Criteria is teams winning .550 or better on the season and having lost 2 of last 3 games. With many of these teams being large favorites, the design is not always to win a full unit to minimize any potential loss. RL plays will be an option and situation dependent based on line value. There will be variables in place to again minimize potential losses. Every bet will not be designed to win a unit, but remain positive overall. Plays are unit risked. Not to win. This is an A,B,C chase system. There may be a rare D bet, but i doubt it.
-
-
This system isn't heavily back tested. last year was close to 50 units starting from july 26 to end of season. B bets have been a strong suit and i am tempted to track them individually. Starting only 40 games into season is a bit different, but i think the reals and fakers are starting to separate themselves. I have employed another system playing against significant losers as well and will probably post it as a B system. it is also not back tested, but has won 21 units without a loss over the past month or so. Again the idea is wins, sometimes small, but avoiding the big losses. gl everyone and lets get it.Comment -
5/13
MIL +140 .5u
CLE -152 .5u
both teams risking just .5u as milw has a tough road schedule here and cle is slightly below the .55 win pct. but cleveland was one of most consistent teams last season avoiding long losing streaks as were the red sox as well, so these teams i will play at slightly below .55. for anyone that didn't play system last year, it is high volume so keeping unit amounts small can avoid large losses.Comment -
CLE -195 1.5u B bet
sorry for late post. early games during the week are a bitch.Comment -
5/14
all plays today 1 unit risked:
Milwaukee Brewers -118 B bet
Tampa Bay Rays -142
St. Louis Cardinals -120
Minnesota Twins -133
Arizona Diamondbacks -154
Comment -
System B are teams i have designated as fades. As of now i am playing a chase series against kc, bal, cin, mia, sf. It is schedule dependent and usually when the teams are in a stretch of six or more consecutive home or road games. home and road losing percentages will also be considered.Comment -
5/14
System B:
New York Yankees -1.5 -111
Chicago Cubs -104
Tampa Bay Rays -142
Each of these are A bets risking 1u fading bal, cin, mia. kc and sf will resume on 5/17.Comment -
Results:Originally posted by kingdom
MIL (L)
CLE (L)Comment -
CLE (W) +.27uOriginally posted by kingdomComment -
MIL (W) +.35uOriginally posted by kingdom
TB (W) +.70u
STL (W) +.83u
MIN (W) +.75u
ARI (L) A bet -1uComment -
Current Record: 5-0 (+2.9u)
A Bet: 3-3
B Bet: 2-0
C Bet: 0-0Comment -
NYY: PPOriginally posted by kingdom
CHC: (W) +.96u
TB: (W) +.70uComment -
System B Current Record: 2-0 (+1.66u)
A Bet: 2-0Comment -
5/15
Minnesota Twins -144 1u
Arizona Diamondbacks -153 2u
Milwaukee Brewers +1.5 -195 .5u
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -166 .5u
Comment -
5/15 System B
G1 New York Yankees -1.5 -131 1u
Chicago Cubs +117 1u
Tampa Bay Rays -178 1uComment -
Great to see that you are back.
Up to date the system is 93-5!Comment -
the losses were dodgers philly padres pitt and st louisComment -
good to see. hoping the haves are separating themselves. some teams worry me still with their inconsistency, but if they remain that way they will drop out of consideration anyway. B system fades has been rolling also. i have been on the fence with cincy because of their run differential, but they still typically find a way to lose. i have been watching toronto a bit more as they are on the fade radar as well.Originally posted by nistor22Comment -
5/16 System B
Cleveland Indians -1.5 -152 .5u
Chicago Cubs +115 1.5u B bet
Comment -
5/16 System A
Philadelphia Phillies -112 1u
St. Louis Cardinals +101 .75u B betComment -
MIN (W) +.69uOriginally posted by kingdom
ARI (W) +.31u
MIL (W) +.51u
STL (L) (A bet 1u)Comment -
Originally posted by kingdom
Current Record: 8-0 (+4.41u)
A Bet: 5-4
B Bet: 3-0
C Bet: 0-0Comment -
NYY (W) +.76uOriginally posted by kingdom
CHC (L) (A bet 1u)
TB (W) +.56uComment -
System B Current Record: 4-0 (+2.98u)Originally posted by kingdom
A Bet: 4-1
B Bet: 0-0
C Bet: 0-0Comment -
5/17
CHC +1.5 -153 1u
PHI -112 2u B bet
STL -163 3u C betComment -
5/17 System B
LAD -135 3u C bet
CLE -1.5 +106 1u
ARI -138 1u
LAA -150 1uComment -
PHI (L) A bet (1u)Originally posted by kingdom
STL (L) B bet (1.25u)Comment -
Current Record: 8-0 (+4.41u)
A Bet: 5-5
B Bet: 3-1
C Bet: 0-0Comment -
CLE (W) A bet +.33uOriginally posted by kingdom
CHC (L) B bet (2.5u)Comment -
System B Current Record: 5-0 (+3.31u)
A Bet: 5-1
B Bet: 0-1
C Bet: 0-0Comment -
St. Louis hot garbage. tried to keep unit size down as i didn't trust them. then get terrible line today. should have just ate the 1.25u with a team playing this bad. bad call.Comment -
CHC (W) +.65uOriginally posted by kingdom
PHI (W) +.79u
STL (L) -4.25u series..bumsComment -
Current Record: 10-1 (+1.6u)
A Bet: 6-5
B Bet: 4-1
C Bet: 0-1
Loss: STL (-4.25u)
Got a little greedy. Cards been playing terrible and i thought they would shake out of it. bad hunch. hopefully they go on a run soon. good earning team last season.Comment -
Originally posted by kingdom
LAD (W) series -.23u
CLE (L) A bet (1u)
ARI (W)+.72u
LAA (W) +.67uComment -
System B Current Record: 8-0 (+4.47u)
A Bet: 7-2
B Bet: 0-1
C Bet: 1-0Comment