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College basketball best bets.
College basketball best bets.

Another exciting week of college hoops action starts with 16 games on tap for Monday, as we offer our top college basketball player props and best bets for Monday based on the best college basketball odds.

Following a shocking loss to Ohio State earlier this month, Purdue bounced back last week with blowout wins over Rutgers and Michigan to secure the No. 2 spot in Monday's AP Poll. That marks 33 straight weeks the Boilermakers have been ranked in the top five - the longest active streak in the country and best for any Big Ten team in the last 45 years.

There aren't any Big Ten teams in action on Monday, though there are three games from Power Five conferences on the agenda, headlined by an in-state rivalry between Baylor and TCU. That comes after Miami looks to salvage its season with a road win at North Carolina, while West Virginia and Kansas State clash in a Big 12 showdown.

Here are our college basketball player props and best bets for Monday (college basketball picks based on odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Monday’s college basketball schedule and odds

(Odds via Caesars)

Monday’s college basketball best bets

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Monday’s college basketball player props

Kerr Kriisa Under 9.5 points vs. Kansas State (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

West Virginia point guard Kerr Kriisa has scored in double figures in five of his last eight games. A common theme among those high-scoring affairs is his 3-point shooting volume, as he has attempted six-plus 3-pointers in all of those games in double figures. When Kriisa was limited to 15 total points against UCF, Baylor, and Texas, he went just 3-for-11 from beyond the arc. And given that he does not get to the free-throw line - he has not attempted a free throw in five consecutive games - we expect Kansas State to key on Kriisa on the perimeter, limiting his offensive ceiling.

The Wildcats allow 3-point attempts at the seventh-highest rate in Big 12 play (37.1% 3PA/FGA) but are also the league’s stingiest perimeter defensive team, holding opponents to just 27.1% from beyond the arc.

This is a four-star play, as Kansas State is coming off a game when it held a top-10 offense in terms of adjusted offensive efficiency to 6-of-31 shooting from 3-point range.

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We are making this wager at FanDuel, as our other best sports betting sites have a -115 price tag for the same wager.   

Norchad Omier Under 8.5 rebounds vs. North Carolina (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Norchad Omier has grabbed nine or more rebounds four times during Miami’s six-game losing streak, including 11 boards in a 75-72 home loss against North Carolina. However, four of Omier’s rebounds in that game came on the offensive glass. The Tar Heels figure to limit Omier’s production in that regard in this rematch, considering they allow the fewest percentage of offensive rebounds (22.5%) in ACC play.

With Omier being the only real size Miami has, foul trouble will always be a concern, especially when facing the mammoth Armando Bacot, who has posted six consecutive double-doubles.

Omier has committed three-plus fouls in five of the previous eight games, and we expect the Tar Heels to pound him down low to try to get him in early foul trouble, as the Hurricanes are a different team with him off the floor. Omier was limited to 23 minutes thanks to foul trouble in last year’s matchup with the Tar Heels, and the strong possibility he plays fewer than 30 minutes tonight makes the Under for his rebound total intriguing.

Making this wager at bet365 saves bettors some money, as our other best sports betting apps charge the standard -110 juice to back the Under.

Monday’s college basketball game picks

Coppin State-Howard Under 138.5 (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

There are 362 men’s basketball teams in Division I, and Coppin State’s offense ranks second-worst in KenPom’s adjusted offensive efficiency metric and fourth-worst in effective field-goal percentage and turnover rate. The latter category is also an issue for Howard, which turns the ball over 21.5% of the time (a bottom-10 rate), and that is concerning when facing a pesky Coppin State defense that ranks in the top 16 of all D-I teams by forcing turnovers on 21.9% of opponents’ offensive possessions.

These two teams combined for 147 points in an 81-66 Howard road win earlier this season, but the Bison forced only 12 turnovers and Coppin State shot 28 free throws. We expect them to turn up the defensive pressure against the Eagles, who have not topped 67 points in any of their last seven games (all losses).

The Under is 5-2 in the seven games Howard has been a home favorite, as opposed to cashing in just one of six games the Bison have been home underdogs since the start of last season.

Meanwhile, the Under is 15-6 in Coppin State’s 21 games following a loss and has cashed in 57.1% of its conference games (24 of 42) since the start of the 2021 season.

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All of our best sportsbooks are in lockstep with an O/U of 138.5, but FanDuel (-106) is the only other sportsbook besides DraftKings to charge less than the standard -110 juice to back the Under.

TCU moneyline vs. Baylor (-139 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Baylor is coming off an emotional roller-coaster of a game against Houston on Saturday, in which it overcame a 17-point deficit to force overtime, only to lose by six at home. The Bears outrebounded the Cougars by eight and made 40% of their 3-pointers but were undone by 19 turnovers and 32 paint points allowed (along with 12 fast-break points).

TCU is a difficult matchup for Baylor on just one day of rest, as the Horned Frogs are relentless on the offensive glass (they rank 20th in the country, rebounding 36% of their misses). Meanwhile, Baylor’s only road wins in league play have come against Oklahoma State, UCF, and West Virginia, the worst three teams in the Big 12.

We expect TCU’s disruptive defense (it has forced turnovers at the third-highest rate in league play) to give Baylor fits similar to what Houston did to the Bears, and for the Horned Frogs’ Big 12-best 38.2% 3-point percentage in league play to make all the difference on their home floor.

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TCU is 10-4 ATS in Big 12 games this season, while Baylor is under .500 ATS (3-4) as an underdog.

However, we are passing up the 2.5-point spread since FanDuel and BetMGM are juiced to -114 or higher to lay the points with the favorites, and instead find value with the moneyline at BetRivers, which is the only one of our best live betting sites with moneyline odds shorter than -142.

College basketball best bets made Monday at 6:53 a.m. ET

Here are our best March Madness betting sites:

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