Pair of 5s Sir Season Selection

[TheLock]

I like UNDER 10.5 in Philly

[MLBStreakbuilda]

Booked:

LAA -107
UNDER LAA +100
BAL +145


MLB record: 19-16, +222.5$
MLB parlays: 0-1, -50$

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Booked:

LAA -107
UNDER LAA +100
BAL +145


MLB record: 19-16, +222.5$
MLB parlays: 0-1, -50$

Good luck Mr. Streaker, you are building a nice record. You should start providing a unit count, instead of money count. How much money you are making is nothing helpful to others, but the success of your selections, as demonstrated by the unit count, is most helpful. Please consider.

[MLBStreakbuilda]

Sirra, I want to go with the method you describe in the first post of the thread:

"For example, if selecting the favorite at -160, it will be risking 1.60 units to win 1.0 units. Conversely a selection on a +160, I will be risking 1.0 units to win 1.6 units."

I believe this is the way to go, because you can be 20-20 and still down a lot of money because you have just hit the favourites among your picks. That's why I started including the dollar sum total, and I was playing with the thought of displaying a to-date average of the MLs that had won. However, it didn't take long for me to realize the "true blue count" is the best (good MM too, and real transparent), but should I start my record over again, then? Because, as you know I've almost exclusively played 50$ wagers, but at the start I played some "to win 100" wagers.

I am definitely making the switch, though, just needed the kick in the behind...I can be like that

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Sirra, I want to go with the method you describe in the first post of the thread:

"For example, if selecting the favorite at -160, it will be risking 1.60 units to win 1.0 units. Conversely a selection on a +160, I will be risking 1.0 units to win 1.6 units."

I believe this is the way to go, because you can be 20-20 and still down a lot of money because you have just hit the favourites among your picks. That's why I started including the dollar sum total, and I was playing with the thought of displaying a to-date average of the MLs that had won. However, it didn't take long for me to realize the "true blue count" is the best (good MM too, and real transparent), but should I start my record over again, then? Because, as you know I've almost exclusively played 50$ wagers, but at the start I played some "to win 100" wagers.

I am definitely making the switch, though, just needed the kick in the behind...I can be like that

The unit provides the following insight. "If I tailed this guy betting X amount, I would be making or losing X. It is that simple. I am glad you are considering a change.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

The total contrarian play does not hold up, proving the contrarian angle sometimes loses.

Strap in boys, more is coming.

Under Twins 9.5 -105 (L)

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Selection II

Contrarian Double Dog Play (CDDP)

Orioles +146
Indians +116

[MLBStreakbuilda]

LAA takes it in the under. 2-0, and Orioles pending for me. You know what I heard'em say? "The O's", I heard'em say, "that team is never gonna win a game" .

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

The Contrarians crank out another.

Indians +116 (W)

This completes the first half of the CDDP.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

The Orioles give up 2 in the bottom of the ninth, halving our CDDP.

Orioles +146 (L)

[pimike]

The Observation Tower is clicking on all cylinders. We are 10-5 over the last 15 selections. This has been a true test after an extremely slow start. Positive units and positive cash flow are nearing the even point, but there is so work to do.

I appreciate all the loyal supporters of the thread and looking forward to the Bash to meet many of you. The Contrarian Mafia is a unique place and its loyal membership is the backbone.

Shoutouts go to the following.

MlbStreakbuilder
Mlb
TheLock
Pimike
Netprofit

Beware O Contrare

Thanks for the shout out!

[mlb]

The Observation Tower is clicking on all cylinders. We are 10-5 over the last 15 selections. This has been a true test after an extremely slow start. Positive units and positive cash flow are nearing the even point, but there is so work to do. I appreciate all the loyal supporters of the thread and looking forward to the Bash to meet many of you. The Contrarian Mafia is a unique place and its loyal membership is the backbone. Shoutouts go to the following. MlbStreakbuilder Mlb TheLock Pimike Netprofit Beware O Contrare

Thanks man!!! hoping to get on here more and more ... class is kicking my ass, but looking forward to summer!! .. love the thread

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Selection

Good morning to all. We have a few selections that we will get in early due to family obligations.

We start off with the "game that can't go under", CIN/PIT. The square indicators of combined ERA 9.59 and the over bias relating to team totals record, squarely (no pun intended) put this game in the blowout over camp. Today we come in and punch the under handily.

Under Pirates 7.5 +115

The apes will be punching Zito tickets at a great plus price, but the Contrarians won't take the bait. We go the other way and lay the bananas.

Dodgers -159

And finally, the Petitte game last time was a stone cold under play that blew up in the ninth inning. Squares will be remembering that game and will punch the under in disappoint. Throw in the premium -115 on the Over to clinch the contrarian angle.

Over Yankees 9 -115

[MLBStreakbuilda]

I have placed 50$ wagers on all my plays, except on opening night where I bet to win 100 at -116. If I had put 50 there too, I have to subtract 57 from the dollar total, and to date would be up 212 with 50$ on all plays. 212/50 gives a unit record of

+4.24 units. If you bet x with me on all my plays, you would be up 4.24x.

If this is an acceptable convertion, we can go from there.

I have made my own thread for parlays, "two-team parlay factory" (+ 0.80 units after day 1, which was yesterday). I will keep my parlays there, as you guys are game-pickers par excellence in here and probably not interested in which parlays I put down.

Meredith! My handicapping hat!

[Pair of 5s Sir]

I have placed 50$ wagers on all my plays, except on opening night where I bet to win 100 at -116. If I had put 50 there too, I have to subtract 57 from the dollar total, and to date would be up 212 with 50$ on all plays. 212/50 gives a unit record of

+4.24 units. If you bet x with me on all my plays, you would be up 4.24x.

If this is an acceptable convertion, we can go from there.

I have made my own thread for parlays, "two-team parlay factory" (+ 0.80 units after day 1, which was yesterday). I will keep my parlays there, as you guys are game-pickers par excellence in here and probably not interested in which parlays I put down.

Meredith! My handicapping hat!

I don't mind you posting parlays or anything for that matter. I can tell you that parlays are a tough business to be in. I occasionally make a stab at a parlay but I make it a point to stay away. I can tell you that positive unit count and positive cash flow is challenging by itself. Parlays make it more difficult. But don't let me discourage you. Give it a go, and let's see. Again, feel free to post here, any input within the bounds of good taste are acceptable.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

An interesting card today with totals that stick out like a sore thumb. Only time will tell.

[MLBStreakbuilda]

M. Garza has an eye-popping ERA that may impress a lot of novices, but that's two starts against Bmore we're talking about, if the line keeps moving...

Arroyo and Maholm might well keep it under 8 I'm thinking, too...

[Pair of 5s Sir]

M. Garza has an eye-popping ERA that may impress a lot of novices, but that's two starts against Bmore we're talking about, if the line keeps moving...

Arroyo and Maholm might well keep it under 8 I'm thinking, too...

Luvin that signature? Pretty cool? I agree on the Boston contrarian angle. Was going to pull the trigger, but I want to wait. Red Sox are getting the majority of the money which is not always the best. When selecting contrarian angles there are a number of factors. When I run into an angle that in non-contrarian, even though others are present, I move on to another selection.

[TheLock]

I like UNDER 10.5 in Philly

Pair you talked me out of this play so now I'm forced to send over a couple of big ginzo's to break both your legs.


In all seriousness though, this may be the funniest Pair of 5's quote ever:

The apes will be punching Zito tickets at a great plus price, but the Contrarians won't take the bait. We go the other way and lay the bananas.

Dodgers -159

I almost spit up my cereal.

Really like the plays today. Good luck to all us good guys.

[MLBStreakbuilda]

That's the BoSox chase money for sure, right. 61% and no line movement. Maybe you are right to be apprehensive Sir.

I like the CWS over, Carmona will throw for strikes, CWS will make contact and their ridiculous babip corrects. Indians contribute a couple too so I see that one going over 7.5.

Booked:

CWS OVER 7.5 -116

This is the first play on the unit count.
Old count stopped at 21-17 and +269$.
From here on I will bet 1 unit on + lines and to win 1 unit on - lines (f example 1.6 units on a -160 and 1.0 units on a + 124).

[MLBStreakbuilda]

Booked:

MIL +108
Cincy UNDER 8 -111

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Booked:

MIL +108
Cincy UNDER 8 -111

is this a parlay or straight, you need to establish. If you don't, people wil consider it a straight bet. Be careful of unintended huckstering, if that's a word.

[MLBStreakbuilda]

These are straight bets. Parlays in the factory. As stated. Will always say explicitly when it's a parlay.

[TheLock]

NYY total is tracking nicely boys.

As is game that can't go under.

[TheLock]

Pretty sick 9th inning

I was fortunate to have 8 and a push

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

The two contrarian totals don't work out as planned. Could make lots of excuses but this is not hand grenades.

Over Yankees 9 (L)
Under Pirates 7.5 (L)

[MLBStreakbuilda]

Booked: STL -1.5 -104

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Booked: STL -1.5 -104

Don't like the RL at all. That's where all the money will be for those who don't want to lay the ton on the ML. Contrarian angle would be Mets RL but I have not decided if I am making a move. Nontheless, Good Luck.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

The Manny Ramirez bottom of the 8th HR, brings home the cheese for the contrarians. I thought early today as the early games were underway, they were tracking nicely. But as I said before, this is not hand grenades.

Dodgers -159 (W)

Let's recap today's selections:

Over Yankees 9 (L)
Under Pirates 7.5 (L)
Dodgers -159 (W)

[Pair of 5s Sir]

Selection

Mets (first five) +235, bash if you will. This is MLB fellas. Contrarian if you will.

[Pair of 5s Sir]

[Pair of 5s Sir]

[TheLock]

Oh man

[Pair of 5s Sir]

It's Official

The Mets first five implodes in the bottom 5 with a three run dinger.

Mets (FF) +235 (PUSH)

[TheLock]

Pain is the theme of the night.

My UNDER 7.5 goes down in flames in the 5-3 contest.