4 Nations Face-Off Odds & Favorites: USA, Canada the Pre-Tournament Favorites
If you're a hockey fan, you must be counting down the days until February like a four-year-old does for the day Santa somehow fits down your tight or non-existent chimney.
Sure, we're only talking about four countries competing - Canada, the U.S., Finland, and Sweden - but let's not dull the sparkle of hockey's first best-on-best tournament in nine years.
Canada and the USA are the early 4 Nations Face-Off odds favorites, with the latter having the slight edge at FanDuel. The tournament will take place at the Bell Centre in Montreal and TD Garden in Boston from Feb. 12 to 20, 2025.
The top two teams will face off in a one-game final after a three-game round-robin. Our best sportsbooks are all over this one, offering odds across a variety of markets well ahead of the tournament opener.
4 Nations Face-Off game odds, betting lines
(Odds from FanDuel as of Dec. 10; all times displayed in Eastern Time)
Wednesday, Feb. 12
Canada vs. Sweden, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | -265 | -1.5 (+100) | O5.5 (-120) |
| Sweden | +215 | +1.5 (-122) | U5.5 (-102) |
Thursday, Feb. 13
Finland vs. USA, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | -260 | -1.5 (+104) | O5.5 (+102) |
| Finland | +210 | +1.5 (-128) | U5.5 (-124) |
Saturday, Feb. 15
Sweden vs. Finland, 1 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden | -150 | -1.5 (+176) | O5.5 (+116) |
| Finland | +125 | +1.5 (-220) | U5.5 (-142) |
Canada vs. USA, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | -126 | -1.5 (+205) | O5.5 (-134) |
| USA | +105 | +1.5 (-260) | U5.5 (+110) |
Monday, Feb. 17
Finland vs. Canada, 1 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | -280 | -1.5 (-104) | O5.5 (-114) |
| Finland | +225 | +1.5 (-118) | U5.5 (-106) |
USA vs. Sweden, 8 p.m.
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | -235 | -1.5 (+116) | O5.5 (+102) |
| Sweden | +190 | +1.5 (-142) | U5.5 (-124) |
4 Nations Face-Off odds 2025
(4 Nations Face-Off odds as of Dec. 10)
| Team | Odds (FanDuel) | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🥇 USA | +160 | 38.46% | $16 |
| 🥈 Canada | +170 | 37.04% | $17 |
| 🥉 Sweden | +420 | 19.23% | $42 |
| 📉 Finland | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
The early odds suggest that Canada and the United States are headed for a hotly anticipated final showdown – made even more attractive by the fact that we haven't seen a best-vs.-best hockey tournament of any kind since the 2016 World Cup of Hockey.
The implied probability gap between the top two and bottom two countries is significant, but the nature of events like these certainly favors a value bet on the underdogs. Anything can happen in a one-game encounter, especially considering that all four teams will feature elite NHL talent.
That much is evident when looking at their stacked rosters.
4 Nations Face-Off favorites
Canada (+170)
(Rosters and odds as of Dec. 5; players with asterisks were the initial roster selections for each team)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Bennett | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Anthony Cirelli | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Sidney Crosby* | Forward | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Brandon Hagel | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Seth Jarvis | Forward | Carolina Hurricanes |
| Travis Konecny | Forward | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Nathan MacKinnon* | Forward | Colorado Avalanche |
| Brad Marchand* | Forward | Boston Bruins |
| Mitch Marner | Forward | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Connor McDavid* | Forward | Edmonton Oilers |
| Brayden Point* | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Sam Reinhart | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Mark Stone | Forward | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Cale Makar* | Defenseman | Colorado Avalanche |
| Josh Morrissey | Defenseman | Winnipeg Jets |
| Colton Parayko | Defenseman | St. Louis Blues |
| Alex Pietrangelo | Defenseman | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Travis Sanheim | Defenseman | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Shea Theodore | Defenseman | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Devon Toews | Defenseman | Colorado Avalanche |
| Jordan Binnington | Goaltender | St. Louis Blues |
| Adin Hill | Goaltender | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Samuel Montembeault | Goaltender | Montreal Canadiens |
The depth of the Canadian roster goes a long way toward explaining why there's almost nothing to choose between the two 4 Nations Face-Off odds.
The initial six-man unit announced over the summer has combined for six Hart Trophies, seven scoring titles, eight Stanley Cups, and a Norris Trophy. Canada will be flush with offensive talent up front, along with the best puck-moving blue-liner in the league in Makar.
The biggest question mark will be in goal, where there is no Martin Brodeur, Patrick Roy or Carey Price-caliber option available. The battle to be No. 1 sees Vegas Golden Nights veteran Adin Hill, St. Louis Blues starter Jordan Binnington and Montreal Canadiens veteran Samuel Montembeault tangling to see who will earn the top job.
It's difficult to know just how much the lack of elite goaltending will matter – but you can be sure that Canada's impressive roster of skaters will do everything it can to ensure that it doesn't.
Odds: +170 | Implied probability: 37.04%
USA (+160)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Boldy | Forward | Minnesota Wild |
| Kyle Connor | Forward | Winnipeg Jets |
| Jack Eichel* | Forward | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Jake Guentzel | Forward | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Jack Hughes | Forward | New Jersey Devils |
| Chris Kreider | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Dylan Larkin | Forward | Detroit Red Wings |
| Auston Matthews* | Forward | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| J.T. Miller | Forward | Vancouver Canucks |
| Brock Nelson | Forward | New York Islanders |
| Matthew Tkachuk* | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Brady Tkachuk | Forward | Ottawa Senators |
| Vincent Trocheck | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Brock Faber | Defenseman | Minnesota Wild |
| Adam Fox* | Defenseman | New York Rangers |
| Noah Hanifin | Defenseman | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Quinn Hughes* | Defenseman | Vancouver Canucks |
| Charlie McAvoy* | Defenseman | Boston Bruins |
| Jaccob Slavin | Defenseman | Carolina Hurricanes |
| Zach Werenski | Defenseman | Columbus Blue Jackets |
| Connor Hellebuyck | Goaltender | Winnipeg Jets |
| Jake Oettinger | Goaltender | Dallas Stars |
| Jeremy Swayman | Goaltender | Boston Bruins |
Rolling out six sensational players in the prime of their careers as the core of their roster was a heck of a flex by the Americans – and the other 17 players aren't exactly third-liners, either.
That's the thing about this U.S. side: Not only is it deeper than it has ever been, but the majority of players who will suit up are young, hungry, and supremely talented. The expanded list includes Matthew Tkachuk's truculent Ottawa Senators sibling Brady, net fillers Chris Kreider of the Dallas Stars and Tage Thompson of the Buffalo Sabres, and talented young defensemen Brock Faber of the Minnesota Wild and Jaccob Slavin of the Carolina Hurricanes.
The U.S. also has a notable edge in goal – with two of the league's hottest goalies at the top of the pecking order.
Expect to see Connor Hellebuyck of the Winnipeg Jets as the No. 1 option, though Jake Oettinger of the Dallas Stars has been playing out of his mind and deserves a shot at top spot. Jeremy Swayman of the Boston Bruins round out the netminder roster, but he has struggled for most of the season and is the clear No. 3 at the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Odds: +160 | Implied probability: 38.46%
4 Nations Face-Off underdog
Sweden (+420)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Viktor Arvidsson | Forward | Edmonton Oilers |
| Jesper Bratt | Forward | New Jersey Devils |
| Leo Carlsson | Forward | Anaheim Ducks |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | Forward | Minnesota Wild |
| Filip Forsberg* | Forward | Nashville Predators |
| William Karlsson | Forward | Vegas Golden Knights |
| Adrian Kempe | Forward | Los Angeles Kings |
| Elias Lindholm | Forward | Boston Bruins |
| William Nylander* | Forward | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Gustav Nyqvist | Forward | Nashville Predators |
| Elias Pettersson | Forward | Vancouver Canucks |
| Lucas Raymond | Forward | Detroit Red Wings |
| Mika Zibanejad* | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Rasmus Andersson | Defenseman | Calgary Flames |
| Jonas Brodin | Defenseman | Minnesota Wild |
| Rasmus Dahlin | Defenseman | Buffalo Sabres |
| Mattias Ekholm | Defenseman | Edmonton Oilers |
| Gustav Forsling* | Defenseman | Florida Panthers |
| Victor Hedman* | Defenseman | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Erik Karlsson* | Defenseman | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| Filip Gustavsson | Goaltender | Minnesota Wild |
| Jacob Markstrom | Goaltender | New Jersey Devils |
| Linus Ullmark | Goaltender | Ottawa Senators |
You can be certain that the Swedish roster is going to make life quite miserable for opposing forwards.
Any defense corps boasting a pair of elite puck-movers in Victor Hedman and Erik Karlsson, along with a Stanley Cup-winning lynch pin in Gustav Forsling, will be well-positioned to grind out positive results. Add in the inclusions of former No. 1 pick Rasmus Dahlin of the Buffalo Sabres and Stanley Cup finalist Mattias Ekholm of the Edmonton Oilers, and defensive prowess is clearly a strength of this team.
That's going to loom especially large for a Swedish team that might have trouble keeping up offensively with the North American clubs.
Elias Pettersson of the Vancouver Canucks, Lucas Raymond of the Detroit Red Wings and Adrian Kempe of the Los Angeles Kings will help, and the rest of Sweden's forward additions should contribute, as well. But there's not nearly the same level of scoring depth here, and though Linus Ullmark and Jacob Markstrom should fare well in goal, it's hard to see this team doing enough to make it to the final.
Odds: +420 | Implied probability: 19.23%
4 Nations Face-Off long shot
Finland (+650)
| Player | Position | NHL team |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Aho* | Forward | Carolina Hurricanes |
| Joel Armia | Forward | Montreal Canadiens |
| Aleksander Barkov* | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Mikael Granlund | Forward | San Jose Sharks |
| Erik Haula | Forward | New Jersey Devils |
| Roope Hintz | Forward | Dallas Stars |
| Kaapo Kakko | Forward | New York Rangers |
| Patrik Laine | Forward | Montreal Canadiens |
| Artturi Lehkonen | Forward | Colorado Avalanche |
| Anton Lundell | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Eetu Luostarinen | Forward | Florida Panthers |
| Mikko Rantanen* | Forward | Colorado Avalanche |
| Teuvo Teravainen | Forward | Chicago Blackhawks |
| Jani Hakanpaa | Defenseman | Toronto Maple Leafs |
| Miro Heiskanen* | Defenseman | Dallas Stars |
| Esa Lindell* | Defenseman | Dallas Stars |
| Olli Maataa | Defenseman | Utah Hockey Club |
| Niko Mikkola | Defenseman | Florida Panthers |
| Rasmus Ristolainen | Defenseman | Philadelphia Flyers |
| Juuso Valimaki | Defenseman | Utah Hockey Club |
| Kevin Lankinen | Goaltender | Vancouver Canucks |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | Goaltender | Buffalo Sabres |
| Juuse Saros* | Goaltender | Nashville Predators |
Finland's top-end talent is among the best in the world.
Rolling out an initial six-man roster that includes a reigning Stanley Cup champ and two-time Selke Trophy winner (Barkov), a two-time 100-point scorer (Rantanen), a pair of NHL blue-liners who are a combined plus-66 over the past two seasons (Heiskanen and Lindell), and the goalie who has led the NHL in saves in two straight years (Saros) is a real luxury.
The issue with the Finns is the drop-off. After Roope Hintz, the remaining forward group takes a major hit when compared to the other three teams in the tourney. The defensive depth is sorely lacking, and the two options in net behind Saros (Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, Kevin Lankinen) all have major question marks.
Finland might steal a win, but even in a short round-robin, this team is the most likely to be overmatched.
Odds: +650 | Implied probability: 13.33%
4 Nations Face-Off round-robin points odds
(Odds as of Dec. 10)
| Points | Canada | USA | Sweden | Finland |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | -3500 | -4500 | -670 | -490 |
| 3+ | -1450 | -1800 | -400 | -290 |
| 4+ | -340 | -360 | -118 | +106 |
| 5+ | -225 | -225 | +146 | +172 |
| 6+ | -136 | -130 | +220 | +270 |
| 7+ | +235 | +260 | +580 | +700 |
| 8+ | +360 | +400 | +880 | +1000 |
| 9+ | +640 | +680 | +1280 | +1500 |
Teams earn three points for a regulation victory, two points for an overtime win, one point for an OT loss and zero points for a regulation defeat.
4 Nations Face-Off: Team captain odds
Canada
(Odds as of Dec. 10)
| Player | NHL team | Odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | Pittsburgh Penguins | -520 | 83.87% |
| Connor McDavid | Edmonton Oilers | +350 | 22.22% |
| Brad Marchand | Boston Bruins | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Mark Stone | Vegas Golden Knights | +4000 | 2.44% |
| Alex Pietrangelo | Vegas Golden Knights | +8000 | 1.22% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | Colorado Avalanche | +8000 | 1.22% |
With respect to McDavid, Marchand and the others, could this honor really go to anyone but Sid? Now in the twilight of a phenomenal career, this might be Crosby's last chance to wear the Canadian flag at a best-on-best event. I don't see anyone wresting the C from him.
USA
| Player | NHL team | Odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auston Matthews | Toronto Maple Leafs | +154 | 39.37% |
| Patrick Kane | Detroit Red Wings | +230 | 30.30% |
| Dylan Larkin | Detroit Red Wings | +600 | 14.29% |
| Anders Lee | New York Islanders | +600 | 14.29% |
| Matthew Tkachuk | Florida Panthers | +750 | 11.76% |
| Jack Eichel | Vegas Golden Knights | +1060 | 8.62% |
This is easily the most fascinating (and wide-open) captain market on the board. You could make a compelling case for a handful of players on this list; Tkachuk is my top value play given the outstanding leadership he has provided the Stanley Cup champions.
Sweden
| Name | NHL team | Odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Hedman | Tampa Bay Lightning | -350 | 77.78% |
| Erik Karlsson | Pittsburgh Penguins | +350 | 22.22% |
| Mika Zibanejad | New York Rangers | +1060 | 8.62% |
| Mattias Ekholm | Edmonton Oilers | +1400 | 6.67% |
| Rasmus Dahlin | Buffalo Sabres | +1800 | 5.26% |
| Filip Forsberg | Nashville Predators | +2500 | 3.85% |
Is Karlsson worth a look? I might have thought so before the Lightning handed Hedman the C following the off-season departure of Steven Stamkos. Sweden would be wise to lean on Hedman in the same role, though pivoting to Karlsson would also be a strong option.
Finland
| Name | NHL team | Odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksander Barkov | Florida Panthers | -460 | 82.14% |
| Mikko Rantanen | Colorado Avalanche | +470 | 17.54% |
| Sebastian Aho | Carolina Hurricanes | +1500 | 6.25% |
| Miro Heiskanen | Dallas Stars | +2500 | 3.85% |
| Roope Hintz | Dallas Stars | +3500 | 2.78% |
| Field | -- | +4000 | 2.44% |
This should be settled quickly, given how pivotal Barkov has been at helming the most successful NHL franchise of the past two seasons. Rantanen wouldn't be a bad choice, but he's not the best one.
4 Nations Face-Off FAQs
When does the 4 Nations Face-Off take place?
The 4 Nations Face-Off takes place Feb. 2-10, with games split between Montreal's Bell Centre and Boston's TD Garden.
What countries are in the 4 Nations Face-Off?
Canada, the United States, Sweden and Finland are the participating countries at the 4 Nations Face-Off.
Who is the 4 Nations Face-Off favorite?
Canada and the USA are the pre-tournament odds favorites to win the 4 Nations Face-Off, with the former at +170 and the latter +160 at FanDuel.
How are points awarded in the 4 Nations Face-Off?
Teams are given three points for a regulation win, two points for an overtime victory, and one point for an OT loss.
When were the 4 Nations Face-Off rosters announced?
Initial six-man rosters for each team were revealed over the summer, while the remainder of the 4 Nations Face-off rosters were announced Dec. 4.
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