Canada vs. Chile Prediction, Picks & Odds for Saturday's Friendly
With three friendlies ahead of the CONCACAF Nations League quarterfinals, the host Canadians have lots to work on but should be the better side on Saturday when they host Chile. I'm breaking down the international friendly with my Canada vs. Chile predictions, finding my three favorite plays ahead of the clash at BMO Field in Toronto.
Play gets underway at 7 p.m. ET, and you can stream the action on Fubo in the United States or watch on TSN in Canada.
⚽ Canada vs. Chile predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| Best bets | Best odds | Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Canada Over 5.5 corners | +110 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.55 units |
| Canada Over 1.5 goals | -120 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.42 units |
| Jonathan David anytime goal scorer | +175 via bet365 | 0.5 units to profit 0.88 units |
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💰 Canada vs. Chile best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Canada Over 5.5 corners (+110)
Canada's 4-4-2 setup should create several paths to reaching this number, and it's something the hosts have done regularly in recent international games. The wide midfielders (Buchanan and Shaffelburg) should provide width, while the fullbacks (Laryea and Sigur) overlap, a setup that usually leads to crosses, blocks, and defensive clearances. In five World Cup games, Canada averaged 10 corners per game, falling below this mark only once.
Chile's wide players will have significant defensive responsibility in their 4-2-3-1 when Canada's fullbacks get forward. And against a two-forward setup, those fullbacks will have multiple targets for deliveries instead of having to have their wide players make runs into the box. I'm backing Canada to control territory on Saturday, and six crosses should be well within reason if they can do that.
🆚 Who will win Canada vs. Chile?
The home side, fresh off their best World Cup finish ever, brings the better squad (despite the injuries) and has the benefit of playing at the friendly confines of BMO Field. They should be able to break down the Chileans repeatedly, generating shots and ultimately, goals.
Score prediction: Canada 2, Chile 0
🔥 More Canada vs. Chile expert picks
Canada Over 1.5 goals (-120) & Jonathan David anytime goalscorer (+175)
I'm grouping these two plays together for the breakdown, but they are two separate half-unit wagers.
Bringing two strikers and aggressive width into the game, with David likely to start next to Tani Oluwaseyi or Cyle Larin, giving Jesse Marsch's men two central targets to work through. Canada's setup should allow them to attack through channels, generate crosses, and occasionally create cutbacks from the wide play of Buchanan or Shaffelburg. This setup provides a reasonable path to action that doesn't rely on J. David manufacturing the chances himself.
David's best play during the World Cup came when he was alongside Oluwaseyi. He potted three goals across five games in the international tourney, and has been on a tear domestically since joining Atletico Madrid, scoring three times across two games.
Marsch also has a lot of tactical flexibility on the sideline, being able to bring in whichever of Oluwaseyi or Larin doesn't start, and perhaps more importantly, Promise David. If you bet the goalscorer prop at bet365, or another of the best sports betting sites that has a "sub on, play on" type feature where direct subs keep your player prop alive, you should have access to that prop for the full 90 minutes.
📊 Canada vs. Chile odds
Odds from bet365 as of Sept. 25; subject to change
- Three-way moneyline: Canada (-143) | Draw (+260) | Chile (+400)
- Total: Over 2.5 (-106) | Under 2.5 (-118)
🆚 Canada vs. Chile projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for Canada vs. Chile; subject to change:
| Canada (4-4-2) | Chile (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| St. Clair (GK) | Vigouroux (GK) |
| Sigur (D) | Faundez (D) |
| De Fougerolles (D) | Salinas (D) |
| Knight-Lebel (D) | Villagra (D) |
| Laryea (D) | Suazo (D) |
| Buchanan (M) | Mendez (M) |
| Eustaquio (M) | Pizarro (M) |
| Saliba (M) | Osorio (M) |
| Shaffelburg (M) | Reichmuth (M) |
| J. David (F) | Cepeda (M) |
| Oluwaseyi (F) | Tapia (F) |
📺 How to watch Canada vs. Chile
- Date: Saturday, Sept. 25
- Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: BMO Field (Toronto)
- TV/Streaming: FuboTV
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