This article is for week 11 – please see our updated week `12 NFL parlay picks here.
Craziness has taken over the NFL season. Who will survive in Week 11? We offer up our best bets with our Week 11 NFL parlay picks.
So far, the NFL has experienced more parity than any season in recent memory. Every week, some top-seeded team falls to a losing franchise. The Miami Dolphins beat the Baltimore Ravens in Week 10, after the Denver Broncos upset the Dallas Cowboys in Week 9. Even the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have suffered losses or ties against previously inferior teams.
At this point, predictions are hard to make. Wild upsets make even the safest of moneyline bets hard to trust. With that in mind, we need to find the value and make our parlay picks for the Week 11 slate of NFL games.
There is still money to be made as we hit the second half of the regular season. Here’s a look at my top parlay picks for Week 11 NFL action (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Week 11 NFL Parlay Picks
Dolphins (-166) ★★★
49ers (-275) ★★★
Chargers (-245) ★★★
SEE ALSO: Top NFL Week 11 Opening Lines and Picks
Week 11 NFL Parlay Predictions
Dolphins (-166) vs. Jets
Miami is coming off of a win against Baltimore on Thursday Night Football, and the Dolphins will be rested. Also, QB Tua Tagovailoa will start after coming in to play in the second half against the Ravens. He is not fully healthy, but he proved that he can do more than enough to keep the offense on pace.
The Jets still don’t have a solution at quarterback. Rookie QB Zach Wilson (knee) should return to the starting lineup after sitting out since Week 7, but he didn’t play well when healthy. Backup Mike White played well for a few games, but the hot hand ran cold against the Bills in Week 10 with four interceptions and no touchdowns on a 24-for-44 passing performance.
Either way, the Dolphins defense should thrive against a weak opponent. The offense is coming together, and the Jets don’t have enough talent along the defensive front to force consistent pressure. That’s the way to beat the Dolphins, and they will fail. Even though the Dolphins play on the road, they should win this game outright.
49ers (-275) vs. Jaguars
It may be scary picking San Francisco on the road, but the 49ers stepped up in recent weeks. They dominated against the Los Angeles Rams on Monday Night Football, thanks largely to two interceptions off of Rams QB Matthew Stafford.
It will be relatively easy for the Ninters to force turnovers when they face the Jaguars rookie QB Trevor Lawrence. He is tied for fourth with nine interceptions through nine games. His offensive line will struggle to stop San Francisco’s persistent pass rushers.
49ers WR Deebo Samuel is an elite receiver, and he should cook the Jaguars' secondary. If WR Brandon Aiyuk and TE George Kittle also get involved, the 49ers should cover the 6.5-point spread. However, we’re going to keep it safe with a moneyline pick. Monday Night Football winners have dominated in their next week so far, so this will likely go the same way.
Steelers vs. Chargers (-245)
The Steelers couldn’t beat the Detroit Lions last week due to an abysmal offensive performance that can blamed on the absence of QB Ben Roethlisberger, but the Steelers won’t be much better with his arm in the game.
Los Angeles has the talent to win at home but needs to call plays that use QB Justin Herbert’s strengths. After a loss last week, I expect a better offensive game plan against Pittsburgh.
The value here is not great with Los Angeles coming off of a loss, but it is hard to know what to expect from Pittsburgh this week. RB Najee Harris is the only bright spot, and he is not enough to beat the Chargers.
Combined odds: +207
SEE ALSO: All NFL Picks
Picks made on 11/16/21 at 12:15 p.m. ET.