Pair of 5s Sir Season Selection

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  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #1
    Pair of 5s Sir Season Selection
    Welcome all to the Pair of 5s Sir season selections thread. Many of you who have followed in the past, know that I had a daily thread. But by requests of many, I intend on one thread for all selections.

    My unit count will be based on a true count. One unit for one game. For example, if selecting the favorite at -160, it will be risking 1.60 units to win 1.0 units. Conversely a selection on a +160, I will be risking 1.0 units to win 1.6 units. This is thevtrue blue way of recording a true record. Each thread follower would be able to determine how much would I have profited or not by applying dollar amount pet unit.

    My selection will include sides, RL and totals. Unlike last year, there will be no posting to the spreadsheet. With the anticipation of a number of iPhone postings, the spreadsheet is not technically solid. However, all posts will be posted to the thread.

    As always, opposing points of view are welcomed. The thread goes from the start of the season and ends approximately half way thru the season, give or take a couple of weeks either way.

    Beware O Contrare
  • pimike
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-23-08
    • 37140

    #2
    Look forward to a great year

    Let's get em!
    Comment
    • Pair of 5s Sir
      SBR MVP
      • 04-20-08
      • 4960

      #3
      Always a pleasure Mike. Are you enjoying your popularity. Just remember, I was following pimike before following pimike was cool.
      Comment
      • TheLock
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-06-08
        • 14427

        #4
        Baseball is officially peeking it's head over the horizon with the debut of the Pair of 5's 2010 thread. After the Superbowl there is not much between us and Spring Training.

        Any futures wagers blipping on the contrarian radar screen?

        I like Rangers and Marlins for a small play @ +2500.
        Comment
        • ryanspeer2001
          SBR MVP
          • 03-30-08
          • 3149

          #5
          Good luck this year!
          Comment
          • peterpan19
            Restricted User
            • 11-02-08
            • 3377

            #6
            GL

            btw how did you do last year and do you have some futures too?
            Comment
            • PAPSMEAR
              SBR MVP
              • 02-13-09
              • 2581

              #7
              Welcome back to the fray Sir.

              Wondered where you got to.
              Comment
              • 5050
                SBR High Roller
                • 10-23-09
                • 108

                #8
                You have any futures in mind?
                Comment
                • Pair of 5s Sir
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-20-08
                  • 4960

                  #9
                  Last season officially +9 units. Looking forward to another go at it.
                  Comment
                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-20-08
                    • 4960

                    #10
                    For my futures play, I am going with the Reds. I am just pricing them right now with various books.
                    Comment
                    • whatsgood5
                      Restricted User
                      • 10-13-09
                      • 15359

                      #11
                      Looking forward to your picks. Only about 2 1/2 months now!
                      Comment
                      • Pair of 5s Sir
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-20-08
                        • 4960

                        #12
                        I appreciate all the thread followers.

                        One small step for man, one giant leap for the contrarians
                        Comment
                        • icsky3
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-14-07
                          • 1700

                          #13
                          gooood luck man
                          Comment
                          • Pair of 5s Sir
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-20-08
                            • 4960

                            #14
                            The contrarian mafia is well represented at the observation tower, I see.
                            Comment
                            • pimike
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 03-23-08
                              • 37140

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                              Always a pleasure Mike. Are you enjoying your popularity. Just remember, I was following pimike before following pimike was cool.


                              This year we need to hit and go toa a game together
                              Comment
                              • Pair of 5s Sir
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-20-08
                                • 4960

                                #16
                                Without question, date and time. We will talk.
                                Comment
                                • Pair of 5s Sir
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-20-08
                                  • 4960

                                  #17
                                  In this thread I mentioned the unit count system I employ on order to provide an accurate account of the selections. Too many hypsters with their 5 unit, 10 unit and sometimes 20 unit picks. You have an opportunity to weigh in on how a unit count should be calculated.
                                  Comment
                                  • Busterflywheel
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-13-09
                                    • 3991

                                    #18
                                    I always bet 1 unit per game regardless of how strong my feeling are or what someone else has to say...
                                    Comment
                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-20-08
                                      • 4960

                                      #19
                                      That's legit, the only way. I wish SBR would come out with an official unit count calculation. Official consistency is what I am getting at.
                                      Comment
                                      • TheLock
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 04-06-08
                                        • 14427

                                        #20
                                        Anything in particular you like about the Reds?
                                        Comment
                                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-20-08
                                          • 4960

                                          #21
                                          I will be in Vegas in 2 hours to shop the futures.
                                          Comment
                                          • pimike
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 03-23-08
                                            • 37140

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                            I will be in Vegas in 2 hours to shop the futures.
                                            Have a great time

                                            Cubs are actually worth a shot
                                            Comment
                                            • TheLock
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-06-08
                                              • 14427

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                              I will be in Vegas in 2 hours to shop the futures.


                                              Just ship me the $$$ you would have sent in on the Reds and we'll call it a day
                                              Comment
                                              • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-20-08
                                                • 4960

                                                #24
                                                Contrarian String Play

                                                For those who follow the contrarian, I occasionally come up up with a contrarian situation which involves a string of three plays. These selections involve money management and the ability to fade big favorites.

                                                We start the year with the Cy Young string play. We fade Lincecum and Greinke in their season debuts and continue the fade until a loss. We only go three games for protection. Be the big dog number you will get at the beginning of the season, the string can land a profitable start to the season.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheLock
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-06-08
                                                  • 14427

                                                  #25
                                                  Of the two, I'm a bigger fan of fading Greinke early on but I like this strategy nonetheless.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-20-08
                                                    • 4960

                                                    #26
                                                    Getting on the plane to go home from Las Vegas.

                                                    Beware O Contrare
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-20-08
                                                      • 4960

                                                      #27
                                                      Back home Contrarians to the east coast. The Las Vegas headquarters is all fine and dandy. Hung out at Caesars and Red Rock book during my trip along with sometime up in Mesquite at the Virgin River Book. The Virgin River book is associated with a network of books through the Southpoint Hotel and Casino.

                                                      Stay tuned, stay threaded and stay contrarian.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TheLock
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 04-06-08
                                                        • 14427

                                                        #28
                                                        Glad you have arrived home safely sir. Back to the real world where there is not a book 30 seconds down the street.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • pimike
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-23-08
                                                          • 37140

                                                          #29
                                                          I love Southpoint
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EXhoosier10
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-06-09
                                                            • 3122

                                                            #30
                                                            I like the string plays, especially with the lesser quality teams they play on.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-20-08
                                                              • 4960

                                                              #31
                                                              As it relates to the string plays, money management is a key component. I have a formula that I am trying this year.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-20-08
                                                                • 4960

                                                                #32
                                                                I would like to know the books that guys will use for bases. I am using 5dimes and Bodog.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EXhoosier10
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-06-09
                                                                  • 3122

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I used BetJamaica last year. between them, bodog, and betED, betJM had the best lines by a wide margin. I'm not sure how 5dimes lines are though.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-20-08
                                                                    • 4960

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Thanks Hoosier, I will add BetJamaica to my play list. I have been considering it for a while and others have many favorable things to say. See you in the thread.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-20-08
                                                                      • 4960

                                                                      #35
                                                                      My plays are contrarian in nature. I have had much success in the financial markets, using contrarian plays. These are some of the factors considered that lead up to the selection.

                                                                      What information does the public see, that makes the line, ie. ERA, streaks, and standings. This information for the novice players is overrated.

                                                                      Does the line make sense, particularly on the favorite. Oftentimes, the public will use the above, overrated information to pound the favorite. They see the information, and move the line accordingly to no success.

                                                                      Head to head records, where the line is lower than expected, for the dominating team.

                                                                      There are several other triggers but I won't bore you.
                                                                      Comment
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