treat these MLB teams like Options

[Believe_EMT]

mia +118
atl +151
chw 122

[Believe_EMT]

pit +122
chw +118
ari 116

[Believe_EMT]

cin 124
min 140

[dogman]

For the past two weeks or so I have been making my plays this way. If your playing at a reduced book by all means make sure you are betting into those lines where the hold is usually less than 1%. Who to play. I am taking the no vig line from another book and betting if I can find that line or better at my book. And if close to game time opting out if I have a bad line. Have been killing it but it's a very short sample so who knows how it will play out. I want to thank EMT once more for coming up with the opting out part which for me never thought of before.

[Believe_EMT]

st l 103
mil 125
min 122


min only because 8 cent or more discount at 5Dimes

With Options: 18.38 Units
W/O Options: -3.48 Units

[Believe_EMT]

great to hear Dogman!

care to elaborate just a touch?

i was just having trouble following the books. you are playing reduced lines (book A)? or you're taking no vig from a very respected book (book P) and then playing any line you find better than the no vig at your shop (book C) or at reduced lines (book A again)?

and you do this just once a day or do you check multiple times?

thanks!

[dogman]

EMT,

Be glad to. Getting the no vig price at a respected book and then playing at reduced lines at my book. I have been playing the reduced lines right when they come out, not the next morning. I average about 2-3 (sometimes a 4th) bets per day. One thing I have noticed also is I haven't had to opt out as much.

[dogman]

EMT,

To the last question, I bet at reduced right when they post them, at my book and that's it. I don't check anymore after that. My feeling is the earlier the better.

[Believe_EMT]

pit 120
st l +123
tor 123
kc +148

With Options: 17.35 Units
W/O Options: -4.55 Units

[Believe_EMT]

thanks D-man!

i would prefer posting as early as possible as well, but i've checked and the book just doesn't post the reduced lines until i'm asleep.

but if you are finishing +CLV anywhere over 60% of the time, you are going to profit long term. sounds like the strategy has promise. i did set up a spreadsheet to employ this so thank you for sharing it with the crew.

keep us posted and GL

[Believe_EMT]

no plays at the moment. i prob will not check before 8 am est

With Options: 18.05 Units
W/O Options: -2.44 Units

[oilcountry99]

TEAM	open	buy
OAK	130	122
TEX	130	129
ATL	-130	-130

Prior to 8:00 am at 5dimes

Believe_Eficient Market Theory (nice)

[Believe_EMT]

mil 120
tex +116
mia +106

thanks Oil

figured since it was the basis for nearly every bet i make, why not work into my witty username

[Believe_EMT]

pit 123
nyy 117
det +133
bal +153

might be time to jump back in boys. think i will. but for half units. too greedy?

With Options: 16.97 Units
W/O Options: -5.44 Units

[Believe_EMT]

cin +136
chc 136
tex 139
cle 129
kc +169

With Options: 15.63 Units
W/O Options: -4.90 Units

[Believe_EMT]

pit 111
bos +110
min 142
kc +131

With Options: 14.62 Units
W/O Options: -3.45 Units

[Believe_EMT]

col +123
mil 101
sd 141
tor +130
nyy 128
tex+105
det +125
hou 108

With Options: 15.52 Units
W/O Options: -3.82 Units

[dogman]

Total of 8 plays for tonight with my no vig method, most since I started. Will report back with the results.

[Believe_EMT]

phi +111
pit +122
bos 136
det +135
tex +145

With Options: 13.66 Units
W/O Options: -4.60 Units

[Believe_EMT]

Total of 8 plays for tonight with my no vig method, most since I started. Will report back with the results.

how often do our plays overlap and does it mean anything?

[dogman]

2-3 for me with 2 opt outs and one pitcher change cancellation. A loos of 1.43 units. Unfortunately my 2 opt outs the original plays won.

EMt, I don't think there is any correlation between your plays and mine. Two different methods. My plays were Wash+158, Pitt +162, Ariz-167,Milw +102, and Minn -152. Opted out of TB-142 and Texas +105 which won but opted out. Balt was a play at +198 which also won but there was a pitching change so got cancelled. 5-3 if I didn't opt out but I think it's the right thing to do. Short sample.

[Believe_EMT]

atl +124
pit +113
lad 110
chc 103
hou 130


With Options: 14.80 Units
W/O Options: -7.90 Units

[oilcountry99]

I'm officially discontinuing tracking this strategy. I like it, I believe in it but it just doesn't fit into my daily betting style. Truthfully it's a pain in the arse, lol! Tracking it is one thing but actually betting it is another.

Thanks EMT for bringing it to the forum...I wish everyone implementing this strategy all the best of success moving forward!

[dogman]

I opted out of both of my bets yesterday which went 1-1 . My plays were Det. +135, CL was +149 and Milw at -110 and went off at -108 (close to a play). Because I opted out there was a small loss.

I am still trucking with this and see what happens. I hit a high point about 5 days ago but gave back about 4 units since.

[Believe_EMT]

wsh 145
mia 102
col +121
tor +106

With Options: 13.96 Units
W/O Options: -9.09 Units

[Believe_EMT]

I'm officially discontinuing tracking this strategy. I like it, I believe in it but it just doesn't fit into my daily betting style. Truthfully it's a pain in the arse, lol! Tracking it is one thing but actually betting it is another.

Thanks EMT for bringing it to the forum...I wish everyone implementing this strategy all the best of success moving forward!

it is a grind, no doubt! thanks for the interest and the input along the way.

you really do need a schedule that allows for the checking of each game prior to the start. even then, i'll miss some and selective memory wise, those ones are always the losers i should have opted out of.

GL in all things sports betting Oil

[Believe_EMT]

I opted out of both of my bets yesterday which went 1-1 . My plays were Det. +135, CL was +149 and Milw at -110 and went off at -108 (close to a play). Because I opted out there was a small loss.

I am still trucking with this and see what happens. I hit a high point about 5 days ago but gave back about 4 units since.

how you feeling about the grind Dogman?

baseball season is so long.

[dogman]

Hello EMT,

3-2 testerday with one opt out for a small profit(less than a 1/2 unit). Could of opted out of the Boston game, bet at -168 and went off at -167 but didn't. Would have made 1 unit (1.26) on the day if I did.

I actually don't mind the grind if I am making money. I am 60 and retired so I have a lot of time. What caught my eye, in your thread, was the opting out if the line moved against the play. It made a lot of sense to me, it was just coming up with a favorable method on what plays to make as you want to be on the right side of the line moves much more often than not.

Like I said I will keep chugging with this as long as it is holding it's own or making money. If I hit a losing streak then I will think it over whether to keep playing it. I will try to post my results every day in this thread if you don't mind to keep you updated.

[Believe_EMT]

phi 124
pit +120
chc 116
hou 126
tb +125
sea +118

With Options: 15.09 Units
W/O Options: -5.02 Units

[dogman]

Winner with Miami at +100 and opted out of Toronto +107 which won also but didn't play so a win of less than 1 unit(+.90). 4 potential plays tonight.

[dogman]

EMT,

I don't want to hijack your thread so I'll start another thread and post there. Good Luck

[Believe_EMT]

lad 128
phi 126
hou 138
ari +124
mil +117

[Believe_EMT]

EMT,

I don't want to hijack your thread so I'll start another thread and post there. Good Luck

more than welcome to stay Dogman!

sorry, time short in the morning, not quite in the position to retire. congrats on your retirement sir.

[Believe_EMT]

atl 148
tb +120

[Believe_EMT]

chc 140
pit +103
atl 138
wsh +132
nyy 123

With Options: 15.92 Units
W/O Options: -5.55 Units