At least ONE home series win 364-13 record

[stingyrivers]

that is good advice G, thanks... actually, I think someone said skip if the opposing ace is on the mound... which yeah I tend to think opposing teams aces being skipped isnt a good way to go about it... but definitely think everyone should cap the series before making a blind bet on it, there are probably a lot of series that the system would have you play that when it comes around there are red flags that you should exclude it all together....

I have a question though... one of the issues with these types of systems is the idea of using past results to predict future events and the argument that there isnt a strong enough correlation between the two in order to make a play based on it... it sounds like your system is very stat heavy... how do you make sure the stats of the past correlate to the two teams performance tomorrow?

[BatemanPatrickl]

Here's a tip fellas. Don't listen to a guy that buys 8 points on the Chicago Bulls and still loses. Or a guy that bets a NFL ML at -500. Or a guy that is too afraid to bet a dog or a spread. Or a guy that bets 85 to win 50.

Do your own research and stay away from so called professionals.

[DeHoyos]

Nice Tip.

[DeHoyos]

Here's a tip fellas. Don't listen to a guy that buys 8 points on the Chicago Bulls and still loses. Or a guy that bets a NFL ML at -500. Or a guy that is too afraid to bet a dog or a spread. Or a guy that bets 85 to win 50.

Do your own research and stay away from so called professionals.

Are you referring to G's with that statement????


I'll put the system on trial!!!!!

[G's pks]

that is good advice G, thanks... actually, I think someone said skip if the opposing ace is on the mound... which yeah I tend to think opposing teams aces being skipped isnt a good way to go about it... but definitely think everyone should cap the series before making a blind bet on it, there are probably a lot of series that the system would have you play that when it comes around there are red flags that you should exclude it all together....

I have a question though... one of the issues with these types of systems is the idea of using past results to predict future events and the argument that there isnt a strong enough correlation between the two in order to make a play based on it... it sounds like your system is very stat heavy... how do you make sure the stats of the past correlate to the two teams performance tomorrow?

Once I get going you can see I get in a rhythm and if you do not know what I mean by rhythm... I am talking strong and weak elements, stats...current up to the last game... I have to know all the injuries, all the starters for all the games within every series and go from there. Among quite a few other things.

[DeHoyos]

Once I get going you can see I get in a rhythum and if you do not know what I mean by rhythum... I am talking strong and weak elements, stats...current up to the last game... I have to know all the injuries, all the starters for all the games within every series and go from there. Among quite a few other things.

I agree with all that.You'd be an idiot not to.....

[stingyrivers]

lol... yes he is... the red flag with G's is his eagerness to jump in and drag everyone onto his train... what is his incentive to do that? I mean G is probably a decent enough guy and probably does decent... but others should be able to decide for themselves what seems like a solid approach and what isnt

[G's pks]

Try to find more than a few season long winning threads from last year that posted daily like mine... DeHoyos the rules are in there...I will see if I can find the exact page... I remember having to refer people to that page all the time...but do not remember...

The page is more for money management...it is the key....especially because this is a chalk heavy system...

[DeHoyos]

Theres no way to do this blindly unless you completely stop following the game....

So give me the cliffnotes version....

[G's pks]

Believe me... there are systems like this that also win... I referred you guys to covers to see them for nhl, nba, and mlb...they are there too! It is all about following with discipline and money management not just sayong ok I will take the Yankees!

[BatemanPatrickl]

Once I get going you can see I get in a rhythum and if you do not know what I mean by rhythum... I am talking strong and weak elements, stats...current up to the last game... I have to know all the injuries, all the starters for all the games within every series and go from there. Among quite a few other things.

Boys this is someone you don't listen to

[Jaug]

Do your own research and do not follow a blind system. Last warning, don't feed the books.

[DeHoyos]

[stingyrivers]

good point dehoyos... it will always be subjective in the moment, and you should have the ability to pass on a play if the circumstances seem bad... as G is saying, the biggest difference between what he does and this is the wagering...

[G's pks]

I am not sure I am ready to go thru what I did last year...it was annoying...but fun. Not sure I want to start baseball for a week or two... But if you guys start right away you should be fine... just make sure you have a money management system in place...in my thread I failed and wiped out the first time...it is all in there...

[stingyrivers]

this thread has been evolving... it isnt a blind system... and if it is a blind system it is rooted in a pretty successful track record

[stingyrivers]

I think this thread and G's are generally going to be on the same page as far as the picks, the wagering may follow a different form

[DeHoyos]

it's blindly rooted....lmfao



Hey But seriously though The Friars aint startin out with two sweeps let me tell ya....

[stingyrivers]

G are you against any type of progressive chase with limits? that is what we were tinkering with most of the night... and progressive wagering system where on limited chases where as the bankroll increases, your unit actually becomes a smaller percentage of your bankroll yet the profits still compound

[BatemanPatrickl]

Follow G's when he gets in a Rhytum. Guy is money in da bank. Ya heard?

[DeHoyos]

G are you against any type of progressive chase with limits? that is what we were tinkering with most of the night... and progressive wagering system where on limited chases where as the bankroll increases, your unit actually becomes a smaller percentage of your bankroll yet the profits still compound

You mean a reverse labouchere system????

Phil Ivey is the man by the way...I'm gonna take my baseball earnings and go play craps.....

[Canada]

Here's a tip fellas. Don't listen to a guy that buys 8 points on the Chicago Bulls and still loses. Or a guy that bets a NFL ML at -500. Or a guy that is too afraid to bet a dog or a spread. Or a guy that bets 85 to win 50.

Do your own research and stay away from so called professionals.

i agree with most of this.

i didn't think it was possible to buy 8 points.

But, what is wrong with betting 85 to win 50, which happens in hockey a lot.

But why not baseball?

[stingyrivers]

I mean the progression that we charted out last night on here.... it doesnt really fit into any category squarely it is kind of a martingale within a compound progression that also alters the percentages to protect some profit if a loss comes, but not nearly as conservatively as a labouchere or paroli system

[DeHoyos]

400 to start... 20 dollar unit... up unit by 50% after every twenty wins



20 wins 800 roll new unit 30

40 wins 1400 roll new unit 50

60 wins 2400 roll new unit 80

80 wins 4000 roll new unit 120

100 wins 6400 roll new unit 200

120 wins 10400 roll new unit 300

140 wins 16400 roll new unit 400

160 wins 24400 roll new unit 600

180 wins 36400 roll new unit 800

200 wins 52400 roll congratulations your sportsbook just cut you off

now we just need 200 straight wins... but it did happen last year

I'm down to try and make this a reality....50K sounds just about right on sept 1.

[BatemanPatrickl]

i agree with most of this. i didn't think it was possible to buy 8 points. But, what is wrong with betting 85 to win 50, which happens in hockey a lot. But why not baseball?

Nothing wrong with it when you also find value in other places. I'll pull up the Bulls thread. They lost by 15 + and he bought 8. Hilarious.

[DeHoyos]

That was a sky hook he was tryin to buy down!!!! lmfao

[G's pks]

First of all the book I bet with online lets you buy only 3 points for basketball I never have bought 8... bet jam..the other book no point buying...

But back to the topic...here goes...in a few secs getting the most important posts together in my thread including the money management rules..

[G's pks]

you guys can go read these posts and learn or take them with a grain of salt it is up to you! I will start posting my system plays and the rules in two weeks most likely maybe sooner...I have to spend hours/days updating info from end of season...

[thebestthereis]

my buddy plays for cleveland (is hurt currently) but let me tell you they suck. didn't read all the posts but has anyone added them to the bet against list?

[G's pks]

If you guys want to have a successful thread go thru every single post in my thread...when it worked see how people starting reacting helping...it was awesome made me work harder until I hit complete burn out by sept...
http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...ad-record.html click link look up the following...
Here at least read these...posts 161, 229, 243, 266, 281, 287, 372, 429, 588, 599...799 by post 372 I really had no doubt the system was running on all cylinders...it took a while but it was worth it... I listened to guys like Justin all season say it would not work...but when it was obvious it would the mods did a great job knocking out all the skeptics posts to those that were able to follow and win...


The money management rules are in post #429 page 13..

well hopefully this info helps you guys...there are some great posts along the way and great advice from others when system #1 failed...good luck boys!

[fastpitch_45]

my buddy plays for cleveland (is hurt currently) but let me tell you they suck. didn't read all the posts but has anyone added them to the bet against list?

on my list

[newjerseydevils]

nice system

[DeHoyos]

[DMB40]

everything sounds good. Don't know if i like playing against one of my top 5 teams though.

[RickyG033]

Okay guys,

I've been lurking and have decided to try this system this year. I am still a little new to the lingo so please excuse me if I say something dumb.

I have a couple of questions that I am hoping we can discuss.

I notice a lot of guys are looking into betting with BOS, NYY, and TB. Is there any concern that all of these teams play in the same division and will be playing each other quite a bit? Or is this okay because the prices will be much better if we are swept by a better team?

I was planning on betting with BOS, NYY, and PHL while fading WASH, PITT, and TOR. Looking at those stats from last year got me a little concerned about the Phils but they really improved with Halladay and Polanco.

Also, I think I am going to run a 2 game chase with selective 3rd games. Ex. If the Phils lose the first two to the Mets at home, and Johan is pitching the 3rd game against Kendrick, I will probably just cut my losses after 2 games and move on.