Keel's Baseball Action

[fitguy67]

always cool when u get into the "free spins" round on the spin you've declared is the last you're willing to pay for...

i like the bonus round here...dead simple "16x or nothing" proposition (hit two in a row: yes or no)...let's go!

[keel44]

August 25

Parlay 16-B: Marlins with Padres +1.5 (0.36 to win 1.12)

Ugh, I was torn between Padres +1.5 or the Brewers straight up.

[keel44]

I have to do this early, so may not be the best lines.

August 26

Parlay 18-A: Orioles with Cardinals (0.12 to win 0.37)

[keel44]

August 26

Parlay 18-A: Orioles with Cardinals (0.12 to win 0.37)

Well that is it. I know I would have came through eventually, but I need to pull the plug. I have sooooo many chances left. It is very fortunate that I dug myself out of a 15 unit hole and ended with 20 unit profit in less than a month. I have done this safely.

Since July 23, which is the start of my parlay strategy, I profited 34.79 units. These units are 2% of a total bankroll. The average amount risked is 0.48 units. seems pretty darn safe to me

I will continue to post some plays and baseball thoughts for anyone tuning in, but it will not be for real money. I will have a NFL thread soon using my strategy.

[keel44]

August 27


Cubs +143 is a huge value here. Jacob Turner will be good for the Cubs. Soler is making his debut as well.

Astros/A's Over 8.5 Peacock is garbage and the Astros, I believe, have scored a lot of runs since the all-star break

Dodgers -1.5 (-130) Kershaw

Marlins +134 good value Alverez is very good

[fitguy67]

keel, i couldn't resist keeping the protocol going by combining (#1 with #3 ) and (#2 with #4)...

just curious if you operate basically like this...coming up with the best set of plays for the day AS IF using plain-vanilla straights...as you've done today to get your 4 plays...

THEN...applying these plays to your chase-press protocol in a way that creates parlays in the useful (+300,+400) range...such as today where #1/#3 and #2/#4 seems to leap out

so the two steps are separate: play selection (as normal good capping as you've mentioned many times in previous posts) done first...THEN molding whatever plays the first step left you into something applicable to the "A+BC, chase+press" protocol...

[keel44]

No Fitguy67. I just glanced at the card for today. I had just a couple quick thoughts. During my parlay press, I look at all the +odds situations first. Then the -odds are easier to match up. I couldn't tell you what I would do today, but it would be a loser as I just looked at all the results and I am stunned.

So yes, I use good handicapping and common sense risk/reward. I just don't set it up the way I just posted.

[keel44]

August 28

Some weird things happening of late, this has got to be an aberration. I know you must stay the course in pick selection if you wanna get a hot streak going.

Cubs -110 Cubs ace going against a bad one

Yankees -125 Yankees just might rolling and Tigers are not ... plus who is this Tiger's pitcher?

White Sox +135 Sox bats make this a "live" dog

That is all I see worth betting today.

[keel44]

I am not seeing things too clearly as of late. You will have times like this, but things will align eventually. You must stay true.

August 29

Cubs +135 Hendricks is just too good right now and the Cards are hit and miss

Padres -106 Cashner vs Haren .... I don't like Haren

Brewers +102 Brewers with Peralta as underdogs?

Rangers +120 Baker did well last time for Texas, good value

Orioles -1.5 +105 Offensive explosion very possible here.

[keel44]

August 30

I had some good reads last night 4/5 correct.

Cubs +150 (game 1) at these odds, why not. They have young blood and Masterson is struggling

Phillies +150 the Phillies have been hot lately and J. Williams has been pretty good, surprisingly

Brewers -105 Fiers has been on fire

Orioles -180 the Orioles line up should be more than good enough here

A's/Angels Over 8 It is time for some offense in this series

[fitguy67]

[keel44]

It appears I would have won a couple parlays in the last couple of days, but I can't guarantee that. Yes, I am on that upswing again. Let me throw some more out there today.

August 31

Angels -123 Let's face it....the A's have been struggling

Orioles/Twins Over 8.5 The O's offensive potential makes this the play

Indians +150 It is all about momentum....A hot team at this price

Nationals +132 We have momentum here as well and a better team ...... at this price

Braves -1.5 +145 Eovaldi has not been good lately and the only way I would play the Braves here is -1.5 to get some nice odds. I feel it is an all or nothing kind of game for Atlanta......like a coin flip

[fitguy67]

It appears I would have won a couple parlays in the last couple of days, but I can't guarantee that.

I can guarantee it...both days a complete "round robin" of 10 two-leg parlays could have been created from the five plays.

On Friday 4 of the 5 plays hit...ringing the bell on 6 of the 10 parlays for a big profit.

On Saturday 3 of the 5 plays hit...ringing the bell on 3 of the 10 parlays for a small profit.

___________

today i just tailed your WAS, LAA, and CLE ml plays straight-up...

good luck on your gear-up to the NFL version of this project...

i'm happy to be a registered beta-tester, lol!

[keel44]

Saturday had a couple of +150 dogs that won. That should be a bigger profit than a small profit, right?

O.K. day for today as well.

NFL thread will be up soon......

[keel44]

Here is a link for the NFL action

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-betting/2948849-keels-football-parlay-system.html#post22516045

[keel44]

Pretty good day yesterday, I say the Indians would have won, oh well

Sept 1

Cardinals -115 maybe their bats finally woke up

Giants -1.5 +110 I think the Giants are really rolling right now

Nationals -115 team has a better record and a better pitcher and is playing well

Mariners +130 lets face it, the A's are struggling and I get a good price

[keel44]

The Giants just blew it late, I feel I still made the right bet. This wasn't too bad of a night.

[keel44]

Sept 2

Cubs/Brewers Under 7.5 both bats have been a little quite and both pitchers are pretty good

Cardinals -145 they are getting hot and Wainwright is going

Nationals +170 just too high of odds here Fister is not that much worse than Kershaw - neither are the bats

Angels -1.5 +100 Astros in a bit of disarray right now - plus I think Peacock sucks

Rangers +145 We will see how a veteran - Holland comes back for Texas plus KC has been a little down lately

[keel44]

This thread will be winding down. I thank all who took the time to view it.

Sept 03

Cardinals -102 Keep the hotness comin'

Cubs +100 Keep the Brewers coldness comin'

Padres -136 Kinda small price for Cashner and a 40-28 home record

Reds +150 I don't know about Axelrod here. The Orioles may take the foot off the gas. I like the price of +150 on a wild card pitcher.

Angels -132 The play scares me, but I think the Angels are still hot....we shall see

[keel44]

A little sketchy view as of late.

Sept 4

Brewers -102 Brewers had been losing but on the road....Cards have been winning but at home. I am going against the grain here to see if motivation is on the Brewers side

Reds +145 It is just to good of a price.

[keel44]

Sept 5

Angels -147 Should hit Nolasco well

Rangers +170 I kinda like Baker and wow what a home price

Cards/Brew Under 7.5 good pitchers + poor Brewers offense of late