Panekkkk, I wanted to ask the other day but I forgot. Do you list these plays in any specific order? Are the "better" plays on top?
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Hey gen, um not really, right now I'm playing everything for 1 unit and you can see that it's still pretty damn profitable. If I can figure out which plays to go heavy on this could prove much more profitable. Maybe we can do a consensus. Regardless, the system is hitting at 75% or 3 in 4. So we have a 75% chance of picking a winner, yet we only need above 50% chance if we double our unit size to still maintain profit. Even just randomly picking games to double up on could prove profitable. If we get some consensus going we could probably hit above 75%.Comment -
Panek and think you and I have been pretty good in breaking down the games and seeing what we think is the best 1 or 2 bets... Home teams are hovering around 60% all year, what about if there is a play AND the team is at home it justifies a 2 unit play? I know thats pretty basic but home team definitely has an edge over a road team...Comment -
Figuring out which games to go heavy on would also make the parlay an easier choice.Comment -
I'm not a huge fan of just the home team idea. I think there should be some other factors involved also.Comment -
Yeah, if you'll notice, most of these picks are home teams anyways so that wouldn't help us so much. There is definitely a game or two each day that I do feel very confident about and have rarely been wrong on. So simply hitting that up for 2 maybe even 3 units might be the way to go.Comment -
Sometimes all you got is gut!
As you can see, about 75% of the work is done for us anyways lol...Comment -
We won't touch it today, but my two strongest leans are Yanks and Rangers. We'll see how those play out. I like today's picks a lot. I just hope the parlay hits. I'm seeing a 5-1 or 4-2 night
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I am definitely least confident about the Sox and Indians today. Both the Mariners and Orioles are trying to avoid a sweep so the question is will both teams get swept? Smoltz is still a question mark for me. His game log is 5 runs 1 run 5 runs 1 run and today would suggest a 5 run. Not that that means anything but still, he obviously hasn't shown consistency yet and Hernandez is pretty solid and might hold the Sox to 5 runs or so which could be enough for an upset.Comment -
I actually really like the Indians play today... Sox is a no go, I hate the Sox and when I am iffy I cant take them, cost me twice last week.
I also really like Texas... DId you know under is 43-15-2 in last 60 for Texas??? unreal...Comment -
Hah yeah the unders have gone on streaks of like 15 etc. Oddsmakers are just refusing to adjust to their lack of offense. I think the problem is how spotty they have been. 15 runs 1 game then 0 the next.Comment -
Not the best way to start ... I swear Oakland will play better without Holliday now! No A-rod in the lineup either
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Simmer down, lots of game left... Yanks play better when theyre getting pressure from the other team...Comment -
Dont you wish you had the discipline to truly LISTEN to yourself with stuff like that???
I am like that with poker too...Comment -
Hah major, I used to KILL myself with shit like that in poker. Knowing EVERY time that I shouldn't call, that I'm beat, and then making the call just to see the cards almost.
Had to stop playing poker ... lolComment -
NO SHIT!!!!
Like you tell yourself, "He has a flush, I know he has a flush, but I got a set, does he really have a flush, yeah he has a flush..."
"fukk it I call" and then he turns over a flush... I do that shit so much! If I could just really listen to my instincts... Like today I thought Balt had a legit shot of winning with that matchup but I couldnt force myself to take Balt... It sucksComment -
Yeah I really wanted to take the SD/WASH game under heavy but just took the side. The under is looking might pretty right now! Wash needs to get somethin' goin!Comment -
That was one of my best plays... Did you see what I have working? Yanks under will be a loss and am SHOCKED that Texas is getting 1 hit right now...Comment -
I know ... It's Ponson for ****'s sake. Even if they didn't have a run, ok whatever, but only 1 hit is pretty sad.Comment -
Nice, Howard just homered. Go PHILS!!! Got the Under in the Jays game as well. Need some outs here!Comment -
Ugh, I hate betting Washington. First time and probably last.Comment -
Shit, Millwood is out of the Tex/KC game ... must have gotten injured!Comment -
And Washington does it again...
2-1 top of the ninth, 2 outs, and their closer gives up a HR to some nobody for his 3rd career HR...Comment -
They have the better bats I think theyll win...Comment -
YTD: 40-11 +22.84 Units
PARLAYS
YTD: 3-6 +9.65 Units
BOOOOM! Parlay hits. Great night going 5-1 as I had hoped. Cheers to any who hopped on board.
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The TNT has been laced, hope you're ready to drop the boom major
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And the parlay hits, thanks to Zona!Comment -
I had one of the best days I have had in weeks today and looks like you did too...
I am on CWS and under tonight but small... Not making the same mistakes I made earlier and giving some back..Comment -
Nice major! Yeah today was definitely a good day, hit heavy on the phillies and the jays under. I'm thinking of laying heavy on the Rockies Jimenez vs. Perez at -153 right now!!!
Am I crazy or should I slam that or what. Perez is terrible.Comment -
Keep up the good work Panekkk. Doin a great job here.
I don't think you're crazy with COL. Will be playing it myself.
GLComment -
Apparently Mets own Colorado at home but whatever. When I run the numbers, it'll prolly turn up a system play anyways.Comment -
Panekkk great job man... I've been keeping track since the beginning and started tailing more than a week ago... Thanks for the picks and the system... my bookies gonna cut me off soon if i have another week like the last two I'm cleaning him out with your picks.... keep it up and thanks again for sharing
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Great to hear Danes! I finally started playing this and nothing else and have almost doubled my bankroll in the last week (it wasn't so big to begin with lol).Comment
