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Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers takes the field before the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium on Oct. 10, 2021.
Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers takes the field before the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium on Oct. 10, 2021. Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

Aaron Rodgers made a big production of his decision on where - or whether - to play football in 2022. After he decided to remain in Green Bay, Rodgers watched the Packers pull a fast one in trading away his top receiving weapon. We discuss how that will affect the Packers' odds in our picks and 2022 preview.

How will the Packers offense function in a post-Davante Adams reality? Does Green Bay still have enough juice to hold off its hard-charging rivals in the NFC North?

Below, we preview the 2022 NFL season for the Packers with a look at their futures odds and make our top picks (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook).

Green Bay Packers' 2022 Futures Odds

MarketDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGM
To win NFC North-190-170-169
Win totalO/U 11 (-110)O/U 10.5 (-160/+135)O/U 10.5 (-159/+130)
To reach Super Bowl+450+500+550
Aaron Jones O/U 1,300.5 rushing + receiving yards-110N/AN/A

Green Bay Packers 2022 Picks

To win division (-169 via BetMGM)
Under 11 wins (-110 via DraftKings)
To reach the Super Bowl (+550 via BetMGM)
Aaron Jones Over 1300.5 rushing + receiving yards (-110 via DraftKings)

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Packers to win NFC North (-170)

In the five divisional games last season where Green Bay didn't rest its starters, the Packers went 4-1. That was a recipe for an easy division crown in a watered-down NFC North. But there's an argument to be made that each of the Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings, and Chicago Bears improved this offseason.

Kevin O'Connell is a coaching upgrade in Minnesota. The Lions added talented first-round weapons and are rallying around coach Dan Campbell. The Bears could see a step forward from quarterback Justin Fields.

The Packers won't waltz to the division title by the same five-game margin they did a year ago. That said, the North is still theirs to lose. Though Rodgers needs to quickly establish trust with his young receiving corps, this team can win enough games with an efficient running game and a defense that ranked among the top 10 in yards per game last season.

Packers Under 11 wins (-110)

The Packers' win total is a tricky one, as exactly 11 feels like a pretty plausible outcome. But if I have to choose a side here, I'm going Under given the lingering uncertainty over their new-look offense and the rigors of their schedule.

Though they luck out in drawing the round-robin against the East divisions (chalk up the New York Giants, Washington Commanders, and New York Jets as easy wins), the Packers do have to face several tough reigning division winners. To get to 12 wins and beat this total, the Packers would likely need at least three wins out of five against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Los Angeles Rams, Dallas Cowboys, Buffalo Bills, and Tennessee Titans. That's because I don't view this NFC North as pushover territory any longer.

In a more well-rounded division, a realistic stumble to 3-3 within those rivalry games would put 12 wins out of range for the Packers. I like the Under, with a reasonable chance of a push on this wager.

Packers to reach the Super Bowl (+550)

I don't see the Packers banding together around their young players and role players offensively to the extent that a Lombardi Trophy is in the team's immediate future. That said, the NFC feels pretty wide open between the Packers, Rams, and Bucs. Odds at +500 to reach the Super Bowl could fetch a solid return.

To make it happen, the Packers will need to rely on efficiency on offense and show an improvement from last year's mid-range scoring defense. Are those two goals likely after losing Adams? Perhaps not. But with Rodgers still running the show, it's at least plausible for the Green Bay offense to remain a well-oiled machine en route to dominating the NFC.

Jones Over 1300.5 rushing + receiving yards (-110)

With Adams vacating the offense, a whopping 169 targets are up for grabs. Marquez Valdes-Scantling is gone, too. Though Allen Lazard likely takes on a larger workload, it seems inevitable that the running back duo of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon will receive a healthy heap of opportunities this season.

My belief is that will include not only splitting the rushing duties, but getting involved with ample roles in the receiving game. Even with Adams around last year, Jones caught a career-best 52 passes. Though Jones only logged 1,190 yards of total offense in 15 games last year, he's inherently going to be more integral to the operation in 2022.

If he plays even 15 games again this season, 1,300 yards should be attainable.

Where to Bet on Green Bay Packers Futures

Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:

FanDuel Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook
PointsBet
BetMGM

SEE ALSO: All picksodds, and sports betting news. Be sure to check out SportsbookReview.com’s community forums and betting tools.

Green Bay Packers team futures picks made on 7/22/2022 at 1:15 p.m. ET.