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Miro Heiskanen headlines our Golden Knights vs. Stars Picks and Predictions.
Miro Heiskanen of the Dallas Stars skates with the puck against the Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center on January 24, 2022 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Photo by Tim Nwachukwu Getty Images via AFP.

The Vegas Golden Knights are a win away from advancing to the Stanley Cup Final when they visit the Dallas Stars for Game 4 of the Western Conference Final on Thursday. Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker has assessed the markets and offers his insights and top Golden Knights vs. Stars picks based on the NHL odds across our best sports betting apps.

Not only are the Stars on the brink of elimination, but they’ll also be without captain Jamie Benn. He’s been suspended two games for cross-checking Vegas captain Mark Stone in Game 3.

Dallas remains the betting favorite to win Game 4, but there’s already been line movement toward the Golden Knights at a number of our best sports betting sites

It’s now or never for the Stars, and the money is flowing in on their opponent. 

Here is our best Golden Knights vs. Stars pick for Game 4 (odds via our best NHL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Golden Knights vs. Stars Knights pick

Player prop: Miro Heiskanen Under 0.5 points (+150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

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I absolutely love Heiskanen and consider him among the most underrated players in the NHL. This is all about the odds, and the reality that Vegas hasn’t allowed many opportunities for him to pad the points column.

The Golden Knights have limited Heiskanen to just a single high-danger scoring chance, and he’s only been on the ice for 3.19 expected goals during the three-game series. For comparison, he was on the ice for 4.0 expected goals per 60 minutes through the first two rounds of the playoffs and just 2.4 against Vegas.

Additionally, since registering four assists against the Minnesota Wild in Game 2 of Round 1, Heiskanen has recorded just five points across the past 14 games.

Golden Knights vs. Stars best odds

DraftKings, FanDuel (+150)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGMCaesarsPointsbet
Heiskanen Under 0.5 pointsHeiskanen Under 0.5 pointsHeiskanen Under 0.5 pointsHeiskanen Under 0.5 pointsHeiskanen Under 0.5 points
+150 +150+145N/AN/A

There isn’t a huge gap in the available odds for this NHL pick across our best sports betting apps. Caesars doesn’t offer Unders in the player-points market, and PointsBet rarely hangs the best odds. 

As a result, you’ll just want to avoid placing this wager through BetMGM.

I've graded this as a two-star recommendation because Heiskanen quarterbacks the No. 1 power-play unit for the Stars, and there's also potential he's on the ice for nearly half of Game 4. However, that's always why we're landing the +150 odds.

Golden Knights vs. Stars odds

Golden Knights vs. Stars odds analysis

SideDraftKingsFanDuel BetMGM CaesarsPointsBet
Golden Knights moneyline-105-104+105 🔥-105-105
Stars moneyline-115-115-125-125 -115
Golden Knights +1.5-255 -275 ❄️-250 🔥-260-270 
Stars -1.5+215 +220 🔥+200 ❄️+210+215

There has been line movement toward the Golden Knights since opening. DraftKings moved Vegas from +105 to -105 for example. The puck line has seen similar adjustments, and Vegas dipped to -275 after opening at -255 through FanDuel.

Over5.5 (-110)5.5 (-106)5.5 (-110)5.5 (-105)5.5 (-105)
Under5.5 (-110)5.5 (-114)5.5 (-110)5.5 (-125) ❄️5.5 (-115)

Golden Knights vs. Stars game info

  • Date: Thursday, May 25, 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN, Sportsnet
  • Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Golden Knights-Stars pick made 05/25/2023 at 9:00 a.m. ET.

Here are our best NHL betting sites:

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