on3's MLB 2014 Opening Day System Thread

[J.M. Disciple]

ahh, I didn't pay attention to the closing line. Had a unit on cinci.

[Primet76]

It's all good now JM. Cincy came through today, and as an aside, the -200 series filter is 2-0

[J.M. Disciple]

Only pit and tor tomorrow. I thought Arz at first, but its just a 2 game series. Tor also a filtered play. The line has moved 20c down since it opened already, so might have to wait until game time.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/9/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 77-4-0; Profit: +54.75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 8-1-0; Profit: +1.25 units
5/2 chase: 0-1-0; profit: -16.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 54-27; 7-1
Game 2 (B) win = 12-15; 0-2; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
30-x-x-30
25-25-28-22
30-30-38-45

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
x-18-35-35-35-33-x

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) TOR -168 to win 30
(A) PIT -147 to win 30

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) TOR -168 to win 51

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/10/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 79-4-0; Profit: +57.75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 9-1-0; Profit: +3.75 units
5/2 chase: 0-1-0; profit: -16.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 56-27; 8-2
Game 2 (B) win = 12-15; 0-2; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
x-x-x-x
25-25-28-22
30-30-38-45

shuffle

25-x-25-x
25-25-23-22
25-25-28-20

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
x-x-35-35-35-x-x

shuffle

25-25-28-27

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) SEA -142 to win 25** not official as of this post

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[on3]

SEA didnt meet the cutoff yesterday. no plays today.

[J.M. Disciple]

Looks like a possible play on BOS tomorrow. I actually hope it does not qualify has Boston continues their slump and CLE is red hot. Idk how they came up with this line...

[knugen]

CLE lost last two games. I dont know if Thats a red hot team?

[J.M. Disciple]

CLE lost last two games. I dont know if Thats a red hot team?

ok so they lost 3 out of 10, vice versa boston won 3 out of 10. Public is still on Boston...

Line still moving up, so might just bet to win 1u on the RL. Definitely dont feel like risking a whole unit on this team.

[farva88]

ok so they lost 3 out of 10, vice versa boston won 3 out of 10. Public is still on Boston...

Line still moving up, so might just bet to win 1u on the RL. Definitely dont feel like risking a whole unit on this team.

CLE also swept BOS earlier this season.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/12/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 79-4-0; Profit: +57.75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 9-1-0; Profit: +3.75 units
5/2 chase: 0-1-0; profit: -16.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 56-27; 8-2
Game 2 (B) win = 12-15; 0-2; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
25-x-25-x
25-25-23-22
25-25-28-20

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
25-25-28-27

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) BOS -148 to win 25

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

nice hit on BOS. I am not going to try and analysis any more games. I am right quite a bit, but this game will make me shut my mouth. Never seen it coming. Anyways have 4 possibly 5 games tomorrow. I have work super early, so gotta bet these tonight.

DET, Oak, SEA (-1.5), lad -1.5, sf.

I notice the line drops a ton in the morning some times like 20-30cents, so gotta wait it out a little bit if your playing RL or ML via system rules. I'll take my chances all on RL.

Good Luck all.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/13/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 80-4-0; Profit: +59 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 9-1-0; Profit: +3.75 units
5/2 chase: 0-1-0; profit: -16.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 57-27; 8-2
Game 2 (B) win = 12-15; 0-2; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
added 1.5 units
25-25-25-25
20-20-18-17
20-20-18-15

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
25-30-33-17

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) DET -154 to win 25
(A) OAK -182 to win 25
(A) SEA -194/+120 to win 25 -- play RL
(A) LAD -205/+115 to win 25 -- play RL

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) DET -154 to win 42

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

Well, I definitely never seen that type of sweep coming. Good thing we are using a labby and not a martingale. Would have a lot at risk today other wise.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/14/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 80-4-0; Profit: +59 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 9-1-0; Profit: +3.75 units
5/2 chase: 0-1-0; profit: -16.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 57-31; 8-3
Game 2 (B) win = 12-15; 0-2; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
40-40-32-32
45-45-36-40
20-20-18-15

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
25-30-33-47-35

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) DET -195/+105 to win 45 -- play RL
(B) OAK -148 to win 45
(B) SEA -117 to win 36
(B) LAD -138 to win 40

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(B) DET -195/+105 to win 60 -- play RL

5/2
DET -195/+105 to win 100 -- play RL

[Trivial]

What is the criteria for 5/2 ? Thanks!

[J.M. Disciple]

What is the criteria for 5/2 ? Thanks!

Similar to the filtered system, but it plays only B and C games and skips all the A games. If A loses bet to win 5u on B and if B loses bet to recover the 5u and win 2u in addtion to what you lost on B.

[J.M. Disciple]

Also On3, I am not sure if thelimit tested RL for the 5/2 or just ML. I think it was just ML since RL odds are not really offered on covers right?

[Trivial]

Similar to the filtered system, but it plays only B and C games and skips all the A games. If A loses bet to win 5u on B and if B loses bet to recover the 5u and win 2u in addtion to what you lost on B.

Got it - thanks !

[J.M. Disciple]

Just SEA today I think.

[Trivial]

Just SEA today I think.

Yup.. I agree. And the line is dropping. I'd wait for game time for this one.

[on3]

Sorry for the late post

(C) SEA -165 to win 56

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/16/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 84-4-0; Profit: +63 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 10-1-0; Profit: +4.75 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 57-31; 8-3
Game 2 (B) win = 15-16; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 12-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
36-36-36-36
x-x-36-21
x-20-18-x

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
20-30-33-27

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) BOS -153 to win 36
(A) STL -153 to win 36
(A) OAK -165 to win 36
(A) LAD -180 to win 36

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
(A) BOS -153 to win 47

5/2
none

[dlunc3]

Gl tonight

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/16/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 87-4-0; Profit: +65.25 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 60-32; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 15-16; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 12-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
x-x-29-36
x-30-36-21
x-20-18-x

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33 (added 1 unit)

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) NYY -170 to win 36
(B) OAK +100 to win 66

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[farva88]

I'm blind! nevermind lol

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/18/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 89-4-0; Profit: +67.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 61-32; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 16-16; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 12-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
x-x-29-x
x-x-x-21
x-20-18-x

shuffle + 4 units

14-15-15-15
10-10-15-16
10-20-18-10

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
none

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

Oak and wash tomorrow by the looks of it. I might go pretty big on OAK, really love the play. zimmer is pitching for washington and seems to have found his groove recently.

[knugen]

Shouldnt Cardinals and rays be plays also?

[J.M. Disciple]

yes. Completely over looked those some how. Over looked TB cause they just finished a series vs them, but there is a small gap between the games. Good catch Khugen.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/19/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 89-4-0; Profit: +67.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 61-32; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 16-16; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 12-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
14-15-15-15-10-16
x-10-15-x
10-20-18-10

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(A) OAK -158 to win 29
(A) STL -170 to win 26
(A) TB -152 to win 30

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/20/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 91-4-0; Profit: +70.5 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 63-33; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 16-16; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 12-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby +2 units
20-20-22-26
x-10-15-22
10-20-18-10

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(B) STL -163 to win 47
(A) CIN -145 to win 20
(A) NYY -148 to win 26
(A) CLE -150 to win 22
(A) LAA -185 to win 20

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

STL C, CLE, B, CINC B, two games start in 2.5 hours from now....

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/21/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 93-4-0; Profit: +73 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 65-35; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 16-17; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 12-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
20-15-22-15
x-38-39-38
20-10-18-48

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(C) STL -150 to win 68
(B) CIN -121 to win 38
(B) CLE -120 to win 39

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/22/2014
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 95-4-0; Profit: +75 units (NYY one game loss, -2.3 units, OAK loss -7.07 units, KC -8.5 units, COL -10.25 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +6 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -11.80 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 65-35; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-18; 1-2; 1-1
Game 3 (C) win = 13-4; 1-1; 0-1

Labby
20-15-22-15
x-38-39-14
x-10-18-34

Labby filtered (changing to single line labby since there arent enough plays to justify a 3-line)
10-30-10-33

Regular -- all (A) plays must close at -145 or higher to be an official play
(C) CLE +100 to win 62

Filtered -- all plays must meet 'Regular' requirement and close at an O/U of 9 or higher to be an official play
none

5/2
none