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Bengals vs. Dolphins Prediction: Week 5 Odds, Picks & Best Bet

Our Bengals vs. Dolphins prediction for Week 5 includes our best bet, projected score, and the latest odds for Sunday's matchup.

Matt MacKay

Last Updated: October 10, 2026 2:30 PM EDT • 2 minute read

Pictured: Dolphins quarterback Malik Willis (2) scrambles as we break down our Bengals vs. Dolphins prediction. Photo by Jeffrey Becker / Imagn Images.

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Joe Burrow will look to lead his team back into the win column Sunday as I make my Bengals vs. Dolphins prediction.

The Dolphins are 0-4, though they held the undefeated Vikings without a touchdown in Week 4, gaining some momentum ahead of their second home game of the season. The Bengals are a 6.5-point betting favorite, with kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX).

Bengals vs. Dolphins picks & predictions

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 5 based on the latest NFL odds.

Pick	Bet size
Dolphins +6.5 (+100 via DraftKings)	2 units
Under 43.5 (-115 via FanDuel)	1.15 units

Total wagered: 3.15 units | Max profit: +3 units

Bengals vs. Dolphins prediction & best bet

Dolphins +6.5 (+100 via DraftKings)

Not many bettors are backing the Malik Willis-led Dolphins to be competitive against the Bengals in Week 5. However, Cincinnati's defense has taken a downward turn, allowing over 110 rushing yards in consecutive losses, while only forcing 1 turnover in its last 3 contests.

While there's no doubt the Dolphins offense is bad, its defense is a big strength under head coach Jeff Hafley. The former Packers DC has helped Miami hold the Chiefs and Vikings to 39 total points across their past two outings.

Burrow's Bengals are banged up in the wide receiving corps, including Ja'Marr Chase dealing with a concussion. This is a good buy-low spot on the Dolphins.

Go to DraftKings to bet Dolphins +6.5 at even money.

📡 SBR Edge: Fade the Jungle Cats

The Bengals are 1-2 ATS as a betting favorite in 2026.

Dolphins defense gives Bengals a scare in Week 5

Miami's going to throw the kitchen sink at Cincinnati's offense, especially leaning on a wide receiving corps that could be without its top two players, Chase and Tee Higgins. It's going to be a grinder of a game, with the Dolphins attempting to sustain long, methodical drives to eat up the clock and RB Ollie Gordon being the focal point of production.

Cincinnati will wind up holding off a late charge by the Dolphins or score on its final possession. However, it won't be enough to cover as a full touchdown favorite on the road in South Beach.

Score prediction: Bengals 23, Dolphins 17

Bengals vs. Dolphins odds

Bengals vs. Dolphins opening odds

Moneyline: Bengals -245 | Dolphins +200
Spread: Bengals -5.5 (-125) | Dolphins +5.5 (+105)
Over/Under: Over 48.5 (-105) | Under 48.5 (-115)

How to watch Bengals vs. Dolphins: Week 5

Date: Sunday, Oct. 11
Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, Fla.)
TV: FOX

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Written by:
Matt MacKay

Matt MacKay has handicapped golf, the NFL, NCAAF, and NHL since joining the sports betting industry as a writer in 2020. He’s worked for several prominent sites, recently expanding his coverage to include sports betting news and the regulatory industry. Bringing a background in communications and writing, earning a Masters Degree in Organizational Communication from Ohio University, Matt has co-hosted a fantasy football and sports betting podcast, while continuously refining his handicapping methods. This includes identifying recent trends, head-to-head statistics, and comparing individual and team strengths and weaknesses to accurately predict the outcome in certain betting markets before a game or event. He’s a daily bettor and tends to wager on FanDuel, with DraftKings and Hard Rock Bet as preferred sports betting app alternatives. An avid researcher, writer, editor, and podcaster, Matt is eager to dig into matchups to offer readers and subscribers value on his picks. He’s a big proponent of building bankroll by avoiding poor betting habits and tendencies, like chasing losses, placing too many wagers, and managing bankroll. His worst beats to date both came on two separate NFL parlays, losing due to Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown dropping passes. NRFIs have quickly become one of Matt’s favorite betting markets, recently diving into MLB game props.