* Totals and Sides *

**Rainemaker** · 05-04-16, 11:34 AM

Originally posted by finfan88

ill stick to ur hockey picks

Bet with your head. Not over it. Get Help.

**doubledime** · 05-04-16, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

I've noticed on sbr that most times trolls will come onto threads that are ones that contain winners overall.
Guess they just want to get under people's skin.
Keep "stickin'" it to 'em DoubleD!

**doubledime** · 05-04-16, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by Rainemaker

Bet with your head. Not over it. Get Help.

**doubledime** · 05-04-16, 04:08 PM

Good afternoon,

All my years handicapping I have always tried to find an edge that bookmakers have missed. For example, in baseball the starting pitcher used to be a greater factor in determining the line than it is now. Of course, "back in the day", starters would go 8 or 9 innings, now they're lucky to go 6 innings. So as the years went on, I would start to figure the bullpen stats more and more into my handicapping. I still feel to this day, the bookmakers make their line based mostly on the starters, which brings me to my point. Though I look at many different factors in determining a total, I have seen a trend this year based on relievers. I look at the last 3 days and see how rested the middle relievers and closers are. When I see they are not rested and look at no other factors, over 58% of the games have gone over so far this year. I wish I had just given out just those games, but when I factor in other data, it has taken me off many of those games.

Therefore, JUST FOR TRACKING PURPOSES, I will give out the games that are based solely on the relievers.

THESE ARE NOT OFFICIAL PLAYS!!!! I am not sure this trend will continue but I think it's worth listing. If it starts going south I will stop posting them. I am only going to calculate win/loss not units. Too much time to do that.

Of course some of these will also be my "official" plays.

The Reliever Plays for Wednesday are:

AZ/Miami over 7.5
Philly/SL over 7.5
TX/Tor over 8.5
Min/Hou over 8.5
Bos/WS under 8 -105
LAD/TB under 7.5

Good luck

**doubledime** · 05-04-16, 04:11 PM

Good afternoon,

Wednesday's Play:

AZ/Miami over 7.5 - even (I bought the half point to -135 for 1/2 my play, but officially were going with 7.5)

Good luck

**doubledime** · 05-04-16, 04:24 PM

One more thing........

I know this sounds fishy, but SF/Cin, Cubs/Pit and LAA/Milw were all over plays earlier today. They all won. Of course I am not counting them, but if you don't believe me, all you have to do is check the last 3 days of how much the relievers were worked and you will see they were not rested at all. I track pitch count, innings pitched and ERA on middle relievers and closers. I did not play them since there were other factors going against the over, but they still went over.

good luck

**doubledime** · 05-04-16, 04:31 PM

Added

Bost/WS under 8

As a reliever play

**DU46** · 05-04-16, 04:49 PM

Just to confirm the Bos game is not an official play, correct?

**Rainemaker** · 05-04-16, 05:55 PM

I think he made it official DU..

**doubledime** · 05-04-16, 07:41 PM

Originally posted by DU46

Just to confirm the Bos game is not an official play, correct?

That is correct, it is a "Reliever" play, NOT an official play. Sorry for any confusion.

**DU46** · 05-04-16, 08:01 PM

Thanks DD, let's get this AZ game!

**doubledime** · 05-05-16, 08:58 AM

Good morning,

0-1 Yesterday

Unfortunately could not get one run the last 4 innings so we move on.

No play on the early game, back later with tonight's card.

Good luck

**doubledime** · 05-05-16, 09:10 AM

Good morning,

The "Relievers" Plays go 3-3 yesterday

Remember these are plays based strictly on the usage of relievers over the last 3 days. Many of these will have conflicting data against them, but even with this conflicting data, I have found, at least for this season, playing them would be profitable. I suggest you DON'T play them blindly for now, but use the info for your own handicapping.

Thursday's Reliever Plays:

Philly/St. L over 6.5
Mil/Cinci over 9
Wash/Cubs over ? The total is not yet posted
Det/Cle under 8.5
NYY/Balt under 7.5
TX/Tor over 8.5
Seat/Hou over 8.5
Bos/WS under 9

Good luck

**doubledime** · 05-05-16, 03:17 PM

Good afternoon,

Thursday's Play:

Mil/Reds over 9 even

Good luck

**7777KaL** · 05-05-16, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by doubledime

Good morning,
The "Relievers" Plays go 3-3 yesterday

Remember these are plays based strictly on the usage of relievers over the last 3 days. Many of these will have conflicting data against them, but even with this conflicting data, I have found, at least for this season, playing them would be profitable. I suggest you DON'T play them blindly for now, but use the info for your own handicapping.

Thursday's Reliever Plays:

Philly/St. L over 6.5
Mil/Cinci over 9
Wash/Cubs over ? The total is not yet posted
Det/Cle under 8.5
NYY/Balt under 7.5
TX/Tor over 8.5
Seat/Hou over 8.5
Bos/WS under 9

Good luck

Started off with a Loss..that's not a good thing..

**RollinDo** · 05-05-16, 03:35 PM

Originally posted by 7777KaL

Started off with a Loss..that's not a good thing..

We'll get it going with the Under 7.5 in Balty!
That's my big play of the day...and down to total of 7 now.

**doubledime** · 05-05-16, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

We'll get it going with the Under 7.5 in Balty!
That's my big play of the day...and down to total of 7 now.

Almost released that one for an official play. Trends, weather, relievers, ump and starters all favor under. The only reason I did not release it was because I capped the game at 9.1 runs. I still think the under is the right side.

**doubledime** · 05-06-16, 09:54 AM

Good morning,

Nothing on the early game.

Back later with the night card.

Good luck

**doubledime** · 05-06-16, 04:06 PM

Good afternoon,

This will be the "Reliever" plays update.

Yesterday: 4-3-1

YTD: 7-6-1

There are a lot of plays today so I want to repeat....... These plays are based solely on the amount of rest, or lack of it, the relievers have. NO other factors are figured in, so I am not suggesting to play these blindly, but if you want, use them as a handicapping tool.

Friday's Reliever Plays:

Phil/Miami over 7
Mil/Reds over 9
Pit/St. L over 7
Col/SF over 7
TX/Det over 8
KC/Clev over 7
Min/WS over 9
Sea/Hou over 9

Back later with the official plays for Friday.

Good luck

YTS

**doubledime** · 05-06-16, 04:22 PM

Good afternoon,

Friday's Plays:

Phil/Miami over 7 even
Mil/Reds over 9 even
Min/WS over 9 -120

Good luck

**RollinDo** · 05-06-16, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by doubledime

Good afternoon,

Friday's Plays:

Phil/Miami over 7 even
Mil/Reds over 9 even
Min/WS over 9 -120

Good luck

Ok...I'll back off of Phil-Mia (U 7)...was my 2nd best one.

Have Pitt-StL (U 7.5)

**doubledime** · 05-06-16, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Ok...I'll back off of Phil-Mia (U 7)...was my 2nd best one.

Have Pitt-StL (U 7.5)

I hope I did not take you off a winner.

Good luck with your plays.

**Rainemaker** · 05-06-16, 05:08 PM

Holy crap DD. You ever think about playing these 2nd half? There are a lotof solid starters throwing today. I actually am on the Grand Salami Under. I sent you a PM yesterday did you get it?

**RollinDo** · 05-06-16, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by Rainemaker

Holy crap DD. You ever think about playing these 2nd half? There are a lotof solid starters throwing today. I actually am on the Grand Salami Under. I sent you a PM yesterday did you get it?

That may be tough to get with a 14-run game already that was a total of 7.5/8.

**Rainemaker** · 05-06-16, 06:00 PM

14 runs I can handle. 23 in the giants rockies yest I can't : )

**doubledime** · 05-06-16, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by Rainemaker

Holy crap DD. You ever think about playing these 2nd half? There are a lotof solid starters throwing today. I actually am on the Grand Salami Under. I sent you a PM yesterday did you get it?

Did not get any PM

**doubledime** · 05-07-16, 05:42 AM

Good morning,

Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 2-1
YTD: 14-15 -2.70 units

Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 4-3-1
YTD: 11-9-2

Back later with today's plays

Good luck

**doubledime** · 05-07-16, 06:35 AM

Good morning,

No afternoon plays

Back later with the evening card

Good luck

**hit_me90** · 05-07-16, 06:36 AM

Originally posted by RollinDo

Ok...I'll back off of Phil-Mia (U 7)...was my 2nd best one.

Have Pitt-StL (U 7.5)

Great hit Pitt under and 2 out of 3 on the overs. Thanks guys

**doubledime** · 05-07-16, 09:44 AM

Originally posted by hit_me90

Great hit Pitt under and 2 out of 3 on the overs. Thanks guys

**doubledime** · 05-07-16, 09:50 AM

Good morning,

Here are the Reliever Plays for the Saturday:

Pit/St. L over 8.5
Mil/Cinci over 9
Phili/Miami over 8.5
Sea/Hou over 8.5
Min/WS over 7
TB/LAA over 8
LAD/Tor under 8.5

Good luck

**doubledime** · 05-07-16, 09:55 AM

Good morning,

I know in an earlier post I said no afternoon plays but upon further review we do have an afternoon play.

Saturday's Play:

Pit/St. L over 8.5

We have trends, weather, umpire, and relievers all going our way. Plus I capped it at 9.4 runs.

Good luck

**hit_me90** · 05-07-16, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by doubledime

Good morning,

I know in an earlier post I said no afternoon plays but upon further review we do have an afternoon play.

Saturday's Play:

Pit/St. L over 8.5

We have trends, weather, umpire, and relievers all going our way. Plus I capped it at 9.4 runs.

Good luck

my pitt line went to 9, would you still play it? i guess it still makes sense i would just tie if it falls on 9, can pls tell me why the dodger game is in red and Pitt is in blue, thanks a lot

**hit_me90** · 05-07-16, 11:24 AM

line dropped back to 8.5

**doubledime** · 05-07-16, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by hit_me90

my pitt line went to 9, would you still play it? i guess it still makes sense i would just tie if it falls on 9, can pls tell me why the dodger game is in red and Pitt is in blue, thanks a lot

That would be my thinking also. Worst case, if it lands 9 it's a push.

Since most of the plays are overs, when I have an under I just want to highlight it in red so people notice it. That is, if I remember to do that.

***** Totals and Sides *****

* Totals and Sides *