit)
OAK -118 (3 units)
BOS -1 (2 units)
MIN -185 (2 units)
TEX -1 (3 units)
CWS -110 (1 unit)
NYY -240 (1 unit)

6-3 +1.16 units

[dvb02]

positive night. nice job.

[therber2]

6/10

MIN -1 (3 units)
TEX -1 (3 units)
CIN -1 (3 units)

[therber2]

MIN -1 (3 units)
TEX -1 (3 units)
CIN -1 (3 units) PUSH

1-1-1 -1.05 units

At least my teams fought...

[therber2]

LOS -1 (1 units)
MIN -145 (3 units)
STL -135 (1 unit)
SFO -179 (2 units)
NYY -225 (2 units)
NYY -1.5 -120 (1 unit)
DET -240 (2 unit)

NYY and DET parlay +105 (3 units)

NYM/BAL over9 (3 units)

[mebaran]

Dodgers qualifies for that trend's criteria, though it isn't an AL game, I think it's still worth some money

[therber2]

Sry late reply; thanks mebaran. Yes, Dodgers do check in most areas. Definitely worth a shot; I threw it in bro.

[therber2]

LOS -1 (1 units)
MIN -145 (3 units)
STL -135 (1 unit)
SFO -179 (2 units)
NYY -225 (2 units)
NYY -1.5 -120 (1 unit)
DET -240 (2 unit)

NYY and DET parlay +105 (3 units)

NYM/BAL over9 (3 units)

6-3 +7.3 units

[therber2]

6/12 Big day

SEA -125 (4 units)
TAMPA -1 (6 units)
NYY -1.5 -105 (1 unit)
DET -175 (1 unit)
BOS -1 (4 units)
NYM EV (2 units)
TEX +107 (2 units)
SFO -120 (1 unit)
LOS -153 (4 units)
TOR +127 (1 unit)


Biased pick CUBs -155 (.5 unit)
But seriously...not a bad pick there...

[therber2]

Totals experiment

NYM/BAL over9 (.5 unit)
ATL/MIN under9.5 (.5 unit)
SFO/OAK under7.5 (.5 units)
CLE/WAS under9 (.5 unit)
CUB/CWS over8.5 (2 units)

Best pick
TOR/COL under9.5 (4 units)

add: Cleveland Indians -122 (1 unit)

[therber2]

SEA -125 (4 units)
TAMPA -1 (6 units) PUSH
NYY -1.5 -105 (1 unit)
DET -175 (1 unit)
BOS -1 (4 units)
NYM EV (2 units)
TEX +107 (2 units)
SFO -120 (1 unit)
LOS -153 (4 units)
TOR +127 (1 unit)


Biased pick CUBs -155 (.5 unit)
But seriously...not a bad pick there...

6-4-1 -1.58 units

[therber2]

NYM/BAL over9 (.5 unit)
ATL/MIN under9.5 (.5 unit)
SFO/OAK under7.5 (.5 units)
CLE/WAS under9 (.5 unit)
CUB/CWS over8.5 (2 units)

Best pick
TOR/COL under9.5 (4 units)

add: Cleveland Indians -122 (1 unit)

4-3 +3 units