Trade $25, Get $35 in Bonus Funds CODE: SBR35

Raiders vs. Patriots Prediction: Week 5 Odds, Picks & Best Bet

Our Raiders vs. Patriots prediction for Week 5 includes our best bet, projected score, and the latest odds for Sunday's matchup.

Matt MacKay

Last Updated: October 10, 2026 4:00 PM EDT • 2 minute read

Pictured: Raiders quarterback Kirk Cousins (8) runs with the ball as we break down our Raiders vs. Patriots prediction. Photo by David Brytus / Imagn Images.

Enjoying SBR content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account

Drake Maye will look to build off last week's huge win as New England returns home Sunday and I make my Raiders vs. Patriots prediction.

After it looked like New England's season was dead, a thrilling road win over the Bills in Week 4 gave the Patriots momentum. Raiders QB Kirk Cousins and star tight end Brock Bowers fell just short of staying undefeated in a 30-27 loss to the Chiefs. The Patriots are a 3.5-point betting favorite, with kickoff at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass., set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS).

Raiders vs. Patriots picks & predictions

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 5 based on the latest NFL odds.

Pick	Bet size
Raiders +3.5 (-105 via FanDuel)	2.1 units
Under 45.5 (-115 via bet365)	1.15 units

Total wagered: 3.25 units | Max profit: +3 units

Raiders vs. Patriots prediction & best bet

Raiders +3.5 (-105 via FanDuel)

The Patriots are likely going to be without top CB Christian Gonzalez for a second straight game. Cousins has been in quite a rhythm to start the season, defying expectations with an impressive 11 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on a 64.6 percent completion rate.

New England's turnover issue isn't going to go away any time soon. Maye continues to deal with miscues, as the offense has logged 2+ turnovers in every single contest this year.

Maxx Crosby's ability to disrupt off the edge is a big reason why Las Vegas has yet to give up 250 passing yards to an opposing quarterback. However, the Raiders' run defense is suspect, allowing 127-189 rushing yards in 3 straight games.

Ultimately, Cousins' efficiency, paired with Maye's turnover-prone ways, points to the Raiders as a 3.5-point underdog in this spot.

Go to FanDuel to bet on the Raiders +3.5 at -105 odds.

📡 SBR Edge: Riding the Raiders

The Raiders are a perfect 4-0 ATS in 2026.

Maye's miscues lead to a Raiders win in Foxborough

If a team wants to beat the Raiders, they'll have to beat them on the ground. New England's running back tandem of Rhamondre Stevenson and TreVeyon Henderson is far from elite, with vision and fumbling issues plaguing both players.

Maye is inevitably going to commit a fumble or throw an interception. The Raiders have forced nine turnovers this year and are 2-0 SU on the road. Cousins finds Bowers enough to stay ahead of schedule and win this early game on the East Coast in Week 5.

Score prediction: Raiders 24, Patriots 20

Raiders vs. Patriots odds

Raiders vs. Patriots opening odds

Moneyline: Raiders +160 | Patriots -190
Spread: Raiders +3.5 (-110) | Patriots -3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 45.5 (-110)

How to watch Raiders vs. Patriots: Week 5

Date: Sunday, Oct. 11
Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
TV: CBS

📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)

Written by:
Matt MacKay

Matt MacKay has handicapped golf, the NFL, NCAAF, and NHL since joining the sports betting industry as a writer in 2020. He’s worked for several prominent sites, recently expanding his coverage to include sports betting news and the regulatory industry. Bringing a background in communications and writing, earning a Masters Degree in Organizational Communication from Ohio University, Matt has co-hosted a fantasy football and sports betting podcast, while continuously refining his handicapping methods. This includes identifying recent trends, head-to-head statistics, and comparing individual and team strengths and weaknesses to accurately predict the outcome in certain betting markets before a game or event. He’s a daily bettor and tends to wager on FanDuel, with DraftKings and Hard Rock Bet as preferred sports betting app alternatives. An avid researcher, writer, editor, and podcaster, Matt is eager to dig into matchups to offer readers and subscribers value on his picks. He’s a big proponent of building bankroll by avoiding poor betting habits and tendencies, like chasing losses, placing too many wagers, and managing bankroll. His worst beats to date both came on two separate NFL parlays, losing due to Tyreek Hill and A.J. Brown dropping passes. NRFIs have quickly become one of Matt’s favorite betting markets, recently diving into MLB game props.