MLB Picks - Saturday, 8/06/22

**jjgold** · 08-06-22, 07:23 AM

**LT Profits** · 08-06-22, 08:19 AM

6 MLB Plays Saturday

6 MLB Plays Saturday

Marlins / Cubs OVER 8 -108
Pirates +138
Astros / Guardians UNDER 8.5 -103
Rangers +107
Giants / Athletics UNDER 7.5 -113
Reds +162

**jjgold** · 08-06-22, 08:25 AM

LT we are watching you closely

**SlickFazzer** · 08-06-22, 10:07 AM

LTs model has gained the attention of many here at SBR.

**pavyracer** · 08-06-22, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

LTs model has gained the attention of many here at SBR.

Pretty consistent model. Picks Nationals, Reds, Pirates almost every day. You would think these teams are leading their penants with the amount of trust the model sees in them.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-06-22, 10:13 AM

It’s something with their metrics.

**doitnow** · 08-06-22, 10:17 AM

Lt cubies today?

**pavyracer** · 08-06-22, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by SlickFazzer

It’s something with their metrics.

Yes the model sees something in these teams that the average gambler is missing. This is why LT's model is so hard to get. JJ asked to buy it many times and no matter what he offers LT is not selling it to him.

**Brock Landers** · 08-06-22, 10:32 AM

The sting's Henry Gondorf said it best to Doyle Lonnegan "never get tired of losing"

**trytrytry** · 08-06-22, 10:36 AM

some good ideas here. thanks LT

**jjgold** · 08-06-22, 10:42 AM

That’s a tremendous “actually it applies to me also

Originally posted by Brock Landers

The sting's Henry Gondorf said it best to Doyle Lonnegan "never get tired of losing"

**flyingillini** · 08-06-22, 10:56 AM

LT is a man of Christ. He will always prevail in football plays just not baseball.

**44 Mag** · 08-06-22, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

6 MLB Plays Saturday

Marlins / Cubs OVER 8 -108
Pirates +138
Astros / Guardians UNDER 8.5 -103
Rangers +107
Giants / Athletics UNDER 7.5 -113
Reds +162

Hey Boss, any thought on the Padres today ? Thanks.

**stake1** · 08-06-22, 01:10 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

The sting's Henry Gondorf said it best to Doyle Lonnegan "never get tired of losing"

And once again its Sbr's dwarf sized in "stature" Troll

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-06-22, 01:17 PM

Bottom line:

*If ANYONE wants to fade a guy's picks...be quiet and do so.

*If a guy posts his picks in here, follow or fade at your own peril. Just don't pile on.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-06-22, 01:19 PM

LT is doing the best he can. The model is close to reversing itself.

Paver has documented a sound course of action going forward on numerous occasions.

**RavensFan2k3** · 08-06-22, 01:41 PM

Rangers look good. Probably will be at this O’s game

**spippen** · 08-06-22, 02:27 PM

Marlins at Cubs:

Do you ever look at any of these plays your model insists are " good to go " and question them from a common sense perspective?

Just curious that you have 2 teams that are maybe the 2 most anemic at the plate, and while each pitcher is trash, if the players couldn't hit a t-ball league pitcher then how are they supposed to hit even trash big league pitching?

Best of luck with the rest of the plays.

**doitnow** · 08-06-22, 03:16 PM

Originally posted by spippen

Marlins at Cubs:

Do you ever look at any of these plays your model insists are " good to go " and question them from a common sense perspective?

Just curious that you have 2 teams that are maybe the 2 most anemic at the plate, and while each pitcher is trash, if the players couldn't hit a t-ball league pitcher then how are they supposed to hit even trash big league pitching?

Best of luck with the rest of the plays.

Meaningless comment at the bottom of the 6th, however, it demonstrates you can read a scoreboard.

**pavyracer** · 08-06-22, 03:26 PM

Originally posted by spippen

Marlins at Cubs:

Do you ever look at any of these plays your model insists are " good to go " and question them from a common sense perspective?

Just curious that you have 2 teams that are maybe the 2 most anemic at the plate, and while each pitcher is trash, if the players couldn't hit a t-ball league pitcher then how are they supposed to hit even trash big league pitching?

Best of luck with the rest of the plays.

Modelling is different. It's based on data input and data output. LT calculates the line his model gives him and compares it with his book line and if there is an edge he bets it. His model does not have input for wins/losses for each team. This is why he bets the Dodgers/Yankees/Astros/Mets/Braves etc once or twice the season. If his model was based on wins/losses he wouldn't have been betting dogs all the time. Remember he never bet once the Braves, Yankees. Dodgers or Astros when they were on a 10-14 win streaks. His model is different.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-06-22, 03:47 PM

Yes Paver is correct. The metrics and inputs in LTs model are unique.

Originally posted by pavyracer

Modelling is different. It's based on data input and data output. LT calculates the line his model gives him and compares it with his book line and if there is an edge he bets it. His model does not have input for wins/losses for each team. This is why he bets the Dodgers/Yankees/Astros/Mets/Braves etc once or twice the season. If his model was based on wins/losses he wouldn't have been betting dogs all the time. Remember he never bet once the Braves, Yankees. Dodgers or Astros when they were on a 10-14 win streaks. His model is different.

**italianbandit** · 08-06-22, 04:54 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Bottom line:

*If ANYONE wants to fade a guy's picks...be quiet and do so.

*If a guy posts his picks in here, follow or fade at your own peril. Just don't pile on.

Chucky, you’re too reasonable for a gambling forum.

**jjgold** · 08-06-22, 05:13 PM

I just hope he starts winning but you don’t know what the guy might do he could go in his backyard and start blowing up things with dynamite because he’s angry like logs and other things from house

They write books about this type of stuff

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 08-06-22, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by italianbandit

Chucky, you’re too reasonable for a gambling forum.

Haha, very true. Maybe that's why I've been gambling less and less. More to life than gambling.

Some say I'm too nice. Call it a Personality Defect. Good day, Sir...Good Luck if you're in action.

**LT Profits** · 08-06-22, 05:39 PM

2 Last MLB Pick Additions

8 MLB Plays Saturday

Marlins / Cubs OVER 8 -108
Pirates +138
Astros / Guardians UNDER 8.5 -103
Rangers +107
Giants / Athletics UNDER 7.5 -113
Twins +103
Blue Jays / Twins UNDER 9 -113
Reds +162

**TheLock** · 08-06-22, 06:04 PM

Square picks have been cashing a lot this year. It’s been a rough year, LT.

**spippen** · 08-06-22, 09:59 PM

A winning day is a winning day.

Glad to see you made + units today.

**SlickFazzer** · 08-07-22, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

I just hope he starts winning but you don’t know what the guy might do he could go in his backyard and start blowing up things with dynamite because he’s angry like logs and other things from house

They write books about this type of stuff

JJ the metrics are lining up in the model just like Paver said they would. We need to trust the process.

**jjgold** · 08-07-22, 05:57 AM

ok now today if he wins he might turn the corner

Sunday is critical