Skip to main content

Tyreek Hill NFL Player Props, Odds for Wild Card Weekend: Predictions for Dolphins vs. Chiefs

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: January 13, 2024 7:26 PM EST • 4 min 4 sec read.

Wide receiver Tyreek Hill of the Miami Dolphins catches and runs for a touchdown pass in front of cornerback Kendall Fuller as we look at our Tyreek Hill NFL player prop picks.
Wide receiver Tyreek Hill of the Miami Dolphins catches and runs for a touchdown pass in front of cornerback Kendall Fuller. Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images/AFP.

Miami Dolphins star receiver Tyreek Hill is out for revenge Saturday against the Kansas City Chiefs, and our Tyreek Hill NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps expect the superstar wideout to thrive against Kansas City on NFL Wild Card Weekend.

In an NFL Wild Card Weekend full of revenge games, Miami Dolphins receiver Tyreek Hill returns to Kansas City on Saturday in his first playoff game against the Chiefs since they traded him ahead of the 2022 NFL season.

Hill will look remind his former team, which has struggled at wide receiver all season, just what he's capable of. The current Dolphins star averaged 105.7 receiving yards in six playoff games for the Chiefs, which included outrageous performances for 172 and 150 yards.

The wide receiver knows how to crank it up a notch under the brightest lights of the postseason, and Hill is plenty familiar with the often unforgiving January weather conditions at Arrowhead Stadium. Will we see that version of Hill again on Saturday during Wild Card Weekend?

To accompany all of our NFL predictions for Wild Card Weekend and our Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction, here are our best Tyreek Hill NFL player prop predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).  

Tyreek Hill NFL player prop predictions for Wild Card Weekend

Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook

Tyreek Hill player props

Tyreek Hill Over 82.5 receiving yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Trying to gauge skill-position player performance of any kind during January football can often mean sliding fully into meteorologist mode amid the icy grip of winter.

We took that cold plunge already in our Tua Tagolvailoa NFL player props. But in short again now: Winter remains awful, and it can make throwing a football an unpleasant experience, especially with the potential for 14-mph winds on Saturday night in Kansas City.

But similar to the outlook for Tagolvailoa, there's a point when our best sportsbooks might be adjusting too far for even the most blustery weather conditions. And that seems to be the case with DraftKings regarding Hill's receiving yardage total.

DraftKings has shifted his total way down to 82.5 yards, among the lowest at our best sports betting sites. BetMGM is offering the same, though at slightly worse -118 odds compared to the -115 from DraftKings. FanDuel is far higher at 86.5, and several others sit at 83.5.

Hill is fresh off a dominant season when he averaged 112.4 yards per game while posting an absurd five outings with 150-plus yards. He only failed to hit the Over on this prop six times during the 2023-24 campaign, with a late-season injury surely a factor.

Even if the weather plays a role, and a stout fourth-ranked Chiefs pass defense is effective, Hill can climb over this low bar by his standards on volume alone. That's almost certainly baked into projections favoring the Over here, like NumberFire at 91.39 yards. Hill ranked third during the regular season while receiving a whopping 30.3% of his team's targets.

For more on this Wild Card Weekend matchup, head over to our Dolphins-Chiefs prediction and Dolphins-Chiefs prop picks.

Visit our Google News page and click "Follow" (⭐) for the latest odds, picks and news!  

Caesars boost for Dolphins vs. Chiefs

Caesars is boosting the odds for Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill to each have 50+ receiving yards on Saturday night from -120 to +140!

Offer is available everywhere Caesars operates with a max bet of $10.

Tyreek Hill longest reception Over 25.5 yards (-110 via Draftkings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This is another case when there's an opportunity to jump now due to a price discrepancy.

There's agreement across our best sports betting sites regarding the total for Hill's longest reception on Saturday, with each book sitting at 25.5 yards. However, Caesars is juicing it as high as -119, and FanDuel is even less alluring at -122. DraftKings sits at a much more appealing -110 for a player who finished tied for the league lead in 50-plus yard receptions (five) to connect on one ball that's almost half that distance.

Hill's ability to go into full turbo gear fast after the catch leads to some degree of comfort here amid potentially poor weather conditions. He can easily reel in a short-to-intermediate catch and blast off upfield, which the veteran often did throughout the season en route to finishing second leaguewide with 640 yards after the catch. Hill was one of just four wideouts to accumulate 620-plus YAC, and there's a sizable drop to Amon-Ra St. Brown in fifth at 586.

Tyreek Hill to score a touchdown (+140 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

The touchdown market comes with more risk on the best day, and that's ratcheted up further in a likely weather-affected game. That's why there are three stars here, but it's just tough to turn down this outlier price on a receiver who failed to reach the end zone in just five games all season.

FanDuel is offering Hill as an anytime scorer at a far longer +140 compared to the +120 through Caesars and +115 at BetMGM. That book is notably higher than the +130 DraftKings and bet365 are posting.

The price from FanDuel comes with implied odds of 41.67% for a player who scored 12 times over the Dolphins' first 12 games of the season before a minor slump to end the year, with an ankle injury possibly a factor. He's been limited in practice recently, but Hill didn't carry an injury designation into his team's Week 18 game. 

The five-time All-Pro is getting the second-highest average touchdown projection among wide receivers at 0.6 through four projection models.

FanDuel NFL bonus

To help boost your NFL picks for Wild Card Weekend, FanDuel is offering a no-sweat 3+ leg NFL SGP for Saturday's games! Just be sure to opt in, place your bet, and don't sweat it out.

Tyreek Hill player prop picks made 1/12/24 at 1:32 p.m. ET.

Check out our best NFL betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related pages

Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, with stops at theScore, Bleacher Report, and now Sportsbook Review. The NFL has been his focus for much of that time, beginning as a features writer at theScore, and then as a national writer at B/R. He has survived Tebowmania in all of its forms, and vividly remembers watching the butt fumble live. Sean now leans on the knowledge gained from past experience in his role as a Publishing Editor and writer here at Sportsbook Review.