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College basketball best bets.
College basketball best bets.

A day after three ranked teams were in action, six AP top 25 teams take the court Tuesday. Read on for our college basketball best bets for Tuesday based on the top NCAAB odds.

Purdue returned to No. 1 in the polls for the second time this year, while Alabama’s No. 2 ranking is its highest since being ranked No. 1 in 2002-03.

Meanwhile, Kansas State also reached its highest ranking (No. 5) since cracking the top three in 2010-11.

Here are our college basketball best bets for Tuesday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our North Carolina vs. Syracuse picks and our Kansas State vs. Iowa State picks.

Tuesday’s college basketball schedule and odds

(odds via DraftKings Sportsbook)

  • Penn State vs. Rutgers (-6)
  • Oklahoma vs. TCU (-6.5)
  • Kansas State vs. Iowa State (-4.5)
  • Georgia Tech vs. Clemson (-11)

Check out our best March Madness odds and Wooden Award odds.

College basketball best bets for Tuesday

  • Spread: N.C. State -8.5 (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Notre Dame ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Moneyline: Mississippi (-115 via FanDuel) vs. Missouri ⭐⭐⭐
  • Total: Kansas State-Iowa State Under 134.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Upset: Ohio State (+152 via Caesars) vs. Illinois ⭐⭐

College basketball top picks

Spread: NC State -8.5 vs. Notre Dame (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Notre Dame head coach Mike Brey announced he's stepping down at the end of the season after 23 years on the job, but the team had been underperforming relative to its preseason expectations long before the announcement.

The Fighting Irish have lost six of seven games (four by double digits), and none of their nine wins are away from South Bend. Now they face an N.C. State team that plays at a top-60 pace, something Brey’s team is uncomfortable with, as it would rather grind out a game in the half-court.

This is a four-star play, as the Wolfpack should be undeterred by Notre Dame’s defense. N.C. State ranks eighth in turnover percentage (14.5%) to the Fighting Irish’s 359th-ranked turnovers forced rate.

BetMGM and Caesars are the only sportsbooks offering N.C. State at -8.5, as others are as high as -9.5 already.

Moneyline: Mississippi ML vs. Missouri (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Ole Miss lost all three meetings with Missouri last year, but one can more easily dismiss those losses as they were with Cuonzo Martin coaching the Tigers and not Dennis Gates.

We are viewing this as a contrarian three-star play, as the Rebels have lost seven of eight games, but three were by four or fewer points. Ole Miss has a significant advantage on the offensive glass, rebounding 33.8% of its misses (41st), while Missouri allows offensive rebounds at the 359th-worst rate in the country.

This line is moving in Mississippi’s favor after opening as a virtual pick’em and is as high as -120 elsewhere.

Total: Kansas State vs. Iowa State Under 134.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

Iowa State is the country’s seventh-best team in adjusted defensive efficiency and the Division I leader in turnovers forced (28.4%). In addition, Kansas State is the perfect opponent for the style of defense the Cyclones want to play.

The Wildcats are a rim-reliant team that ranks in the top 16 in close shot rate, according to Erik Haslam, and Iowa State allows the 350th-lowest percentage of opponents’ points to come from inside the arc.

Thus, Kansas State’s lead guard tandem of Markquis Nowell and Keyontae Johnson will not be able to penetrate as often as they would like, and the Wildcats rank outside the top 100 in 3-point shooting.

BetMGM and FanDuel are the only sportsbooks offering 134.5, with gives us an extra point of value as others are as low as 133.5.

Upset: Ohio State ML vs. Illinois (+152) ⭐⭐

Ohio State’s roster was in flux entering its last game against Iowa. Sean McNeil was questionable because of emergency dental work, and Justice Sueing was relegated to the bench after recent struggles. However, the Buckeyes got 10 points apiece from both players en route to a 16-point rout of Iowa, and their 93 points were 20 more than they had scored in any Big Ten game this season.

Illinois has looked vulnerable in two separate 15-point home losses to Penn State and Indiana, and the Buckeyes’ shooting prowess (Big Ten-best 41.8% from 3-point range in league play) should carry them to a road upset.

This line opened as Buckeyes +105, so the way the line has steamed against them is the biggest reason this is just a two-star play.

College basketball best bets made 1/24/2023 at 6:21 a.m. ET.

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