Samrock's 2013 TDK 2.0 RL Chase

illisdre · 06-09-13, 12:02 AM

Originally posted by dogs1972

Damn I'm tired of losing

no kidding..

allen0315 · 06-09-13, 12:40 AM

i think this is sunday plays

RL 1.0 Plays
Tex -1.5 loss
Atl -1.5 8u
Atl -1.5 8u
Col -1.5 4u
Tex -1.5 4u
tex -1.5 2u
Brewers -1.5 2u

will add later

winners
TB -1.5 2u
Bos -1.5 2u game 2
CWS -1.5 2u

illisdre · 06-09-13, 02:32 AM

hmm i guess they are slow with the ATL line.

And speaking of ATL.. man whats with the poor bats. we get the best pitching .. and never supported by the offence. Worst way to loose.. I prefer the lost by 10 runs to the lost by 1.

anywaays thx for posting the picks.

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 07:29 AM

6/8/13
TDK Record: 217-7, -157.29u
TDK RL 1.0 Record: 207-18, +236.15u
TDK RL 2.0 Record: 10-0, +14.18u
1.0 Record since tracking began: 118-12, +92.18u

6/7/13 Recap

RL 1.0 Plays
Tex -1.5 4u LOSS
Atl -1.5 2u LOSS
Atl -1.5 2u LOSS
TB -1.5 1u LOSS
Bos -1.5 1u POSTPONED
CWS -1.5 1u LOSS
Col -1.5 1u LOSS
Tex -1.5 1u LOSS
Tex -1.5 1u LOSS

RL 2.0 Plays
#5: Was -1.5 4u POSTPONED
#9: Oak -1.5 2u LOSS
#10: Atl -1.5 2u LOSS
#12: Col -1.5 2u LOSS
#14: Pit -1.5 1u WINNER +1.45u
#15: Tex -1.5 1/2u** LOSS
#16: Bos -1.5 1/2u** POSTPONED

Brutal night, jeez.

Seeing Stars · 06-09-13, 08:30 AM

i must be catching ya'll on a bad week, my math has me down 20u since Wed...

betting RL against HOU and MIA has me up 8u since Thurs

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 09:04 AM

6/8/13
TDK Record: 217-7, -157.29u
TDK RL 1.0 Record: 210-19, +227.93u
TDK RL 2.0 Record: 11-0, +14.97u
1.0 Record since tracking began: 121-13, +83.96u

6/8/13 Recap

RL 1.0 Plays
Tex -1.5 8u LOSS -15u
Atl -1.5 4u LOSS
Atl -1.5 4u LOSS
TB -1.5 2u WINNER +2.3u
Bos -1.5 1u LOSS
CWS -1.5 2u WINNER +3.4u
Col -1.5 2u LOSS
Tex -1.5 2u LOSS
Tex -1.5 2u LOSS
Tex -1.5 1u LOSS
Mil -1.5 1u LOSS
**Bos 1.5 2u WINNER +1.08u

RL 2.0 Plays
Was -1.5 4u LOSS
Oak -1.5 4u LOSS
Atl -1.5 4u LOSS
Col -1.5 4u LOSS
Tex -1.5 1u LOSS
Bos -1.5 1/2u LOSS
** Bos -1.5 1u WINNER +.79u

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 09:08 AM

6/9/13

RL 1.0 Plays
Atl -1.5 8u
Atl -1.5 8u
Col -1.5 4u
Tex -1.5 4u
Tex -1.5 4u
Tex -1.5 2u
Mil -1.5 2u
Hou -1.5 1u
Was -1.5 1u

RL 2.0 Plays
Was -1.5 8u
Oak -1.5 8u
Atl -1.5 8u
Col -1.5 8u
Tex -1.5 2u

Well...looks like things can get real ugly here today...4 Game 4s for the 2.0 system and another 2 for the 1.0 system...that I definitely did NOT anticipate. I've even had to drop down a unit size because of the putrid weekend we've had so far...Oh well, gotta cross your fingers and hope for the best...

Spreadsheet can be found here:https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...tMGcxSnc#gid=3

BOL today gentlemen, hope we come out on top

Want2Win · 06-09-13, 09:28 AM

We will come up on top!

kmc28 · 06-09-13, 09:41 AM

lol jeeeeeez

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 10:29 AM

Not gonna do any scoreboard watching today...won't be chatting it up on the spreadsheet, either...

gonna check back in here tonight(9pm EST) to assess the damage...would need a clean sweep just to break even and there's no chance that will happen...

Braves, Rockies, Rangers, A's, Nats...please kick some serious ass today. Thanks.

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 10:32 AM

Also curious if we should just make all series 5-game series going forward...only costs another 1/2 unit and you get an extra game...

thoughts?

dogs1972 · 06-09-13, 11:00 AM

Ugh. I really need to make some units back, but I'm afraid im gonna regret betting today.

dogs1972 · 06-09-13, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by samrock67

Also curious if we should just make all series 5-game series going forward...only costs another 1/2 unit and you get an extra game...

thoughts?

Back tested? Or just taking desperation shots?

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by dogs1972

Back tested? Or just taking desperation shots?

Just thinking logically, what likely results from this backtest is a decrease in overall profit(not sure how much) but possibly preventing some losses...going to look into it now.

Wallco99 · 06-09-13, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by samrock67

Also curious if we should just make all series 5-game series going forward...only costs another 1/2 unit and you get an extra game...

thoughts?

You also only win 1/2 unit+ for each win instaed of 1+ units like in the 4 game. So your profits will be a lot lower.

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

You also only win 1/2 unit+ for each win instaed of 1+ units like in the 4 game. So your profits will be a lot lower.

Only if the series wins in the first game...

KENTRI · 06-09-13, 12:41 PM

Nope..You win 1/2 unit+ for each win..

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 12:56 PM

My mistake.

Yes, retroactively you would cut all profits in half.

I still think that going forward there might be value in chasing for a 5th game...I guess it would depend on how many losses would have turned into wins

Yazworm91 · 06-09-13, 01:00 PM

Wow!!! A slip up by profar would have got Texas out of the inning, instead brings up the two hottest hitters on the team. 4-0.

illisdre · 06-09-13, 03:10 PM

couldn't have had it better.. Tex pulls it off.. bout time.!

Yazworm91 · 06-09-13, 03:29 PM

Just need Atlanta to show out now

dogs1972 · 06-09-13, 04:16 PM

Shhhhhhhhhh.....

illisdre · 06-09-13, 06:19 PM

I don't know what to say...
anyone put 24 units on ATL.. i busted my bank roll.. sure enough did great but only managed 1/3 of the weight of todays bets.

I gotta hand it to you guys, Sam, TDK i hope you made a killing.

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by illisdre

I don't know what to say...
anyone put 24 units on ATL.. i busted my bank roll.. sure enough did great but only managed 1/3 of the weight of todays bets.

I gotta hand it to you guys, Sam, TDK i hope you made a killing.

Wouldn't exactly call it a killing, but definitely thankful that 4 out of 6 Game 4's came through(with 1 potential win in extra innings right now). Saved my roll for sure.

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 06:40 PM

6/9/13
TDK Record: pending update
TDK RL 1.0 Record: 217-19, +244.62u
TDK RL 2.0 Record: 14-2, -9.31u
1.0 Record since tracking began: 128-13, +100.65u

6/9/13 RECAP

RL 1.0 Plays
Atl -1.5 8u WINNER +1u
Atl -1.5 8u WINNER +1u
Col -1.5 4u LOSS
Tex -1.5 4u WINNER +4.4u
Tex -1.5 4u WINNER +4.4u
Tex -1.5 2u WINNER +2.7u
Mil -1.5 2u WINNER +2u
Hou -1.5 1u LOSS
Was -1.5 1u WINNER +1.19u

RL 2.0 Plays
Was -1.5 8u WINNER +2.52u
Oak -1.5 8u LOSS -15u
Atl -1.5 8u WINNER +1u
Col -1.5 8u LOSS -15u
Tex -1.5 2u WINNER +2.2u

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 06:42 PM

Knowing that TDK is going to continue posting his plays, I am going to be a little more conservative in selecting plays for the 2.0 system, but I am going to continue posting plays even after the 2 losses today. The system is only down 9 units and I'm confident I can recover that quickly.

I will be busy tomorrow so I will post tomorrow's plays later tonight, but any Game 1 plays you will have to check in TDK's thread.

Awesome day, guys. just awesome.

kmc28 · 06-09-13, 08:05 PM

what are your thoughts about using Cisco's home fave plays for the RL system? might be something to look into

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by kmc28

what are your thoughts about using Cisco's home fave plays for the RL system? might be something to look into

yea, right now I'm running the numbers on one of his systems(I believe the 5-run system) but there's good potential profitability there too.

Yazworm91 · 06-09-13, 08:15 PM

I'm going to decide by tomorrow if I continue with the Houston chase. The payout could be great if they did hit. I've been playing everything on the RL and I would play them as well. They are +200 straight up tomorrow would be a nice hit su or RL.

samrock67 · 06-09-13, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by Yazworm91

I'm going to decide by tomorrow if I continue with the Houston chase. The payout could be great if they did hit. I've been playing everything on the RL and I would play them as well. They are +200 straight up tomorrow would be a nice hit su or RL.

Yea, I had a busy day and was unable to list the Hou and Was Game 1's, but I personally will NOT be playing the Hou series.

acehole · 06-09-13, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by samrock67

6/9/13
tdk record: Pending update
tdk rl 1.0 record: 217-19, +244.62u
tdk rl 2.0 record: 14-2, -9.31u
1.0 record since tracking began: 128-13, +100.65u

6/9/13 recap

rl 1.0 plays
atl -1.5 8u winner +1u
atl -1.5 8u winner +1u
col -1.5 4u loss
tex -1.5 4u winner +4.4u
tex -1.5 4u winner +4.4u
tex -1.5 2u winner +2.7u
mil -1.5 2u winner +2u
hou -1.5 1u loss
was -1.5 1u winner +1.19u

rl 2.0 plays
was -1.5 8u winner +2.52u
oak -1.5 8u loss -15u
atl -1.5 8u winner +1u
col -1.5 8u loss -15u
tex -1.5 2u winner +2.2u

oh my my oh hell yes

ColdBeerHere · 06-09-13, 09:03 PM

I'm about ready to throw up....I missed the Texas bet.

Seeing Stars · 06-10-13, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by samrock67

6/9/13
TDK Record: pending update
TDK RL 1.0 Record: 217-19, +244.62u
TDK RL 2.0 Record: 14-2, -9.31u
1.0 Record since tracking began: 128-13, +100.65u

6/9/13 RECAP

RL 1.0 Plays
Atl -1.5 8u WINNER +1u
Atl -1.5 8u WINNER +1u
Col -1.5 4u LOSS
Tex -1.5 4u WINNER +4.4u
Tex -1.5 4u WINNER +4.4u
Tex -1.5 2u WINNER +2.7u
Mil -1.5 2u WINNER +2u
Hou -1.5 1u LOSS
Was -1.5 1u WINNER +1.19u

RL 2.0 Plays
Was -1.5 8u WINNER +2.52u
Oak -1.5 8u LOSS -15u
Atl -1.5 8u WINNER +1u
Col -1.5 8u LOSS -15u
Tex -1.5 2u WINNER +2.2u

IM GONNA SHUT MY MOUTH.....great day

samrock67 · 06-10-13, 12:11 PM

6/10/13

RL 1.0 Plays
Hou -1.5 2u
TB -1.5 1u
Tor -1.5 1u
Tor -1.5 1u
Sea -1.5 1u

RL 2.0 Plays
Bal -1.5 1u
Ari -1.5 1u
Cin -1.5 1u
Atl -1.5 1u

Spreadsheet can be found here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...tMGcxSnc#gid=3

I'll be in the chat all day and tonight for some in-game chat

Hectorcist · 06-10-13, 02:36 PM

Hey samrock, so you're playing Houston AND Seattle both -1.5? So as long as it's not a 1 run game you get a small profit?