The anytime touchdown scorer predictions market gives and takes throughout the NFL season, and it did plenty of the latter in Week 13. We started Week 14 with a +220 hit to get some cash back, and now we make our top anytime touchdown picks for Monday Night Football based on the best NFL odds.
We're back up to a 7.05-unit profit for the 2023 NFL season with our anytime touchdown scorer predictions, thanks to Ezekiel Elliott's touchdown at +220 odds on Thursday Night Football and Desmond Ridder's +500 rushing touchdown on Sunday
Those two wins helped to negate Dallas Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson failing to find the end zone during his team's blowout of the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday Night Football.
We now get a double dose of Monday Night Football to tackle while aiming to add to our success in Week 14.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 14: Monday Night Football
Titans vs. Dolphins anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Raheem Mostert, MIA, RB (+120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Miami Dolphins are monster 13.5-point home favorites against the Tennessee Titans on Monday night. The total is set at 46 points, giving Miami an implied team total of 30. They've exceeded that number seven times in 2023, including each of their last two games.
While rookie De'Von Achane led the Dolphins' backfield with 61% of the offensive snaps played during his return from injury in Week 13, Raheem Mostert still logged 12 touches during the 45-15 rout of the Washington Commanders. He also scored his league-high 14th rushing touchdown of the season.
Tennessee has held opposing running backs to a modest six scores on the ground during the 2023 campaign, but it's also allowed two receiving scores to the position. That number matches Mostert's season total.
The veteran back is projected for 0.6 touchdowns on Monday between the rushing and passing games. That should equate to odds of -150, but we can take advantage of this outlier +120 ticket from Caesars. BetMGM offers market-low odds of -165 for Mostert to find the end zone this week.
See our Titans-Dolphins NFL player props for more on this MNF matchup.
Packers vs. Giants anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Wan'Dale Robinson, NYG, WR (+600 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
When looking for a touchdown scorer in what may be the less appealing of the two MNF matchups in Week 14, I'm immediately attracted to Wan'Dale Robinson's significant and sustained snap share over his last two games. The second-round pick in the 2022 NFL Draft played 67% and 77% of the snaps in Weeks 11 and 12, respectively. That's after peaking at 80% in Week 8.
While Robinson's lone score in 2023 was in Week 9, he caught seven of his nine targets over his last two games. His 0.2 projected touchdowns on Monday are tied for first among G-Men receivers against a Packers team that's held opposing wideouts to a respectable eight receiving scores in 2023. However, two of those came during Green Bay's last three outings.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 14: Sunday Night Football
Eagles vs. Cowboys anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Jake Ferguson, TE (+170 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ❌
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed a league-high 21 touchdowns through the air to opposing wide receivers but another six touchdowns to tight ends. As we'd expect, the odds for Dallas Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb to find the end zone on Sunday Night Football are heavily juiced with BetRivers' -127 odds being the best in the market.
However, we can find some value by pivoting to tight end Jake Ferguson. The NFL sophomore has caught 46 of 66 targets this season for five touchdowns; four of those scores have come in his last six games. Those include one against the Eagles in Week 9 when he also accrued a season-high of 91 yards on 10 targets.
Buccaneers vs. Falcons anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Desmond Ridder, ATL, QB (+500 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐ ✅
The game plan for our anytime touchdown scorer predictions often follows the Atlanta Falcons' plan for QB Desmond Ridder: keep it simple. Similarly to Ridder's 2023 season with the NFC South-leading Falcons, things don't always go according to that plan but our past path to success can be to stick with what's been working.
We've cashed an anytime touchdown bet on Ridder already this season and we've frequently had success targeting a Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense that has allowed five rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks. Ridder even had one of those scores while accumulating 38 rushing yards against the Bucs in Week 7.
The Falcons are 1.5-point home favorites on Sunday. Three of Ridder's four rushing scores on the season have come in Falcons victories and the other was in a loss to the Arizona Cardinals which Atlanta entered as a heavy road betting favorite.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 14: Thursday Night Football
Patriots vs. Steelers anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Ezekiel Elliott, NE, RB (+220 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐ ✅
As the 30-point betting line implies, we can't expect many points on Thursday night. We're adding to the tall order by targeting the Patriots as 6-point road underdogs.
We're targeting the Pats because we're getting a mispriced line on running back Ezekiel Elliott, who's projected for 0.4 touchdowns. According to our odds converter, that 40% implied probability should translate to odds of +150. However, most of the best NFL prop betting sites are above that number with FanDuel's +220 odds being the best in the market.
Giving us hope is that the strong Steelers' defense has somewhat surprisingly allowed 10 total touchdowns to running backs. Elliott is also sure to get the lion's share of work in a New England backfield missing Rhamondre Stevenson on Thursday, with Ty Montgomery and JaMycal Hasty slated as the complementary pieces.
It won't be pretty, as it hasn't been for Elliott for much of this season, but we like his ATD odds on Thursday due to his expected volume usage.
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