Not much going on tomorrow, but I like these home dogs:
Baltimore +105
Seattle +125
Note that I am 0-3 on Baltimore thus far, and 0-3 on Houston thus far. I have been stubborn so far and kept playing them although they have quickly slipped to the bottom in nearly every statistical category. Tampa Bay Rays however are not that great and Baltimore should have a chance. They need to start driving in those runs, too many LOB. Seattle is a dangerous play because their opponent, Oakland, is one of the top money makers 1 week into the season, but I look for that to change and for the short term variance to settle out.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#423
Originally posted by Flight
Good evening,
Not much going on tomorrow, but I like these home dogs:
Baltimore +105
Seattle +125
Note that I am 0-3 on Baltimore thus far, and 0-3 on Houston thus far. I have been stubborn so far and kept playing them although they have quickly slipped to the bottom in nearly every statistical category. Tampa Bay Rays however are not that great and Baltimore should have a chance. They need to start driving in those runs, too many LOB. Seattle is a dangerous play because their opponent, Oakland, is one of the top money makers 1 week into the season, but I look for that to change and for the short term variance to settle out.
Looking at the Over in the Yankee game. The big NY money on Petitte throwing a good game is the contrarian play.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#424
Selection
I am grabbing an overnight line that is a contrarian total play. Petitte goes for the Yankees with 10 as the number. New York pounce money will be sending under giving the contrarian an over opportunity which is not common.
Over Yankees 10 -105
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#425
A challenging year to say the least. The angles we are working with are off to a snail start. I am committed more than ever to dig out of this negative unit hole. The contrarians will stay true to its selection criteria with sound money management. As you have noticed, I am down 14 units to date. Now some of you out there with you 5 unit, 10 unit or 20 unit plays can get to even or better with just one recorded win. Not here, one game, one unit. You will truly be able to state that if I followed the contrarian and bet X per game, this is how I would turn out. This is a subject matter that has been on my mind for years. I see the hucksters out there in SBR who display deceiving records. I would be nice to see this subject be discussed within the threads, perhaps even the upcoming Bash. I know the Bash is for fun, but I would love to see a live forum be conducted on a variety of subjects, money management, official unit count, selection philosophy, etc.
Opposing points of view are all welcome
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#426
Selection II
Contrarian Double Dog Play (CDDP)
Diamondbacks +158
Pirates +174
Let's recap todays's selections:
Over Yankees 10 -105
Diamondbacks +158
Pirates +174
Comment
MLBStreakbuilda
SBR Sharp
03-29-10
316
#427
Found me a pair of dogs too,
50$ LAA +180
50$ CWS +102
and I've booked the Dodgers -1.5 at +120. I was thinking Dodgers ML in a reduce-the-juice-parlay with Tampa, but decided the RL was the play here. Lineup packing punch again, home opener and Kershaw saw Lincecum on tv the other night. He wants to be talked about as young and sensational too, he's going to get it done.
The Petitte throwing a no hitter at the home opener did not pan out. LAA explodes in the top of the ninth resulting in under players jumping off the George Washington Bridge.
Over Yankees 10 -105 (W)
Comment
pimike
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
03-23-08
37140
#429
Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
The Petitte throwing a no hitter at the home opener did not pan out. LAA explodes in the top of the ninth resulting in under players jumping off the George Washington Bridge.
Over Yankees 10 -105 (W)
Comment
Smogs
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4173
#430
5's, i'd like to hit the sportsbook with you when we're at the bash, i'll add my limited knowledge to the debate
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#431
Originally posted by Smogs
5's, i'd like to hit the sportsbook with you when we're at the bash, i'll add my limited knowledge to the debate
When are you arriving. I anticipate coming in on Wednesday to take care of personal business, be at the Nuggett starting Thursday and departing on Sunday.
Comment
Smogs
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4173
#432
I'll be there a day early at least also
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#433
It's Official
The Dbacks had ample opportunities with men on but could not execute. The Boys from the Ravine take it down and give the contrarians a dose of reality.
Diamondbacks +158 (L)
Comment
Flight
Restricted User
01-28-09
1979
#434
I would like to meet with both 5's and Smogs at the bash. I will get in on Thursday and stay till Sunday. Can't believe you guys are planning this already, it's 4 months out!
5's I agree that records should only be displayed with 1 unit wagers. It is distorting to include 10 unit bailouts in your record and claim "oh it's okay I hit my big plays". I see it happen all the time. The other thing I see is "I lost 10 units today, but thank god I bet on Asian tennis for 20 units that I didn't post here"
At the same time I do bet more on certain games. I've made one 5 unit wagers and a few 2 unit wagers. I don't think it's proper to flat bet every play. But for record keeping I think everything should be 1 unit. Kind of like how certain touts do it, like Dr Bob, where he says he's 10-6 on Strong Opinions and 30-20 on 1 star plays. You can vary your wagers, but the record should be flat.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#435
Originally posted by Flight
I would like to meet with both 5's and Smogs at the bash. I will get in on Thursday and stay till Sunday. Can't believe you guys are planning this already, it's 4 months out!
5's I agree that records should only be displayed with 1 unit wagers. It is distorting to include 10 unit bailouts in your record and claim "oh it's okay I hit my big plays". I see it happen all the time. The other thing I see is "I lost 10 units today, but thank god I bet on Asian tennis for 20 units that I didn't post here"
At the same time I do bet more on certain games. I've made one 5 unit wagers and a few 2 unit wagers. I don't think it's proper to flat bet every play. But for record keeping I think everything should be 1 unit. Kind of like how certain touts do it, like Dr Bob, where he says he's 10-6 on Strong Opinions and 30-20 on 1 star plays. You can vary your wagers, but the record should be flat.
I agree totally. I of course do not flat bet. Different amounts for different reasons. However, the unit count for recordkeeping hs one unit per game. You are the first person who in it's entirety has stated my long standing opinion on this matter. As ridiculous as it sounds, SBR should establish a "preferred" unit count method. The 20 unit Johnnies need to be exposed. And yes, a meet at the bash is in order. And a day at the book. My man TheLock is their too.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#436
Pirates
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#437
The Pirates have no shot at winning this one. "Contrarian"
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#438
Like I said, there is no way the Pirates can win this one. "Contrarian"
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#439
No fukkin way the Pirates win, no shot, no way.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#440
It's Official
The Pirates defeat the Giants for the cash. The Contrarian Double Dog Play goes 1-1 positive units and positive cash flow. For those new to the thread, the CDDP is two value dogs, looking to hit one to create a plus money, plus unit situation.
When I have a contrarian double dog play, I don't want to disturb the angle with another selection. Simple as that.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#443
Selection
The Pirates even though they beat the Giants, they looked blah. We come back with Giants in the afternoon event.
Giants -1.5 +125
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#444
Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
When I have a contrarian double dog play, I don't want to disturb the angle with another selection. Simple as that.
I see.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#445
Contrarian Radar
Contrarian indicators are present in the Texas/Cleveland affair. The sputtering Indians are hopeless and probably will never win a game. We don't pull the trigger this early, I believe we will get a better number. Line confirmation with the money moving on Texas will generate a swelling of the balls.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#446
Selection Recap
Giants -1.5 +125
Comment
TheLock
SBR Posting Legend
04-06-08
14427
#447
Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
Contrarian indicators are present in the Texas/Cleveland affair. The sputtering Indians are hopeless and probably will never win a game. We don't pull the trigger this early, I believe we will get a better number. Line confirmation with the money moving on Texas will generate a swelling of the balls.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#448
Contrarian Radar II
No play on the Indians with the pitching change.
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#449
It's Official
Perhaps a pattern is starting to develop. The Contrarian bangs out another win with the Giants in an epic massacre (a bit of an overstatement). Nontheless, we get plus money by taking the RL.
Giants -1.5 +125 (W)
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#450
Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
Perhaps a pattern is starting to develop. The Contrarian bangs out another win with the Giants in an epic massacre (a bit of an overstatement). Nontheless, we get plus money by taking the RL.
Giants -1.5 +125 (W)
I hit on the same. Great call. Sanchez was on fire today.
Comment
TheLock
SBR Posting Legend
04-06-08
14427
#451
Will the balls of the squares be clanging on ATL as a big road fave?
Padres +1.5 is on my radar. Yours?
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#452
Selection
Contrarian Double Dog Play (CDDP)
Padres +120
Diamondbacks +165
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#453
It's Official
The late night CDDP takes the cash for the contrarians grabbing a net total of .65 units as a result of the Diamondbacks winning at a big price.
Padres +120 (L)
Diamondbacks +165 (W)
Comment
Pair of 5s Sir
SBR MVP
04-20-08
4960
#454
Selection
There is no freakin way the Astros can win today. They are brutal and more than likely will not win a game probably until, well, probably never. If you want to throw money away, bet the Astros.