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Jake Oettinger's save prop is our top Kraken vs. Stars pick for Monday.
Jake Oettinger of the Dallas Stars blocks a shot on goal against Kyle Connor of the Winnipeg Jets in the third period at American Airlines Center on October 17, 2022 in Dallas, Texas. Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images via AFP.

We’re down to the final game of Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, and the winner of the Seattle Kraken-Dallas Stars Game 7 bout will advance to face the Vegas Golden Knights in the Western Conference Final. Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker has checked in on the NHL odds from our best live betting sites and offers his top pick for the game.

It’s all on the line for the Kraken and Stars in Game 7 on Monday, and Dallas hasn’t lost consecutive postseason games yet.

Does Seattle have what it takes to steal a road win to move on to face the Golden Knights, or will Dallas tidy up defensively and take care of business at American Airlines Center?

One thing is certain: goaltending will have a big say in Monday’s outcome. The Stars and Kraken respectively rank first and second in team shooting percentage at five-on-five during Round 2, which also means they have the two lowest team save percentages.

A major difference in the series has been Dallas netminder Jake Oettinger has been far better on home ice, and it’s a trend that’s carried over from Round 1.

Here is our best Kraken-Stars pick for Monday (odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Kraken vs. Stars pick

Jake Oettinger Over 26.5 saves (-116 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐

FanDuel

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This is a straightforward handicap.

Seattle has a higher shot volume on the road during the playoffs and, as noted, Oettinger has been far better on home ice during the postseason. In fact, he's resembled a Conn Smythe Trophy contender at American Airlines Center.

Seattle shot volume splits

KrakenHome shots per 60Home attempts per 60Road shots per 60Road attempts per 60
Round 224.3355.031.8458.98
Entire postseason27.7755.5430.1258.57

Jake Oettinger home/road splits

OettingerHome saves per 60Home save percentageHome goals saved above average per 60Road saves per 60Road save percentageRoad goals saved above average per 60
Round 229.02.9120.4920.26.778-3.15
Entire postseason30.15.9260.8423.33.860-1.23

I’m expecting a bounce-back showing from Oettinger after he was pulled in the second period of Game 6 on Saturday. Additionally, I was expecting this total to be 28.5, and I don’t think the line reflects the likelihood of Seattle being even more aggressive with a shoot-first attack in an elimination game.

Finally, I also value the low total of 5.5 through Pinnacle. It’s reinforcing that goals could be at a premium in Game 7 - despite the total going Over the number in each of the first six games of the series.

Kraken vs. Stars best odds

FanDuel (-116)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Oettinger Over 26.5 savesOettinger Over 26.5 savesOettinger Over 26.5 savesOettinger Over 26.5 savesOettinger Over 26.5 saves
-120-116 🔥-118 -129 ❄️N/A

Don't place this bet through Caesars. Landing the -116 odds available through FanDuel presents a positive expected value of 5% over the -129 price. Additionally, I respect that Pinnacle is pricing Oettinger at -119 to go Over 26.5 saves.

Check out our Stanley Cup odds and predictions. 

Kraken vs. Stars odds

Kraken vs. Stars odds analysis

The top price for the Dallas moneyline is -190 through DraftKings, while Caesars and PointsBet are offering the longest odds for Seattle at +175. DraftKings and BetMGM have the best price for the Stars on the puck line at +125, and FanDuel and PointsBet have the shortest vig (-140) for the Kraken side.

FanDuel is on an island with a total of 5.5 (-128/+104), while the rest of our best sportsbooks have it at 6 with a consensus +100 for the Over and -120 for the Under.

Kraken vs. Stars game info

  • Date: Monday, May 15, 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN, Sportsnet
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Kraken vs. Stars pick made 5/15/2023 at 1:15 p.m. ET.

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