Pair of 5s Sir Season Selection

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  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #421
    It's Official

    The contrarian is on fire. Reds in a close one.

    Reds +127 (W)
    Comment
    • Flight
      Restricted User
      • 01-28-09
      • 1979

      #422
      Good evening,

      Not much going on tomorrow, but I like these home dogs:

      Baltimore +105
      Seattle +125

      Note that I am 0-3 on Baltimore thus far, and 0-3 on Houston thus far. I have been stubborn so far and kept playing them although they have quickly slipped to the bottom in nearly every statistical category. Tampa Bay Rays however are not that great and Baltimore should have a chance. They need to start driving in those runs, too many LOB. Seattle is a dangerous play because their opponent, Oakland, is one of the top money makers 1 week into the season, but I look for that to change and for the short term variance to settle out.
      Comment
      • Pair of 5s Sir
        SBR MVP
        • 04-20-08
        • 4960

        #423
        Originally posted by Flight
        Good evening,

        Not much going on tomorrow, but I like these home dogs:

        Baltimore +105
        Seattle +125

        Note that I am 0-3 on Baltimore thus far, and 0-3 on Houston thus far. I have been stubborn so far and kept playing them although they have quickly slipped to the bottom in nearly every statistical category. Tampa Bay Rays however are not that great and Baltimore should have a chance. They need to start driving in those runs, too many LOB. Seattle is a dangerous play because their opponent, Oakland, is one of the top money makers 1 week into the season, but I look for that to change and for the short term variance to settle out.
        Looking at the Over in the Yankee game. The big NY money on Petitte throwing a good game is the contrarian play.
        Comment
        • Pair of 5s Sir
          SBR MVP
          • 04-20-08
          • 4960

          #424
          Selection

          I am grabbing an overnight line that is a contrarian total play. Petitte goes for the Yankees with 10 as the number. New York pounce money will be sending under giving the contrarian an over opportunity which is not common.

          Over Yankees 10 -105
          Comment
          • Pair of 5s Sir
            SBR MVP
            • 04-20-08
            • 4960

            #425
            A challenging year to say the least. The angles we are working with are off to a snail start. I am committed more than ever to dig out of this negative unit hole. The contrarians will stay true to its selection criteria with sound money management. As you have noticed, I am down 14 units to date. Now some of you out there with you 5 unit, 10 unit or 20 unit plays can get to even or better with just one recorded win. Not here, one game, one unit. You will truly be able to state that if I followed the contrarian and bet X per game, this is how I would turn out. This is a subject matter that has been on my mind for years. I see the hucksters out there in SBR who display deceiving records. I would be nice to see this subject be discussed within the threads, perhaps even the upcoming Bash. I know the Bash is for fun, but I would love to see a live forum be conducted on a variety of subjects, money management, official unit count, selection philosophy, etc.

            Opposing points of view are all welcome
            Comment
            • Pair of 5s Sir
              SBR MVP
              • 04-20-08
              • 4960

              #426
              Selection II

              Contrarian Double Dog Play (CDDP)

              Diamondbacks +158
              Pirates +174

              Let's recap todays's selections:

              Over Yankees 10 -105
              Diamondbacks +158
              Pirates +174
              Comment
              • MLBStreakbuilda
                SBR Sharp
                • 03-29-10
                • 316

                #427
                Found me a pair of dogs too,
                50$ LAA +180
                50$ CWS +102

                and I've booked the Dodgers -1.5 at +120. I was thinking Dodgers ML in a reduce-the-juice-parlay with Tampa, but decided the RL was the play here. Lineup packing punch again, home opener and Kershaw saw Lincecum on tv the other night. He wants to be talked about as young and sensational too, he's going to get it done.



                MLB SUML: 11-10, +102.5$
                MLB Parlays: 0-1, -50$
                MLB: 125-147-5, -42.21
                Parlay factory project: 6-17, -5.01u

                Tomorrow is, reportedly, a new day.
                Comment
                • Pair of 5s Sir
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-20-08
                  • 4960

                  #428
                  It's Official

                  The Petitte throwing a no hitter at the home opener did not pan out. LAA explodes in the top of the ninth resulting in under players jumping off the George Washington Bridge.

                  Over Yankees 10 -105 (W)
                  Comment
                  • pimike
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-23-08
                    • 37140

                    #429
                    Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                    The Petitte throwing a no hitter at the home opener did not pan out. LAA explodes in the top of the ninth resulting in under players jumping off the George Washington Bridge.

                    Over Yankees 10 -105 (W)




                    Comment
                    • Smogs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-31-08
                      • 4173

                      #430
                      5's, i'd like to hit the sportsbook with you when we're at the bash, i'll add my limited knowledge to the debate
                      Comment
                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-20-08
                        • 4960

                        #431
                        Originally posted by Smogs
                        5's, i'd like to hit the sportsbook with you when we're at the bash, i'll add my limited knowledge to the debate
                        When are you arriving. I anticipate coming in on Wednesday to take care of personal business, be at the Nuggett starting Thursday and departing on Sunday.
                        Comment
                        • Smogs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-08
                          • 4173

                          #432
                          I'll be there a day early at least also
                          Comment
                          • Pair of 5s Sir
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-20-08
                            • 4960

                            #433
                            It's Official

                            The Dbacks had ample opportunities with men on but could not execute. The Boys from the Ravine take it down and give the contrarians a dose of reality.

                            Diamondbacks +158 (L)
                            Comment
                            • Flight
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-28-09
                              • 1979

                              #434
                              I would like to meet with both 5's and Smogs at the bash. I will get in on Thursday and stay till Sunday. Can't believe you guys are planning this already, it's 4 months out!

                              5's I agree that records should only be displayed with 1 unit wagers. It is distorting to include 10 unit bailouts in your record and claim "oh it's okay I hit my big plays". I see it happen all the time. The other thing I see is "I lost 10 units today, but thank god I bet on Asian tennis for 20 units that I didn't post here"

                              At the same time I do bet more on certain games. I've made one 5 unit wagers and a few 2 unit wagers. I don't think it's proper to flat bet every play. But for record keeping I think everything should be 1 unit. Kind of like how certain touts do it, like Dr Bob, where he says he's 10-6 on Strong Opinions and 30-20 on 1 star plays. You can vary your wagers, but the record should be flat.
                              Comment
                              • Pair of 5s Sir
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-20-08
                                • 4960

                                #435
                                Originally posted by Flight
                                I would like to meet with both 5's and Smogs at the bash. I will get in on Thursday and stay till Sunday. Can't believe you guys are planning this already, it's 4 months out!

                                5's I agree that records should only be displayed with 1 unit wagers. It is distorting to include 10 unit bailouts in your record and claim "oh it's okay I hit my big plays". I see it happen all the time. The other thing I see is "I lost 10 units today, but thank god I bet on Asian tennis for 20 units that I didn't post here"

                                At the same time I do bet more on certain games. I've made one 5 unit wagers and a few 2 unit wagers. I don't think it's proper to flat bet every play. But for record keeping I think everything should be 1 unit. Kind of like how certain touts do it, like Dr Bob, where he says he's 10-6 on Strong Opinions and 30-20 on 1 star plays. You can vary your wagers, but the record should be flat.
                                I agree totally. I of course do not flat bet. Different amounts for different reasons. However, the unit count for recordkeeping hs one unit per game. You are the first person who in it's entirety has stated my long standing opinion on this matter. As ridiculous as it sounds, SBR should establish a "preferred" unit count method. The 20 unit Johnnies need to be exposed. And yes, a meet at the bash is in order. And a day at the book. My man TheLock is their too.
                                Comment
                                • Pair of 5s Sir
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-20-08
                                  • 4960

                                  #436
                                  Pirates
                                  Comment
                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-20-08
                                    • 4960

                                    #437
                                    The Pirates have no shot at winning this one. "Contrarian"
                                    Comment
                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-20-08
                                      • 4960

                                      #438
                                      Like I said, there is no way the Pirates can win this one. "Contrarian"
                                      Comment
                                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-20-08
                                        • 4960

                                        #439
                                        No fukkin way the Pirates win, no shot, no way.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-20-08
                                          • 4960

                                          #440
                                          It's Official

                                          The Pirates defeat the Giants for the cash. The Contrarian Double Dog Play goes 1-1 positive units and positive cash flow. For those new to the thread, the CDDP is two value dogs, looking to hit one to create a plus money, plus unit situation.

                                          Pirates +175 (W)

                                          Let review today's selection:

                                          Pirates +175 (W)
                                          Diamondbacks +158 (L)
                                          Over Yankees 10 -105 (W)

                                          Beware O Contrare
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #441
                                            Why didn't you play Seattle tonight, PAIR?
                                            Comment
                                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-20-08
                                              • 4960

                                              #442
                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                              Why didn't you play Seattle tonight, PAIR?
                                              When I have a contrarian double dog play, I don't want to disturb the angle with another selection. Simple as that.
                                              Comment
                                              • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-20-08
                                                • 4960

                                                #443
                                                Selection

                                                The Pirates even though they beat the Giants, they looked blah. We come back with Giants in the afternoon event.

                                                Giants -1.5 +125
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #444
                                                  Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                                  When I have a contrarian double dog play, I don't want to disturb the angle with another selection. Simple as that.
                                                  I see.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-20-08
                                                    • 4960

                                                    #445
                                                    Contrarian Radar

                                                    Contrarian indicators are present in the Texas/Cleveland affair. The sputtering Indians are hopeless and probably will never win a game. We don't pull the trigger this early, I believe we will get a better number. Line confirmation with the money moving on Texas will generate a swelling of the balls.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-20-08
                                                      • 4960

                                                      #446
                                                      Selection Recap

                                                      Giants -1.5 +125
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TheLock
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-06-08
                                                        • 14427

                                                        #447
                                                        Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                                        Contrarian indicators are present in the Texas/Cleveland affair. The sputtering Indians are hopeless and probably will never win a game. We don't pull the trigger this early, I believe we will get a better number. Line confirmation with the money moving on Texas will generate a swelling of the balls.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-20-08
                                                          • 4960

                                                          #448
                                                          Contrarian Radar II

                                                          No play on the Indians with the pitching change.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-20-08
                                                            • 4960

                                                            #449
                                                            It's Official

                                                            Perhaps a pattern is starting to develop. The Contrarian bangs out another win with the Giants in an epic massacre (a bit of an overstatement). Nontheless, we get plus money by taking the RL.

                                                            Giants -1.5 +125 (W)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #450
                                                              Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                                              Perhaps a pattern is starting to develop. The Contrarian bangs out another win with the Giants in an epic massacre (a bit of an overstatement). Nontheless, we get plus money by taking the RL.

                                                              Giants -1.5 +125 (W)
                                                              I hit on the same. Great call. Sanchez was on fire today.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • TheLock
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 04-06-08
                                                                • 14427

                                                                #451
                                                                Will the balls of the squares be clanging on ATL as a big road fave?

                                                                Padres +1.5 is on my radar. Yours?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-20-08
                                                                  • 4960

                                                                  #452
                                                                  Selection

                                                                  Contrarian Double Dog Play (CDDP)


                                                                  Padres +120
                                                                  Diamondbacks +165
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-20-08
                                                                    • 4960

                                                                    #453
                                                                    It's Official

                                                                    The late night CDDP takes the cash for the contrarians grabbing a net total of .65 units as a result of the Diamondbacks winning at a big price.

                                                                    Padres +120 (L)
                                                                    Diamondbacks +165 (W)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-20-08
                                                                      • 4960

                                                                      #454
                                                                      Selection

                                                                      There is no freakin way the Astros can win today. They are brutal and more than likely will not win a game probably until, well, probably never. If you want to throw money away, bet the Astros.

                                                                      The Contrarians will defy

                                                                      Astros +213
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • TheLock
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 04-06-08
                                                                        • 14427

                                                                        #455
                                                                        Played the ML and also banged them on the RL -110
                                                                        Comment
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