Avala7ch3's 2013 MLB Thread

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  • Avala7ch3
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-04-12
    • 257

    #1
    Avala7ch3's 2013 MLB Thread
    Hi fellas. Here I will post my 'pick of the day' Usually I play 3-5 games every day and I will share with you my favorite bet. To make it more interesting I am gonna use 6 game chase system - just for fun! I am gonna start with 100 units bankroll. The bank management is important part of gambling, so let's divide the bankroll by 4. Now we use a quarter of the bankroll for our play. I will place only one bet a day in series of up to 6 bets. I will use the predetermined amount of 1u, 2u, 4u, 6u, 8u, 12.5u.

    There are few simple rules:

    1) Make only one bet a day following the predetermined amount in the series which are 1u, 2u, 4u, 6u, 8u, 12.5u. U is your unit value.
    2) As soon as you make a profit, collect your winning and start a new series. That means if you win bet #1 or bet #2 or bet #3, you make a profit and stop the session.
    3) When you start to win after bet #3, follow the predetermined amounts in the series until you show a profit. You will only need to win 2 games within 6.
    4) If you didn't win within the first 5 games (0-5), stop the series and accept the losses. You only have to recoup your losses and split your remaining bankroll in 4 parts. Then, you can start a new session with a new unit value. In case of a losing session, the betting series is made to protect your bankroll. If you double up your starting bankroll (quarter of the whole bankroll) evaluate your new bankroll, divide it by 4 and start new series with new unit value. It's simple like that.
    Determination of the pick is much more complicated. Actually it take me approximately 2.5-3 hours every day to do that so I don't want to bother you with this boring job - I will give you my best pick and lets play.



    Pick of the day:

    • Baseball - MLB
      Texas Rangers -vs- Oakland Athletics
      Selection : Game - Money Line
      Texas Rangers @ 2.130

      Risk (Units): 1.00 to Win 1.13



    Good luck!
    Last edited by Avala7ch3; 05-13-13, 05:48 PM. Reason: Sorry, this is the right pick!
  • oZgoodZ33
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-28-12
    • 525

    #2
    Good luck buddy!
    Comment
    • Avala7ch3
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-04-12
      • 257

      #3
      Wow, not a great start, isn't it? And actually this is my fault. I've changed my first favorite and of course I've made a mistake because the originally picked favorite play - Washington Nationals has won. My excuse is that I had not a big choice and could use only 3 plays, but of course by Murphy's law only this pick has lost. The loss is a loss so we gotta get over it and carry on...



      Pick of the day:
      Play 'B'
      • Baseball - MLB
        Kansas City Royals -vs- LAA Angels
        Selection : Game - Money Line
        Kansas City Royals @ 2.100

        Risk (Units): 2.00 to Win 2.20

        Good luck!
      Last edited by Avala7ch3; 05-14-13, 12:25 PM.
      Comment
      • Avala7ch3
        SBR Sharp
        • 06-04-12
        • 257

        #4
        Repetition is mother of knowledge...


        Pick of the day:
        Play 'C'

        • Baseball - MLB
          Kansas City Royals -vs- LAA Angels
          Selection : Game - Money Line
          Kansas City Royals @ 2.040

          Risk (Units): 4.00 to Win 4.16
        Comment
        • Avala7ch3
          SBR Sharp
          • 06-04-12
          • 257

          #5
          Thread Record: 1-0
          Profit: +1.16u
          Comment
          • Avala7ch3
            SBR Sharp
            • 06-04-12
            • 257

            #6

            Pick of the day (Bet #1):

            • Baseball - MLB
              Chicago White Sox -vs- LAA Angels
              Selection : Game - Money Line
              Chicago White Sox @ 2.260 D

              Risk (Units): 1.00 to Win 1.26

            Comment
            • Avala7ch3
              SBR Sharp
              • 06-04-12
              • 257

              #7
              Thread Record: 2-0

              Profit: +2.42u
              Comment
              • Avala7ch3
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-04-12
                • 257

                #8

                Pick of the day (Bet #1):

                • Baseball - MLB
                  Chicago White Sox -vs- LAA Angels
                  @ 5/18/2013 5:05
                  Selection : Game - Money Line
                  Chicago White Sox @ 2.060 D

                  Risk (Units): 1.00 to Win 1.06
                Comment
                • Avala7ch3
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 06-04-12
                  • 257

                  #9
                  Thread Record: 3-0
                  Profit: +3.48u
                  Comment
                  • Avala7ch3
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 06-04-12
                    • 257

                    #10


                    Pick of the day (Bet #1):

                    • Baseball - MLB
                      Chicago White Sox H. Santiago [must start] -vs- LAA Angels - J. Blanton [must start]
                      Selection : Game - Money Line
                      Chicago White Sox @ 2.160

                      Risk (Units): 1.00 to Win 1.16
                    Comment
                    • Avala7ch3
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-04-12
                      • 257

                      #11


                      Pick of the day (Bet #2):
                      • Baseball - MLB
                        Boston Red Sox J. Lackey [must start] -vs- Minnesota Twins - P. Hernandez [must start]
                        Selection : Game - Money Line
                        Boston Red Sox @ 1.833

                        Risk (Units): 2.40 to Win 2.00


                      Comment
                      • Bragatio
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 05-19-13
                        • 1

                        #12
                        You want make profits on MLB and soccer? No problem. Every week I have to offer 2-3 fix-matches.

                        I work in large company bookmaker. I’m in possession of confidential information about sold matches in the coming days. Mostly these are the matches of soccer but I have information about buying of games from MLB and tennis. The information that I have can bring to each of the players a lot of money because the probability of winning is above 80-90%. People who cooperated with me (also on this board) know that this information is expensive however very good.

                        My source of information comes from the biggest bookmakers (Pinnacle, SBOBET, Marathonbet, Betfair, etc, etc. ..). This is called " internal network of rapid response". My job i s to accepting (or not) bets above 10,000 USD.
                        My proposal of fix matches is directed to big players. People playing a few dollars please don’t clutter my mailbox.

                        Today I have 100% sure fix in MLB and soccer . Price for one fix - 200 USD. Payment after match. Only serious offers.

                        p e t r . k r o p o t k i n (--) a o l . c o m
                        Comment
                        • Avala7ch3
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-04-12
                          • 257

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Bragatio
                          You want make profits on MLB and soccer? No problem. Every week I have to offer 2-3 fix-matches.

                          I work in large company bookmaker. I’m in possession of confidential information about sold matches in the coming days. Mostly these are the matches of soccer but I have information about buying of games from MLB and tennis. The information that I have can bring to each of the players a lot of money because the probability of winning is above 80-90%. People who cooperated with me (also on this board) know that this information is expensive however very good.

                          My source of information comes from the biggest bookmakers (Pinnacle, SBOBET, Marathonbet, Betfair, etc, etc. ..). This is called " internal network of rapid response". My job i s to accepting (or not) bets above 10,000 USD.
                          My proposal of fix matches is directed to big players. People playing a few dollars please don’t clutter my mailbox.

                          Today I have 100% sure fix in MLB and soccer . Price for one fix - 200 USD. Payment after match. Only serious offers.

                          p e t r . k r o p o t k i n (--) a o l . c o m
                          Comment
                          • Avala7ch3
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-04-12
                            • 257

                            #14
                            Thread Record: 4-0
                            Profit: +4.48u
                            Comment
                            • Avala7ch3
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 06-04-12
                              • 257

                              #15


                              5/20 Pick of the day (Bet #1):

                              • Baseball - MLB
                                Boston Red Sox J. Lester [must start] -vs- Chicago White Sox - D. Axelrod [must start]
                                Selection : Game - Money Line
                                Boston Red Sox @ 1.694

                                Risk (Units): 1.44 to Win 1.00


                              Comment
                              • hubbard689
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-28-12
                                • 583

                                #16
                                Wicked start man, good luck might start tailing although I'm on TDK's chases harddd
                                Comment
                                • Avala7ch3
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-04-12
                                  • 257

                                  #17


                                  5/21 Pick of the day (Bet #2):

                                  • Baseball - MLB
                                    Arizona Diamondbacks I. Kennedy [must start] -vs- Colorado Rockies - J. Chacin [must start]
                                    Selection : Game - Money Line
                                    Arizona Diamondbacks @ 2.110

                                    Risk (Units): 2.25 to Win 2.50


                                  Comment
                                  • Avala7ch3
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-04-12
                                    • 257

                                    #18


                                    5/22 Pick of the day (Bet #3):

                                    • Baseball - MLB
                                      Arizona Diamondbacks T. Cahill [must start] -vs- Colorado Rockies - J. De La Rosa [must start]
                                      Selection : Game - Money Line
                                      Arizona Diamondbacks @ 2.150

                                      Risk (Units): 4.35 to Win 5.00


                                    Comment
                                    • Dollars2Donuts
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-07-13
                                      • 8803

                                      #19
                                      Interesting system.....actually a proven long term losing system, but that's entirely ok, whatever floats your boat.

                                      For anyone that is interested in the actual 'strike rate' or win-rate as normal people would call it, the OP is running at:

                                      4-6 (which equates to 40%)

                                      for:

                                      - 3.46 units (or 3.46 dollars....whichever is lower)

                                      Not 4-0 as he would have you believe if you just gave this a quick read which I did at first. In fact at first I was thinking, wow, this troll picks winners! A nice change....he can troll all he wants if that is the case! But, to my dismay we see a 40% win-rate.

                                      He never acknowledges losers, he just doubles (not quite always, see above) his wager, loses your money and moves on.

                                      This 'system' or 'method' has been repeatedly proven, through time and MANY victims (oh and math too!!) as decidely NOT being profitable, unless you can pick WINNERS.

                                      Again, to the OP, I wish you all the best.


                                      D2D
                                      Comment
                                      • hubbard689
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-28-12
                                        • 583

                                        #20
                                        pwned
                                        Comment
                                        • DiggityDaggityDo
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 11-30-08
                                          • 81450

                                          #21
                                          Ouch
                                          Comment
                                          • 49erFan8280
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-05-10
                                            • 334

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • Avala7ch3
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 06-04-12
                                              • 257

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                              Interesting system.....actually a proven long term losing system, but that's entirely ok, whatever floats your boat.

                                              For anyone that is interested in the actual 'strike rate' or win-rate as normal people would call it, the OP is running at:

                                              4-6 (which equates to 40%)

                                              for:

                                              - 3.46 units (or 3.46 dollars....whichever is lower)

                                              Not 4-0 as he would have you believe if you just gave this a quick read which I did at first. In fact at first I was thinking, wow, this troll picks winners! A nice change....he can troll all he wants if that is the case! But, to my dismay we see a 40% win-rate.

                                              He never acknowledges losers, he just doubles (not quite always, see above) his wager, loses your money and moves on.

                                              This 'system' or 'method' has been repeatedly proven, through time and MANY victims (oh and math too!!) as decidely NOT being profitable, unless you can pick WINNERS.

                                              Again, to the OP, I wish you all the best.


                                              D2D

                                              Very interesting comment, thank you very much....but actually you didn't get the point. Anyway, go back at the beginning and read the first post very carefully. If you miss the point again I am gonna explain it to you in plain language.

                                              p.s. As I can see you also are able very successfully to make a troll by yourself....good job...go ahead
                                              Comment
                                              • Avala7ch3
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 06-04-12
                                                • 257

                                                #24


                                                5/24 Pick of the day (Bet #4):

                                                • Baseball - MLB
                                                  Cleveland Indians J. Masterson [must start] -vs- Boston Red Sox - J. Lackey [must start]
                                                  Selection : Game - Money Line
                                                  Cleveland Indians @ 2.020 D

                                                  Risk (Units): 6.00 to Win 6.12


                                                Comment
                                                • thes0vereign
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-13-12
                                                  • 712

                                                  #25
                                                  BOL.

                                                  Last edited by thes0vereign; 05-24-13, 03:49 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hubbard689
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-28-12
                                                    • 583

                                                    #26
                                                    don't think anyone will be tailing him anymore after dollars2donuts buried him like a dog's bone pwned
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Avala7ch3
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 06-04-12
                                                      • 257

                                                      #27


                                                      5/25 Pick of the day (Bet #5):

                                                      • Baseball - MLB
                                                        Pittsburgh Pirates J. Locke [must start] -vs- Milwaukee Brewers - M. Fiers [must start]
                                                        Selection : Game - Money Line
                                                        Pittsburgh Pirates @ 2.180

                                                        Risk (Units): 8.00 to Win 9.44


                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dollars2Donuts
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-07-13
                                                        • 8803

                                                        #28
                                                        I guess this means you are 5-0...lol. Keep up the great winning percentages.

                                                        BOL,

                                                        Your Friend D2D
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Avala7ch3
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 06-04-12
                                                          • 257

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts
                                                          I guess this means you are 5-0...lol. Keep up the great winning percentages.

                                                          BOL,

                                                          Your Friend D2D

                                                          I offered you to go back and read very carefully my first post, but you have acted as a obvious moron, that you definitely are.

                                                          But...let's carry on step by step...NO, it doesn't mean that the result is 5-0, not yet, the series is not over (go back and read first post ) I don't want to be a hero like you and I have reasons to post ONLY one of my daily plays. If you are so stupid to understand that, just do not comment this stuff! It is easy like that!

                                                          Thanks God I am so comfortable with my winning rate and I've gotten enough money, that I don't need to follow your ridiculous predictions (especially in Tennis and MLB, where you are complete rookie!!!)

                                                          Of course I will give you and your blind supporters a screenshot of my last best (obviously this become fashionable) to prove my words and shut your big mouth up!.

                                                          - 3.46 units (or 3.46 dollars....whichever is lower)
                                                          To make it easier for you keep in mind that 1 Unit = £100 (one hundred GBP) Take the exchanged rating by yourself! So the sums in the next pic are in GBP!

                                                          Click image for larger version

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Views:	1
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                                                          BOL my BEST friend !
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Avala7ch3
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-04-12
                                                            • 257

                                                            #30
                                                            And keep in mind that this is one common day, not specially picked and obviously not the best - I don't intend to impress you but I could if I want to!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Avala7ch3
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 06-04-12
                                                              • 257

                                                              #31


                                                              5/26 Pick of the day (Bet #6):

                                                              • Baseball - MLB
                                                                Pittsburgh Pirates W. Rodriguez [must start] -vs- Milwaukee Brewers - Y. Gallardo [must start]
                                                                Selection : Game - Money Line
                                                                Pittsburgh Pirates @ 2.120 D

                                                                Risk (Units): 4.52 to Win 5.60


                                                              Comment
                                                              • Avala7ch3
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 06-04-12
                                                                • 257

                                                                #32
                                                                Thread Record: 5-0
                                                                Profit: +5.48u
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Avala7ch3
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 06-04-12
                                                                  • 257

                                                                  #33
                                                                  So the series is over and we are winners as any time.....would you prove me wrong, mate D2D?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • fitguy67
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-13-11
                                                                    • 5082

                                                                    #34
                                                                    hey, Ava...keep it up...ur doing well
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hubbard689
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-28-12
                                                                      • 583

                                                                      #35
                                                                      fitguy67 if you didn't read back in this thread you wouldn't know that avalanche got buried so deep he was half way to China
                                                                      Comment
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