MLB Picks - Wednesday, 9/28/22

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    MLB Picks - Wednesday, 9/28/22
    1 MLB Side Wednesday

    Cardinals +139


    YTD: 363-381-19, -24.03


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

    Season low was -35.16 entering games of Thursday, 8/11/22
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    4 MLB Plays Wednesday

    4 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Royals +118 (ACTION)
    Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 -103
    Cardinals +139
    Phillies / Cubs UNDER 6.5 +102
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      This guy doesn’t give up you gotta give him credit
      Comment
      • SlickFazzer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 05-22-08
        • 20209

        #4
        If -25 units is breached, the model may not be able to recover.

        This is critical from a technical standpoint.
        Comment
        • Brock Landers
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 06-30-08
          • 45359

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          This guy doesn’t give up you gotta give him credit
          LOL

          That's not something to give him credit for. Just a compulsive gambler who thinks he's smart
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            He is professional
            Comment
            • dirtycash66
              SBR MVP
              • 04-13-12
              • 2958

              #7
              Safe to say this was not LTs best mlb season.
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82782

                #8
                He gave it a try. A lot of us would have given up at -35.16. LT woke up on 8/12 and said: "I'm not a quitter!".
                Comment
                • SlickFazzer
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 05-22-08
                  • 20209

                  #9
                  I have confidence LT will modify his MLB model in the offseason and re-evaluate the metrics.

                  2023 could be a huge bounce back year.
                  Comment
                  • Easy-Rider 66
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-14-12
                    • 36100

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Brock Landers
                    LOL

                    That's not something to give him credit for. Just a compulsive gambler who thinks he's smart
                    At least LT records all his action so we can see exactly how he is performing.
                    Comment
                    • LT Profits
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-27-06
                      • 90963

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Brock Landers
                      LOL

                      That's not something to give him credit for. Just a compulsive gambler who thinks he's smart
                      Nothing compulsive about me, a compulsive gambler would force plays to raise volume considering record is based on 1 unit for every play. I always keep the same approach no matter the record and wait for plays to present themselves. Sure I have had some large cards, but they all came naturally with no forcing.

                      And yes, my past records in all ALL Sports does suggest I am pretty smart
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        1 MLB Pick Addition

                        5 MLB Plays Wednesday

                        Royals +118 (ACTION)
                        Royals / Tigers UNDER 7.5 -110 (ACTION)
                        Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 -103
                        Cardinals +139
                        Phillies / Cubs UNDER 6.5 +102
                        Comment
                        • stackz125
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-03-16
                          • 6191

                          #13
                          Yanks ml or f5?

                          Fade
                          Mitch white
                          Clown
                          Comment
                          • Conqueror
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-08-13
                            • 16778

                            #14
                            Had you waited, Cardinals are now at +146.
                            Comment
                            • Conqueror
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-08-13
                              • 16778

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Conqueror
                              Had you waited, Cardinals are now at +146.
                              What's going on?

                              Cardinals ML is now at +162
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82782

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Conqueror
                                What's going on?

                                Cardinals ML is now at +162
                                I'm guessing the bettors are betting the other team.
                                Comment
                                • stackz125
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-03-16
                                  • 6191

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  I'm guessing the bettors are betting the other team.
                                  Comment
                                  • Rich Boy
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-01-09
                                    • 9714

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Conqueror
                                    Had you waited, Cardinals are now at +146.
                                    He also got a killer line on NY/Tor Under, why not mention that?
                                    Nearly 30 cents in line movement, easily negates 10-15 cents on Cards ML
                                    Comment
                                    • LT Profits
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-27-06
                                      • 90963

                                      #19
                                      2 Last MLB Pick Additions

                                      7 MLB Plays Wednesday

                                      Royals +118 (ACTION)
                                      Royals / Tigers UNDER 7.5 -110 (ACTION)
                                      Nationals +182
                                      Yankees / Blue Jays UNDER 7.5 -103
                                      Red Sox -127
                                      Cardinals +139
                                      Phillies / Cubs UNDER 6.5 +102
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Conqueror
                                        What's going on?

                                        Cardinals ML is now at +162
                                        Overreaction to Arenado resting, he is only regular sitting.

                                        EDIT: Scratch that, Arenado, Pujols and couple of bottom of lineup guys out. Oh well. Goldschmidt, Donavan and Dickerson in.
                                        Last edited by LT Profits; 09-28-22, 06:04 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          Got burned by Action rule on both Royals and Under, would have been No Actions at my primary shop
                                          Comment
                                          • Luv2Play2
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-24-10
                                            • 2461

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                                            Overreaction to Arenado resting, he is only regular sitting.

                                            EDIT: Scratch that, Arenado, Pujols and couple of bottom of lineup guys out. Oh well. Goldschmidt, Donavan and Dickerson in.
                                            they missed yepez for months. is he in the lineup 2night?
                                            Comment
                                            • LT Profits
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-27-06
                                              • 90963

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Luv2Play2
                                              they missed yepez for months. is he in the lineup 2night?
                                              Yes he was but he has been platooning vs. lefties only. The 3 guys I mentioned as "in" were the only 3 that have been playing regularly vs, RHP.
                                              Comment
                                              • spippen
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-17-09
                                                • 3874

                                                #24
                                                You finally won some units on the Nationals. Finally.
                                                Comment
                                                • stake1
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-19-18
                                                  • 18116

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice hit on those nasty Nats!
                                                  Comment
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