The Big Card

[therber2]

Best Bets 5/29

ATL -196 (3 units)
SDG -162 (2 units)
SFO -152 (4 units)
TOR -180 (2 units)
TAM -136 (2 units)
BOS -134 (3 units)
HOU +1.5 -130 (1 unit)
DET -120 (2 units)

[mebaran]

As far as that trend goes, there might be a possible play on the blue jays for sunday as long as the line is right.
Orioles OBP = .315, so that fits,
Orioles bullpen WHIP is 1.54, so it needs to rise 0.01 before sunday,
and Blue Jays' team WHIP is exactly 1.35, so that needs to stay the same or go lower before sunday.

No plays for today (29th).

[Vinny Vidivicci]

WINDOW-8 SYSTEM

Friday, May 28th -

Cubs +1.5 Runs LOST
Cincinnati -115 Moneyline WON
Florida -117 Moneyline LOST
Washington +1.5 Runs WON
LA Angels +1.5 Runs LOST

In updating my records, I found that I missed 3 games yesterday that should have been included in Friday's Window-8 Picks

Minnesota -119 Moneyline WON
Detroit -102 Moneyline LOST
San Francisco -132 Moneyline WON

A "FLAT" (small losing) night, either-way.

Saturday, May 29

Cubs -126 Moneyline
LA Angels -122 Moneyline
Minnesota -121 Moneyline
Detroit -120 Moneyline
White Sox +1.5 Runs

Good-Luck

~Vinny Vidivicci

[therber2]

Just a bump. Something that served me well before:

* Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season, against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), (36-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.7%, +27.4 units. Rating=4*)."

Thanks Mebaran. Will bump it onto this page too then. I wonder how much it matters whether or not it is AL vs. NL. OBP and BP whip are two things I always consider from a universal point of view.

[therber2]

WINDOW-8 SYSTEM

Friday, May 28th -

Cubs +1.5 Runs LOST
Cincinnati -115 Moneyline WON
Florida -117 Moneyline LOST
Washington +1.5 Runs WON
LA Angels +1.5 Runs LOST

In updating my records, I found that I missed 3 games yesterday that should have been included in Friday's Window-8 Picks

Minnesota -119 Moneyline WON
Detroit -102 Moneyline LOST
San Francisco -132 Moneyline WON

A "FLAT" (small losing) night, either-way.

Saturday, May 29

Cubs -126 Moneyline
LA Angels -122 Moneyline
Minnesota -121 Moneyline
Detroit -120 Moneyline
White Sox +1.5 Runs

Good-Luck

~Vinny Vidivicci

Small losing is better than big losing...unless you are losing big consistently. Then you have winners

BOL with the window8s today. You see the notice on cleanup?

[therber2]

Well, my records indicate that there were no plays from 4/25 to 5/11. That's all I have. But I'll start being more diligent and looking for them as I, too, think this is a great trend. If I end up finding one that fit's these parameters, I'll be more than happy to post it here. (Realistically, even if this trend only hits 65% long term, it'll still be profitable because of the small amount of juice).

The trend record says that it produces very very few plays. That's no fun. The way I do it is anything close (and then all other factors check) I have a play. Really I put the trend out there to remind myself and show some other folks what is important to look for in a pick.

[Vinny Vidivicci]

Therber -

The "Coming Soon" part? Overperforming / Underperforming MLB teams charting

~VV

[therber2]

yes sir. Under construction now.

[Vinny Vidivicci]

That's good because extrapolating doesn't work; for example if a team wins by 2 and then lose by 2 to the same opponent on consecutive days, there EXP %'s DON'T end back where they started.

~ Vinny Vidivicci

[therber2]

Correct Vinny! On the other hand....

Hawks WIN GAME 1 !!!!!

[therber2]

oh and sorry for the guys that messed up....again...today. You know who you are.

[therber2]

ATL -196 (3 units)
SDG -162 (2 units)
SFO -152 (4 units)
TOR -180 (2 units)
TAM -136 (2 units)
BOS -134 (3 units)
HOU +1.5 -130 (1 unit)
DET -120 (2 units)

6-2 +14.7 units

[therber2]

Filter1wp:

ATL -196
SDG -162
COL -130
SFO -152
TOR -180
DET -117
TAM -136
BOS -134

Filter 2:

STL +125
NYM +117
ATL -196
SDG -162
TOR -180
TEX +127
OAK +123
TAM -136
BOS -134
LOS +120
SFO -1521 unit each

F1 goes 7-1 +5.83 units
F2 goes 7-4 +3.23 units

[Vinny Vidivicci]

WINDOW-8 SYSTEM

Saturday, May 29

Cubs -126 Moneyline WON
LA Angels -122 Moneyline WON
Minnesota -121 Moneyline WON
Detroit -120 Moneyline LOST
White Sox +1.5 Runs LOST

Sunday, May 30

Milwaukee -133
Cubs +1.5 Runs
San Francisco +1.5 Runs (if you can get them)
Minnesota -135

Good Luck -

~Vinny Vidivicci

[therber2]

Nice Vinny; Card goes up in a minute and take a look at your email..

[therber2]

5/30 Leans

leans:

OAK +122
CIN -185
CLE +260
FLA +130
BAL +170
ATL -165
KC +260
MIL +132
CWS +164
CUB +111
SEA +135
COL -105
WAS +150
TEX +134
SFO -105

[therber2]

Filter 1 and 2

Filter1:
MIN -135
FLA +130
ATL -165
MIL +132
CUB +111
COL -105
SFO -105


Filter2:
MIN -135
FLA +130
ATL -165
MIL +132
WAS +150

1 unit

[therber2]

5/30 plays

Official plays:

OAK +122 (2 units)
CIN -185 (1 units)
MIN -135 (3 units)
FLA +130 (2 units)
ATL -165 (2 units)
MIL +132 (3 units)

[therber2]

Leans:

STL +125
NYM +117
ATL -196
HOU +165
FLA +116
COL -130
WAS +152
SFO -152
TOR -180
CLE +270
SEA +183
TEX +127
OAK +123
TAM -136
BOS -134

5/29 raw leans went 8-7 (53.33%)

[therber2]

Hay: The solution to cleanup the oil disaster

Either this or some megatons of dynamite. Who knows; could be a breakthrough/happy accident of a hoax. What do you think?

[therber2]

Official plays:

OAK +122 (2 units)
CIN -185 (1 units)
MIN -135 (3 units)
FLA +130 (2 units)
ATL -165 (2 units)
MIL +132 (3 units)

Best bets go 3-3 Not all that great but adding 0.75 units

[therber2]

Filter1:
MIN -135
FLA +130
ATL -165
MIL +132
CUB +111
COL -105
SFO -105


Filter2:
MIN -135
FLA +130
ATL -165
MIL +132
WAS +1501 unit

Filter1 plays go 4-3 adding 1.25 units
Filter2 plays go 3-2 adding 1.30 units

[therber2]

Best bets in descending order for tomorrow:
Padres -107 (4 units) Best bet
Royals -101 (3 units)
Cubs -130 (2 units)
SEA +1.5 -160 (1 unit)
NYY -235 (1 units)
DET -1.5 +128 (1 unit)
COL EV (.5 unit)
Dodgers -175 (.5 units) (as the weakest facing ARI; sweep game)

[Vinny Vidivicci]

WINDOW-8 SYSTEM

Sunday, May 30

Milwaukee -133 LOST
Cubs +1.5 Runs LOST
San Francisco +1.5 Runs (if you can get them) WON
Minnesota -135 WON

Monday, May 31

San Francisco +108 (+1.5 Runs if you can get them)
San Diego -116
Kansas City -102
Seattle +1.5 Runs

Good Luck -

~Vinny Vidivicci

[therber2]

leans

Raw leans:

DET
NYY
CUB
KC
STL
LOS
SDG
SEA

[therber2]

San Diego -116
Kansas City -102
Seattle +1.5 Runs

Me and Vinny's consensus goes 2-1 assuming SDG doesn't lose a 17-6 lead in the 8th. Goodnight folks

[therber2]

Adding another 6 units to that Padres games.

[therber2]

Best bets in descending order for tomorrow:
Padres -107 (4 units) Best bet
Royals -101 (3 units)
Cubs -130 (2 units)
SEA +1.5 -160 (1 unit)
NYY -235 (1 units)
DET -1.5 +128 (1 unit)COL EV (.5 unit)
Dodgers -175 (.5 units) (as the weakest facing ARI; sweep game)

Adding another 6 units to that Padres games.

5-3 +6.37 units

[therber2]

6/1 Plays

DET -170 (4 units)
DET -1.5 +120 (1 unit)
FLA -143 (4 units)
FLA +137 +1.5 (1 unit)
NYY -222 (3 units)
NYY -1.5 -112 (1 unit)
WAS +118 (3 units)
MIN +100 (3 units)
CWS -115 (1 unit)
PHI +115 (1 unit)
TOR +144 (1 unit)
LOS -117 (1 units)
LOS -1.5 +176 (1 unit)
CUB -146 (1 unit)
SD -110 (.5 units)

[therber2]

Vinny's

Vinny is ill here are his picks

Houston
St. Louis
Florida
Yankees
Detroit

[therber2]

DET -170 (4 units)
DET -1.5 +120 (1 unit)
FLA -143 (4 units)
FLA +137 +1.5 (1 unit)
NYY -222 (3 units)
NYY -1.5 -112 (1 unit)
WAS +118 (3 units)
MIN +100 (3 units)
CWS -115 (1 unit)
PHI +115 (1 unit)
TOR +144 (1 unit)
LOS -117 (1 units)
LOS -1.5 +176 (1 unit)
CUB -146 (1 unit)
SD -110 (.5 units)

Adding 1 unit to the Twins and 2 units to the Dodgers

[therber2]

5-8 -8.49

[therber2]

NYY -1 (1 unit)
LOS -133 (.5 units)
STL -1 (1 units)
SFO -130 (1 unit)
BOS -143 (2 units)
TOR -110 (1 unit)
MIL -110 (1 unit)
CUBs -127 (1 unit)
SEA -145 (1 unit)
WAS +112 (1 unit)
SDG +112 (1 unit)

[therber2]

NYY -1 (1 unit)
LOS -133 (.5 units)
STL -1 (1 units)
SFO -130 (1 unit)
BOS -143 (2 units)
TOR -110 (1 unit)
MIL -110 (1 unit)
CUBs -127 (1 unit) PPD
SEA -145 (1 unit)
WAS +112 (1 unit)
SDG +112 (1 unit)

8-2 +6.52 units

[therber2]

6/3

LAA +112 (1 unit)
NYY -1 (3 units)
TEX -110 (1 unit)
BOS -117 (2 units)
DET -1 (6 units)