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Sergei Bobrovsky of the Florida Panthers warms up prior to playing against the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 2 of the second round of the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs as we make our Maple Leafs-Panthers picks.
Sergei Bobrovsky of the Florida Panthers warms up prior to playing against the Toronto Maple Leafs in Game 2 of the second round of the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs. Photo by Claus Andersen/Getty Images/AFP.

The Florida Panthers couldn’t pull off the Round 2 sweep over the Toronto Maple Leafs, and now the two teams meet Friday for Game 5 in Toronto. Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker has checked the available NHL odds across our best sports betting apps and shares his top pick for the game.

Has the pressure now shifted to the Panthers?

The Maple Leafs are the favorites to win Game 5. But they’re still the underdog – and in need of three consecutive wins – to punch a ticket to the Eastern Conference Final to face the Carolina Hurricanes.

Florida might have just let Toronto back into the series with Wednesday’s loss. But the Panthers continue to receive Vezina-caliber goaltending from Sergei Bobrovsky, and they get three more kicks at the can.

Here is our best Panthers-Maple Leafs pick for Friday (odds via our best NHL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NHL best bets for Friday.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs pick

Sergei Bobrovsky Over 29.5 saves (-110 via FanDuel Sportsbook) ⭐⭐

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Toronto’s shot volume skyrockets on home ice, and Bobrovsky is going to see more rubber than a tire builder at a Michelin plant Friday.

Home shots per 60Home attempts per 60Road shots per 60Road attempts per 60
Regular season33.5759.9629.9755.26
Postseason34.263.424.4650.37

The difference has been even larger during the playoffs, and Bobrovsky has also been automatic in net with a .934 save percentage during Round 2. He recorded 34 and 35 saves during Games 1 and 2, respectively, at Scotiabank Arena to start the series.

The Maple Leafs remain on the ropes and facing elimination, so I’m anticipating them being even more aggressive in Game 5 – and especially with Bobrovsky playing so well.

There’s also overtime potential here, so we might get extra runaway to allow this Over to land.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs best odds

DraftKings, FanDuel (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Bobrovsky Over 29.5 savesBobrovsky Over 29.5 savesBobrovsky Over 29.5 savesBobrovsky Over 29.5 savesBobrovsky Over 29.5 saves
-110-110 -111 -123 ❄️N/A

Be sure to avoid placing this bet through Caesars. Landing the -110 odds presents a positive expected value of 5% over the -123 price. Additionally, Pinnacle is pricing Bobrovsky at -112 to go Over 29.5 saves.

Check out our top sports betting sites and best NHL betting sites.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs odds analysis

The top price for Toronto's moneyline is -170 through DraftKings and Caesars, while FanDuel is offering the longest odds for Florida at +146. Several of our best sports betting sites are listing the Maple Leafs at +140 on the puck line, with FanDuel posting an outlier +130 number. However, FanDuel is featuring the best price on the Panthers' puck line (-156).

This total hasn’t moved off the opening number of 6.5, and the Over is carrying the larger vig. The best shop for the Over is FanDuel with a -122 price, while the rest of our best sports betting apps are pricing the Under at +105.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs game info

  • Date: Friday, May 12, 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: TNT, Sportsnet
  • Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs pick made 5/12/2023 at 1 p.m. ET.

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