o/u 0.5 1st inning plays
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thekoreanmangSBR MVP
- 03-17-14
- 1422
#456Comment -
white powderSBR Hustler
- 06-07-16
- 56
#457well i would like to try that but i dont have enough time, im fm croatia so time difference also presents a problem to me, i think i could hit 60% with 1.85 average odd if i cap football ( real football not that weird game americans call football), i tried cfd trading too but only demo accounts for now im still trying to learn how to minimize losses over there ( fm 50k i managed to climb up to 170k though). i used to bet just for fun u know 1 euro with 10 pairs of soccer for a win of lets say 100 euros but than i realised that even though i dont loose anything that i cannot afford its like giving the money to bookies because mostly i hit 7 or 8 from 10, sometimes just 4 or 5 (but thats very rare). than i saw a page on facebook where a group of guys try to teach noobs as i used to be on how to make money from betting and here i am, making money lol. i studied and followed all the guys from above for about 2 months and 20 days ago i invested and even though its not some huge money that i made i still increased my BR for about 80% for now which is not bad at all, i mean its maybe just 7,8 or 15 euros per day that im winning right now but the BR keeps growing, 4% becomes bigger than before, wins become bigger, losses also but i think i learned how to be patient and disciplined and i think thats the key, i was planning to invest more money into this and also try cfd with real money (maybe just 100e so i dont care even if i lose them, im not crazy to invest large money into something that im not proficient as i should be) but im 24 and its summer time here lolComment -
white powderSBR Hustler
- 06-07-16
- 56
#458also if possible, send me some links about cfd and fx trading that might be useful for lets say beginersComment -
white powderSBR Hustler
- 06-07-16
- 56
#460http://kokosar2.blogspot.cz/ theese guys taught me how to bet, translate to english or your motherlanguage and u will figure out how do they do that, win rate on their blog is 54,55% only with average odd at around 1,85 and look what a progress they have made from may untill now, last year they stopped at 57k after some 30 betting cycles, this year they are doin it a little bit worse than a previous one but as u can see they made some money so far. their picks used to be free but now they charge 130e per month and my previous plan was to track them, maybe not with starting br 1000e but some 200 300 and than i realised that its summer and i started to dig some picks by myself, found you, found others, made some money so far and im happy ill keep grinding and if everything continues to go this way ill be even more happy in about 5 months, might sound as a long shot but i became patient adn patience is the keyComment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#461
I don't really use the word luck, so rather than me wishing you luck, I'd rather wish you fun and a crap load of knowledge on the topic.
Btw, I also live in Europe. The time difference is a royal pain in the a$$Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#462http://kokosar2.blogspot.cz/ theese guys taught me how to bet, translate to english or your motherlanguage and u will figure out how do they do that, win rate on their blog is 54,55% only with average odd at around 1,85 and look what a progress they have made from may untill now, last year they stopped at 57k after some 30 betting cycles, this year they are doin it a little bit worse than a previous one but as u can see they made some money so far. their picks used to be free but now they charge 130e per month and my previous plan was to track them, maybe not with starting br 1000e but some 200 300 and than i realised that its summer and i started to dig some picks by myself, found you, found others, made some money so far and im happy ill keep grinding and if everything continues to go this way ill be even more happy in about 5 months, might sound as a long shot but i became patient adn patience is the keyComment -
white powderSBR Hustler
- 06-07-16
- 56
#463thanks for the fx tips ill study them all, about the blog
i was wrong, their average odd is about 1.91, baseball win rate 53 and basketball win rate 56%, they obviously had some bad days because i noticed that last betting cycle lasted about 10-15 days which is awful for their standards, sometimes they finish 1 cycle in 2 3 days, make some 3 4 units of profit calculate unit value for the next cycle and move on to next one, i dont follow them too much maybe once a week to see how are they doin, since all their picks are now paid picks. when i first started to study about this stuff i saw they said that 56% with 1.9 is enough but we (ppl fm my country) must make and account in some foreign bookie not the ones fm our country because they take 5% provision from each stake and they started to charge every win with 12%tax so it became impossible to make money with our bookies unless someone hits like 70% with 1.9 odd. so thats 1st thing that one must do in order to even start, and the 2nd thing is on them, hit rate should be constantly not under 55 56% for a small profit. i noticed that their profit on blog is now 266 and it used to be around 480 some 10 days ago so i suppose they pass through ruff period now. but here is the catch how they made 9k out of 1k invested with lets say thoose 48 units of profit (and its very similar to your type of betting). they divide br with 25 which makes each unit 4% of br, one betting cycle is 25 bets and if its profitable (if not they play untill they end up unit or more up), calculate new br, new unit value and move on to next cycle. witouth betting though the cycles 10 days ago their br would be some 2.3k instead of 9k (with an average stake always at 25e). so as u can see its almost the same thing as u and i do it (i dunno about the others here)Comment -
white powderSBR Hustler
- 06-07-16
- 56
#464tt is your nickname on ff same as here? and where should i look for your thread, inside the interactive trading, trading systems, trading discussion, trading journals or rookie talk maybe?Comment -
pushany2SBR Rookie
- 07-26-16
- 12
#465Comment -
pairaduxSBR Rookie
- 08-08-10
- 26
#467TT,
Are your new percentages based on the old 3/4% and scaled as accordingly? Or are they lower while you test and gain confidence in your adjustments?Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#468
....and the results weren't great. 3:3 on the day, loss about 1%/portfolio, will have numbers up later.Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#469Very, very long day. Will get the numbers and picks up later.
Pick 1:
UNDER
TEX/COL, 2%Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#470Well, that sucked...
Just getting around to capping now, picks will trickle in over the next hour or so.
Under
SF/MIA, 4%Comment -
Beatdabookie123SBR Hustler
- 07-30-16
- 89
#471It's all good let's shake that loss off the rest will be winnersComment -
thekoreanmangSBR MVP
- 03-17-14
- 1422
#472The starting pitchers in this one make me cringe a little for a first inning under. Doubledime also has this game as an over. I know a full game bet doesn't coincide with first inning bets but just thought I'd share my thought process.Comment -
tcarn01SBR MVP
- 10-27-09
- 1993
#473Why did that suck? I had the under at 6.5 in the first fiveComment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#474
Next two:
ATL/MIL, over - 3%
HOU/MIN, under - 3%Comment -
tcarn01SBR MVP
- 10-27-09
- 1993
#475I have and following you on over and unders in the first five innings. I just realized that this is over under in the first inning. What an idiot I am. Although I would say I am not doing that bad and shooting a pretty good percentage. You might want to look at that.Comment -
Beatdabookie123SBR Hustler
- 07-30-16
- 89
#476Lol I was doing the same thing at first and wasn't doing bad either hahaComment -
jlani93SBR High Roller
- 05-06-16
- 107
#477Thanks TT! Quick question...Are today's picks using the new system you were testing yesterday? (So I know whether to keep my bet size the same as yesterday or go back to my original amount). Thanks again!Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#478last one:
CWS/KC, under 4%
I'm off to bed. Looking forward to a larger BR tomorrow morning.Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#479Yes, the old system isn't giving me one decent sign. I think the system I was using only really performs in the first half of the season.Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#480Interesting! I'll look in to that!Comment -
blackHIPPYSBR MVP
- 10-01-14
- 3973
#482Comment -
thekoreanmangSBR MVP
- 03-17-14
- 1422
#4830-4.....Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#484Terrible day. I am going to take a few days off and rethink this. The system is obviously not working like it was pre-AS break. I just need to figure out what needs to be changed.Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#485My only plays today would be:
Overs
BAL/OAK
CLE/WAS
I'd risk 4% on both of them.Comment -
TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
#486Old system has TEX/COL over at 3%Comment -
oilcountry99SBR Wise Guy
- 08-29-10
- 707
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TechnicalTraderSBR MVP
- 05-09-16
- 1434
-
thekoreanmangSBR MVP
- 03-17-14
- 1422
#489Did you bet these or are you just sharing for monitoring purposes?
In any event, thanks and good luck, my friend. Sometimes a one-day break or more can help.Comment -
oilcountry99SBR Wise Guy
- 08-29-10
- 707
#490Comment
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