Packers vs. Patriots Prediction: Week 9 Odds, Picks & Best Bet (Nov. 8)
My Packers vs. Patriots prediction fades an injury-ridden New England offense against an ascendant Green Bay defense.
Kickoff is at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. (FOX). The Patriots are priced as a 3.5-point home betting favorite.
Packers vs. Patriots picks & predictions
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 9 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Packers +3.5 | -118 via DraftKings | 1 unit to profit 0.85 units |
| Under 46 | -110 via BetMGM | 0.5 units to profit 0.46 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 5 at 9 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: +1.31 units
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Packers vs. Patriots prediction & best bet
Packers +3.5 (-118 via DraftKings)
Even without Micah Parsons, this Packers defense has really been rounding into shape. Green Bay ranks fifth-best in EPA/play allowed and has the second-most takeaways. That will be a tough task for a banged-up Patriots offense this week.
New England will be severely limited by injuries to its pass-catching group, likely without A.J. Brown, Hunter Henry, Romeo Doubs, and Mack Hollins against the Packers.
Green Bay will also have the rest advantage, since the Packers haven't played since last Thursday night. That puts them in a prime position to keep this matchup close and threaten to steal one on the road. I love backing the Packers to cover the 3.5-point spread, but I'm looking elsewhere if it shortens to Packers -2.5.
📡 SBR Edge
The Packers rank fifth in the NFL with 2.75 sacks per game.
Maye will be under fire
On top of missing key pass-catchers, the Patriots are also working through offensive line injuries. Depending on the status of tackle Morgan Moses, who is questionable, New England could be down three starters along its offensive line.
That unit will have its hands full against a Green Bay defense that has two five-sack games over the last three weeks. To me, this projects as a coin-flip game that will be won by three points or less.
Play to: Packers +3.5 (-125), pass at Packers +2.5.
Score prediction: Patriots 23, Packers 21
Live Packers vs. Patriots odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Packers vs. Patriots page.
Packers vs. Patriots opening odds
- Moneyline: Packers +128 | Patriots -157
- Spread: Packers +3 (-120) | Patriots -3 (+100)
- Over/Under: Over 47.5 (-110) | Under 47.5 (-110)
Packers vs. Patriots weather
It's projected to be a mild day in Foxborough at 53.5 °F, with light wind and little chance of rain.
Latest Packers vs. Patriots injuries
How to watch Packers vs. Patriots: Week 9
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 8
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
- TV/Streaming: FOX
