***** Totals and Sides *****

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

I am not a big fan of Mondays and Fridays, since it is generally the first day of a new series and there is limited home plate umpire information. Since that is one of many criteria that I look at, it is always better when it's available the rest of the series. Therefore, I try to limit my plays on Mondays and Fridays. Today however, we have some series that started yesterday so I do have limited umpire info on 2 of the plays and so we do have four plays for Friday:

SD/Mil over 9 -115
Min/Clev over8 -110
Hous/Bos over 9 -105
Tot/TX over 9.5 -115

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday:

Regular Plays: 2-2
YTD: 28-23 +1.95 units

Reliever Plays: 4-1
YTD: 37-26

Back later with today's card

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Saturday's Reliever Plays:

Mia/Wash (first game) under (no line yet)
Mets/Col under 11
SF/AZ over 9
St. L/LAD over 7.5
Hou/Bos over 9.5
Min/Cle over 7
Oak/TB over 8
LAA/Sea over 7.5

May have a play on the second Mia/Was game later.

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The regular play for Saturday afternoon:

Hou/Bost over 10 -110

Some reasons: Relievers are not rested, starters high ERA and Whip, over ball park, over trends and slightly over weather (wind and air index). The home plate ump leans to the under, but I feel that won't be enough to keep it under.

Back later with tonight's card

Good luck

[RollinDo]

Good morning,

The regular play for Saturday afternoon:

Hou/Bost over 10 -110

back later with tonight's card

Good luck

I got this 1st thing today...Over 9.5...just a small play, as I'm not very good with Overs (hit about 10% lifetime)

[HeeluvaGuy]

Good morning,

Saturday's Reliever Plays:

Mia/Wash (first game) under (no line yet)
Mets/Col under 11
SF/AZ over 9
St. L/LAD over 7.5
Hou/Bos over 9.5
Min/Cle over 7
Oak/TB over 8
LAA/Sea over 7.5

May have a play on the second Mia/Was game later.

Good luck

I'm curious about your method for the relievers. Particularly the SF/AZ game today. AZ has used its second tier relievers the last two games against SF, and SF had Cueto and Shark go deep in the last two games. No disrespect intended (your results speak for themselves), but I'm just curious if you looking just at bullpen IP or actually looking at who threw those innings.

Regardless, nice work in your thread. I particularly like this part.

[doubledime]

I got this 1st thing today...Over 9.5...just a small play, as I'm not very good with Overs (hit about 10% lifetime)

I actually got 9.5 also but by the time I posted the "Regular Plays" it had moved to 10 so that is what I posted. Let's hope this is one of your 10%.

[doubledime]

I'm curious about your method for the relievers. Particularly the SF/AZ game today. AZ has used its second tier relievers the last two games against SF, and SF had Cueto and Shark go deep in the last two games. No disrespect intended (your results speak for themselves), but I'm just curious if you looking just at bullpen IP or actually looking at who threw those innings.

Regardless, nice work in your thread. I particularly like this part.

First of I always appreciate constructive comments. No disrespect taken.

It's all about the amount of time I have on a particular day. If I have the time I will dig down to see who threw over the last 3 days, but only if I have the time, since that is very time consuming. However, I always look at IP over the last 3 days, bullpen ERA and how a teams closers are doing relative to the rest of the league. If I really have a lot of time I will try to predict who a manager will use for a particular game, but I am not having great success with that, but I am hoping to improve this over the course of this season.

Feel free to add your comments about what relievers have been throwing for a particular team. It's valuable information.

DD

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

Two plays for Saturday night:

SF/AZ over 9 -120
Tor/TX over 9 -105

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday:

Regular Plays: 2-1
YTD: 30-24 +2.75 units

Reliever Plays: 4-3-1
YTD: 41-29

Back later with today's card

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Sunday:

Mia/Wash over 7
SD/Mil over 9
Hou/Bost over 11 (I had to check to make sure they didn't move this game to Denver )

Back later with the Regular plays

Good luck

[HeeluvaGuy]

First of I always appreciate constructive comments. No disrespect taken.

It's all about the amount of time I have on a particular day. If I have the time I will dig down to see who threw over the last 3 days, but only if I have the time, since that is very time consuming. However, I always look at IP over the last 3 days, bullpen ERA and how a teams closers are doing relative to the rest of the league. If I really have a lot of time I will try to predict who a manager will use for a particular game, but I am not having great success with that, but I am hoping to improve this over the course of this season.

Feel free to add your comments about what relievers have been throwing for a particular team. It's valuable information.

DD

I hear ya about the time issue. I was mainly curious whether you're using a purely objective criteria (bullpen x has pitched 12 innings the last 3 games) or if there is a subjective element in the Reliever Plays you've been posting. It sounds like there is a subjective element, but maybe I'm misunderstanding. When you post the Reliever Plays, do you filter out teams based on anything other than innings pitched?

The reason I ask is that I'm curious whether the data, without any "handicapping," is producing the 41-29 record you have so far with those plays. Thanks.

[doubledime]

I hear ya about the time issue. I was mainly curious whether you're using a purely objective criteria (bullpen x has pitched 12 innings the last 3 games) or if there is a subjective element in the Reliever Plays you've been posting. It sounds like there is a subjective element, but maybe I'm misunderstanding. When you post the Reliever Plays, do you filter out teams based on anything other than innings pitched?

The reason I ask is that I'm curious whether the data, without any "handicapping," is producing the 41-29 record you have so far with those plays. Thanks.

I actually forgot to add in my last response that I also factor in the amount of pitches over the last one and three days that the relievers have thrown.

My reliever plays are only based on relievers, no other filters. For example, there are many times that I see the wind blowing out to center at 20 mph and trends pointing to the over, but if my reliever data shows under, I will post under for the reliever plays. To answer your question, the reliever plays are without any other handicapping. My regular plays incorporate other filters/handicapping.

[HeeluvaGuy]

Thanks for the replies and for sharing your work. I look forward to your continued success!

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Sunday's P;ays:

SD/Mil over 9 -105
SF/AZ over 9 -110
Hou/Bost over 10 -120 (That dropped since my Reliever Plays were released earlier this morning)

Good luck

[Mike Huntertz]

We get some wind to help us in Boston

[doubledime]

We get some wind to help us in Boston

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox – 1:35 EDT - Fenway Park Air Density Index: 69
Wind: W 21 mph		Time:	11 pm	12 am	1 am	2 am	3 am	4 am	5 am	6 am	7 am
Temp:	46°	45°	44°	44°	43°	43°	42°	42°	44°
Humidity:	46%	46%	47%	47%	48%	50%	52%	51%	48%
Feels like:	39°	36°	36°	37°	34°	34°	35°	35°	37°
Condition:	Partly Cloudy	Partly Cloudy	Partly Cloudy	Partly Cloudy	Partly Cloudy	Clear	Clear	Clear	Clear
Precip%:	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Wind:	W 21 mph	W 21 mph	W 21 mph	W 20 mph	WSW 20 mph	WSW 19 mph	WSW 15 mph	WSW 16 mph	W 18 mph

[doubledime]

I tried cutting and pasting the weather in Boston today, but the time was for tonight. Oh well, suffice to say the wind was blowing out.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday:

Regular Plays: 1-2
YTD: 31-26 +1.60 units

Reliever Plays: 1-2
YTD: 42-31

Back later with today's card

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Monday's Reliever Plays:

Mia/Phil over 7.5
Bost/KC over 7
TX/Oak over 8.5
Cinci/Clev over 8.5
NYY/AZ over 9

Back with the REgular plays later.

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

Monday's early play:

Cinci/Clev over 8-125 (6:05 EST start)

Back later with the rest of the card.

Good luck

[HeeluvaGuy]

Good luck tonight!

[doubledime]

Good luck tonight!

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

It happens every Monday........ I tell myself that since I do not have any umpire assignments, I will limit my plays but, once again I have all these other factors that point to a play, that I still wind up having a total of 3 plays for tonight. It is what it is.

Monday's Plays:

Adding:

TB/Tor over 8.5 -115
TX/Oak over 8.5 -105

Good luck

[Rainemaker]

Do you know you can get ump assignments on Mlb.com once lineups are announced DD?

[tecmoslayer]

Good afternoon,

Monday's early play:

Cinci/Clev over 8-125 (6:05 EST start)

Back later with the rest of the card.

Good luck

[doubledime]

Do you know you can get ump assignments on Mlb.com once lineups are announced DD?

I have looked at that, but have been unable to find the umpires on the MLB site. Where are they?

[HeeluvaGuy]

I have looked at that, but have been unable to find the umpires on the MLB site. Where are they?

On mobile they're in the box score once the game goes to "Warmup" status. About 10-15 minutes before first pitch. That put me over the top on the Cleveland over. Emmel is a cool 6-0-1 now in overs with his games averaging well over 10.

[doubledime]

On mobile they're in the box score once the game goes to "Warmup" status. About 10-15 minutes before first pitch. That put me over the top on the Cleveland over. Emmel is a cool 6-0-1 now in overs with his games averaging well over 10.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Yesterday:

Regular Plays: 1-2
YTD: 32-28 +.40 units

Reliever Plays: 3-1
YTD: 45-32

Back later with today's card

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Tuesday's Reliever Plays:

Mia/Phil over 7.5
SF/SD over 6.5
Sea/Blat under 9
TB/Tor over 8
Min/Det over 9.5
Cinci/Clev over 8
NYY/AZ over 8

Good luck

[Rainemaker]

I have looked at that, but have been unable to find the umpires on the MLB site. Where are they?

Once you see the Icon of the Baseball Diamond next to the score on the left side that tells you the lineup is in for both sides. So clicking on that opens the Game day app. Scroll down to the bottom and it will tell you which ump is in which place on the diamond.

So this would also give you a head start on the next days totals as the ump from first base would be behind home plate for game 2 the next day : )

[doubledime]

Once you see the Icon of the Baseball Diamond next to the score on the left side that tells you the lineup is in for both sides. So clicking on that opens the Game day app. Scroll down to the bottom and it will tell you which ump is in which place on the diamond.

So this would also give you a head start on the next days totals as the ump from first base would be behind home plate for game 2 the next day : )

Thanks Rain

In the old days, (I have been following umps for over 40 years) I had to always wait for the first game knowing how the umps move after each game. The problem back then was I had to track the umpires for a couple years first, all by hand, to have some historical data on them. No computers back then. Now the info is readily available.

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

Tuesday's Regular Plays:

Mia/Philli over 7 -115
Min/Det over 9 -125
Hou/WS over 7.5 -120

Good luck

[RollinDo]

Good afternoon,

Tuesday's Regular Plays:

Mia/Philli over 7 -115
Min/Det over 9 -125
Hou/WS over 7.5 -120

Good luck

I was on the Under 7.5 in Philly, but was waiting for you to post. Last time I leaned Under in the Philly-Miami game it went Over just as you projected. I'm on the Under 7 in NYM game...saw some numbers and facts that really looked good for that.