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Senators vs. Stars NHL Picks: Dallas Hosts Ottawa on Friday Night

Ryan Gilbert

Last Updated: October 29, 2021 3:37 AM EDT • 1 min 36 sec read.

DALLAS, TEXAS - OCTOBER 22: Denis Gurianov #34 of the Dallas Stars celebrates with Tyler Seguin #91 of the Dallas Stars after scoring the game-winning overtime goal against the Los Angeles Kings at American Airlines Center on October 22, 2021 in Dallas, Texas. Tom Pennington/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by TOM PENNINGTON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

The Senators and Stars have started slow this season. The low-scoring clubs meet for the second time this campaign on Friday night in Dallas.

The Stars finish their quick two-game homestand with a contest against the Senators. Dallas lost 3-2 in overtime in its last game on Wednesday against the Golden Knights, and the team is looking to get into the win column when Ottawa comes to town.

The Senators won two of their first three games, including a 3-2 victory over the Stars. But they've now lost three straight, and Ottawa is starting a three-game road trip.

Here are my picks and predictions for Friday’s NHL matchup between the Senators and the Stars (odds via BetMGM Sportsbook, pick confidence based on a one-to-five star scale).

Senators vs. Stars Game Info

Date/Time: Friday, October 29 at 8:30 p.m. ETTV: BSSW+, RDS2, TSN5Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Senators vs. Stars Odds Analysis

The Stars are expected to beat the Senators. Dallas is -175 on the moneyline and -1.5 (+145) on the puck line. Meanwhile, Ottawa is +145 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-175) on the puck line.

This game isn't likely to be a high-scoring affair. The total is set at 5.5 goals (Over -105, Under -115).

Senators vs. Stars Betting Picks

Dallas Stars (-175) ???Under 5.5 (-115) ????

Senators vs. Stars Predictions

Dallas Stars (-175)

The Stars have been playing well recently despite their poor results. They outshot the Golden Knights 34-21 but still lost. Before that Columbus defeated them 4-1, even though Dallas outshot the Blue Jackets 32-25. And the Senators won the first meeting between these two teams while being outshot 34-27.

The home team usually wins in this matchup and has taken the past six clashes.

So take the Stars on home ice here. The Senators have lost three straight and give Dallas a chance to split their homestand after a letdown against Vegas.

Under 5.5 (-115)

This is the more confident play.

A Stars game hasn't featured over five goals scored this season. They're averaging the league's second-lowest goals per game at 1.86 and allowing just 2.57.

Ottawa is in a similar position while letting up 2.5 goals for per game and only 3.17 against. However, 12 of the 34 goals during Senators games were tallied in their 7-5 loss to the Capitals. Outside of that matchup, five goals haven't been registered in Ottawa's other games.

This should be another 3-1 or 3-2 game, as five of the last seven meetings between Dallas and Ottawa went under the total.

Picks made 10/29/2021 at 1:29 a.m. ET

Written By:
Ryan Gilbert
Ryan Gilbert is a contributing writer at SportsbookReview.com, covering hockey and baseball. He is the lead NHL writer and editor at the Sports Gambling Podcast Network, where he also co-hosts the Hockey Gambling Podcast. Ryan covers the Philadelphia Flyers for Broad Street Hockey and co-founded Sons of Penn. His past stops include NBC Sports Regional Networks and NHL.com.