Testing out a system

soaked in sweat · 04-20-10, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by G3ck0l0c0

And how about your current plays ? Will you follow them with a similar picture ? ie : 1.STL---------65% (2-0-0)

i expect the teams used this year to hit at or above 60% like last year. I'm really not sure if i should follow them with a similar picture or not, might end up complicating things if i do. especially this early in the season.

So far since the start of testing this year:

NYY-----1-0-1
PHI------10-4
STL------10-6
BOS-----5-1
TB-------2-0

soaked in sweat · 04-20-10, 01:46 AM

Got super lucky again with stl winning by 2 in the 9th.

Went 2-0 +2.3 units

thread record 26-10-1, +20.73 units

note: parlays are counted as one.

G3ck0l0c0 · 04-20-10, 06:38 AM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

Got super lucky again with stl winning by 2 in the 9th.

Went 2-0 +2.3 units thread record 26-10-1, +20.73 units note: parlays are counted as one.

You also each of your day picks in parlays as well ?

soaked in sweat · 04-20-10, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by G3ck0l0c0

You also each of your day picks in parlays as well ?

i parlay the high priced ml's together when there's 2 plays above -200.

soaked in sweat · 04-20-10, 04:25 PM

Tuesday night plays:
NYY -151 tw 1 unit
STL +137 bet 1 unit

bradleysnyder · 04-20-10, 04:25 PM

brand new

G3ck0l0c0 · 04-20-10, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

Tuesday night plays: NYY -151 tw 1 unit STL +137 bet 1 unit

Wow, STL is +125 today and will be -164 tomorrow... Guess they'll change alignment.
So if this one lose, you'll go on a 2 unit on STL tomorrow ?

soaked in sweat · 04-20-10, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by G3ck0l0c0

Wow, STL is +125 today and will be -164 tomorrow... Guess they'll change alignment. So if this one lose, you'll go on a 2 unit on STL tomorrow ?

yeah thats right. if they win then i won't play them tomorrow. i feel stl has a 45-50% of winning this one.

soaked in sweat · 04-20-10, 05:49 PM

and yankees around 65-70%

soaked in sweat · 04-21-10, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

Tuesday night plays: NYY -151 tw 1 unit

STL +137 bet 1 unit

last night went 1-1, breaking even

thread record 27-11-1, + 20.73 units

soaked in sweat · 04-21-10, 05:57 PM

Wednesday plays:
STL -138 tw 2 units
NYY -148 tw 1 unit

Salmon Steak · 04-21-10, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

Wednesday plays:
STL -138 tw 2 units
NYY -148 tw 1 unit

no phili? TB? still, your making money. Keep doing that and you will have lots of money.

soaked in sweat · 04-21-10, 09:04 PM

i had money on philly tonight

but it didn't qualify as a pick from the system, so it does not get recorded.

ahhlenn · 04-21-10, 11:06 PM

cardinals game is a nail biter, gl!

soaked in sweat · 04-21-10, 11:30 PM

Originally posted by ahhlenn

cardinals game is a nail biter, gl!

ya i was worried for a bit there. then a crazy 9th inning for STL sealed the deal.

soaked in sweat · 04-21-10, 11:34 PM

hopefully the yanks can hold the lead for a good day.

pitman · 04-21-10, 11:42 PM

soaked in sweat · 04-21-10, 11:48 PM

haha nice avatar man, at first glance i thought it was a hott ass now i'm not too sure

pitman · 04-21-10, 11:54 PM

thnx

soaked in sweat · 04-21-10, 11:58 PM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

Wednesday plays:
STL -138 tw 2 units

NYY -148 tw 1 unit

tonight 2-0, +3 units

thread record 29-11-1 , +23.73 units

because the yankees won tonight there will be no play tomorrow.
next plays will be friday.

soaked in sweat · 04-22-10, 12:16 AM

well from $5 units I'm up over $100.

I've decided to up the units to $10 ones.

sycoogtit · 04-22-10, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

yeah you got it

and yeah i will be chasing some games up to a point. after a team loses one i'll double up their next game, but if they lose 2 in a row i'll chase to just win my money back. I'm feeling pretty good about how this system will pan out. As you can see by playing these 4 top teams only against the 15 crappiest teams its dodged those boston losses. edit-Boston is one of the teams to use also

What a creative system! How did you choose the top 5 teams and the bottom 15 teams?

soaked in sweat · 04-22-10, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by sycoogtit

What a creative system! How did you choose the top 5 teams and the bottom 15 teams?

thanks, top 5 favorite to win the world series at the beginning of the season and the 15 teams least favorite to win the world series.

soaked in sweat · 04-22-10, 01:40 AM

i picked the teams from pinnacles future odds about a month ago.

sycoogtit · 04-22-10, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

i picked the teams from pinnacles future odds about a month ago.

Oh, I get it. You already said that at the beginning of the thread -- sorry about that.

soaked in sweat · 04-22-10, 01:47 AM

its cool, actually the lines makers picked the teams for me

sycoogtit · 04-22-10, 02:30 AM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

Florida
Atlanta
Colorado Rockies
Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds
Oakland Athletics
Texas Rangers
San Francisco Giants
Houston Astros
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles
Kansas City Royals

So are these the teams you're using to play against this season, or were those just for the backtesting? I'm not sure if they were the worst 15 back when you looked at the futures a month ago.

G3ck0l0c0 · 04-22-10, 05:28 AM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

Wednesday plays: STL -138 tw 2 units NYY -148 tw 1 unit

Bulleyes

Thx Soaked !

soaked in sweat · 04-22-10, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by G3ck0l0c0

Bulleyes

Thx Soaked !

soaked in sweat · 04-22-10, 10:00 AM

hey sycoogtit,
those were the teams i used for the backtest of 09. this year the teams are pretty much the same with a only a few different.

sycoogtit · 04-22-10, 10:45 AM

Thanks soaked. Best of luck! It's always cool to see someone testing out a system they've developed.

soaked in sweat · 04-22-10, 05:17 PM

not playing the yankee's today saved almost 2 units

G3ck0l0c0 · 04-23-10, 05:45 AM

Originally posted by soaked in sweat

not playing the yankee's today saved almost 2 units

He he ! Seems that your managed picks avoids classic pitfalls, keep it up dude !

soaked in sweat · 04-23-10, 12:00 PM

Todays plays:

PHI -169 tw 1 unit
TB & BOS Parlay +109 bet 3 units

sycoogtit · 04-23-10, 02:57 PM

Let's get em!