EP36's: Chase For 60

diogee · 08-10-09, 07:33 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Play #168: Rays/Angels UNDER 9.5 (-110)
Garza vs. O'Sullivan. I said I was staying away from most everything but series bets EXCEPT for the ones with huge trends to follow like Matt Garza. Garza's 21 starts have resulted in 15 UNDERs this season. Only 3 of his starts have gone OVER 9 runs. His road starts are a perfect 10 for 10 in UNDERs this season. 4 of O'Sullivan's 6 starts have resulted in totals of 9 runs or UNDER. He has not yielded more than 4 ER in any start this season.

Uh oh. On this one as well.

...due to break the streak I think. Good luck.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-10-09, 10:24 PM

Uncanny. Again why I need to just stick to SERIES bets. I couldn't get a side or total right if you gave me the final score.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-11-09, 05:05 PM

Play #169: Mets/Diamondbacks Total Hits OVER 17.5 (-115)
Livan Hernandez vs. Max Scherzer. Plugging away with stupidity. No explanation needed, just trying to help those who need fade material make a buck. Get on the side that wins ... which likely will not be mine.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-12-09, 02:29 PM

Play #170: Mets/Diamondbacks Total Hits OVER 17 (-115)
Oliver Perez vs. Jon Garland. Deja vu all over again. Plug & play, get on the opposite side of this because I haven't done a damn thing today.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-12-09, 06:05 PM

Play #171: Nationals/Braves Total Hits OVER 17.5 (-115)
Stammen vs. Lowe. No explanations. Just plugging away Daddy-o.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-13-09, 10:44 AM

Play #172: Rangers/Indians Total Hits OVER 17.5 (-115)
I get to watch this one on TV. Wahoo! Feldman vs. Sowers. Both pitchers usually have troubles getting past 6 IP or so, bullpens should be involved. Who knows. The shadow knows. Fade it or follow it....one side will win. There can be only one!

MexicanStallion · 08-13-09, 11:39 AM

Good luck with your wager. Not a bad start

EaglesPhan36 · 08-13-09, 04:47 PM

I was one hit away in that Nationals game from actually winning four straight - who'da thunk it.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-13-09, 05:30 PM

Play #173: Astros/Marlins OVER 10 (-125)
Hampton vs. West. Don't want none, don't get none. Over is 10/11 in the last 11 meetings in Florida. Total is high, but the bats are hot. 51 runs in 3 games. If the well dries up, so be it. Here's to staying wet. LandShark Stadium (horrible beer) averages a shade over 10 runs per game, that's a top 7 output in MLB this season. Here's to staying wet with runs.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-13-09, 08:43 PM

Booyawkashawwwww! Meaningless 9th inning run gets it off the push.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-14-09, 06:02 PM

Play #174: [SERIES] Angels -160 (Orioles)
Angels are 21-7 vs. O's in their last 28. 5-1 this season I believe. Good pitching match-ups. Bring it.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-14-09, 08:49 PM

Play #175: Yankees Total Hits More Than Mariners PK (-110)
I'm not a rocket scientist, but the Mariners have scored 1 run in three straight games against quality lefties. They get another decent one thrown at them tonight with Pettitte. Rowland-Smith ain't bad, but the Yanks are hitting above .300 against lefties on the road. That's probably too many statistical reasons for this to win, so proceed how you should ... maybe take the M's.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-15-09, 12:43 PM

Play #176: Indians/Twins Total Hits OVER 18.5 (-115)
Huff vs. Swarzak. Plug & play or fade & win.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-15-09, 05:17 PM

Play #177: Blue Jays/Rays OVER 9.5 (-105)
Tallet vs. Kazmir. Tallet is a TB punching pag. Scotty K doesn't know that me and Fiona do it in his van every Sunday, Scotty doesn't know ... how to stop OVERs from happening at home. There's only been two OVERs in this series in 10 meetings in 2009, Tallet & Kazmir have been involved in 'em both. Pluggin' along baby, pluggin' along.

MexicanStallion · 08-16-09, 12:29 AM

Nice sweep Eagles

EaglesPhan36 · 08-16-09, 01:16 PM

Thanks. If the Angels can win today, I'll be pretty happy with the weekend in baseball.

MexicanStallion · 08-16-09, 01:21 PM

Well Angels are off to a great start. They had great value for a play today, but I ended up passing for some reason.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-16-09, 03:06 PM

Play #178: Yankees/Mariners Total Hits OVER 17.5 (-115)
Joba Joba vs. Fister. Turn, insert fister into self and then plug & play. Or skip to fade!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-16-09, 05:03 PM

ANGELS!

Thanks for finally stepping up and putting away the f-ing Orioles!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 05:18 PM

Play #179: Brewers Team Total OVER 4.5 (-110)
Milwaukee and Pittsburgh have met 8 times, 6 times MIL has scored at least 5 runs. They have also scored at least 5 in 8 of their last 10 games overall. PIT has been giving out runs like free condoms at a high school, 7 of their last 10 have featured at least 5 runs for their opponents. Hart has given up 8 ER in two starts for the Pirates. Get on it or fade it, that's the ticket!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-17-09, 08:35 PM

Play #180: Yankees/Athletics Total Hits OVER 17 (-115)
Burnett vs. Tomko. Tomko gonna get bomb-ko'd. In case you haven't paid attention, Oakland is actually hitting the ball. .290+ over their last 10 games. Get on it. Get off it. Plug & play.

MexicanStallion · 08-18-09, 06:47 AM

1-1 isn't bad. I got crushed by the Yankees.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-18-09, 03:49 PM

Yeah I was a hair away from chalking up at -230 for them in the series, glad I didn't. I actually screwed myself though. I was going to go for the total hits over in the KC/ChiSox game, but the weather forecast I had seen made it out like the game was going to be scrubbed, so I passed. The Over on hits got in easy as did your Over on the run total.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-18-09, 03:54 PM

Play #181: Brewers/Pirates Total Hits OVER 17.5 (-115)
Parra vs. Ohlendorf. Parra has given up 79 hits in 57 IP on the road. Ohlendorf is running into a Brewers buzz saw as MIL is scoring runs left & right, win or lose. Win or lose, you probably oughta do something with this play. Plug & play or play to fade!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-20-09, 04:49 PM

Play #182: Orioles/Rays Total Hits OVER 17.5 (-120)
Matusz vs. Shields. The young lefty for the O's has been giving up hits pretty routinely, including his worst effort last time out, 11 in 5.2 IP. Shields is giving up a little more than a hit per IP this season and BAL is hitting the ball well lately. Plugging along. Want some? Get some.

gambit718 · 08-20-09, 05:06 PM

I like the Over 9.5 better! Good luck.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-21-09, 03:17 PM

Play #183: [SERIES] Angels +105 (Blue Jays)
Pitching match-ups: O'Sullivan vs. Rzepczynski. Santana vs. Richmond. Bell vs. Romero. O'Sullivan's ERA is high, but the Angels have managed a 7-1 record in his 8 starts. Rzepczynski has a better ERA at 3.98, but TOR is just 2-6 in his starts. Game 2 is a total toss-up. Game 3 is the only one where I see the Jays with an edge, but TOR has dropped Romero's last 3. Angels won a series in Toronto in early June and have won 5 of their last 6 road series. Jays are just 3-7 in their last 10.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-21-09, 05:45 PM

Play #184: Mariners/Indians Total Hits OVER 18.5 (-115)
French vs. Huff. Huff giving up 28 hits in his last 16 IP. Tribe raking lefties in their last 10 at a .340 clip. Do what ya wanna do. Plug on.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-21-09, 08:16 PM

M's & Tribe no trouble. Done in the 7th. Angels shitting themselves. That's why they play 3 in a series. Hopefully they get their shit together tomorrow.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-21-09, 08:52 PM

Play #185: Cardinals/Padres Total Hits Over 17 (-110)
Lohse vs. Richard. Lohse is as Lohse does on the road. If the Cards hit tonight, then this one is done. The Fathers aren't as bad lately offensively, so get on it or get off it - just do something with it.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-22-09, 12:51 PM

Play #186: Rangers/Rays UNDER 9 (-115)
Hunter vs. Garza. The play is on Garza who has one game with a total above 9 since May 21st. That's 16 starts. Hunter handcuffed the Rays in TEX earlier this season, 3-1 final. 4 games for Garza vs. TEX in the past two years, only one hit 9 runs. Do what ya gotta do with this!

EaglesPhan36 · 08-24-09, 06:59 PM

Play #187: Orioles/Twins OVER 9 (+100)
Tillman vs. Baker. Baker at home is an OVERs macho man. 9 of 12 and the Twins score an average of 6.5 runs per home game for Baker. Twins have played 11 straight to at least 9 runs. Ya gotta get down to get up. Plug it.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-25-09, 05:17 PM

Play #188: Mets/Marlins Total HRs OVER 1.5 (-125)
Chicks dig the long ball & so do opponents of Nelson Figueroa. Figgy had two starts earlier this season, giving up 4 dingers in those two starts. LandShark Stadium is home to an average of 2.5 HRs per game when the wind is whipping over 10 mph which is the forecast for tonight. It is scheduled to be blowing in from the E-NE (CF/RF). Surprisingly to me at least when the wind blows in harder from CF here, more balls fly out. In 11 games with the wind blowing between 10-20 MPH from the E (In from CF), the average is 2.64 HRs. In 21 games where the wind has been blowing in from CF, games average 2.38 HRs. Shane West tosses for the Fish. He doesn't give up many HRs, but he did cough one up to Omir Santos when he pitched against NY at Citi Field. I'm in a good fading pattern, so do what ya want with this.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-25-09, 06:57 PM

Play #189: Reds/Brewers Total Hits OVER 17 (-135)
I already skipped one play that looks like it's gonna hit with ease (TAM/TOR Hits Over 17.5) - so I'll play this one too as it was the other best bet I thought I saw. Arroyo vs. Suppan. Soopy fresh off the DL and he stunk before that. Arroyo in a groove, but he still gives up hits. Holla. Fade. One or the other.

EaglesPhan36 · 08-26-09, 12:55 PM

Play #190: Indians/Royals Total Hits OVER 18.5 (-110)
Huff vs. Hochevar. Huff huff give. That's his M.O. as he yields well more than a hit per IP this season. KC has been hitting pretty well lately & hits lefties at a .283 clip at home. Tribe's bats have been hot in their last 10. Do it. Don't do it. Wait out some rain in this perhaps, but get it on!